Tuesday #s 11/25 - MJ1 12.1M

[miketheavenger]

Nice increases. IMO it's still too soon to make a precise prediction for MJ1's total though. We'll know more after this weekend.

[ecstasy]

I forget. What is Thanksgiving week normally like? Big drop on Wednesday or will it be Thursday?

[Aplandg]

I forget. What is Thanksgiving week normally like? Big drop on Wednesday or will it be Thursday?

Drop on Thursday. Increase Wednesday and Thursday numbers go back to being similar to Tuesday.

[ecstasy]

Drop on Thursday. Increase Wednesday and Thursday numbers go back to being similar to Tuesday.

 

Ah thanks!

[cory]

2014's nowhere near as bad as 2011. It's better than 2008 actually (when TDK, Iron Man, and IJ4 pulled most of the weight)

With BH6, MJ1, and BOTFA, we could have 12 $200m movies which is only 1 less than last year (adjusted the record is 14, from a few different years)

[WhiskeyTangoFoxtrot]

60M is way too high.

I'm thinking mid-30s.

Ah yeah... I see the Miller's comparison. So, maybe $37-40 million for the five day more reasonable for HB2...

Really interested to see how Penguins fares.

[Jay Beezy]

Ah yeah... I see the Miller's comparison. So, maybe $37-40 million for the five day more reasonable for HB2...

Really interested to see how Penguins fares.

Someone also suggested Anchorman 2: 2.3M preview, 39M 5-day

[maryksinger]

BH6 = 220M??

[Mattrek]

Someone also suggested Anchorman 2: 2.3M preview, 39M 5-day

If it follows that it wouldn't hit 30m for the 5 day. Even though it's a different season I think Tammy will end up being a very close comparison.

[Rudolf]

in fact that is a better jump than CF. 

the cheap Tuesday and no IMAX help a lot here

[miketheavenger]

BH6 = 220M??

Sounds reasonable IMO.

[K1stpierre]

Oh baby........we got 1 win......

[The Panda]

Until recently, I would've said Mockingjay Part 2 would've topped the franchise but isn't it weird for it to just randomly have a movie that drops to around 300M for no reason whatsoever and be surrounded by movies that grossed over 400M DOM?

I think the audience is obviously there, CF obviously didn't deter them. I think that Mockingjay part 2 will have to be great in quality, have premium screens like IMAX (and maybe 3d), and actually have a marketing campaign

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Good jumps everywhere. What should the increases for today be?

[kitik]

Last year the Tuesday before Thanksgiving jumped 30% overall. This year the box office jumped 37.5% overall.

 

How'd that happen? More schools off this year? Better weather?

[kitik]

Jayhawk, on 26 Nov 2014 - 4:57 PM, said:

Good jumps everywhere. What should the increases for today be?

 

 

Here's what happened last year on the Wednesday and Thursday of Thanksgiving week.

 

As you can see, some movies dropped on Wednesday. Thanksgiving itself was much kinder to adult and older-skewing movies than kids movies:

 

 

	Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 312002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014	NEXT >>
Rank* Title Monday 11/25 Tuesday 11/26 Wednesday 11/27 Thursday 11/28 1 THE HUNGER GAMES: CATCHING FIRE Lionsgate 4,163 $12,321,722 -64.3% / $2,960 $170,396,008 / 4 $15,960,309 +29.5% / $3,834 $186,356,317 / 5 $20,808,110 +30.4% / $4,998 $207,164,427 / 6 $14,951,629 -28.1% / $3,592 $222,116,056 / 7 2 FROZEN Buena Vista 3,742 $47,725 -43.3% / $47,725 $291,115 / 4 $51,724 +8.4% / $51,724 $342,839 / 5 $15,161,249 +29211.8% / $4,052 $15,504,088 / 6 $11,037,812 -27.2% / $2,950 $26,541,900 / 7 3 THOR: THE DARK WORLD Buena Vista 3,286 $1,360,662 -64% / $366 $169,277,785 / 18 $1,941,500 +42.7% / $523 $171,219,285 / 19 $2,346,359 +20.9% / $714 $173,565,644 / 20 $2,054,146 -12.5% / $625 $175,619,790 / 21 4 HOMEFRONT Open Road Films 2,570 N/A N/A $1,425,112 -- / $555 $1,425,112 / 1 $1,400,066 -1.8% / $545 $2,825,178 / 2 5 DELIVERY MAN Buena Vista 3,036 $735,482 -59.7% / $242 $8,680,459 / 4 $1,095,849 +49% / $361 $9,776,308 / 5 $1,306,752 +19.2% / $430 $11,083,060 / 6 $1,437,482 +10% / $473 $12,520,542 / 7 6 THE BEST MAN HOLIDAY Universal 1,785 $938,650 -68.9% / $460 $51,299,160 / 11 $1,010,295 +7.6% / $495 $52,309,455 / 12 $1,222,725 +21% / $685 $53,532,180 / 13 $1,383,375 +13.1% / $775 $54,915,555 / 14 7 FREE BIRDS Relativity 2,287 $695,896 -58.9% / $227 $49,352,969 / 25 $925,939 +33.1% / $302 $50,278,908 / 26 $778,683 -15.9% / $340 $51,057,591 / 27 $374,140 -52% / $164 $51,431,731 / 28 8 THE BOOK THIEF Fox 1,234 $65,741 -63.6% / $939 $1,373,253 / 18 $82,924 +26.1% / $1,185 $1,456,177 / 19 $725,785 +775.2% / $588 $2,181,962 / 20 $818,097 +12.7% / $663 $3,000,059 / 21 9 GRAVITY Warner Bros. 1,016 $336,165 -59.3% / $182 $245,743,924 / 53 $433,117 +28.8% / $235 $246,177,041 / 54 $454,450 +4.9% / $447 $246,631,491 / 55 $511,370 +12.5% / $503 $247,142,861 / 56 10 LAST VEGAS CBS Films 1,963 $432,469 -60.1% / $148 $54,317,293 / 25 $579,783 +34.1% / $198 $54,897,076 / 26 $446,732 -22.9% / $228 $55,343,808 / 27 $562,339 +25.9% / $286 $55,906,147 / 28 11 BLACK NATIVITY Fox Searchlight 1,516 N/A N/A $436,940 -- / $288 $436,940 / 1 $673,253 +54.1% / $444 $1,110,193 / 2 12 JACKASS PRESENTS: BAD GRANDPA Paramount 1,619 $368,927 -55.7% / $141 $95,803,556 / 32 $443,797 +20.3% / $169 $96,247,353 / 33 $394,191 -11.2% / $243 $96,641,544 / 34 $371,665 -5.7% / $230 $97,013,209 / 35 13 PHILOMENA Weinstein Company 753 $13,110 -65.3% / $3,278 $141,545 / 4 $12,164 -7.2% / $3,041 $153,709 / 5 $376,097 +2991.9% / $499 $529,806 / 6 $431,612 +14.8% / $573 $961,418 / 7 14 DALLAS BUYERS CLUB Focus Features 690 $256,955 -63.1% / $386 $6,631,013 / 25 $319,465 +24.3% / $480 $6,950,478 / 26 $364,676 +14.2% / $529 $7,315,154 / 27 $383,374 +5.1% / $556 $7,698,528 / 28 15 12 YEARS A SLAVE Fox Searchlight 1,165 $301,896 -60.3% / $205 $29,728,843 / 39 $389,303 +29% / $264 $30,118,146 / 40 $356,606 -8.4% / $306 $30,474,752 / 41 $375,452 +5.3% / $322 $30,850,204 / 42 16 ENDER'S GAME Lionsgate/Summit 843 $235,822 -56.3% / $116 $57,431,401 / 25 $307,463 +30.4% / $151 $57,738,864 / 26 $221,302 -28% / $263 $57,960,166 / 27 $206,286 -6.8% / $245 $58,166,452 / 28 17 OLDBOY (2013) FilmDistrict 583 N/A N/A $212,852 -- / $365 $212,852 / 1 $184,431 -13.4% / $316 $397,283 / 2 18 CAPTAIN PHILLIPS Sony / Columbia 807 $182,653 -58.5% / $110 $100,888,487 / 46 $252,487 +38.2% / $152 $101,140,974 / 47 $200,505 -20.6% / $248 $101,341,479 / 48 $234,472 +16.9% / $291 $101,575,951 / 49 - CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF MEATBALLS 2 Sony / Columbia 707 $132,814 -55.5% / $118 $114,361,132 / 60 $155,544 +17.1% / $139 $114,516,676 / 61 $87,460 -43.8% / $124 $114,604,136 / 62 $42,732 -51.1% / $60 $114,646,868 / 63 - NEBRASKA Paramount 97 $29,543 -66.7% / $1,055 $544,911 / 11 $31,578 +6.9% / $1,128 $576,489 / 12 $81,449 +157.9% / $840 $657,938 / 13 $90,428 +11% / $932 $748,366 / 14 - DESPICABLE ME 2 Universal 271 $42,775 -54.7% / $145 $366,418,425 / 146 $56,010 +30.9% / $190 $366,474,435 / 147 $78,590 +40.3% / $290 $366,553,025 / 148 $39,295 -50% / $145 $366,592,320 / 149

 

 

[ecstasy]

Last year the Tuesday before Thanksgiving jumped 30% overall. This year the box office jumped 37.5% overall.

 

How'd that happen? More schools off this year? Better weather?

 

Yeah in my neck of the woods. My daughter has the whole week off instead of just Thursday and Friday.   First time.

[Kvikk Lunsj]

Yeah in my neck of the woods. My daughter has the whole week off instead of just Thursday and Friday. First time.

Are you working today?

[Melvin Frohike]

BH6 = 220M??

That appears to be where it is currently headed unless it develops late legs. That's always possible because for comparison Frozen took even longer than this for its extraordinary legs to show up. Don't get me wrong, Big Hero 6 won't have legs anywhere near that good, but Frozen's weren't any better at the same point, so given the general audience reaction there is still a chance that Big Hero 6 could do even better than it has been doing. At this point the movie underperforming--by any reasonable standard--seems very unlikely, although it will face a test against direct competition this Thanksgiving weekend.

[MovieMan89]

6% better hold than CF. C'mon, spread them wings Mockingjay!