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Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it

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10 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

Not Cameron and Landau taking 300M in participations lol, and even with that Disney still gets 531M

 

+800M of profit, insane 

 

I even think they´re underestimating those home entertaining, the movie is doing insanely well on PVOD and i bet it will be big when they drop the 4K Blu-Rays. But since the run on home entertaining just started, it´s normal that they throw a lower prediction.

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$300m participation for Cameron and Landau! Dammmmmn!

 

Bigger than even TGM $280m participation which was split between Cruise, Kosinski, McQuarrie, and Bruckheimer.

 

But look at those Avatar profits! Crazy!

Edited by Mojoguy
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23 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

#1 as expected. That production cost looks crazy, but I wonder it includes the cost of filming Avatar 3 in conjunction?

My understanding was that a lot of it is, but I have no how it's being amortized over the sequels. Seems pretty safe to say Avatar 3's budget will be reported as massive as well.

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1 hour ago, GOGODanca said:

Home Entertainment seems low

I don't get how Home Entertainment be so low when home video costs are pinned at 100M. You're supposed to see 1/3 of home video go to home video costs not 2/3rds (and even that is by industry consensus as exaggeration of physical media costs. home entertainment also includes some digital transactions). 

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So let's see what the actual breakeven point was according to Deadline:

 

(1) let's pretend participations are a flat 18.5% of first dollar gross (300/total revenue) - I might use 20% for ease of math.

(2) theatrical = 80% of overall revenue (subtracting video costs from video revenue for ease of math).

 

 [Revenue] = [Rentals] * 5/4

[Costs] = 687 + .185* [revenue]

Revenue = costs at 674M in theatrical rentals / 843M in overall revenue.

Given that Deadline thinks Disney took in 54/55% of box office revenue, that translates to an estimated 1.231B breakeven point

Edited by PlatnumRoyce
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3 hours ago, kayumanggi said:

 

Thanks to JC himself who misled the whole situation, many people really believe the movie needs $2bn to break even. That talk of $2bn break even point even cast some shadow to movie's buzz after OW underperformance. 

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4 hours ago, Mojoguy said:

$300m participation for Cameron and Landau! Dammmmmn!

 

Bigger than even TGM $280m participation which was split between Cruise, Kosinski, McQuarrie, and Bruckheimer.

 

But look at those Avatar profits! Crazy!

 

Cameron received already 240 M for Avatar 1, so it´s not so much if he had to split with Landau, unless, 95 % is for him ;)

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