South Korea Box Office

[PKMLover]

The ATP of F2 seems to be lower than Aladdin.... I thought it had a chance at $100M before....

[Legion Again]

23 minutes ago, PKMLover said:

The ATP of F2 seems to be lower than Aladdin.... I thought it had a chance at $100M before....

What if I told you —  

 

Spoiler

that F2 still has a chance at $100M with $7 ATP 😎   
 

That is an optimistic scenario though, for sure. Let’s see how this weekend goes. 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

16 hours ago, Arendelle Legion said:

 

Cume week   drops  wkMulti final admits 

9.33    3.35    55.0%    1.82    12.073
9.33    3.35    50.0%    2.00    12.682
9.33    3.35    47.5%    2.11    13.035
9.33    3.35    45.0%    2.22    13.427
9.33    3.35    42.5%    2.35    13.864
9.33    3.35    40.0%    2.50    14.357
9.33    3.35    37.5%    2.67    14.915
9.33    3.35    35.0%    2.86    15.554   
 

 

 

[Legion Again]

Didn’t realize that in addition to the 3 openers yesterday we had 3 more today. Other than Last Christmas they’re doing negligible business.

 

1		Frozen 2 U.S.	Nov 21, 2019	$1,039,530 ($65,083,105)	161,206 (9,321,989)	1,409	45.13%
2		FORD v FERRARI U.S.	Dec 04, 2019	$343,849 ($794,353)	48,965 (114,468)	920	14.92%
3		A Little Princess South Korea	Dec 04, 2019	$210,638 ($627,173)	34,560 (106,013)	702	9.14%
4		KNIVES OUT U.S.	Dec 04, 2019	$187,571 ($464,981)	28,505 (72,470)	624	8.14%
5		Last Christmas U.S.	Dec 05, 2019	$184,917 ($192,509)	28,173 (29,176)	618	8.02%
6		Bring Me Home South Korea	Nov 27, 2019	$80,334 ($3,865,551)	12,712 (581,254)	512	3.48%
7		BLACK MONEY South Korea	Nov 13, 2019	$82,887 ($16,689,333)	12,564 (2,359,998)	453	3.59%
8		The Truth France	Dec 05, 2019	$28,233 ($39,957)	5,926 (8,001)	109	1.22%
9		The Good Liar U.S.	Dec 05, 2019	$25,873 ($59,967)	4,007 (8,627)	321	1.12%

Still, Eggs of 

FvF 99%!

KO 97%

LC 91%

Little Princess 91%

The Truth 92%

TGL 92%

 

CGV PS of just 37k for Friday, weaker than I wanted to see. Hopefully walkups pop a bit, but for now I’m forecasting about 225k, +40% daily and -47% weekly. That does mean more of the KOBIS PS are in SS again, so eyeing a better drop for Saturday.   
 

 

[danhtruong5]

Just now, Arendelle Legion said:

Didn’t realize that in addition to the 3 openers yesterday we had 3 more today. Other than Last Christmas they’re doing negligible business.

 

1		Frozen 2 U.S.	Nov 21, 2019	$1,039,530 ($65,083,105)	161,206 (9,321,989)	1,409	45.13%
2		FORD v FERRARI U.S.	Dec 04, 2019	$343,849 ($794,353)	48,965 (114,468)	920	14.92%
3		A Little Princess South Korea	Dec 04, 2019	$210,638 ($627,173)	34,560 (106,013)	702	9.14%
4		KNIVES OUT U.S.	Dec 04, 2019	$187,571 ($464,981)	28,505 (72,470)	624	8.14%
5		Last Christmas U.S.	Dec 05, 2019	$184,917 ($192,509)	28,173 (29,176)	618	8.02%
6		Bring Me Home South Korea	Nov 27, 2019	$80,334 ($3,865,551)	12,712 (581,254)	512	3.48%
7		BLACK MONEY South Korea	Nov 13, 2019	$82,887 ($16,689,333)	12,564 (2,359,998)	453	3.59%
8		The Truth France	Dec 05, 2019	$28,233 ($39,957)	5,926 (8,001)	109	1.22%
9		The Good Liar U.S.	Dec 05, 2019	$25,873 ($59,967)	4,007 (8,627)	321	1.12%

Still, Eggs of 

FvF 99%!

KO 97%

LC 91%

Little Princess 91%

The Truth 92%

TGL 92%

 

CGV PS of just 37k for Friday, weaker than I wanted to see. Hopefully walkups pop a bit, but for now I’m forecasting about 225k, +40% daily and -47% weekly. That does mean more of the KOBIS PS are in SS again, so eyeing a better drop for Saturday.   
 

 

-47% weekly

[Legion Again]

7 minutes ago, danhtruong5 said:

-47% weekly

Last weekend was pretty huge. -50% is a good conservative target for this one as things stabilize, but atm I think we can hit more like a low 40s drop 🤞

[danhtruong5]

Just now, Arendelle Legion said:

Last weekend was pretty huge. -50% is a good conservative target for this one as things stabilize, but atm I think we can hit more like a low 40s drop 🤞

If this weekend it drops around 45% or more, then bad sigh for 13M 

[LPLC]

8 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:

 

Frozen 2 could really reach 14 millions admissions ? how much admissions and dollar by Sunday can it reach ?

[Legion Again]

13M has a pretty good chance still imo. 14 not. In 46 hours we have Sat admits and Sun PS, everything will be more clear. Patience.

Edited December 5, 2019 by Arendelle Legion

[RealLyre]

 

 

 

 

[Legion Again]

Walkups slightly beat that conservative estimate:

1		Frozen 2 U.S.	Nov 21, 2019	$1,645,041 ($66,824,353)	235,497 (9,557,861)	1,522	50.71%
2		FORD v FERRARI U.S.	Dec 04, 2019	$514,123 ($1,317,839)	66,934 (182,570)	934	15.84%
3		A Little Princess South Korea	Dec 04, 2019	$256,829 ($889,978)	38,843 (145,578)	694	7.91%
4		KNIVES OUT U.S.	Dec 04, 2019	$252,859 ($721,932)	35,634 (108,622)	668	7.79%
5		Last Christmas U.S.	Dec 05, 2019	$217,647 ($413,729)	31,224 (60,883)	615	6.7%
6		BLACK MONEY South Korea	Nov 13, 2019	$118,924 ($16,830,833)	17,165 (2,377,382)	465	3.66%
7		Bring Me Home South Korea	Nov 27, 2019	$84,623 ($3,956,348)	12,707 (594,147)	530	2.6%

 

And F2 is back over 50% rev share. Should climb higher on Sat. Assuming it settles around 237k, this is a 45% weekly drop (and one of the  biggest 3rd Friday’s ever, let’s remember).  
 

Sat PS are 138k. Same old song and dance by this point, but that is HUGE. Going to call for 680k admits (-42% weekly). When I try to extrapolate from KOBIS PS patterns the Sun I get doesn’t make any sense, so I’ll just wait for tomorrow before saying anything about it. 

[danhtruong5]

5 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Walkups slightly beat that conservative estimate:

1		Frozen 2 U.S.	Nov 21, 2019	$1,645,041 ($66,824,353)	235,497 (9,557,861)	1,522	50.71%
2		FORD v FERRARI U.S.	Dec 04, 2019	$514,123 ($1,317,839)	66,934 (182,570)	934	15.84%
3		A Little Princess South Korea	Dec 04, 2019	$256,829 ($889,978)	38,843 (145,578)	694	7.91%
4		KNIVES OUT U.S.	Dec 04, 2019	$252,859 ($721,932)	35,634 (108,622)	668	7.79%
5		Last Christmas U.S.	Dec 05, 2019	$217,647 ($413,729)	31,224 (60,883)	615	6.7%
6		BLACK MONEY South Korea	Nov 13, 2019	$118,924 ($16,830,833)	17,165 (2,377,382)	465	3.66%
7		Bring Me Home South Korea	Nov 27, 2019	$84,623 ($3,956,348)	12,707 (594,147)	530	2.6%

 

And F2 is back over 50% rev share. Should climb higher on Sat. Assuming it settles around 237k, this is a 45% weekly drop (and one of the  biggest 3rd Friday’s ever, let’s remember).  
 

Sat PS are 138k. Same old song and dance by this point, but that is HUGE. Going to call for 680k admits (-42% weekly). When I try to extrapolate from KOBIS PS patterns the Sun I get doesn’t make any sense, so I’ll just wait for tomorrow before saying anything about it. 

Any chance for 700k or a little more?

[Legion Again]

2 minutes ago, danhtruong5 said:

Any chance for 700k or a little more?

I mean sure, this is by far the least PS driven Saturday we’ll have yet. Maybe a lot of people show up tomorrow who haven’t bought a ticket yet. Maybe a bit less than I’m expecting. If you prefer a range call it maybe 650-720k

[StarWarsMemer]

Admissions per capita is very high in SK. I wonder what the biggest movie of any country in the 21st Century has the highest admissions per capita. Probably Endgame in HK or Extreme Job.

[charlie Jatinder]

36 minutes ago, StarWarsMemer said:

Probably Endgame in HK or Extreme Job.

The Admiral: Roaring Current in South Korea.

 

There are few Indian states that will have close to that for some films.

[Legion Again]

I think TFA Iceland may be really high admits per capita. Don’t have statistics to check for sure though, not an admit report country as far as I can tell.
 

Edit: Thought we were talking decade, not century. Maybe Avatar Iceland.

Edited December 6, 2019 by Arendelle Legion

[misafeco]

1 hour ago, StarWarsMemer said:

Admissions per capita is very high in SK. I wonder what the biggest movie of any country in the 21st Century has the highest admissions per capita. Probably Endgame in HK or Extreme Job.

I bet on Passion of the Christ in Vatican. 

[edroger3]

42 minutes ago, misafeco said:

I bet on Passion of the Christ in Vatican. 

I bet on lower "admissions per capita" there for The Da Vinci Code ...... 

Edited December 6, 2019 by edroger3

[danhtruong5]

@Arendelle Legion how is Sat doing so far? Still in line with predection?

[Legion Again]

6 minutes ago, danhtruong5 said:

@Arendelle Legion how is Sat doing so far? Still in line with predection?

Was just  about to update. Thing will be at 650k end of the range I gave. 650-660 unless night pace or CGV ratio do something weird. Thinking FSS all about 45% weekly drop, for a 1.4M or so 3rd weekend. Hoping next week can be kind of soft, but we’ll see.

Edited December 7, 2019 by Arendelle Legion