Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it

[Mr Roark]

4 hours ago, Andreas said:

Before its release, I had predicted $600M DOM, $400M China, $1B OS-China, for a total of $2B WW.

Even though I've overestimated China and underestimated OS-China, I think that ATWOW's WW total will be almost or around that mark.

 

Percentage-wise, I'd say the movie is:

- 95% likely to surpass The Lion King

- 90% likely to surpass Jurassic World

- 50% likely to surpass Spider-Man: No Way Home

- 30% likely to surpass Avengers: Infinity War

- 25% likely to surpass Star Wars: The Force Awakens

- <5% likely to surpass Titanic

 

A2 will hit $1.5B 3/4 days faster than NWH… and it’s not as frontloaded as Spidey.

Just saying.

Edited December 30, 2022 by Mr Roark

[interiorgatordecorator]

it might take some limping, but it seems like avatar 2 should be able to hit my success barometer, a ww-c gross above NWH, not a lock yet, but I like what im seeing

 

We even have in titanic, a pretty excellent target for an overperformance

 

kinda disappointed my 3 billion predictions(aka dreams) probably wont come true, but I cant be mad at a run like this and its not like it would have been that far away with a full strength china 

 

 

Edited December 30, 2022 by interiorgatordecorator

[XXR & Friends]

1 minute ago, interiorgatordecorator said:

it might take some limping, but it seems like avatar 2 should be able to hit my success barometer, a ww-c gross above NWH

 

Gotta remove R from NWH to make it even.

[interiorgatordecorator]

 

1 minute ago, XXR Eywa Has Heard You! said:

 

Gotta remove R from NWH to make it even.

 

the redditors I get in fights with wont care about "even", I want it to be easy for them to understand that "even without china, Avatar 2 beat NWH"

[XXR & Friends]

1 minute ago, interiorgatordecorator said:

 

 

the redditors I get in fights with wont care about "even", I want it to be easy for them to understand that "even without china, Avatar 2 beat NWH"

 

Might be tough. You're gonna need about $600M DOM for that to happen. 

[JustLurking]

Getting in fights with redditors over which film was bigger sounds like a terrible use of your time

Edited December 30, 2022 by JustLurking

[interiorgatordecorator]

9 minutes ago, JustLurking said:

Getting in fights with redditors over which film was bigger sounds like a terrible use of your time

 

it is, but sometimes you just gotta answer

 

Edited December 30, 2022 by interiorgatordecorator

[Sheldon Cr]

27 minutes ago, XXR Eywa Has Heard You! said:

 

Might be tough. You're gonna need about $600M DOM for that to happen. 

How about 700M+ :). Because I feel its going way past 600M Brother XX. That A2 under 573 club your feet be falling  in and out of is done like my Turkey Dinner tonight --Hee hee

 

" I SEE YOU XXR!" 

 

LOL. To 730-750M  Domestic and beyond! LETS GO Pandorians!!

Edited December 30, 2022 by Sheldon Cr
Just updating

[Sheldon Cr]

9 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said:

 

it is, but sometimes you just gotta answer

 

Had me steamed in some of those and on youtube saying it will be lucky to beat Black Adam and BP2 lol

Yes indeed sometimes you feel compelled to answer. Wish I saved those comments  and posts on Reddit😅

[Sheldon Cr]

37 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said:

it might take some limping, but it seems like avatar 2 should be able to hit my success barometer, a ww-c gross above NWH, not a lock yet, but I like what im seeing

 

We even have in titanic, a pretty excellent target for an overperformance

 

kinda disappointed my 3 billion predictions(aka dreams) probably wont come true, but I cant be mad at a run like this and its not like it would have been that far away with a full strength china 

 

 

Definitely possible. Some folks think it can reach 1.9-2Billon without China. Thats just mind boggling!!

 

We would have had a shot a 4B or more if China was at full strength. Many felt Avatar 2 would make between 850-1B+ in China alone my brother. So we are not alone in 3B + to 4B with real reasons why it could have happened.

[Nero]

8 hours ago, Bruce said:

beating NWH is also 80%,it's will beating it at same time when 3rd weekend. over

You think A2 will gross more than 1.9B after 3rd weekend?

[Gavin Feng]

10 minutes ago, Nero said:

You think A2 will gross more than 1.9B after 3rd weekend?

 

$1.37B for NWH after three weekend.

[Sophia Jane]

3 hours ago, Nero said:

You think A2 will gross more than 1.9B after 3rd weekend?

NWH gross 1368m after 3rd weekend,Avatar will do 1400m+

[Mr Roark]

3 hours ago, Gavin Feng said:

 

$1.37B for NWH after three weekend.

And $1.53B after the fourth, so it took 26 days.

[Juby]

13 hours ago, Andreas said:

Before its release, I had predicted $600M DOM, $400M China, $1B OS-China, for a total of $2B WW.

Even though I've overestimated China and underestimated OS-China, I think that ATWOW's WW total will be almost or around that mark.

 

Percentage-wise, I'd say the movie is:

- 100% locked to surpass The Lion King

- 100% locked to surpass Jurassic World

- 99% likely to surpass Spider-Man: No Way Home

- 75% likely to surpass Avengers: Infinity War

- 70% likely to surpass Star Wars: The Force Awakens

- 50% likely to surpass Titanic

 

 

Fixed. You're welcome.

[The GOAT]

[Deuce66]

Looking good Avatar, looking real good.......

 

 

Box office results to-date. Currently in 2nd place for 2022 and 23rd All-Time. 

Avatar - The Way of Water

Week #1 Dec 16-22
Domestic: $197.68 million - 30%
International: $463.9 million - 70%
Total: $661.4 million

Week #2 Dec 23-29
Domestic: $160 million - 31.6%
International: $347 million - 69.4%
Total: $507 million - Drop of 23.3% over prior week

Totals: $358 million Domestic - $811 International = $1.169 Billion

[Torontofan]

Nice to see a non superhero film do well for once. 

 

I say this as a superher fan.

Edited December 30, 2022 by Torontofan

[OncomingStorm93]

I never doubted WoW would have those Margot Robbie Barbie legs. I am surprised at others’ surprise though.

[Mr Roark]

A lot of people keep underestimating Cameron.

They will never learn…