Tuesday's # (13. January) Revenant 4.95M | SW 7 $3.84 | DH 1.13 | Forest 812k | H8 793k | Sister 757k | Big Short 737k| chart p.5

[stripe]

3 hours ago, lobo007 said:

it's because TFA has run for 27 days without losing a single theater.  it will probably run one more day before the inevitable drop.  losing theaters/screens is what kills a blockbuster's legs the fastest.  JW only lasted 19 days before losing 10% of its theaters and another 7% (of its original amount) just a week later, yet still managed dailies (non-weekend) that were higher than TFA.  Granted it was summer days, but people still had to work and there was more competition from other studios.  the MLK weekend is happening too late to really help TFA.  maybe it adds another $5 million between Sunday and Monday, but the divisional playoffs are coming as well as the Revenant's strong holds along with Ride Along 2 and 13 Hours.  i wouldn't be surprised if TFA manages less than $20 million for the 3 day weekend.

 

If you know the difference between July and January weekdays, why even compare them?

 

Fact against your point: 4th weekly total for JW: 45.2M against around 56M for TFA. Still way ahead of JW despite Summer boost. Next week TFA will gain another +10M difference over JW (it made 27M).

 

Also, how can it gross less than 20M this weekend? Do some maths! Even if Thursday is 2.5M (hard to see), it would jump to around 5M for Friday, then to 9M for Saturday, and drop to 7M on Sunday. Which still is a gross comfortably over 20M.

 

 

 

 

 

[Noctis]

3 hours ago, JonathanLB said:

All Star Wars movies, especially and including the prequels, are my favorite movies ever made. So, no, I don't agree with you. They are masterful films and incredibly rewatchable. I don't mind if someone else doesn't like them, but that doesn't make their opinion any more valid. They are great films and ROTS has always been regarded highly among fans and critics. It's an incredible trilogy and it's Star Wars. To me, nothing is better than Star Wars. Nothing. 

 

[Clef Ment]

3 hours ago, JonathanLB said:

 especially and including the prequels

 

[1Robert1]

Let's do some math first let's exclude China gross, if domestic gross will be in same percentage range as Ep 1-3 it will do between 45-48%.

900 mln (domestic) = 975mln ( OS minus china = 52% total gross) mln or 1100 mln( if OS minus China =55% total gross) 

925 mln = 1.002 bln or 1.130

950 mln = 1.03 bln   or 1.160  

975 mln = 1.056 bln or 1.190

1 bln =      1.083 bln or 1.220

 

In China thread the're predicting 120 mln. I think it will end somewhere between 925-950 in north america, and OS gross will be somewhere between 52%-55% (let's say 53.5%). So my predictions is that it will end between 2.11 bln and 2.165 bln.

[Omni]

The Grown Ups movies are masterpieces and I really love them. The're better than Barry Lindon and Day of Wrath, and if you don't agree, that doesn't make your opinion any more valid.

 

And Adam Sandler is the best actor of all time.

[POTUS 2020]

no best pic Oscar nom for SW7.

score and visual effects though

sound editing and mixing too

Edited January 14, 2016 by No Prisoners

[TimmyRiggins]

Best pic was always a long shot. You forgot it got a nod for editing too. (not sound, but film)

[jedieb]

Best Original Score as well. They should have thrown in the Best Pic as well. The critical and historic BO success earned it a nomination. I'm not saying it would have deserved the statue when all was said and done, but they could have at least nominated it. Especially now that up to 10 pics can get nominations.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[Hatebox]

I liked TFA enough, but no, it didn't deserve a BP nomination. The Academy can't be obligated to recognise something just because it's wildly popular and the good reviews were sighs of relief as much as anything else. If Carol can't have one then TFA certainly can't.

Edited January 14, 2016 by Hatebox

[rustyspoons89]

I hope it wins best score. The music is beautifully done

[rustyspoons89]

I could see SW7 having less than stellar legs from this point. It burned off such a huge demand in such a short period of time. It's hard to imagine it performing like "normal" from here on out. Because let's face it... Nothing about its first few weeks was normal. But we shall see...

 

Those first 2-3 weeks were nothing short of legendary... 40 million dailies! Those were the days. 

[SWXII]

Expecting Wednesday's numbers to be poor across the board. Powerball

[hw64]

snip

Edited January 14, 2016 by hw64

[spazz91]

Just now, hw64 said:

Maybe the reason Cameron hasn't made J.J./Disney a congratulations is because of the fact that domestic gross isn't as relevant as it was 2 or 3 decades ago when the other pictures were made.

 

Nah he's still just writing the screenplay for the congratulations.

[terrestrial]

The-Numbers weekend prediction (all for the 4-day weekend) :

 

http://www.the-numbers.com/news/210940830-Weekend-Predictions-Along-for-the-Ride

Quote

 

When I first looked at Ride Along 2's reviews, there was one review and it was positive. Since then, there have been 17 negative reviews in a row. Ouch.... ..... Ride Along 2 earn over $50 million during this four-day weekend. However, bad reviews the first time and even worse reviews this time will likely result in a drop-off. I'm going with $42 million, but that's over the full four-day long weekend.

 

The Revenant should remain in second place. Its reviews and its Awards Season success should help it over the weekend. Look for $31 million over the four-day weekend putting it close to $90 million in total. ...

 

Star Wars 7 should be next with $30 million over four days putting it past $850 million domestically. T...

 

13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Beng...The first four reviews were negative, but since then its Tomatometer Score has climbed past 60% positive. Its buzz is okay, but nothing more. It should earn a theater average of $10,000, over the four-day weekend. With an opening theater count of 2,400 that would give it an opening weekend of $25 million....

 

Daddy's Home should round out the top five with $12 million, again over four days....

 

Norm of the North, .... I'm going with an opening four-day weekend of $8 million, but I fear I am being too generous.

 

 

Edited January 14, 2016 by terrestrial

[terrestrial]

And BO.com's prediction:

 

Quote

Title	Release Date	Distributor	Weekend	Dom. till Monday Jan 18
Ride Along 2	Jan 15, 2016	Universal	$41,000,000	$41,000,000
Star Wars: The Force Awakens	Dec 18, 2015	Disney	$32,500,000	$858,000,000
The Revenant (2015)	Dec 25, 2015	Fox	$32,000,000	$89,700,000
13 Hours: T.Secret Soldiers o.Benghazi	Jan 15, 2016	Paramount	$25,000,000	$25,000,000
Daddy's Home	Dec 25, 2015	Paramount	$12,500,000	$132,400,000
Norm of the North	Jan 15, 2016	Lionsgate	$10,000,000	$10,000,000
The Forest	Jan 8, 2016	Focus/Gram.	$6,800,000	$22,200,000
The Big Short	Dec 11, 2015	Paramount	$6,500,000	$51,700,000
Sisters	Dec 18, 2015	Universal	$5,500,000	$81,900,000
Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip	Dec 18, 2015	Fox	$4,800,000	$81,500,000
The Hateful Eight	Dec 25, 2015	Weinstein	$4,300,000	$48,400,000
Joy	Dec 25, 2015	Fox	$3,300,000	$51,800,000
Spotlight	Nov 6, 2015	Open Road	$2,900,000	$31,800,000

 

the reasoning... is here to read:

http://pro.boxoffice.com/featured_stories/2016-01-weekend-forecast-ride-along-2-the-force-awakens-the-revenant-13-hours-norm-of-the-north

[terrestrial]

new thread is up

 

 

[lilmac]

On 1/13/2016 at 1:45 PM, Punishment said:

 

Yea, $920 seems about right to me as well; was hoping for $938,490,001 , but that doesn't look very likely now.

 

according to @spizzer $920m beats ESB, TPM and ROTJ's first run (attendance). Even Avatar's I believe.