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Posted (edited)

From Corpse:

 

Saturday, 05/04 (National Holiday - Greenery Day)
¥290,000,000 ($2.6 million), +15%, ¥7,015,000,000 ($64.0 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) Day 23
¥285,000,000 ($2.5 million), -48%, ¥3,890,000,000 ($34.8 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) Day 09
¥230,000,000 ($2.1 million), 0, ¥530,000,000 ($4.8 million), Detective Pikachu (Toho) Day 02
¥210,000,000 ($1.9 million), +19%, ¥3,090,000,000 ($27.7 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) Day 16
¥x90,000,000 ($805,000), +02%, ¥1,485,000,000 ($13.2 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) Day 16
¥x35,000,000 ($315,000), 0, ¥x85,000,000 ($760,000), Kakegurui (Gaga) Day 02
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), -13%, ¥635,000,000 ($5.6 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) Day 16
¥x15,000,000 ($135,000), 0, ¥x35,000,000 ($315,000), Lupinranger VS Patranger VS Kyuranger (Toei Video Division) Day 02
¥x15,000,000 ($135,000), +25%, ¥3,590,000,000 ($32.5 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 72
¥x15,000,000 ($135,000), 0, ¥x15,000,000 ($135,000), King of Prism: Shiny Seven Star IV (Avex Pictures) NEW


Sunday, 05/05 (National Holiday - Children's Day)
¥295,000,000 ($2.6 million), -18%, ¥7,310,000,000 ($66.6 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) Day 24
¥280,000,000 ($2.5 million), -45%, ¥4,170,000,000 ($37.3 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) Day 10
¥225,000,000 ($2.0 million), 0, ¥755,000,000 ($6.8 million), Detective Pikachu (Toho) Day 03
¥215,000,000 ($1.9 million), -05%, ¥3,305,000,000 ($29.6 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) Day 17
¥x95,000,000 ($850,000), -19%, ¥1,580,000,000 ($14.1 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) Day 17
¥x30,000,000 ($270,000), 0, ¥115,000,000 ($1.0 million), Kakegurui (Gaga) Day 03
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), -32%, ¥660,000,000 ($5.8 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) Day 17
¥x15,000,000 ($135,000), 0, ¥x50,000,000 ($450,000), Lupinranger VS Patranger VS Kyuranger (Toei Video Division) Day 03
¥x15,000,000 ($135,000), -15%, ¥3,605,000,000 ($32.6 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 73
¥x15,000,000 ($135,000), -11%, ¥4,900,000,000 ($44.5 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 66


Monday, 05/06 (Default National Holiday; Monday After A National Holiday)
¥265,000,000 ($2.4 million), -41%, ¥7,575,000,000 ($69.0 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) Day 25
¥250,000,000 ($2.2 million), -47%, ¥4,420,000,000 ($39.5 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) Day 11
¥210,000,000 ($1.9 million), 0, ¥965,000,000 ($8.7 million), Detective Pikachu (Toho) Day 04
¥190,000,000 ($1.7 million), -32%, ¥3,495,000,000 ($31.3 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) Day 18
¥105,000,000 ($940,000), -36%, ¥1,685,000,000 ($15.0 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) Day 18
¥x30,000,000 ($270,000), 0, ¥145,000,000 ($1.3 million), Kakegurui (Gaga) Day 04
¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), -53%, ¥680,000,000 ($6.0 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) Day 18
¥x15,000,000 ($135,000), 0, ¥x65,000,000 ($585,000), Lupinranger VS Patranger VS Kyuranger (Toei Video Division) Day 04
¥x15,000,000 ($135,000), -42%, ¥4,915,000,000 ($44.6 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 67
¥x10,000,000 ($x90,000), -43%, ¥3,615,000,000 ($32.7 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 74


Note: Daily Estimates based on Weekend Estimates (actuals won't be out for over a week); margin-of-error is higher than usual.

Edited by raulbalarezo
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Last year's overall total/total after GW multiplier was 1.4346. This year's movie had one extra day so its multiplier will probably be lower but even going with 1.30 puts it over $50m. So unless it really collapses it should manage it. 

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49 vs 50 is irrelevant. Huge jump from IW and really good for Japan which hasn't been strong on CBMs lately.

 

Glad they liked it, beforehand people were saying 35 or a bit more.

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1 minute ago, cdsacken said:

49 vs 50 is irrelevant. Huge jump from IW and really good for Japan which hasn't been strong on CBMs lately.

 

Glad they liked it, beforehand people were saying 35 or a bit more.

What does this mean?

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17 hours ago, Nakamura said:

What does this mean?

It means, doesn't matter if EG passes $50m or not. Because even if it ends up being just below $50m (for example $49m), it's still an amazing result and a huge increase from IW.

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Weekend Actuals (04/27-28)
01 (---) ¥962,000,000 ($8.7 million), 0, ¥1,467,500,000 ($13.3 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) NEW
02 (01) ¥618,000,000 ($8.0 million), -30%, ¥4,700,000,000 ($42.5 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) WK3
03 (02) ¥411,000,000 ($3.7 million), -22%, ¥1,600,000,000 ($14.5million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) WK2
04 (03) Crayon Shin-chan: Hurricane Honeymoon, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) WK2
05 (04) Shazam! (Warner Bros.) WK2
06 (07) Tonde Saitama (Toei) WK10
07 (---) Toei Anime Festival (Toei) NEW
08 (05) Sound! Euphonium The Movie: Oath's Finale (Shochiku) WK2
09 (06) Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) WK9
10 (---) Birthday Wonderland (Warner Bros.) NEW


The top 3 films above are the only three with any numbers revealed so far, so I'm just going to post their numbers and just the weekend rankings of the remaining seven films. I'll then fill in the rest of the numbers when/if they're made available later this week. As a result, the % changes from this past weekend for every other film will be labeled as N/A for the time being. 

Weekend Actuals (05/04-05)
01 (02) ¥587,101,500 ($5.3 million), -05%, ¥7,520,651,500 ($68.6 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) WK4
02 (01) ¥533,000,000 ($4.8 million), -45%, ¥4,086,469,300 ($37.0 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) WK2
03 (---) ¥457,000,000 ($4.1 million), 0, ¥947,984,000 ($8.6 million), Pokemon: Detective Pikachu (Toho) NEW
04 (03) ¥435,562,500 ($3.9 million), +06%, ¥3,527,930,200 ($31.6 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) WK3
05 (04) ¥192,237,700 ($1.7 million), N/A, ¥1,641,596,400 ($14.7 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) WK3
06 (---) ¥x,00,000,000 ($000,000), 0, ¥158,578,700 ($1.4 million), Kakegurui (Gaga) NEW
07 (05) ¥x45,227,000 ($408,000), N/A, ¥638,832,000 ($5.8 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) WK3
08 (06) ¥x34,137,900 ($308,000), N/A, ¥3,644,340,800 ($33.0 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) WK11
09 (---) King of Prism: Shiny Seven Star IV (Aniplex) NEW
10 (09) ¥x27,888,400 ($252,000), N/A, ¥4,945,496,100 ($44.9 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) WK10


Aaaaaand Bohemian Rhapsody is up to ¥12.99 billion ($116.5 million) on 9.39 million admissions after 172 days in release.
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Corpse :

 

Image
(C)Marvel Studios 2019

Weekend Forecast (05/11-12)
01 (02) ¥293,000,000 ($2.7 million), -45%, ¥4,725,000,000 ($42.8 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) WK3
02 (03) ¥270,000,000 ($2.5 million), -41%, ¥1,410,000,000 ($12.9 million), Pokemon: Detective Pikachu (Toho) WK2
03 (01) ¥247,000,000 ($2.3 million), -58%, ¥7,925,000,000 ($72.4 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) WK5
04 (04) ¥209,000,000 ($1.9 million), -52%, ¥3,950,000,000 ($35.4 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) WK4
05 (05) ¥x88,000,000 ($800,000), -54%, ¥1,750,000,000 ($15.7 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) WK4
06 (---) ¥x40,000,000 ($365,000), 0, ¥x55,000,000 ($500,000), Cheer Boys!! (Bandai Visual/Pony Canyon) NEW
07 (06) ¥x30,000,000 ($275,000), -54%, ¥225,000,000 ($2.0 million), Kakegurui (Gaga) WK2
08 (07) ¥x21,000,000 ($190,000), -56%, ¥680,000,000 ($6.2 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) WK4
09 (---) ¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), 0, ¥x25,000,000 ($230,000), I Want To See You (LDH Pictures) NEW
10 (11) ¥x17,000,000 ($155,000), -38%, ¥300,000,000 ($2.7 million), Sound! Euphonium The Movie: Oath's Finale (Shochiku) WK4


The post-Golden Week weekend is one of the worst in terms of drops and debuts, and given this year's GW was super-sized, this weekend will follow that tradition, but on steroids. 

Since Endgame is naturally frontloaded, it'll perhaps, surprisingly, have one of the better holds as a result of not having as far to fall after the holidays. It'll likely return to #1, and pre-sales suggest this as well. Detective Pikachu will also have one of the "better" holds this weekend as well since it was released on the tail-end of Golden Week, therefor it didn't burn as much demand before its opening. Detective Conan, however, was the strongest film over the Golden Week holiday frame, so it's going to suffer one of the biggest drops and will probably fall from #1. 

The bottom half of the Top 10 is a mess. There are a lot of limited and near-limited releases opening this weekend, and since holdovers in the bottom half of the Top 10 last week are going to see huge drops, the #6-10th positions could go to any of around ten or so films.

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10 minutes ago, Minnale101 said:

Is this correct ?

 

 

Yes looks to be.

 

EG and DP were very similar in admissions at usual locations for the weekend. Wasn't sure which would win, looks like Pika edged it.

 

It's actually a really good hold for Pika given it's a post-holiday!

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11 minutes ago, Minnale101 said:

Is this correct ?

 

 

Saw it on a facebook discussion group as well!

Hope it is.

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3 minutes ago, Stewart said:

Yes looks to be.

 

EG and DP were very similar in admissions at usual locations for the weekend. Wasn't sure which would win, looks like Pika edged it.

 

It's actually a really good hold for Pika given it's a post-holiday!

That’s awesome. Glad to hear. Hope the legs keep going 

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May 17th is when Detective pikachu imax release in japan is.

 

so tickets will be more expansive is some areas. Will help maintain the legs 

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Pikachu wins in adm, by 2k

AEG wins in BO, by 2M yen

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7 minutes ago, Olive said:

Pikachu wins in adm, by 2k

AEG wins in BO, by 2M yen

That's more what I thought. At usual locs Pika won by 700 over weekend, so was expecting AEG to win in BO by a tad.

 

Did Pika hit ¥300m this weekend? 

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39 minutes ago, Stewart said:

That's more what I thought. At usual locs Pika won by 700 over weekend, so was expecting AEG to win in BO by a tad.

 

Did Pika hit ¥300m this weekend? 

pika 316m AEG 314

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Posted (edited)

So detective pikachu had a very good hold 

 

The 20th anime Pokémon movie which did 30.4 million in japan 

 

had a 2.3 million 2nd weekend 

 

49% drop from opening weekend 

 

detective pikachu 31% drop from opening weekend 

Edited by Minnale101

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10 minutes ago, Olive said:

pika 316m AEG 314

Wow that's great for both. Down just 31% for Pika is absolutely fantastic. Avengers down 41%, still very good.

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3 hours ago, Minnale101 said:

May 17th is when Detective pikachu imax release in japan is.

 

so tickets will be more expansive is some areas. Will help maintain the legs 

The thing is that End Game is holding on to IMAX screens in most of the world and DP will finally get them this week (2nd weekend in most countries); not sure about other regions but in South East Asia, there is a rush-factor for fans to catch their favourite movies in IMAX in OW, and IMAX opening only on the 2nd weekend is sometimes too late and screenings are pretty much empty.

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