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WrathOfHan

Weekend Actuals (Page 93): TFA 42.35M | The Revenant 39.83M | Daddy's Home 15.02M | The Forest 12.74M | Sisters 7.19M

By WrathOfHan, in Numbers and Data

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RamblinRed Box Office Gold

RamblinRed

Posted
Posted

Not a strong hold for TFA this weekend but the actuals keep the B train in conversation for another week, but TFA would need a strong hold next week to keep that train in conversation.

 

The train is slowing down but hasn't derailed quite yet.

 

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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

Posted
Posted


FOX:
The Revenant (2015)        $39,826,840    8793%    3,375    3371    $11,801         $41,383,741    
Alvin ... Road Chip              $5,703,675    -53%    2,972    -502        $1,919          $75,812,014        
Joy                                   $4,476,246    -56%    2,513    -411         $1,781         $46,531,854    
Brooklyn                            $1,055,322     -15%     294                    $3,590          $22,439,281
The Martian                          $375,913     -34%     271                    $1,387        $226,486,935     
Peanuts                                $276,096     -48%     286                       $965        $129,152,908     
Youth                                   $183,790     -48%     95                       $1,935           $1,997,136     
Maze R. Scorch Trials               $17,497    -41%    39    -9                    $449          $81,687,587  

 

Sony:
Concussion (2015)               $3,029,367    -61%    2,056    -785         $1,473          $30,947,645    
Spectre                                 $403,519     -45%     379                     $1,065       $198,500,048     
Son of Saul ???
The Night Before                     $22,143     -76%     64                          $346         $43,035,725     

 

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Daxtreme Box Office Gold

Daxtreme

Posted
Posted
23 minutes ago, Punishment said:

Last time posting this graph as TFA really isn't following any of the LOTR; it is actually following the Hobbit3 the most closely.  $925m to $950m is the more realistic range now.
 

rVCwYAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC

 

 

Hmm not sure what you're talking about concerning dailies? I compared the dailies for ROTK last week and TFA and this is what I got:

 

Monday: ROTK -  -68.2% , TFA -  -62.7%

Tuesday: ROTK -  -9.6% , TFA -  -0.7%

Wednesday: ROTK -  -10.4% , TFA -  -22.1%

Thursday: ROTK -  -8.5% , TFA -  -3.8%

 

TFA actually dropped 7.5% less than ROTK this week.

 

Unless you're comparing week-to-week? In that case, ROTK leads with an overall 6% better week-to-week drop. I don't think that The Hobbit 3 did that.

 

I'm curious though, just how are you calculating this?

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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

Posted
Posted (edited)

BOM allows only the copying of 19 titles at maximum:

January 8-10, 2016
weekend
     
TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week #
1 1 Star Wars 7 BV $42,353,785 -53.1% 4,134 - $10,245 $812,734,828 $200 4
2 23 Revenant Fox $39,826,840 +8,793.3% 3,375 +3,371 $11,801 $41,383,741 $135 3
3 2 Daddy's Home Par. $15,015,465 -48.6% 3,483 +141 $4,311 $116,329,041 - 3
4 N The Forest Gram. $12,741,176 - 2,451 - $5,198 $12,741,176 $10 1
5 4 Sisters Uni. $7,189,455 -43.7% 2,864 -114 $2,510 $74,899,400 $30 4
6 3 Hateful 8 Wein. $6,402,187 -59.2% 2,938 +464 $2,179 $41,525,007 $44 3
7 7 The Big Short Par. $6,174,503 -31.9% 2,529 +941 $2,441 $42,724,340 $28 5
8 5 Alvin .. Road Chip Fox $5,703,675 -52.8% 2,972 -502 $1,919 $75,812,014 - 4
9 6 Joy Fox $4,476,246 -56.2% 2,513 -411 $1,781 $46,531,854 $60 3
10 8 Concussion (2015) Sony $3,029,367 -61.4% 2,056 -785 $1,473 $30,947,645 $35 3
11 9 Point Break (2015) WB $2,200,000 -67.7% 1,981 -929 $1,111 $26,808,623 $105 3
12 10 HG Mockingjay  2 LGF $2,106,887 -54.4% 1,227 -258 $1,717 $277,578,497 $160 8
13 11 Good Dinosaur BV $1,748,321 -56.8% 1,190 -545 $1,469 $117,438,706 - 7
14 12 Creed WB $1,535,000 -58.9% 1,001 -374 $1,533 $105,626,494 $35 7
15 16 Carol Wein. $1,486,065 +25.8% 525 +336 $2,831 $7,004,358 - 8
16 14 Brooklyn FoxS $1,055,322 -15.5% 294 +9 $3,590 $22,439,281 - 10
17 15 Spotlight ORF $928,471 -21.7% 368 -17 $2,523 $28,546,477 - 10
18 13 The Danish Girl Focus $845,610 -45.2% 417 -32 $2,028 $7,605,915 - 7
19 N Wazir Relbig. $586,028 - 111 - $5,280 $586,028 - 1
Edited by terrestrial
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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

Posted
Posted

estimates

1 STAR WARS 7
Buena Vista

4,134 		$10,760,000

+80.2% / $2,603
$781,141,043 / 22 		$19,213,000

+78.6% / $4,648
$800,354,043 / 23 		$11,657,000

-39.3% / $2,820
$812,011,043 / 24
N/A
2 THE REVENANT
Fox

3,375 		$14,350,000

+29830.8% / $4,252
$15,906,901 / 15 		$15,200,000

+5.9% / $4,504
$31,106,901 / 16 		$8,450,000

-44.4% / $2,504
$39,556,901 / 17
N/A
3 DADDY'S HOME
Paramount

3,483 		$4,200,000

+183% / $1,206
$105,513,576 / 15 		$6,955,000

+65.6% / $1,997
$112,468,576 / 16 		$3,845,000

-44.7% / $1,104
$116,313,576 / 17
N/A
4 THE FOREST
Gramercy

2,451 		$4,975,000

-- / $2,030
$4,975,000 / 1 		$5,234,000

+5.2% / $2,135
$10,209,000 / 2 		$2,879,000

-45% / $1,175
$13,088,000 / 3
N/A
5 SISTERS
Universal

2,864 		$2,260,000

+105.1% / $789
$69,969,945 / 22 		$3,170,000

+40.3% / $1,107
$73,139,945 / 23 		$1,740,000

-45.1% / $608
$74,879,945 / 24
N/A
6 THE HATEFUL 8
Weinstein Company

2,938 		$1,932,000

+49.5% / $658
$37,054,820 / 15 		$2,762,000

+43% / $940
$39,816,820 / 16 		$1,657,000

-40% / $564
$41,473,820 / 17
N/A

 

actuals

 

Rank* Title Friday
1/8 		Saturday
1/9 		Sunday
1/10 		Monday
1/11
1 STAR WARS 7
Buena Vista

4,134 		$10,744,380

+79.9% / $2,599
$781,125,423 / 22 		$19,204,072

+78.7% / $4,645
$800,329,495 / 23 		$12,405,333

-35.4% / $3,001
$812,734,828 / 24
N/A
2 THE REVENANT
Fox

3,375 		$14,351,951

+29834.8% / $4,252
$15,908,852 / 15 		$15,275,109

+6.4% / $4,526
$31,183,961 / 16 		$10,199,780

-33.2% / $3,022
$41,383,741 / 17
N/A
3 DADDY'S HOME
Paramount

3,483 		$4,172,587

+181.2% / $1,198
$105,486,163 / 15 		$6,904,902

+65.5% / $1,982
$112,391,065 / 16 		$3,937,976

-43% / $1,131
$116,329,041 / 17
N/A
4 THE FOREST
Gramercy

2,451 		$4,972,757

-- / $2,029
$4,972,757 / 1 		$5,197,159

+4.5% / $2,120
$10,169,916 / 2 		$2,571,260

-50.5% / $1,049
$12,741,176 / 3
N/A
5 ALVIN ROAD CHIP
Fox

2,972 		$1,100,940

+174.9% / $370
$71,209,279 / 22 		$2,842,560

+158.2% / $956
$74,051,839 / 23 		$1,760,175

-38.1% / $592
$75,812,014 / 24
N/A
6 SISTERS
Universal

2,864 		$2,263,745

+105.4% / $790
$69,973,690 / 22 		$3,178,050

+40.4% / $1,110
$73,151,740 / 23 		$1,747,660

-45% / $610
$74,899,400 / 24
N/A
7 THE HATEFUL 8
Weinstein Company

2,938 		$1,929,849

+49.3% / $657
$37,052,669 / 15 		$2,764,196

+43.2% / $941
$39,816,865 / 16 		$1,708,142

-38.2% / $581
$41,525,007 / 17
N/A

 

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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

Posted
Posted (edited)
43 minutes ago, RamblinRed said:

Not a strong hold for TFA this weekend but ..

 

Not sure what you mean, especially as the need to see can get fullfilled faster via theater count, but I see a slight difference in consition via the 2nd placed too (didn't I wrote that in this thread already? Sounds a bit familiar)

 

4th weekend Avatar in 2010

TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week #
1 1 Avatar Fox $50,306,217 -26.6% 3,422 -39 $14,701 $430,846,514 - 4
2 2 Sherlock Holmes WB $16,585,327 -54.7% 3,626 - $4,574 $165,153,093 $90 3

 

4th weekend SW 7 2016

TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week #
1 1 Star Wars 7 BV $42,353,785 -53.1% 4,134 - $10,245 $812,734,828 $200 4
2 23 Revenant Fox $39,826,840 +8,793.3% 3,375 +3,371 $11,801 $41,383,741 $135 3

 

TOP WEEKENDS: 4TH

Rank Title (click to view) Studio Weeknd
Gross* 		% of Total Theaters / Avg. Total Gross^ Date**
1 Avatar Fox $50,306,217 6.7% 3,422 $14,701 $749,766,139 12/18/09
2 Star Wars 7 BV $41,630,000 5.1% 4,134 $10,070 $812,011,043 12/18/15

 

 

 

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Punishment Box Office Gold

Punishment

Posted
Posted
51 minutes ago, Daxtreme said:

 

Hmm not sure what you're talking about concerning dailies? I compared the dailies for ROTK last week and TFA and this is what I got:

 

Monday: ROTK -  -68.2% , TFA -  -62.7%

Tuesday: ROTK -  -9.6% , TFA -  -0.7%

Wednesday: ROTK -  -10.4% , TFA -  -22.1%

Thursday: ROTK -  -8.5% , TFA -  -3.8%

 

TFA actually dropped 7.5% less than ROTK this week.

 

Unless you're comparing week-to-week? In that case, ROTK leads with an overall 6% better week-to-week drop. I don't think that The Hobbit 3 did that.

 

I'm curious though, just how are you calculating this?

 

I'm using the exact daily drops for each movie.  The Monday to Thursday drops are reasonably close (as you have noted), but the Friday increase was way off; FOTR +198%, TTT +144%, and ROTK +118% compared to TFA +80%.  The LOTR movies increased well over 100% for the next few Fridays as well and that is why I'm doubtful that TFA will follow any of those movies.

 

I'm hoping to be wrong though and maybe TFA will surprise us and have more than a 100% increase this coming Friday.

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