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Fancyarcher

Monday Actuals: Nolan - 5.2M, BH6 - 5.1M

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Oh damn, what did you rate it and your friends good buddy.. When you predict a domestic tally so low for a big even Nolan film.. I know you likely didnt feel your seeing the mans best work. :-O!!!

 

 

 

Actually my prediction for the film's box office has nothing to do with what I personally thought of the movie. I've been predicting it would struggle at the domestic box office for well over a year. It's hard sci-fi. That's a tough sell no matter how good it might be. Personally I think it's one of Nolan's 3 or 4 best movies along with Memento, Prestige, and Inception.

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Mockinjay is winning the year by a country mile. As I said on the other thread Interstellar isn't a blockbuster film, shall not be compared to Prometheus or Gravity. Its opening rollout and its whole run is unique. It was meant be seen in IMAX and was focused heavily on that format. Now you can say that it's underachieving in conventional theatres somewhat, but it's keep doing great figures in its intended format. So which one do you judge the film's power then? If it keeps selling out in IMAx I think it's a proof that WoM is brilliant and it will drive the film to a healthy total. OS business guarantees that it's a box office success anyway and will make profit - for WB at least lol

LOl lol Alfred at that last part. Yep WB proably spent the least right? lol

 

Welll hopefully it rebounds OS nicely and yep going to see it in Imax.. And you know me Im a sucker for a have decent epic that can take your mind on a ride on those IMax screens. Did you see yours in those UK giant Screens my friend of 50-60+ feet or even bigger? I think you all have the Super Imax in London like NYs lincoln Square right?

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Mockinjay is winning the year by a country mile. As I said on the other thread Interstellar isn't a blockbuster film, shall not be compared to Prometheus or Gravity. Its opening rollout and its whole run is unique. It was meant be seen in IMAX and was focused heavily on that format. Now you can say that it's underachieving in conventional theatres somewhat, but it's keep doing great figures in its intended format. So which one do you judge the film's power then? If it keeps selling out in IMAx I think it's a proof that WoM is brilliant and it will drive the film to a healthy total. OS business guarantees that it's a box office success anyway and will make profit - for WB at least lol

How on earth is it not a blockbuster? It's got a $165m production budget, a huge marketing campaign, and A-list actors. Sure, Nolan was given some freedom with releasing the movie on film 2 days early, but that means nothing - it doesn't make the film "unique".

 

How can you say "it was meant to be seen in IMAX" yet say "shall not be compared to Gravity"?

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Lining up comps for day-to-day comparisons (and adding in IS's film-only preview numbers), IS is currently $1,298,337 behind PROMETHEUS and $3,605,883 behind I, ROBOT.

 

I'm open to adding other comps -- any suggestions? I picked these two because they're both science-fiction aimed at a slightly more adult demo, and both are in the range of IS's expected final gross, but obviously they're both summer films so the comparison isn't great.

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How on earth is it not a blockbuster? It's got a $165m production budget, a huge marketing campaign, and A-list actors. Sure, Nolan was given some freedom with releasing the movie on film 2 days early, but that means nothing - it doesn't make the film "unique".

 

How can you say "it was meant to be seen in IMAX" yet say "shall not be compared to Gravity"?

 

I agree with this: IS is very much an early-career M. Night movie... or perhaps early-ish Spielberg as well. Shouldn't SIGNS and CLOSE ENCOUNTERS be considered blockbuster efforts?

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Mon-Tues is basically a two-day holiday (some schools/etc. observe Veteran's Day on Monday - my commute was lighter than usual yesterday, though not as light as today) so yeah, Wednesday will probably drop hard due to the holiday observance being stretched out over two adjacent days.

Edited by TServo2049
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Monday, November 10, 2014
 

   
>Yr >Mo >Wk >>Next Day
TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day
1 2 Interstellar Par. $5,274,857 -57% - 3,561 $1,481 $54,936,670 6
2 1 Big Hero 6 BV $5,159,128 -69% - 3,761 $1,372 $61,375,017 4
- 3 Gone Girl Fox $656,642 -57% -6% 2,224 $295 $146,192,483 39
- 5 Nightcrawler ORF $604,578 -56% -36% 2,766 $219 $20,223,015 11
- 7 Ouija Uni. $589,580 -53% -23% 2,680 $220 $43,914,835 18
- 6 St. Vincent Wein. $525,202 -60% -8% 2,455 $214 $27,580,200 32
- 8 John Wick LG/S $489,669 -57% -36% 2,152 $228 $35,297,485 18
- 9 Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day BV $400,825 -58% -6% 2,381 $168 $59,654,075 32
- 10 The Book of Life (2014) Fox $295,951 -66% -36% 2,166 $137 $45,464,879 25
- 11 Birdman FoxS $240,864 -61% +9% 460 $524 $8,338,982 25
- 12 The Judge WB $176,640 -61% -36% 1,215 $145 $42,745,057 32
- 14 The Maze Runner Fox $154,779 -47% -18% 1,012 $153 $99,100,881 53
- 13 The Best of Me Rela. $151,449 -54% -47% 1,110 $136 $24,641,826 25
- 15 Dracula Untold Uni. $133,050 -54% -47% 830 $160 $55,041,475 32
- - Annabelle WB (NL) $58,542 -50% -58% 630 $93 $83,564,229 39
- - Addicted LGF $33,977 -55% -47% 241 $141 $17,034,649 32
- - Meet the Mormons Purd. $27,881 +1,587% -49% 50 $558 $5,684,671 32
- - On Any Sunday: The Next Chapter Hann. $27,819 -61% - 231 $120 $348,803 4
- - Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Par. $26,902 -64% +18% 236 $114 $190,898,142 95
- - Dolphin Tale 2 WB $24,018 -61% +151% 285 $84 $41,482,754 60
- - The Boxtrolls Focus $23,853 -63% -59% 343 $70 $49,094,046 46
- - The Theory of Everything Focus $21,071 -66% - 5 $4,214 $229,834 4
- - This is Where I Leave You WB $14,167 -52% -21% 190 $75 $34,081,330 53
- - Let's Be Cops Fox $11,689 -57% +13% 116 $101 $82,207,098 90
- - Island of Lemurs: Madagascar (IMAX) WB $10,250 -31% +77% 40 $256 $7,951,400 221
- - How to Train Your Dragon 2 Fox $9,061 -55% +17% 96 $94 $176,812,021 151
- - The Giver Wein. $8,916 -49% +3% 119 $75 $44,942,047 88
- - My Old Lady Cohen $6,504 - -45% 46 $141 $3,727,722 62
- - The Good Lie WB $5,677 -42% -36% 30 $189 $2,417,468 39
- - Into The Storm WB $3,922 -66% +11% 88 $45 $47,557,434 95
- - Dawn of the Planet of the Apes Fox $3,461 -64% +1% 63 $55 $208,480,858 123
- - Kill the Messenger Focus $2,916 -55% -53% 32 $91 $2,405,804 32
- - Tracks (2014) Wein. $1,040 -28% -59% 13 $80 $487,096 53
- - Hector And The Search For Happiness Rela. $391 -30% +27% 14 $28 $933,287 53
- - One Chance Wein. $132 -67% -75% 5 $26 $89,854 32

 

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Hobbit is the only one that could do it, but the chance of that is looking slim. At the start of the year, I predicted $1.15b for Hobbit but I'm not so sure now. It should do around $1b, but honestly, the idea of it doing $65m more than An Unexpected Journey, which was a return to the beloved Middle-earth without negative reception, is a little hard to believe. Still, if it has great WoM (and it helps that Desolation was well-received), then it could theoretically beat Transformers. It is the last Middle-earth film from Peter Jackson we'll ever see, after all; that's got to stand for something, right?

 

Anyway, only The Hobbit has even the possibility of beating Transformers. Mockingjay doesn't stand a chance, even if the overseas audience has grown substantially.

 

I think it's interesting that this year has had a significantly lower top end ($1.1b) than previous years (2013 = $1.3b, 2012 = $1.5b, 2011 = $1.3b), yet the bottom end of the Top 10 has increased (the year is guaranteed to end with less than 2 films below $700m, which has never happened before).

Love your positive spirit Tree friend and yes indeed I would love PJ to go out with the bang of being king of the world, especially when frankly Transformers 4 is proving to be almost as bad as part 2 was.. I dont think this Transformers deserves the top law dawg crown. With a little help from us fans of PJ and LOTR..., we may yet score a victory. So TR4 is at 1.1B.. Hobbit needs a very strong domestic and powerful OS run to take the crown.

 

It can be done. Im wondering if we may have some suprises left that could also do stellar box office. 2014 is Definitely one hell of a weak year for those of us looking to track incredible runs.. EEP!

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