redfirebird2008 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 so lowest is BOG with 60 and change and highest is BTC with 70. In th emiddle is BO.com with 66-68. good range. Better then the ones Nikke comes up with. I think we can throw out the BOG one. I think 65 is the floor and 75 is the ceiling, with the most reasonable landing spot being 70. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilmBuff Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Hoping for 75 mil! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poseidon Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 The multiplier prediction for me is currently 2.57x. For the weekend. Meaning... $75M opening day = $193 million OW. $70M opening day = $180 million OW. $65M opening day = $167 million OW. $60M opening day = $154 million OW. $55M opening day = $141 million OW. $50M opening day = $128 million OW. Not very likely at all those numbers. Taking that 50m OD, that would be a 34,4m friday w/o previews and it would need to increase to at least 45m on saturday to match that 128m OW. That's not going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pensivepenguin Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 If BTC is AMC, and MTC is Regal, where does RS draw their numbers from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Ahh, that makes sense. Took them long enough. Have you ever checked out megaplextheater.com. These are for theaters in Salt Lake City area. You can actually click on showtimes and see how many seats are filled. They have added quite a few theaters in the chain since the last time I checked. http://www.megaplextheatres.com/IRONMAN3?date=05%2f02%2f2013#&&date=05%2f03%2f2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackO Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 I think we can throw out the BOG one. I think 65 is the floor and 75 is the ceiling, with the most reasonable landing spot being 70. Don't see how you can throw anything out at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 If BTC is AMC, and MTC is Regal, where does RS draw their numbers from? From the Family Guy dolphin writers. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 If BTC is AMC, and MTC is Regal, where does RS draw their numbers from? RS isn't a theater chain, they're an independent tracking company. I think??? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Do those numbers include Canada? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Do those numbers include Canada? The 12.35M? I assume so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jay Beezy Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Deadline Update: 63M-71M Friday, 174M Weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Do those numbers include Canada? Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewy Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 From the Family Guy dolphin writers. Manatee 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mattrek Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Also I would like to caution everyone on what happens for almost every blockbuster. Expectations are tempered trying to be reasonable and smart before the film opens with a few members reaching for the sky. Midnight numbers (previews also) come out and people start getting excited. As the day progresses more people talk about sellouts and box office sites start to report big numbers. The excitement builds as the OW predictions climb higher and higher. Then they reach a point of insanity where the movie has no chance to hit expectations and the opening day gross is viewed as a disappointment. The board then goes extremely negative dropping expectations by 10-20m+ and people start to think the movie is a bomb and that WOM isn't really that good. So now we have the movie at an insanely low benchmark to pass. Saturday rolls around and reports start coming in on how full matinees are and people start to raise their predictions as box office sources report a bigger Saturday then expected. Expectations then rise slowly as people want to be cautious, because of the highs and lows that occurred before and the movie winds up about where most people had it before OW and most members are satisfied with the opening weekend number. So let's just say right now it'll open to 165-175m DOM and save ourselves the trouble? Haha like that'll happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewy Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Deadline Update: 63M-71M Friday, 174M Weekend Quite the range there, Nikki Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Biggestgeekever Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Deadline Update: 63M-71M Friday, 174M Weekend I actually thought you were joking when you posted that range, but sure enough... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pensivepenguin Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Nikki: My sources say today’s Disney/Marvel Iron Man 3 North American grosses are looking very good but not record breaking. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ddddeeee Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 You see it yet Chewy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Quite the range there, Nikki The funny thing is she didn't even post a range for the weekend. If you're going to have a $8m range on a single day, then you would need a $20m range for the weekend. LOL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewy Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 You see it yet Chewy? Ya last night. Really liked it, up there with the first one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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