The Panda Posted December 5, 2015 Share Posted December 5, 2015 10 minutes ago, Travod said: How the fuck is Boyhood not Oscar bait? ~12 YEARS~ Yeah, Boyhood wasn't Oscar bait. People were doubting how well itd play at the Oscars early in the year. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted December 5, 2015 Share Posted December 5, 2015 Boyhood was just Linklater doing his very personal crazy thing and it only got nominated because the result was so impressive and practically impossible to argue with. It wasn't an Important Movie About Important Issues, wasn't really sentimental, barely had a plot, hell, its entire damn point was that it wanted to avoid the conventions of coming-of-age movies. Easy to take its nominations for granted now, but it's a mistake. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted December 5, 2015 Share Posted December 5, 2015 On December 4, 2015 at 8:13:19 AM, stripe said: Spirits are not that important as an indicator of what will be embraced by Oscars. Room won at Tiff (this usually means a BP nom) and it was in the top 10 by NBR. Avatar was nommed not because of it's BO. It was a rare case where critics embrace an original film that is also a smashing hit and a cultural phenomenon. Star Wars 7 is a franchise film that will try to get attention in an already crowded BP field. It needs glowing reviews to be considered. Keep in mind Academy snubbed Wall-E and TDK making room for The reader, Milk and Frost/Nixon. Avatar was only nominated for its box office and it was James Cameron film. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Webslinger Posted December 5, 2015 Share Posted December 5, 2015 (edited) Avatar was nominated primarily because of the fact that it lived up to commercial and industry hype in astonishing fashion. Even though just about everyone recognized that the script was nothing special from day one, it was regarded as a game-changer within the industry. After more than a decade of talking up his film, James Cameron delivered about as fully on his promises as anyone could have asked, given the film's genre. What's more, none of the more traditional Oscar bait (The Lovely Bones, Invictus, Nine) stuck, so there was plenty of room for a populist smash to break through. Edited December 5, 2015 by Webslinger Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
movieboner Posted December 5, 2015 Share Posted December 5, 2015 This is a tricky category. The obvious choice is spotlight, however, the studio producing spotlight is unknown and small. The academy usually awards best picture to a frontrunner that is distributed by a major studio. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted December 6, 2015 Author Share Posted December 6, 2015 On 12/1/2015 10:20:29, Impact said: Nom count: 10: The Martian and The Revenant 6: Carol, Inside Out, Spotlight and Star Wars: The Force Awakens 5: The Hateful 8 and Joy 4: Bridge of Spies, Brooklyn, Mad Max: Fury Road and Room 3: The Danish Girl 2: Cinderella and Steve Jobs Looking at my predicts-some I might change, though not sure what yet. My win count: 5: The Martian 3: The Revenant 2: Cinderella, Inside Out and Star Wars 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted December 6, 2015 Share Posted December 6, 2015 (edited) its going to be spotlight. its the clear leader, only joy(unseen) can top it. hateful eight, like revenant, is too violent. martian is over rated a bit on these boards Edited December 6, 2015 by Halba 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 17 hours ago, Halba said: its going to be spotlight. its the clear leader, only joy(unseen) can top it. hateful eight, like revenant, is too violent. martian is over rated a bit on these boards My problem with saying Spotlight is the frontrunner is that nothing about it said "BP winner" to me. It doesn't seem like the kind of movie that actually wins and I would have never guessed in a million years it was considered the early frontrunner if I didn't know already from the internet. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 (edited) updated predicts for noms in order of likelihood. 1. Spotlight 2. The Martian 3. The Revenant 4. Joy 5. The Hateful Eight 6. Brooklyn 7. Creed 8. Room 9. Bridge of Spies 10. Carol ******* alts- inside out, son of saul, Edited December 7, 2015 by Halba Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 Joy is getting PANNED! http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/joy_2014/ This throws a major changeup in the race. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 New predictions: 1. Spotlight 2. The Martian 3. The Hateful Eight 4. The Revenant 5. Carol 6. Inside Out 7. Bridge of Spies 8. Brooklyn 9. Mad Max 10. Creed Spoilers: Room, Star Wars, Steve Jobs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 Brooklyn Carol Creed The Hateful Eight Inside Out Mad Max: Fury Road The Martian The Revenant Spotlight Steve Jobs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 I'm actually still pretty sure jlaw will be nominated, but yeah, will probably count it out everywhere else. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 I'm starting to wonder if Hateful Eight can take this year. Quentin Tarantino just seems due to win eventually somewhere. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalo Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 My new Predictions in light of Joy. Spotlight Mad Max: Fury Road Carol Brooklyn The Revenant The Martian Room Inside Out Creed Star Wars The Force Awakens 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 New predictions: 1. Spotlight 2. The Martian 3. The Revenant 4. Carol 5. Mad Max: Fury Road 6. The Hateful Eight 7. Brooklyn 8. Room 9. Inside Out 10. Creed Alternates: Bridge of Spies, Steve Jobs, Star Wars: The Force Awakens Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joel M Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 1 hour ago, Spaghetti said: I'm starting to wonder if Hateful Eight can take this year. Quentin Tarantino just seems due to win eventually somewhere. Tarantino has won 2 oscars for screenplay so it's not like the oscars have ignored him. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Stingray Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 I'll never forgive the academy for snubbing Tarantino in '94. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 3 hours ago, WrathOfHan said: Joy is getting PANNED! http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/joy_2014/ This throws a major changeup in the race. That makes me happy, in a strange way. American Hustle was so overrated that O. Russell needed something to knock him off his pretentious high horse Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 (in order of DOM gross) Star Wars Episode VII: $550 million+ DOM (being extra conservative!) Inside Out: $355 million The Martian: $230 million Mad Max - Fury Road: $155 million Creed: $145 million The Hateful Eight: $135 million The Revenant: $80 million Bridge of Spies: $75 million Spotlight: $40 million Brooklyn/Carol/Room: $? million Mad Max and Creed are wild-cards. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...