Weekend Estimates: JW: 102 IO 91...RTH: Sun JW 38.3 | IO 25.3 with possible upsides PG 287, possible 107M for JW weekend

[DAR]

I think Ted is 3rd next weekend

[Jim Shorts]

Don't forget Harry Potter and LotR!

[Chaz]

Tele not liking JW vindicates me.

Edited June 21, 2015 by Chaz

[DAR]

And JW was crumbling

[mahnamahna]

I personally don't think so. IO is going to have a huge Sunday so my guess it drops 45-50% next weekend while dry sack world should level out a little bit and fall maybe in the 40 percent range. That's just a guess but a film always falls harder and its second weekend that does in its third weekend.

Inside Out has zero competition the next two weeks (unless Max's $5-7 million debut is competition lol)... even with summer weekends, I'm thinking a 35-40% drop due to excellent WOM. The lack of a major Father's Day boost should help it. Also, a lot of families could try to see it in this next 3 weeks before Minions, Ant-Man and Pixels come out.

 

If JW gets $110 million+ for its 2nd weekend, I'm thinking $65-75 million for its 3rd. So IO won't get 1st place. Especially since Ted 2 should do $55-85 million OW (anywhere in that range) due to the extra exposure from trailer attachment to Ted 2. 

 

Another huge weekend coming up! With an entire huge month to go. 

[4815162342]

I thought it was mostly terrible, in almost every way.

 

Shame.

 

Shame.

 

Shame.

 

Shame.

[mahnamahna]

Ted 2 is gonna win next weekend.

1. Ted 2: $76 million
2. Jurassic World: $69 million ($544 million) 
3. Inside Out: $64 million ($211 million)
4. Max: $7 million 
5. Spy: $6.5 million ($87 million) 
6. San Andreas: $6 million ($144 million) 
7. Dope: $6 million ($20 million) 
8. Insidious Chapter 3: $2.5 million ($51 million)
9. Avengers - Age of Ultron: $2 million ($453 million)
10. Pitch Perfect 2: $2 million ($181 million)

$230-260 million next weekend, potentially... that'd require a solid debut for Ted 2, and great holds for IO/JW, though. Over $200 million is likely to happen again with the sheer power of the top 3 next weekend. 

[zackzack]

 

1. Ted 2: $76 million
2. Jurassic World: $69 million ($544 million) 
3. Inside Out: $64 million ($211 million)
4. Max: $7 million 
5. Spy: $6.5 million ($87 million) 
6. San Andreas: $6 million ($144 million) 
7. Dope: $6 million ($20 million) 
8. Insidious Chapter 3: $2.5 million ($51 million)
9. Avengers - Age of Ultron: $2 million ($453 million)
10. Pitch Perfect 2: $2 million ($181 million)

$230-260 million next weekend, potentially... that'd require a solid debut for Ted 2, and great holds for IO/JW, though. Over $200 million is likely to happen again with the sheer power of the top 3 next weekend. 

 

 

What is it about the year of 2015? Did somebody do something right?

[CJohn]

San Andreas and Spy should have opened on the Memorial Day Weekend. They are getting ripped apart by all the big debuts. 

[KATCH-2D2]

And JW was crumbling

 

That one was hilarious.  

[takerowns]

Does spy still have a chance at 100 million with Ted 2 coming out taking the comedy audience?

[Yandereprime101189]

And JW was crumbling

 

Focus lost focus

Edited June 21, 2015 by Yandereprime

[JohnnyGossamer]

I thought it was mostly terrible, in almost every way.

Given your taste, I figured you'd dislike it. While I didn't think it was awful, I'm not nearly as high on it as many here. Going to do a full write up in review section?

[mahnamahna]

San Andreas and Spy should have opened on the Memorial Day Weekend. They are getting ripped apart by all the big debuts. 

If the studios had known Avengers 2 wasn't going to do $500 million+ DOM, I think San Andreas would have taken Memorial Day, while Spy and IO moved to the last weekend of May. 

 

Schedule should have been (with Hot Pursuit moved to April 24th, Tomorrowland moved to October 9th with a $75 million budget, as well as Aloha/Selfless/American Ultra/Underdogs canned) 

 

May

1st: Avengers 2

8th: Mad Max - Fury Road

15th: Poltergeist and PP2

22nd: San Andreas and Aloha

29th: Spy and Inside Out

 

June

5th: Insidious Chapter 3, Paper Towns

12th: Jurassic World

19th: Ricki and the Flash 

26th: Pan and Ted 2

 

July 

3rd: Terminator and MMXXL

10th: Minions and Gallows 

17th: Ant-Man and Trainwreck

24th: Pixels, Southpaw and Max 

31st: Mission Impossible 5 and Vacation

 

August

7th: Fantastic Four, Shaun the Sheep

14th: Straight Outta Compton, Man From UNCLE, Masterminds

21st: Hitman, Sinister 2

28th: War Room, Regression, We Are Your Friends 

 

If studios hadn't been afraid of Avengers 2 and actually put some appealing films for Memorial Day weekend, 2015 would be on track for one of the most highest attended ever if it kept up the pace through June/July.  

 

What is it about the year of 2015? Did somebody do something right?

Similar to 2002-2004, there's a lot of major films with wide appeal that people want to go see. 

Edited June 21, 2015 by mahnamahna

[misafeco]

I can't wait to see Inside Out. Fuck you Disney for punishing Hungary.

[baumer]

Tele only likes Mad Max and existential expressionist silent black and white film noir German films now.

[4815162342]

Tele only likes Mad Max and existential expressionist silent black and white film noir German films now.

 

He has Lis(a)teria.

[VGPOP]

People will be surprised at Ted 2 next week. I don't think that movie will make as much as people are expecting/predicting.

[Krissykins]

Not expecting much more than first film for Ted 2. as I've said afew times, the trailer isn't getting laughs.

[VictorHugogui]

Spy should finished 95-100M it`s not bad... but is underperfoming for sure

 

San Andreas should make at least 145M... is great results for WB