China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[a2k]

36 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

I'm amazed at how often under performers with a bad rating hold better on tues and wed than highly rated $100m+ movies

 

Sky fire will take 26% of shows tomorrow with 10m PS

J2 will lose 20% of its shows

Yeah. To that point I don't remember more examples but Cap Marvel's weekdays were rather trashy and then the 2nd weekend surprised big.

[LPLC]

How much can we expect for SW9 opening weekend and lifetime run in China ?

[PKMLover]

 

 

[Mau]

1 hour ago, PKMLover said:

 

 

How much could it leg? 

[TigerPaw]

Heard that the Maoyan score of Sheep without Shepherd is fake? 
 

Also Skyfire playing with some underhanded methods of getting box office.

[a2k]

JUM3 Friday looking like 8.5 (-19%), heading for 32 2nd weekend (-81.5%) / 260 cume

 

Weekday	Date	Gross	% Hold	Cume	Milestone
Fri	6 Dec 19	61.1		61.1
Sat	7 Dec 19	65.3	6.9	126.4
Sun	8 Dec 19	46.5	-28.8	172.9	weekend1
Mon	9 Dec 19	17.0	-63.4	189.9
Tue	10 Dec 19	14.5	-14.6	204.4
Wed	11 Dec 19	13.1	-9.8	217.5
Thu	12 Dec 19	10.5	-19.8	228.0	week1
Fri	13 Dec 19	8.5	-19.0	236.5
Sat	14 Dec 19	13.3	56.5	249.8
Sun	15 Dec 19	10.2	-23.3	260.0	weekend2

Edited December 13, 2019 by a2k

[Legion Again]

For a 7.6 with a decent amount of opening business today, that’s pretty good.   
 

Downton 9.3 is funny, but probably not getting reviewed by many people who aren’t fans of the show. Gone with the Light 8.5 is meh, Skyfire 8.0 yikes.

 

F2 was 9th on Friday, let’s see how I t can do on the two days of the week that matter for it 😛 

[POTUS 2020]

6 hours ago, danhtruong5 said:

Saturday presale:

Frozen 2 is ahead of Jumanji 3 so far and seems to only behind the 3 new releases

Its going to 5 fold friday again

4 hours ago, Arendelle Legion said:

 

F2 was 9th on Friday, let’s see how I t can do on the two days of the week that matter for it 😛 

Friday was down 50% WoW. Im thinking 16m Sat, 15m Sun

Sat shows down just 25% WoW at 30k

16 hours ago, Mau said:

How much could it leg? 

If it holds close to 50% next weekend as I expect, it will land at 800m on Sun the 22nd which was the end of the run with 7.5m on Sun.  With ext, and if there is no direct local competition, and with an Xmas and NY's bump it could get to 850m/$121m

$118-123m is the likely range for those tracking OS and WW

Edited December 13, 2019 by POTUS 2020

[charlie Jatinder]

I am not looking deep in China from last few days but just looking at 12:00 CST numbers, F2 shall be ¥20mn. Now these Saturday jumps are getting ridiculous. 

 

Ofcourse, correct me if I am wrong 

[PKMLover]

8 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

I am not looking deep in China from last few days but just looking at 12:00 CST numbers, F2 shall be ¥20mn. Now these Saturday jumps are getting ridiculous. 

 

Ofcourse, correct me if I am wrong 

So, Frozen 2 got 8.9 on maoyan but so far its jump on Saturday:

Week 1: +130%

Week 2: +216%

Week 3: +435%

Week 4: +580% (est)

 

Edited December 14, 2019 by PKMLover

[Legion Again]

TBF you could equally view it not so much as being outrageously strong on Saturdays as outrageously dead on Mon-Fri, imo.    
 

Saturday may be near 200% of Mon+Tues+Wed+Thu, WTF is that? I mean it plays Sat heavy in SK and DOM too but the Sat is like 80-120% of Mon-Th

Edited December 14, 2019 by Arendelle Legion

[charlie Jatinder]

9 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

TBF you could equally view it not so much as being outrageously strong on Saturdays as outrageously dead on Mon-Fri, imo

exactly.

[cdsacken]

Let it go guys. You can't hold it back anymore

[A Marvel Fanboy]

6 hours ago, Arendelle Legion said:

TBF you could equally view it not so much as being outrageously strong on Saturdays as outrageously dead on Mon-Fri, imo.    
 

Saturday may be near 200% of Mon+Tues+Wed+Thu, WTF is that? I mean it plays Sat heavy in SK and DOM too but the Sat is like 80-120% of Mon-Th

The definition of "kids flick"

[edroger3]

7 hours ago, Arendelle Legion said:

TBF you could equally view it not so much as being outrageously strong on Saturdays as outrageously dead on Mon-Fri, imo.    
 

Saturday may be near 200% of Mon+Tues+Wed+Thu, WTF is that? I mean it plays Sat heavy in SK and DOM too but the Sat is like 80-120% of Mon-Th

 

16 minutes ago, A Marvel Fanboy said:

The definition of "kids flick"

Does China have Holidays or school-out in next weeks?

[POTUS 2020]

7 hours ago, Arendelle Legion said:

TBF you could equally view it not so much as being outrageously strong on Saturdays as outrageously dead on Mon-Fri, imo.    
 

Saturday may be near 200% of Mon+Tues+Wed+Thu, WTF is that? I mean it plays Sat heavy in SK and DOM too but the Sat is like 80-120% of Mon-Th

 

7 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:

I am not looking deep in China from last few days but just looking at 12:00 CST numbers, F2 shall be ¥20mn. Now these Saturday jumps are getting ridiculous. 

 

Ofcourse, correct me if I am wrong 

We saw F1 in Japan have steady drops midweek while it held flat on the weekends during week 5 through 10.

If evening rate doesn't die stall, it will reach 20-21m today -33% WoW.  Most importantly it has the second highest PTA behind Sky Fire.  With SW9 opening on Wed and both Ip$ and SW Sat PS weak, its likely that F2 will hold 75% of its show next week also. $125m+ possible with todays performance

 

J2 was down 84% WoW on Fri, Will be down -73% today.  About -76% for the weekend. It will lose 90%+ shows next weekend and make very little.  290m/$41m total incoming. 1.69x OW.

Sequels are not only not automatically rising with the market growth, but are often getting slammed.  Add J2 to the list.  The growth can be explosive if it resonates as F2 has with the base building over 6 years and increasing 150%.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

15 minutes ago, edroger3 said:

 

Does China have Holidays or school-out in next weeks?

no. New Years Day will be school-out for 1 day.

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, edroger3 said:

 

Does China have Holidays or school-out in next weeks?

 

49 minutes ago, A Marvel Fanboy said:

no. New Years Day will be school-out for 1 day.

School not out for Xmas eve and Day but BO does double. School was out 2 days last year, 31st/1st but saturday was a workday.  See AQM dailies below NYE(mon) and NYD(tues) were 4x+ Wed.  Coco had a similar trend

 

Fri	33.4	10.2%	-61.4%	1481	215.0
Sat	70.2	110.2%	-57.3%	1551	225.2
Sun	58	-17.4%	-53.2%	1609	233.6
Xeve	36.1	-37.8%	-12.8%	1645	238.8
Xday	35.7	-1.1%	-2.5%	1681	244.0
Wed	19.5	-45.4%	-41.1%	1701	246.8
Thu	17.5	-10.3%	-42.2%	1718	249.4
Fri	16.7	-4.6%	-50.0%	1735	251.8
Sat	18.75	12.3%	-73.3%	1754	254.5
Sun	43.4	131.5%	-25.2%	1797	260.8
NYE	53.2	22.6%	47.4%	1850	268.5
NYD	50.9	-4.3%	42.6%	1901	275.9
Wed	11.5	-77.4%	-41.0%	1913	277.6
Thu	9.7	-15.7%	-44.6%	1922	279.0

[a2k]

$120-130 for F2 in China is an amazing result. Ahead of so many CBMs. I think KOTM was ~$135. I wonder if Ne Zha has boosted the animation genre as a whole.

[KP1025]

13 minutes ago, a2k said:

$120-130 for F2 in China is an amazing result. Ahead of so many CBMs. I think KOTM was ~$135. I wonder if Ne Zha has boosted the animation genre as a whole.

 

I certainly wouldn't have predicted Frozen 2 over Lion King or Detective Pikachu at the beginning of the year. However, Frozen 2 is likely just a special exception due to the influence of the brand. In the future, I think we'll still be seeing most Hollywood animation struggle to get even $50 million in China.