lor15 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Frozen 2 U.S. Nov 21, 2019 $763,984 ($78,374,125) 116,561 (11,181,631) 1,302 34.58% 2 Jumanji : The Next Level U.S. Dec 11, 2019 $588,055 ($1,319,687) 89,786 (199,914) 1,190 26.61% 3 FORD v FERRARI U.S. Dec 04, 2019 $251,034 ($4,664,982) 36,811 (634,075) 739 11.36% 4 A Little Princess South Korea Dec 04, 2019 $111,443 ($2,311,434) 18,574 (359,592) 558 5.04% 5 KNIVES OUT U.S. Dec 04, 2019 $123,027 ($2,251,342) 18,137 (324,926) 519 5.56% 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danhtruong5 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Kobis.org 117.456 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 (edited) Already up to 117604 on Korean source. Should have just stuck to PS projection for an error of like 300 people 😛 Anyway that’s a better daily drop than all top movies with an egg below 99. -27% weekly. Fri CGV PS exactly where I had estimated yesterday with 25k. Going to forecast 170k. If that happens, Avatar is toast and we’ve got a realistic shot at 1M weekend, but keep in mind that a 900k 4th weekend is also extremely good in this market and extremely good for HW large openers in this market. Like, eeeeeeeeeasily a record for HW large opener. Edited December 12, 2019 by Arendelle Legion 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said: Already up to 117604 on Korean source. Should have just stuck to PS projection for an error of like 300 people 😛 Anyway that’s a better daily drop than all top movies with an egg below 99. -27% weekly. Fri CGV PS exactly where I had estimated yesterday with 25k. Going to forecast 170k. If that happens, Avatar is toast and we’ve got a realistic shot at 1M weekend, but keep in mind that a 900k 4th weekend is also extremely good in this market and extremely good for HW large openers in this market. Like, eeeeeeeeeasily a record for HW large opener. So with a 900k 4th week end, frozen 2 could surpass 14 millions admissions ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, LPLC said: So with a 900k 4th week end, frozen 2 could surpass 14 millions admissions ? Probably not. With a 1M weekend, I’d say a realistic chance. Either way we’ve gotta see effect of competition+holidays, which could be a bit unpredictable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danhtruong5 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Just now, Arendelle Legion said: Probably not. With a 1M weekend, I’d say a realistic chance. Either way we’ve gotta see effect of competition+holidays, which could be a bit unpredictable. Can the upcoming holiday help the legs? Soft drop? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 (edited) 4 minutes ago, danhtruong5 said: Can the upcoming holiday help the legs? Soft drop? Holidays help. Competition hurt. Net effect TBD. On the subject of competition, START-UP has 417 CGV PS, which I think is identical to yesterday. So thinking will be a 4K day of limited screening, and all are presold already. Then real KOBIS is 27k or less on D-05, not looking too formidable anymore. Ashfall D-06 25k also not seeming a behemoth. However, I haven’t followed local PS much before, patterns may be different, and could always explode with WOM. Edited December 12, 2019 by Arendelle Legion 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Midday walk ups have been awesome. Might try for 185k+, about a 20% weekly drop. Also today it’s passed IW to be #4 HW for the moment. 5 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Frozen 2 U.S. Nov 21, 2019 $1,264,929 ($80,783,887) 178,064 (11,360,834) 1,323 39.96% 2 Jumanji : The Next Level U.S. Dec 11, 2019 $812,749 ($2,163,779) 113,197 (314,851) 1,182 25.68% 3 FORD v FERRARI U.S. Dec 04, 2019 $370,707 ($5,108,689) 48,596 (683,407) 779 11.71% 4 KNIVES OUT U.S. Dec 04, 2019 $185,352 ($2,471,815) 24,899 (350,176) 519 5.85% 5 A Little Princess South Korea Dec 04, 2019 $124,057 ($2,470,580) 18,682 (378,519) 578 3.91% Halway between morning and midday projections. Has happened a few time, should probably try to incorporate that in the future. Anyway this is a great 4th a Friday, but at 75k the Sat CGV PS are lower than I was hoping/expecting. Don’t feel comfortable giving a number til midday in this case. 7 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 You are doing great work @Arendelle Legion 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PKMLover Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 2 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said: Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Frozen 2 U.S. Nov 21, 2019 $1,264,929 ($80,783,887) 178,064 (11,360,834) 1,323 39.96% 2 Jumanji : The Next Level U.S. Dec 11, 2019 $812,749 ($2,163,779) 113,197 (314,851) 1,182 25.68% 3 FORD v FERRARI U.S. Dec 04, 2019 $370,707 ($5,108,689) 48,596 (683,407) 779 11.71% 4 KNIVES OUT U.S. Dec 04, 2019 $185,352 ($2,471,815) 24,899 (350,176) 519 5.85% 5 A Little Princess South Korea Dec 04, 2019 $124,057 ($2,470,580) 18,682 (378,519) 578 3.91% Halway between morning and midday projections. Has happened a few time, should probably try to incorporate that in the future. Anyway this is a great 4th a Friday, but at 75k the Sat CGV PS are lower than I was hoping/expecting. Don’t feel comfortable giving a number til midday in this case. I feel worried... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 10 minutes ago, PKMLover said: I feel worried... Why am I not surprised... 1 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 1 minute ago, Arendelle Legion said: Why am I not surprised... yeah i am shocked Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Eh, you know what, let’s set some expectations. From daily CGV patterns I am seeing 370-415 (-40% to -32% weekly). The upper end of that range is still a pretty great hold, and the low end isn’t even atrocious. Just not as good as WThF. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 41 minutes ago, PKMLover said: I feel worried... With the hold this weekend, we're looking at 13M+ already for admissions and with holidays coming up, AEG is not safe. What more can you really ask for Frozen 2, absolutely fantastic performance. 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steven Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 9 hours ago, druv10 said: With the hold this weekend, we're looking at 13M+ already for admissions and with holidays coming up, AEG is not safe. What more can you really ask for Frozen 2, absolutely fantastic performance. of course Avatar is not safe,but AEG??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 10 hours ago, druv10 said: With the hold this weekend, we're looking at 13M+ already for admissions and with holidays coming up, AEG is not safe. What more can you really ask for Frozen 2, absolutely fantastic performance. PKM is always worried though 🤣 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 59 minutes ago, Steven said: of course Avatar is not safe,but AEG??? Yeah, AEG is not safe. This range 11 hours ago, Arendelle Legion said: From daily CGV patterns I am seeing 370-415 turned out to be great, as today’s currently looking low 390s or so. That will give weekend around 930k. Mon-Sun week 0 — 4.436M Mon-Sun week 1 — 4.146M (about 300k culture day inflated) Mon-Sun week 2 — 2.115M (-45% from culture day adjusted week 1) Mom-Sun week 3 — est 1.42M (-33%) For EG need 1.82M, is a 2.28x weekly multi, requires 43.8% avg weekly drops. Holidays are coming, and neither Start-up nor Ashfall are doing particularly huge presales. So it’s very easy to see how F2 would get to 14M+, though of course not guaranteed yet. 5 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 4 hours ago, Steven said: of course Avatar is not safe,but AEG??? Avatar number got challenged three time in a year....after remain untouched for 9 years. (for hollywood production) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steven Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 5 hours ago, titanic2187 said: Avatar number got challenged three time in a year....after remain untouched for 9 years. (for hollywood production) Yeah,I kow,Avatar is really succeed in South Korea and worldwide maybe Avatar is the last HLW movie to creat south korea record Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
