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grim22

Cruddy Weekend Estimates: A-M 24.77m, Pix 24m, Minions 22m, Trainwreck 17.2m, Southpaw 16.5m, PT 12.5m,

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Those are awful numbers for literally every movie except JW/IO. Looks like no one wanted to go watch anything today.

Considering how beautiful the weather is here in NYC, I certainly don't blame them. Hell, I don't even wanna go this weekend.

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God, really wasn't a good Friday at all. Man I can't believe at the start of BSG I was thinking 60OW for Pixels. That being said I guess I can understand why it is underperforming.

Southpaw will probably have great legs after opening weekend. Paper Towns I'm not sure, and while I don't want to sound like a broken record, I have no idea why it didn't at least do a little better.

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So happy Minions is crashing. Inside Out deserves first place (keeping in mind The Good Dinosaur could end up being a masterpiece as well and could snatch away first place). I hope a similar or worse fate follows for Despicable Me 3 although, to my great regret, the franchise is still far from dead.

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Pixels 9-9.5

Ant-Man 7

Minions 6.6

Paper Towns 6.3

Trainwreck 5.2

Southpaw 4.9-5.3

IO 2.15

JW 2

 

Bad all around (except our best buds IO/JW, obviously). 

 

tumblr_nrz39cz4Sq1qbpo9ho10_250.gif

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So happy Minions is crashing. Inside Out deserves first place (keeping in mind The Good Dinosaur could end up being a masterpiece as well and could snatch away first place). I hope a similar or worse fate follows for Despicable Me 3 although, to my great regret, the franchise is still far from dead.

IO may well end up ahead of Minions by 15 or 20 million. Amazing for IO as an original film, though not an underdog at all imo given the Pixar Disney brand. IO is brilliant and Minions is an amazing film too IMO for different reasons.

But the DM franchise, and Minions, are not crashing or flopping etc.

OS will help Minions greatly, but a worse case scenario of 320-330 (or a bit more) for Minions DOM is still amazing for a non-sequel, spin-off film. It will probably do a bit more than Shrek 3 to land 7th or 8th place all time domestically and IO will land 7th place after DM2 for sure. (I don't think it will cross 350 million contrary to some expectations because it's slightly dropping from TS3).

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I'm really surprised at how frontloaded Southpaw is. Struggling to get to U$5M Friday after U$1.2 preview shows? What gives?

 

 

Paper Towns is doing horribly as well, its Friday numbers were basically the same as Southpaw's (if we go by the high-range of Gopher's numbers).

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IO may well end up ahead of Minions by 15 or 20 million. Amazing for IO as an original film, though not an underdog at all imo given the Pixar Disney brand. IO is brilliant and Minions is an amazing film too IMO for different reasons.

But the DM franchise, and Minions, are not crashing or flopping etc.

OS will help Minions greatly, but a worse case scenario of 320-330 (or a bit more) for Minions DOM is still amazing for a non-sequel, spin-off film. It will probably do a bit more than Shrek 3 to land 7th or 8th place all time domestically and IO will land 7th place after DM2 for sure. (I don't think it will cross 350 million contrary to some expectations because it's slightly dropping from TS3).

 

No offense but this is definitely a sequel. BO(Openings globally) have shown that. Minions are the biggest selling point of DM movies and so this is not a spin off. I am sure DM3 is dropping from Minions.

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can only hope for the best...

 

Pixels - 1.5 + 8.0 + 10.42 + 8.0 = 27.92

Ant - 7.00 + 10.50 + 7.61 = 25.11

Minions - 6.61 + 9.91 + 7.19 = 23.71

Trainwreck - 5.20 + 7.02 + 4.76 = 16.98

Paper Towns - 2.00 + 4.30 + 4.95 + 3.71 = 15.00

Southpaw - 1.20 + 4.00 + 5.32 + 3.99 = 14.51

Inside Out - 2.15 + 3.23 + 2.28 = 7.66

Jurassic World - 2.01 + 3.17 + 2.22 = 7.40

 

(new) - Pixels - 27.93 - $7,502 - 27.93

(-56%) - Ant-Man - 25.11 - $6,493 - 106.42

(-52%) - Minions - 23.71 - $5,831 - 263.23

(-43.5%) - Trainwreck - 16.98 - $5,354 - 61.23

(new) - Paper Towns - 15.00 - $4,949 - 15.00

(new) - Southpaw - 14.51 - $5,234 - 14.51

(-33.6%) - Inside Out - 7.66 - $2,818 - 320.64

(-35.4%) - Jurassic World - 7.40 - 624.30

- Terminator??

- Magic Mike??

- Gallows??

- Vatican Tapes??

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No offense but this is definitely a sequel. BO(Openings globally) have shown that. Minions are the biggest selling point of DM movies and so this is not a spin off. I am sure DM3 is dropping from Minions.

It will be interesting to see if DM3 indeed drops. I think it won't, some say it definitely will. I think a number of factors will play a big role in this domestically - perhaps the film itself and how it is marketed. I think overseas it probably won't drop from Minions.

Too early to tell but I see Minions making between 330-340, and DM2 in the 350 range.

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I'm really surprised at how frontloaded Southpaw is. Struggling to get to U$5M Friday after U$1.2 preview shows? What gives?

 

 

Paper Towns is doing horribly as well, its Friday numbers were basically the same as Southpaw's (if we go by the high-range of Gopher's numbers).

 

Maybe it's core audience skewed young male which would explain why it was front loaded.

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1). Ant-Man (DIS), 3,868 theaters (+12) / $7.4M Fri. (-67%) / 3-day cume: $26.1M  (-54%)/Total cume: $107.2M/Wk 2

2). Pixels (SONY), 3,723 theaters / $9.2M Fri. / 3-day cume: $23.8M / Wk 1

3). Minions (UNI), 4,066 theaters (-245)/ $6.37M Fri. (-56%)/ 3-day cume: $21.6M (-56%)/Total Cume: $261.2M / Wk 3

4). Trainwreck (UNI), 3,171 theaters (+13)/ $5.3M Fri. (-50%) / 3-day cume: $17M (-44%)/Total cume: $61.3M/ Wk 2

5). Southpaw (TWC), 2,772 theaters / $6M Fri. / 3-day cume: $16.5M / Wk 1

6). Paper Towns (FOX), 3,031 theaters / $6.7M Fri. / 3-day cume: $15.7M / Wk 1

7). Inside Out (DIS), 2,717 theaters (-546)/ $2.2M Fri. (-33%)/ 3-day cume: $7.6M (-34%) /Total cume: $320M/ Wk 6

8). Jurassic World (UNI), 2,645theaters (-472) / $2M Fri. (-38%) / 3-day cume: $7M (-39%) /Total cume: $623.9M/ Wk 7

9). Mr. Holmes (RSA/Miramax), 686 theaters (+325) / $756K Fri. (+16%) / 3-day cume: $2.8M (+15%)/ Total cume: $6.4/Wk 2

10). Terminator: Genisys (PAR), 1,702 theaters (-1,112) / $590K Fri. (-64%) / 3-day cume: $2.1M (-60%) / Total cume: $85.4M/ Wk 4

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It will be interesting to see if DM3 indeed drops. I think it won't, some say it definitely will. I think a number of factors will play a big role in this domestically - perhaps the film itself and how it is marketed. I think overseas it probably won't drop from Minions.

Too early to tell but I see Minions making between 330-340, and DM2 in the 350 range.

 

OS still could increase. Especially with expanding markets. But domestically I see it dropping for sure. Mostly sub 300m domestic.

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8). Jurassic World (UNI), 2,645theaters (-472) / $2M Fri. (-38%) / 3-day cume: $7M (-39%) /Total cume: $623.9M/ Wk 7

 

Just a little above TA1 to make it 3rd highest grossing film of all time, DOM & WW.

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