Weekend revised estimates and 4 days totals pg 43 4 day est: RA2: 41.6: The Rev: 39.0... SW7: 32.5

[WrathOfHan]

2 minutes ago, grim22 said:

 

Paramount’s 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi charted $900K from 1,995 theaters. Opening weekend estimates over four-days are in the low $20M range.

Solid numbers. Given this is targeting conservatives the debate probably prevented it from 1M.

[TalismanRing]

3 minutes ago, grim22 said:

 

Paramount’s 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi charted $900K from 1,995 theaters. Opening weekend estimates over four-days are in the low $20M range.

 

 

Ooh, I should be close with this and R2.  Norm and my $3.2m predict though will probably sink me.   I know it should be higher but at the last minute I couldn't see why it should open bigger than Shaun The Sheep for Lionsgate.  I wanted to think better of parents than that.  

[WrathOfHan]

2 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

 

Ooh, I should be close with this and R2.  Norm and my $3.2m predict though will probably sink me.   I know it should be higher but at the last minute I couldn't see why it should open bigger than Shaun The Sheep for Lionsgate.  I wanted to think better of parents than that.  

Norm actually had marketing though.

[CJohn]

I am getting eliminated from the Derby Tournament.  

[TalismanRing]

7 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Norm actually had marketing though.

 

Which should have given parents even more reason not to abuse their children by taking them to see it. 

[WrathOfHan]

2 minutes ago, CJohn said:

I am getting eliminated from the Derby Tournament.  

Looking at your match, both you and WildBill went low on 13 Hours, so it's really going to come down to Ride Along, Norm, and The Big Short

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

3 minutes ago, CJohn said:

I am getting eliminated from the Derby Tournament.  

Haahahahahahaha.

 

I already lost. Forgot to submit predictions 

[Jim Shorts]

10 minutes ago, CJohn said:

I am getting eliminated from the Derby Tournament.  

 

 

[The Panda]

1 hour ago, Mockingjay Raphael said:

With it's 57% score at Tomatoes, 13H is the most well received movie from God Bay since..... T1? LMFAO

 

Insane legs are coming 

 

I can see why it's his most well received from a technical standpoint. (although that's not saying much, the bulk of the positive reviews are 2.5/5 or 3/5s) But this is only going to play well (in general) with a very specific crowd.  More so than most Bayflicks.

 

I think legs will be much worse than Lone Survivor.

[DAR]

1 hour ago, grey ghost said:

 

You mean this year's Inside Out?

 

1 hour ago, DAJK said:

That's lowballing. This years TFA for sure

 

 

I'm thinking between AOU and JW

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, George Parr said:

Deadline now lists some further Thursday numbers as well:

 

The Revenant 4 million

TFA 3.1 million

 

https://deadline.com/2016/01/ride-along-2-begins-to-zoom-in-thursday-previews-box-office-1201683644/

 

34 minutes ago, grim22 said:

 

Paramount’s 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi charted $900K from 1,995 theaters. Opening weekend estimates over four-days are in the low $20M range.

nice Oscar bump for revenant. high 20s locked? looks like high teen for 13. near my picks. referring to 3 day totals

I smell derby victory already. its all up to Norm, RT at 4% that will be the butthurt pick for many including my opponent I hope. Fanboy at 9.8m, Im at 5m

[DAJK]

I actually find that a tad disappointing for 13 Hours :/ Say it actually gets American Sniper legs, it barely does 20M for the 4-day.

 

Also, @Baumer or @Lordmandeep or anyone else in Canada, is it just where I live or is 13 Hours extremely limited in Canada? I mean, I can't find in anywhere within 2-3 hours of me. I would either have to go all the way to Victoria or Vancouver to see it :/

[MJL]

If TFA is around 3.1M, this could be the start of it's late legs.  Think of this.  Avatar decreased about 8% on Thursday from it's Monday number.  If this holds, TFA would have stayed flat from Monday.  I'm hoping for further signs of this showing up in today's bump.  Predictions:

 

Fri - 7.2m (+132%)

Sat - 12m (+67%)

Sun - 10.2m (-15%)

Mon - 7.8m (-24%)

 

3 day - 29.4m

4 day - 37.2m

[filmlover]

War movies typically founder when they don't have big stars front and center or aren't Oscar contenders. 13 Hours has neither of those so a $15-20M opening would be solid for it.

Edited January 15, 2016 by filmlover

[TalismanRing]

3 minutes ago, MJL said:

If TFA is around 3.1M, this could be the start of it's late legs.  Think of this.  Avatar decreased about 8% on Thursday from it's Monday number.  If this holds, TFA would have stayed flat from Monday.  I'm hoping for further signs of this showing up in today's bump.  Predictions:

 

Fri - 7.2m (+132%)

Sat - 12m (+67%)

Sun - 10.2m (-15%)

Mon - 7.8m (-24%)

 

3 day - 29.4m

4 day - 37.2m

 

TFA is losing some of it's IMAX to Revenant this w/e which I expect contributed to see it one last time for some on Thur and which will also slightly impact the w/e #s

[kayumanggi]

[terrestrial]

Thursday's actual = not the same thread as Thursday previews a.k.a. weekend thread????

 

Only to be clear, I am not asking if I can open a thread, not enough time to do so. Just wondering...

[grim22]

1 minute ago, kayumanggi said:

 

Apparently TFA will end its China run with a lower gross than Terminator: Genisys  

[MJL]

4 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

TFA is losing some of it's IMAX to Revenant this w/e which I expect contributed to see it one last time for some on Thur and which will also slightly impact the w/e #s

True, it's losing 312 theaters per Mojo, but keep in mind that Avatar lost 137 theaters on this same weekend.  It will sting a bit and bring down the average ticket price, but I'm feeling there is still enough demand to make up for it.  Personally, I feel we haven't seen all the tricks up TFA's sleeve yet.

[TalismanRing]

5 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

Thursday's actual = not the same thread as Thursday previews a.k.a. weekend thread????

 

Only to be clear, I am not asking if I can open a thread, not enough time to do so. Just wondering...

 

It's supposed to be a different topic.