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Weekend Numbers (4 day estimates pg 35)

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I'm not writing this out of any kind of perverse pleasure at Sin City 2's failure, but SC2 has the third fourth fifth worst drop from a 3-day OW to a Labor Day 4-day (behind Halloween II and the Last Exorcism). EDIT: And The Rocker, when checking BOM I missed that one because it was down at #22. EDIT 2: Shit, I forgot Marci X too, also because it was so low on the chart - that one's actually the worst drop, though unlike the others it was only in 1,200 theaters.H2 dropped 58% on the Labor Day 4-day from a $16.3m OW. TLE dropped 57% over the 4-day from a $20.3m OW. SC2 will drop 55%...from an opening of $6.3 million. And out of the three, SC2 will have the weakest Mon-Mon increase. I'm not trying to kick an injured dog or anything, but...wow.If the stars had actually aligned for SC2 to come out in 2007-08, after 300 but before The Spirit, I'm sure it would have done well.

Edited by TServo2049
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Great for Guardians! TMNT is doing really well too. Just a random though, and this may sound revisionist to some, but I kinda feel like GoTG had the most chance to break out, out of all the superhero movies this year, although our predictions were kept very conservative. The "new/fresh" factor along with its lack of week-after-week competition seems to have helped it a bunch, compared to the other movies which are part of older franchises. I'm glad it broke out, the next movie will do even better! :)

About the revisionist thing I agree. Before the movie opened many of us were hopeful but we had some doubts and were cautious with estimates: Unknown characters, "weak" end of summer release date, weird vibe. Looking back in retrospect at GoTG elements it all seems like a no-brainer: It's got Disney marketing, Marvel branding and it combines the two most reliable genres in movies today: Live action Superheroes to attract teens/YA & animation/animated characters to attract families. :wub:Revisionist view: How did we ever doubt this thing? :D
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TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count /Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week #
1 1 Guardians of the Galaxy BV $22,178,000 +28.9% 3,462 +91 $6,406 $280,475,000 $170 5
2 2 Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Par. $15,700,000 -6.1% 3,543 -321 $4,431 $166,356,000 $125 4
3 3 If I Stay WB $11,600,000 -26.0% 3,003 +96 $3,863 $32,162,000 $11 2
4 4 Let's Be Cops Fox $10,550,000 -2.4% 3,010 -130 $3,505 $59,672,000 $17 3
5 N As Above/So Below Uni. $10,322,000 - 2,640 - $3,910 $10,322,000 - 1
6 N The November Man Rela. $10,200,000 - 2,776 - $3,674 $11,900,000 - 1
7 5 When the Game Stands Tall TriS $8,000,000 -4.6% 2,673 - $2,993 $18,670,000 $15 2
8 7 The Giver Wein. $6,867,000 +6.7% 2,805 -198 $2,448 $33,140,000 $25 3
9 9 The Hundred-Foot Journey BV $6,328,000 +18.5% 1,918 -26 $3,299 $41,123,000 $22 4
10 6 The Expendables 3 LGF $4,550,000 -29.8% 2,564 -657 $1,775 $34,189,000 - 3
11 11 Lucy Uni. $3,491,000 +0.8% 1,293 -475 $2,700 $118,570,000 $40 6
12 N Cantinflas LGF $3,225,000 - 382 - $8,442 $3,325,000 - 1
13 10 Into The Storm WB $3,215,000 -15.5% 1,603 -772 $2,006 $42,658,000 $50 4
14 8 Frank Miller's Sin City: A Dame to Kill For W/Dim. $2,840,000 -55.0% 2,894 - $981 $11,432,000 - 2
15 N Ghostbusters (30th Anniversary re-release) Sony $2,200,000 - 784 - $2,806 $2,200,000 - 1
16 12 Boyhood IFC $2,042,000 +22.8% 640 -94 $3,191 $19,062,000 $4 8
- 13 Magic in the Moonlight SPC $1,101,000 -9.1% 438 -349 $2,514 $8,291,000 - 6
- 14 Dawn of the Planet of the Apes Fox $1,100,000 +2.2% 468 -265 $2,350 $205,520,000 $170 8
- 46 Begin Again Wein. $1,087,000 +2,942.5% 335 +296 $3,245 $15,628,000 - 10
- 34 Chef ORF $972,000 +587.1% 757 +652 $1,284 $30,550,000 - 17
- 20 Maleficent BV $874,000 +47.9% 338 -6 $2,586 $238,715,000 $180 14
- 16 A Most Wanted Man RAtt. $824,000 -3.5% 333 -100 $2,474 $15,161,000 - 6
- 17 Hercules (2014) Par. $800,000 -5.9% 337 -285 $2,374 $71,065,000 $100 6
- 25 Transformers: Age of Extinction Par. $480,000 +25.5% 264 -19 $1,818 $244,431,000 $210 10
- 38 The Trip to Italy IFC $449,000 +321.8% 52 +42 $8,635 $711,000 - 3
- 18 Step Up All In LG/S $393,000 -45.7% 225 -723 $1,747 $14,316,000 - 4
- 19 What If (2014) CBS $377,000 -43.6% 197 -483 $1,914 $2,973,000 - 4
- 37 Love is Strange SPC $329,000 +180.5% 27 +22 $12,185 $492,000 - 2
- 27 The Purge: Anarchy Uni. $301,000 -1.5% 199 -96 $1,513 $71,109,000 $9 7

 

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I think it's very revisionist. I always thought it had a chance to breakout, but I just couldn't predict it. Druv10 had an over $250M club and there really weren't that many people in it. And that's only over $250M, not a true breakout. There weren't many people who felt GOTG would really break out. Thus, I don't think that it really had the best chance.

 

Dawn of the Planet of the Apes had the best chance to break out. Most films didn't have the staying power at the BO over the summer. Everything was lined up for Dawn of the Planet of the Apes, but it just couldn't break out.

 

Early on I felt that it had a better chance out of the few to do either extreme, flop or breakout, since it was a new property that had never been tested yet, hence there was no set audience/fanbase/ceiling like the X-Men series for example. Not that this takes away anything from it's amazing run thus far though. 

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Early on I felt that it had a better chance out of the few to do either extreme, flop or breakout, since it was a new property that had never been tested yet, hence there was no set audience/fanbase/ceiling like the X-Men series for example. Not that this takes away anything from it's amazing run thus far though. 

 

I believe you and I felt the same way as you. I couldn't decide if it would be a huge hit or just do well. I always thought it would do at least $175M, but I didn't know if it would break out. It took me forever to decide whether to vote for CA:TWS or GOTG to win the year amongst superhero films. Finally, I voted for CA:TWS. However, there weren't many of us that even thought that GOTG might break out. Most people said it wouldn't or predicted that it would flop.

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I believe you and I felt the same way as you. I couldn't decide if it would be a huge hit or just do well. I always thought it would do at least $175M, but I didn't know if it would break out. It took me forever to decide whether to vote for CA:TWS or GOTG to win the year amongst superhero films. Finally, I voted for CA:TWS. However, there weren't many of us that even thought that GOTG might break out. Most people said it wouldn't or predicted that it would flop.

 

Disney always wins in the end  :lol:

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The "no one's ever heard of the young guys in Expendables" effect.

 

They really should have just had a movie where Stallone, Arnold, and Bruce Willis just shot people up. Make it a hard R rated movie and watch it do well. Add in guys like Snipes, and Lundgren and let it do its thing. Stallone really took it in the wrong direction.

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Sin city 2 has almost grossed Sin city's opening day. Should get there Tuesday.

 

Congrats to both Ex3 and SC2 for their outstanding numbers this August.

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