riczhang Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 What do O'Neil and Kargar have? They're normally the ones that talk to the most Academy voters each year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CloneWars Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Skyfall is getting in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pieman Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 NO WAY Skyfall gets in. It is not happening within this system nor should it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 I don't think Moonrise is getting in. It's possible but Beasts and even The Master are probably ahead of it. PGA was never going to acknowledge The Master anyways, so I wouldn't put much stock in Moonrise's PGA nom (though it certainly gives it far better chances than a snub would).The Master isn't scoring at any awards ceremonies, and it's disappeared after only 4 months.I don't think if only getting a nomination at the CCA is enough to make the cut.If it gets a nom at the DGAs, possible, but at this stage, no. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 NO WAY Skyfall gets in. It is not happening within this system nor should it.Guild awards decide Oscar night. Skyfall got nom for BP at the PGA's, and it should claim the blockbuster spot this year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cookie Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Skyfall being nominated for BP would be amazing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 NO WAY Skyfall gets in. It is not happening within this system nor should it.If there are 10 nominees this year, I think it will get in. The PGA has nominated it as one of the ten best. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acsc1312 Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Skyfall being nominated for bp would be a travesty. There, I said it. It was very well done and entertaining. Should it forever be referred to as "best picture nominee"? No. As for the Master, what the hell was Weinstein thinking? He's all but dropped the ball on two films this year. That and SLP (box office wise). He knows django would never be in contention for best pic. He should at least be pulling out all the stops to get Phoenix nominated. Such a shame that more and more guilds and awards in general are snubbing genuinely great films for those with ample hype. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockNrollaDIM Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Agree. I think about TDK snub was supposed to pave the way for the expanded field and thus more blockbuster nominees, but when said blockbusters don't really come close to rivaling the quality of TDK, it seems a bit cheap. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Only Argo, Les Mis, Lincoln, ZDT, and SLP are locks. The rest depend on the # of nominees. I have doubts that with such a strong 5 films that the other films will all fail to make the magical prerequisite number of #1 votes.LOP is a lock too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Moonrise seems like a consensus film. I don't think anybody dislikes it. Tapley has Beasts and Moonrise in and Amour out. I did. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pieman Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Guild awards decide Oscar night. Skyfall got nom for BP at the PGA's, and it should claim the blockbuster spot this year.It's not a 'number one' film. There is also no such thing as the blockbuster spot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 LOP is a lock too.Yeah, most likely, but I don't want to predict more than 5 nominees as locks as anything more than 5 is not assured. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Interesting tidbit: The only film in recent memory that got NBR, BFCA, AFI and Producer's Guild nominations and missed a Best Picture Nomination was The Town. This year, Argo, Lincoln, Django, Les Miserables, Silver Linings Playbook, Zero Dark Thirty and BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD got all four. Moonrise and Life of Pi got three because they missed NBR, but so did Moneyball, The Help, Midnight in Paris, The Kids Are All Right, 127 Hours, and Precious, so the precedent is there. No BP nom in recent years except for The Blind Side has gotten in without picking up one of these precursors. This means that The Master and Skyfall have a chance, but Impossible, Marigold, and the rest of the field are longshots. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 It's not a 'number one' film. There is also no such thing as the blockbuster spot.Well, what works in SF's favour is that the PGA uses a weighted voting system similar to the Academy's. The Academy's just places a sightlier heavier emphasis on the #1 votes. Skyfall has proven that it can make it through a weighted voting system so it's not improbable that it can also make a BP nom. (I don't care if people say that it doesn't deserve it, I personally do, and it'd be great to see a blockbuster back in the lineup.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Skyfall being nominated for bp would be a travesty. There, I said it. It was very well done and entertaining. Should it forever be referred to as "best picture nominee"? No.As for the Master, what the hell was Weinstein thinking? He's all but dropped the ball on two films this year. That and SLP (box office wise). He knows django would never be in contention for best pic. He should at least be pulling out all the stops to get Phoenix nominated. Such a shame that more and more guilds and awards in general are snubbing genuinely great films for those with ample hype.Skyfall is much better than Life of Pi. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Webslinger Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Interesting tidbit:The only film in recent memory that got NBR, BFCA, AFI and Producer's Guild nominations and missed a Best Picture Nomination was The Town. This year, Argo, Lincoln, Django, Les Miserables, Silver Linings Playbook, Zero Dark Thirty and BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD got all four. Moonrise and Life of Pi got three because they missed NBR, but so did Moneyball, The Help, Midnight in Paris, The Kids Are All Right, 127 Hours, and Precious, so the precedent is there.No BP nom in recent years except for The Blind Side has gotten in without picking up one of these precursors. This means that The Master and Skyfall have a chance, but Impossible, Marigold, and the rest of the field are longshots.The Town's Best Picture candidacy was so odd. It had no heat in any other category apart from Jeremy Renner for Supporting Actor, and yet it kept showing up in the expanded Best Picture precursors.I still think a Skyfall nomination is unlikely, but I'd like to see it happen. James Bond is one of the most iconic and enduring franchises in the history of film, and Skyfall is arguably the best that the franchise has had to offer in several decades. They might as well recognize it now, as it may be a while before the franchise hits the bullseye again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 (edited) I still think a Skyfall nomination is unlikely, but I'd like to see it happen. James Bond is one of the most iconic and enduring franchises in the history of film, and Skyfall is arguably the best that the franchise has had to offer in several decades. They might as well recognize it now, as it may be a while before the franchise hits the bullseye again.If Mendes directs Bond 24 and 25, I can see it easily topping this one. Edited January 4, 2013 by riczhang Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Mendes has clearly been trying to recapture that Oscar magic he got with American Beauty with most of his other films. So it would be funny if the movie to get him back into Best Picture race was a James Bond flick. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackO Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 my predictions don't quite look like the way I planed it at the start of the season. Argo and Skyfall sneaking in everywhere. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...