JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[Stewart]

EDIT: Didn't see it was posted 2 minutes before mine 

Edited March 29, 2018 by feasby007

[Stewart]

Full week:

 

Spring Break, Week 2 - Daily Estimates (03/26-30)

Monday (03/26)
¥140 million ($1.3 million), 0, ¥935 million ($8.9 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) Day 6
¥135 million ($1.3 million), +148%, ¥3.40 billion ($32.1 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) Day 24
¥125 million ($1.2 million), +47%, ¥1.81 billion ($16.9 million), Coco (Disney) Day 11
¥55 million ($520,000), +04%, ¥835 million ($7.9 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) Day 10
¥40 million ($380,000), -14%, ¥3.75 billion ($35.4 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) Day 39
¥20 million ($190,000), -25%, ¥510 million ($4.8 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) Day 10
¥20 million ($190,000), 0, ¥270 million ($2.5 million), Tomb Raider (Warner Bros.) Day 6
¥15 million ($140,000), -32%, ¥850 million ($8.1 million), Sakura: Guardian in the North (Toei) Day 17
¥15 million ($140,000), -31%, ¥640 million ($5.9 million), Last Winter, We Parted (Warner Bros.) Day 17
¥12 million ($115,000), -40%, ¥1.39 billion ($13.0 million), Black Panther (Disney) Day 26

Tuesday (03/27)
¥125 million ($1.2 million), +64%, ¥3.52 billion ($33.3 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) Day 25
¥120 million ($1.1 million), 0, ¥1.05 billion ($10.0 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) Day 7
¥110 million ($1.0 million), +04%, ¥1.92 billion ($17.9 million), Coco (Disney) Day 12
¥50 million ($475,000), -09%, ¥885 million ($8.4 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) Day 11
¥35 million ($330,000), -32%, ¥3.79 billion ($35.7 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) Day 40
¥20 million ($190,000), -32%, ¥530 million ($5.0 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) Day 11
¥15 million ($140,000), 0, ¥285 million ($2.7 million), Tomb Raider (Warner Bros.) Day 7
¥15 million ($140,000), -45%, ¥865 million ($8.2 million), Sakura: Guardian in the North (Toei) Day 18
¥12 million ($115,000), -46%, ¥650 million ($6.0 million), Last Winter, We Parted (Warner Bros.) Day 18
¥11 million ($105,000), -56%, ¥1.40 billion ($13.1 million), Black Panther (Disney) Day 27

Wednesday (03/28)
¥175 million ($1.6 million), -54%, ¥3.70 billion ($34.9 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) Day 26
¥175 million ($1.6 million), -51%, ¥2.10 billion ($19.5 million), Coco (Disney) Day 13
¥165 million ($1.5 million), -46%, ¥1.22 billion ($11.5 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) Day 8
¥60 million ($570,000), -56%, ¥945 million ($9.0 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) Day 12
¥60 million ($570,000), -43%, ¥3.85 billion ($36.3 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) Day 41
¥25 million ($235,000), -78%, ¥555 million ($5.2 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) Day 12
¥20 million ($190,000), -74%, ¥305 million ($2.9 million), Tomb Raider (Warner Bros.) Day 8
¥20 million ($190,000), -47%, ¥885 million ($8.4 million), Sakura: Guardian in the North (Toei) Day 19
¥15 million ($140,000), -57%, ¥665 million ($6.1 million), Last Winter, We Parted (Warner Bros.) Day 19
¥15 million ($140,000), -60%, ¥140 million ($1.3 million), Laughing Under the Clouds (Shochiku) Day 8

Thursday (03/29)
¥125 million ($1.2 million), +42%, ¥1.34 billion ($12.7 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) Day 9
¥120 million ($1.1 million), +94%, ¥3.82 billion ($36.0 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) Day 27
¥115 million ($1.1 million), +49%, ¥2.21 billion ($20.6 million), Coco (Disney) Day 14
¥50 million ($470,000), +07%, ¥995 million ($9.5 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) Day 13
¥35 million ($330,000), -07%, ¥3.88 billion ($36.6 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) Day 42
¥20 million ($190,000), -27%, ¥905 million ($8.6 million), Sakura: Guardian in the North (Toei) Day 20
¥15 million ($140,000), -16%, ¥570 million ($5.4 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) Day 13
¥15 million ($140,000), -43%, ¥320 million ($3.0 million), Tomb Raider (Warner Bros.) Day 9
¥11 million ($105,000), -25%, ¥675 million ($6.2 million), Last Winter, We Parted (Warner Bros.) Day 20
¥10 million ($95,000), -15%, ¥1.42 billion ($13.3 million), Black Panther (Disney) Day 29

Friday (03/30)
¥130 million ($1.2 million), +48%, ¥1.47 billion ($13.9 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) Day 10
¥120 million ($1.1 million), +58%, ¥2.33 billion ($21.7 million), Coco (Disney) Day 15
¥120 million ($1.1 million), +85%, ¥3.94 billion ($37.1 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) Day 28
¥45 million ($420,000), +07%, ¥1.04 billion ($9.9 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) Day 14
¥40 million ($375,000), 0, ¥40 million ($375,000), The Post (Toho-Towa) NEW
¥35 million ($330,000), -13%, ¥3.92 billion ($36.9 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) Day 43
¥25 million ($235,000), 0, ¥25 million ($235,000), Red Sparrow (Fox) NEW
¥15 million ($140,000), 0, ¥15 million ($140,000), The Commuter (Gaga) NEW
¥15 million ($140,000), 0, ¥15 million ($140,000), Valerian: City of a Thousand Planets (Kino Films) NEW
¥15 million ($140,000), -05%, ¥585 million ($5.5 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) Day 14

% changes versus same day last week.

NOTE: The Wed-to-Wed drops are large because last Wednesday was a national holiday (Vernal Equinox Day). The day itself though is very good, and percentage wise (versus a typical Monday/Tuesday) is a bit stronger than a usual Wednesday.

[manny1234]

15 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

Friday (03/30)
¥130 million ($1.2 million), +48%, ¥1.47 billion ($13.9 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) Day 10
¥120 million ($1.1 million), +58%, ¥2.33 billion ($21.7 million), Coco (Disney) Day 15
¥120 million ($1.1 million), +85%, ¥3.94 billion ($37.1 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) Day 28
¥45 million ($420,000), +07%, ¥1.04 billion ($9.9 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) Day 14
¥40 million ($375,000), 0, ¥40 million ($375,000), The Post (Toho-Towa) NEW
¥35 million ($330,000), -13%, ¥3.92 billion ($36.9 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) Day 43
¥25 million ($235,000), 0, ¥25 million ($235,000), Red Sparrow (Fox) NEW
¥15 million ($140,000), 0, ¥15 million ($140,000), The Commuter (Gaga) NEW
¥15 million ($140,000), 0, ¥15 million ($140,000), Valerian: City of a Thousand Planets (Kino Films) NEW 
¥15 million ($140,000), -05%, ¥585 million ($5.5 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) Day 14

 

for Valerian Stan @That One Guy

[That One Girl]

...

[Cynosure]

Corpse :

 

Weekend Forecast (03/31-04/01)
01 (01) ¥407,000,000 ($3.8 million), +08%, ¥2,750,000,000 ($25.6 million), Coco (Disney) WK3
02 (02) ¥389,000,000 ($3.6 million), +10%, ¥1,850,000,000 ($17.5 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) WK2
03 (03) ¥332,000,000 ($3.1 million), +03%, ¥4,275,000,000 ($40.2 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) WK5
04 (05) ¥138,000,000 ($1.3 million), -15%, ¥4,050,000,000 ($38.1 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) WK7
05 (04) ¥132,000,000 ($1.2 million), -22%, ¥1,175,000,000 ($11.2 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) WK3
06 (---) ¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million), 0, ¥165,000,000 ($1.5 million), The Post (Toho-Towa) NEW
07 (---) ¥80,000,000 ($750,000), 0, ¥105,000,000 ($980,000), Red Sparrow (Fox) NEW
08 (---) ¥75,000,000 ($705,000), 0, ¥90,000,000 ($845,000), Valerian: City of a Thousand Planets (Gaga) NEW
09 (06) ¥71,000,000 ($670,000), -25%, ¥650,000,000 ($6.2 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) WK3
10 (07) ¥68,000,000 ($640,000), -35%, ¥400,000,000 ($3.7 million), Tomb Raider (Warner Bros.) WK2

It's going to be once again, for the third-consecutive weekend, a very close race for the #1 spot. Coco, The Boss Baby, and Doraemon have remained incredibly close to one another on a day-to-day basis since March 21st, and that's not going to change just yet. All three films are looking at increases, with the former two likely to see the biggest potential gains and be the real race for #1 since Doraemon mostly benefits over the weekdays versus weekends during Spring Break (it'll keep the admissions race close, again).

I believe Coco will edge out the victory again to claim its third-consecutive weekend at #1, but I also believe it'll come in second/third in admissions for a third-consecutive weekend as well.

>The Post appears to be the only opener to make much of an impact over the weekend, and if it gets lucky, it may manage to crack the Top 5. This film probably would have been a little bigger in the market had it performed better during award season, considering its star power.

>Red Sparrow and Valerian: City of a Thousand Planets are likely to miss the ¥100 million mark in their debuts, unless they receive a significant boost tomorrow. Neither film was expected to perform well, but missing ¥100 million on a discounted weekend with Spring Break in effect (even if it primarily boosts weekdays) is underwhelming.

>Honey isn't included in my forecast because its morning ticket sales are abysmal, but its pre-sales are solid, so it likely has some stage greetings happening later. It's not playing very wide, so unless it has an ample number of stage greetings today AND tomorrow, I don't really seeing it making the Top 10. We'll see -- accurately predicting a barely wide film with stage greetings on a discount weekend is just luck.

[meriodejaneiro]

According to a user in WOKJ forum, Coco could finally win a weekend in admissions sold, after 3 weekends in a row being #1 box office, but selling less tickets than Doraemon and The Baby Boss. 

 

Saturday admissions(usual locations)
1.Coco-78,408
2.TBB-77,694
3.Doraemon-65,810

 

Sunday:
Coco-134,401.
TBB-123,168.
Doraemon-111,195.

[salvador-232]

In that 3/4 of the market, Coco is up 16% in admissions from last week, TBB +11% and Doraemon +6%. According to Corpse the first day of the mont has a discount so i dont know if the gross will also increase. 

 

Moana increased 2% in gross in an identical weekend last year so Coco should aim to beat that. 
 

Edited April 1, 2018 by salvador-232

[Cynosure]

Corpse :

 

(C)2018 Disney/Pixar. All Rights Reserved.

Weekend Estimates (03/31-04/01)
01 (01) ¥397,000,000 ($3.7 million), +06%, ¥2,750,000,000 ($25.6 million), Coco (Disney) WK3
02 (02) ¥359,000,000 ($3.3 million), +02%, ¥1,825,000,000 ($17.3 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) WK2
03 (03) ¥317,000,000 ($3.0 million), -02%, ¥4,250,000,000 ($40.0 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) WK5
04 (04) ¥141,000,000 ($1.3 million), -17%, ¥1,175,000,000 ($11.2 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) WK3
05 (05) ¥135,000,000 ($1.3 million), -18%, ¥4,050,000,000 ($38.1 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) WK7
06 (---) ¥130,000,000 ($1.2 million), 0, ¥170,000,000 ($1.6 million), The Post (Toho-Towa) NEW
07 (---) ¥75,000,000 ($705,000), 0, ¥100,000,000 ($940,000), Red Sparrow (Fox) NEW
08 (06) ¥62,000,000 ($580,000), -35%, ¥650,000,000 ($6.2 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) WK3
09 (---) ¥55,000,000 ($520,000), 0, ¥55,000,000 ($520,000), Honey (Toei/Showgate) NEW
10 (---) ¥55,000,000 ($520,000), 0, ¥55,000,000 ($520,000), The Commuter (Gaga) NEW

Note: Everything performed approx. 5-10% better in terms of admissions this weekend (e.g. a 20% decline in gross is likely a 10% decline in admissions) due to the 1st (discount day) falling on the weekend; however, that drives down the weekend average ticket prices. And as such, estimates can vary more versus actuals when this happens.

Coco continues to reign atop the box-office over the weekend, likely securing a third-consecutive week at #1 and earning its first weekend at #1 in admissions -- it had ranked second in admissions the last two weekends. Overall, Pixar's latest is doing very well, and is aiming for a total around ¥4.5 billion ($40 million+), which would be above the standard Pixar gross of ¥4 billion. Can Japan get it to $800 million worldwide?

The Boss Baby is already DreamWorks Animation's fifth or sixth (pending actuals) highest-grossing film ever, and its second weekend is bigger than any opening weekend for any DreamWorks Animation film as well. It's locked now to outgross Shrek 2 to become the studio's highest-grossing film in the market, and it's not going to be close, really. The surprise hit is aiming for a total above ¥3 billion ($30 million).

Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island remains in third place, and delivers the biggest fifth weekend in franchise history. The thirty-eighth entry in the series is now just a few hundred million away from becoming the highest-grossing film in franchise, and should finish around ¥5.5 billion ($50 million+).

The Greatest Showman, as usual, holds well once again and should have exceeded the ¥4 billion milestone after Sunday. It's going to surpass The Phantom of the Opera in the coming days to become the fourth highest-grossing live-action musical in the market, and is very likely to outgross La La Land to become the third highest-grossing live-action musical as well. Incredible success.

The Post, depending on tomorrow's actuals, might have cracked the Top 5, but either way its debut is a tad disappointing. If the film had any award buzz, I believe it could have opened above ¥200 million without much trouble. As is, it's going to be a struggle to reach the ¥1 billion ($10 million) milestone, and I'd bet against it doing so.

Red Sparrow performed alright given the little expectations. It might be able to reach ¥500 million ($5 million), which I'd consider decent enough since Lawrence isn't a known name in the market (The Hunger Games franchise bombed, X-Men franchise has a very niche audience, etc.).

 

[Legion Again]

It only needs 36M or so from Japan to pass 800, right? Seem quite likely. That would give 2017 11 movies at 800+, clobbering the previous record (2016, with 8).   

 

Funny that just 3 years earlier GotG made worldwide top 3 with 773, and in 2017 that would only get you 13th O.O

Edited April 2, 2018 by Sliver Legion

[Premium George]

4 minutes ago, Sliver Legion said:

It only needs 36M or so from Japan to pass 800, right? Seem quite likely. That would give 2017 11 movies at 800+, clobbering the previous record (2016, with 8).   

 

Funny that just 3 years earlier GotG made worldwide top 3 with 773, and in 2017 that would only get you 13th O.O

2014 was a very weak year tho.

[Legion Again]

3 minutes ago, Premium George said:

2014 was a very weak year tho.

Well, yeah. Picked it precisely to make a stark comparison, weakest in recent history. Still crazy to me that the same amount of money can be 3rd vs 13th so close to each other.

[meriodejaneiro]

2 hours ago, Sliver Legion said:

It only needs 36M or so from Japan to pass 800, right? Seem quite likely. That would give 2017 11 movies at 800+, clobbering the previous record (2016, with 8).   

 

Funny that just 3 years earlier GotG made worldwide top 3 with 773, and in 2017 that would only get you 13th O.O

After this weekend, it needs some 20M from Japan to reach the 800M. 

[Quigley]

2 hours ago, Sliver Legion said:

It only needs 36M or so from Japan to pass 800, right? Seem quite likely. That would give 2017 11 movies at 800+, clobbering the previous record (2016, with 8).

I thought it needed about $45M from Japan. It's at $780M atm and in most other markets, Coco wrapped up its run.

[Stewart]

Spring Break 2018 - Daily Estimates, Final Days (04/02-06)

Monday (04/02)
¥135,000,000 ($1.3 million), -03%, ¥1,950,000,000 ($18.6 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) Day 13
¥115,000,000 ($1.1 million), -15%, ¥2,750,000,000 ($25.6 million), Coco (Disney) Day 18
¥110,000,000 ($1.0 million), -24%, ¥4,360,000,000 ($41.0 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) Day 31
¥45,000,000 ($425,000), -21%, ¥1,220,000,000 ($11.6 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) Day 17
¥25,000,000 ($235,000), 0, ¥195,000,000 ($1.8 million), The Post (Toho-Towa) Day 4
¥25,000,000 ($235,000), -38%, ¥4,075,000,000 ($38.3 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) Day 46
¥15,000,000 ($140,000), 0, ¥115,000,000 ($1.1 million), Red Sparrow (Fox) Day 4
¥15,000,000 ($140,000), -31%, ¥665,000,000 ($6.3 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) Day 17
¥13,000,000 ($120,000), 0, ¥68,000,000 ($640,000), Honey (Toei/Showgate) Day 3
¥10,000,000 ($95,000), 0, ¥65,000,000 ($610,000), The Commuter (Gaga) Day 3

% changes versus same day last week.

Note: Monday's Estimates (cumulative totals) are subject-to-change after full weekend actuals are available later this evening.

[Legion Again]

8 hours ago, meriodejaneiro said:

After this weekend, it needs some 20M from Japan to reach the 800M. 

 

7 hours ago, Quigley said:

I thought it needed about $45M from Japan. It's at $780M atm and in most other markets, Coco wrapped up its run.

The 780 is with an outdated japan figure though, right? BOM currently shows 780 with 15.9 from Japan, so the actual figure after this weekend should be 790 and only 10 more needed.

[meriodejaneiro]

8 minutes ago, Sliver Legion said:

 

The 780 is with an outdated japan figure though, right? BOM currently shows 780 with 15.9 from Japan, so the actual figure after this weekend should be 790 and only 10 more needed.

Nope. 

Before Japan release, Coco was at 755M ww, so 45M needed from Japan for 800M. 

Till last sunday, Coco had grossed 25M, so total stands at 780M. So it still needs 20 more from Japan (from actuals 25M to final 45M) to make the 800M. 

And projections put Coco on the 40M range in Japan, so it seems to be a tight end wether above or under 800M final ww.  I hope it's above!!

Go Coco!!

Edited April 2, 2018 by meriodejaneiro

[UserHN]

6 minutes ago, Sliver Legion said:

 

The 780 is with an outdated japan figure though, right? BOM currently shows 780 with 15.9 from Japan, so the actual figure after this weekend should be 790 and only 10 more needed.

$780 million is the latest up-to-date gross. Don't mind BOM's foreign updates. They usually lag in updating totals per country but their grand worldwide total is always updated with the latest correct figures.

[Barnack]

31 minutes ago, Sliver Legion said:

The 780 is with an outdated japan figure though, right? BOM currently shows 780 with 15.9 from Japan, so the actual figure after this weekend should be 790 and only 10 more needed.

If you are unsure about box officemojo for international figure, you can look at the latest comscore:

 

https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/comscore-announces-official-worldwide-box-office-results-for-weekend-of-april-1-2018-300622447.html

 

Coco was estimated to be around 780,298,871 after Sunday.

 

Like said above Mojo update by market can take weeks and/or never happen for a lot of markets specific, but they usually have the total updated correctly.

Edited April 2, 2018 by Barnack

[Legion Again]

Ahh, I see. Rather annoying that BOM market specific numbers and total international figure are totally desynced like that, but I guess I can see how it would be a bother for them to keep everything updated and in correspondence.

[salvador-232]

Well, so far is running very slightly ahead of Moana so I think it should get to 800M, we will know better with next weekend hold. 

Edited April 2, 2018 by salvador-232