tokila Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 1 minute ago, lab276 said: With Avatar's drops it gets to 110m. depends how you look at. Going by dailies and %s ya about 110. Going by weekend drops.... it would be like 130 mil.... I have it at 108. Just enough to beat the old 2nd weekend record on the 3rd weekend. which is exactly like something TFA would do... lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daxtreme Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 19 minutes ago, tokila said: Not seeing sunday lower than this monday. It did happen to Avatar though. 17M sunday vs 19M monday. Highly likely it happens again this week-end, since TFA doesn't hold like Avatar in most cases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilmBuff Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 Rth, has this been the craziest and most interesting box office time you've tracked? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tokila Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 1 minute ago, VenomXXR said: Avatar dropped less than 10% from its 2nd weekend to 3rd. If TFA did the same it would have a $135 million 3rd weekend. It's going to drop at least 25% from its 2nd to 3rd. another way to look at it is TFA has consistently been dropping 17-22% week over week (if you take out previews Cmas only fell 20%). The only day it was worse than this Saturday the 27th(28%, we will never know how much weather affected that). So even if it accelerates this weekend to 28% falls we are still looking at 108 mil if it maintains its current decline rate this weekend we would be looking at 115mil(I even left a 28% sunday drop in the equation). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 8 minutes ago, VenomXXR said: Avatar dropped less than 10% from its 2nd weekend to 3rd. If TFA did the same it would have a $135 million 3rd weekend. It's going to drop at least 25% from its 2nd to 3rd. I meant with daily drops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tokila Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 7 minutes ago, Daxtreme said: It did happen to Avatar though. 17M sunday vs 19M monday. Highly likely it happens again this week-end, since TFA doesn't hold like Avatar in most cases. true, even I have this weekend at 37-41-30 which would have sunday lower than monday. Thats 28% drop weekend. 3X avatar drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daxtreme Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 The very fact that we have no idea how it's behave is really exciting. Daily drops say the week-end should be closer to 90M, but week-end drops say the week-end should be closer to 100-120M, what the hell? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bamajagala Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 Following TFA's own pattern from the latter half of last week and it's second weekend I come up with the following W-TH-F-Sat-Sun predictions: W 29.5 / TH 21 (-30%) / F 37.5 (+79%) / SAT 43 (+15%) / SUN 26 (-40%) - 106 3rd weekend, 758 gross. TFA's Christmas eve drop was 28%. Avatar's NY eve drop was 20%. Avatar's third Sunday drop from Saturday was 33%. This seems reasonable. Sent from my DROID RAZR HD using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 3 minutes ago, Daxtreme said: The very fact that we have no idea how it's behave is really exciting. Daily drops say the week-end should be closer to 90M, but week-end drops say the week-end should be closer to 100-120M, what the hell? Daily's are more recent . I'm guessing 95m to 105m, far too many underestimates in this SW run. Also your (James Cameron's) Avatar of the Star Wars girl, she reminds me of a lord of the rings character. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 38 minutes ago, druv10 Maul said: Gitesh sounds so butthurt it's ridiculous with his 12.5 nonsense. If he's going to be a smartass be precise and say 12.20833 days. Business hours for a single-day time-frame are 6AM - 5:59AM though. So previews starting at 7PM counted up till 5:50 shows would be about 0.5 days (.46 days to be precise). 57M made from 7PM Thursday - 5:59 AM Friday and 62M from 6AM Friday - 5:59 Saturday would be 119M in about 1.5 BO tracking days. I personally hold the same standard for the old midnight previews. For example, TDKR from 12AM Fri - 5:59 Fri made ~30M and ~45M from 6AM Fri - 5:59 Sat. 75M in roughly 1.25 days. ~160.9M 3.25 day weekend. Same standard with TA, or TDK, or whatever else. Makes sense ITO shows as well. TFA had ~198,000 shows from Fri-Sun, without previews. About 66K per day, and somewhere between 30-35K shows from Thursday 7PM - Friday 5:59 AM, which is half of how many it had in the other 24-hour frames. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avatree Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 (edited) Wednesday-to-Wednesday, Star Wars dropped -0.03% at my cinema. (yes that is it sold 1 ticket less) Edited December 31, 2015 by Salacious Tree Crumb 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rustyspoons89 Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 4 minutes ago, Salacious Tree Crumb said: Wednesday-to-Wednesday, Star Wars dropped -0.03% at my cinema. (yes that is it sold 1 ticket less) You should have bought 1 ticket yourself 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 Sw7 has been averaging 1500 tickets on one avx screen daily on Monday tues and Wednesday this week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sagemode87 Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 2 hours ago, WrathOfHan said: If it increases 1.8% today (30,060,097) and decreases 20% from that (24,048,077), JW is toast. Doesn't make it a better movie. Star Wars just has a more rabid fanbase. TFA was overrated garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozymandias Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 1 minute ago, Sagemode87 said: Doesn't make it a better movie. Star Wars just has a more rabid fanbase. TFA was overrated garbage. someone call the waaaahhhhbulance 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 Sw7 like it or not will be a very quoted and known movie more so then Jw and Ta 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orestes Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 1 minute ago, Lordmandeep said: Sw7 like it or not will be a very quoted and known movie more so then Jw and Ta It's true. All of it. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Claire of Themyscira Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 5 minutes ago, Sagemode87 said: Doesn't make it a better movie. Star Wars just has a more rabid fanbase. TFA was overrated garbage. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 11 minutes ago, Sagemode87 said: Doesn't make it a better movie. Star Wars just has a more rabid fanbase. TFA was overrated garbage. If rabid fanbases were what was needed for 800m+ grossers, the Dark Knight Rises would be champ with 2b domestic. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 16 minutes ago, Sagemode87 said: Doesn't make it a better movie. Star Wars just has a more rabid fanbase. TFA was overrated garbage. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
