Official Weekend Estimates (Page 30): The Jungle Book - 60.8M (96M OS) | The Huntsman: Winter's War - 20.1M | Barbershop 3 - 10.8M | Zootopia - 6.6M | BvS - 5.5M

[filmlover]

In limited news, A Hologram for the King is looking at $1M for the whole weekend from 401 theaters. It still feels surreal that we have reached the point where a Tom Hanks vehicle could fly so under the radar.

 

Also, The Meddler is looking at $45K from 4 theaters. Probably doesn't indicate much room for expansion, unfortunately.

Edited April 23, 2016 by filmlover

[kitik]

8 minutes ago, The Panda Knight said:

I can see, that'd be 10 300m films.

 

Star Wars: Rogue One - 550m

Finding Dory - 500m

Captain America: Civil War - 450m

Deadpool - 360m

Moana - 350m

Zootopia - 335m

The Jungle Book - 330m

Batman v Superman - 325m

Suicide Squad - 315m

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 300m / Some other major breakout

 

 

Plus add in Independence Day, X-Men, and seriously, Ghostbusters has a shot too.

 

I think Independence Day has a better shot than SS or even Moana or FB.

X-Men will probably finish somewhere in the 200-270 range, but 300 is definitely not impossible, coming off the very well-received DOFP (and Deadpool).

And X-Men will probably finish above Ghostbusters too, but of all the films due this summer, Ghostbusters probably has the widest range of possible outcomes. It could wind up anywhere between 125 and 300.

 

Add them all together, and 10 films hitting 300M is definitely a possibility. A lock? No. But certainly a realistic possibility, and not just some pie in the sky dream.

[La Binoche]

So surprising that a movie about a bunny girl who wants to be a cop is making this kind of money. It really does speak to how people will connect to good characters and good story, even if the character is a bunny girl and the story is about her wanting to become a cop. 

Edited April 23, 2016 by La Binoche

[Dingdong123]

4 minutes ago, Agafin said:

Looks like Zootopia could have a bigger eighth weekend than TFA ($6,973,316) and consequently, a better eighth weekend than any movie released in 2014 or 2015. In fact, based on BOM's list, it has a little chance of cracking the Top 20 (needs to beat The King's Speech's $7,230,790 weekend). This bunny has great legs.

 

Deadline currently has a prediction of 6.8 million weekend for Zoo based on Friday. Either way this is so damn amazing.

[Orly]

1 minute ago, La Binoche said:

So surprising that a movie about a bunny girl who wants to be a cop is making this kind of money.

Furries are a thing

[a2k]

36 minutes ago, kitik said:

 

 

Forget 225. What's the record for most $300M movies in a year?

 

Nevermind, just looked it up, the record used to be 5 movies in 2012, but then 2015 just broke it with 6 last year.

 

What do you guys think? I say 2016 could shatter the old record. I want to see 10 movies hit $300M this year!

 

Who's with me? 10th place movie over $300M this year?

 

DP, ZOOTP, BVS, TJB, CW, DORY, ROGUE ONE - 7 are locked for 300m+ so the 2015 record will go down.

Am betting on SS, MOANA, FB to make it 10 films at/above 300m.

ID:R has a shot too.

Edited April 23, 2016 by a2knet

[TalismanRing]

3 minutes ago, Orly said:

Furries are a thing

 

That didn't help Norm Of The North.

 

(though it still made too much $!)

[The Panda]

5 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

So surprising that a movie about a bunny girl who wants to be a cop is making this kind of money. It really does speak to how people will connect to good characters and good story, even if the character is a bunny girl and the story is about her wanting to become a cop. 

 

It's a fantastic movie with a great moral center that resonates with children and adults.  It's intelligent and accessible.  

[POTUS 2020]

20 minutes ago, Dingdong123 said:

 

Deadline currently has a prediction of 6.8 million weekend for Zoo based on Friday. Either way this is so damn amazing.

It's done 4x Friday outside of spring break. 7m+ likely

[sfran43]

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
1	(1)	The Jungle Book	Walt Disney	$16,380,000	+194%	4,028	$4,067	$147,054,426	8
-	(2)	Barbershop: The Next Cut	Warner Bros.	$3,105,000	+199%	2,676	$1,160	$28,306,492	8
-	(5)	Zootopia	Walt Disney	$1,772,000	+213%	2,798	$633	$311,596,606	50
-	(4)	Batman v Superman: Dawn of …	Warner Bros.	$1,480,000	+147%	3,066	$483	$315,461,603	29
-	(-)	Saturday's Warrior	Purdie Distribution	$11,855	+186%	27	$439	$430,338	22

[MCKillswitch123]

I think ID2 has a slightly stronger chance at 300M than Fantastic Beasts. Both of these movies are, alongside Ghostbusters, easily the biggest question marks of the year in terms of range. But I think Resurgence benefits from a coveted mid June release date (even if it is a week removed off of what should be a bloodbath w/Finding Dory and Central Intelligence), potential major four-quadrant appeal and the ever so required Summer season D-porn. Plus, nostalgia.

 

While FB certainly has potential, especially since every Harry Potter movie adjusts to over 300M, I don't think it will because it's tying in w/the main Potter franchise doesn't seem clear enough that the casual people who are unaware that this is in the same universe as Potter can get a clue of that until well after OW (which could indicate strong legs... oh wait, it's Harry Potter. Potter + legs = not a good match). And don't forget that the Hobbit trilogy seemed much closer to LOTR than FB seems to tie to Potter, and only the 1st movie of those (Unexpected Journey) crossed 300M DOM, and BARELY so at that (303M).

 

I do agree that X-Men and Ghostbusters are also big time wildcards for 300M, albeit massively questionable ones on surface. I don't think they'll make it, but the potential is there. The former due to goodwill from Deadpool and DOFP if anything, but this all despite the fact that only Deadpool crossed 300M DOM for the franchise. And Ghostbusters, even though I personally hated the trailer so it's tough for me to admit it, because NOSTALGIA!!! and Melissa McCarthy, even though The Boss isn't doing so well right now, but hey, The Boss wouldn't ever have the same type of coverage as freaking Ghostbusters, now would it? None of these are anything close to locks, though, there's just a very, VERY small chance at that.

 

25 minutes ago, BourneFan #1 said:

Is it really though?

 

Well, I know a good bunch of people who did find a new interest in this movie after this trailer. I for one find myself in same group, as while I found the 1st trailer bland and meh, this one looked much more appealing. Does this mean that this movie is gonna be the next Jurassic World? No, but it's slowly jazzing people up a little more than before.

 

 

[RobinHood26]

This week we review Disney's The Jungle Book, breakdown the Dr. Strange Trailer, discuss James Cameron and his now 4 Avatar Sequels, our big box office predictions/recap, and more. http://cinemasesh.libsyn.com/cinema-sesh-42316-the-jungle-book-review-weekly-recap-in-film

 

I want to make this an unofficial podcast for the site. Lets get some members as guests!!! Hit me up if you wanna be on! And start asking questions! check out the thread in the Speakeasy http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/21497-cinema-sesh-podcast/

[DAJK]

Bleh.

[EmpireCity]

1 hour ago, kitik said:

 

 

Forget 225. What's the record for most $300M movies in a year?

 

Nevermind, just looked it up, the record used to be 5 movies in 2012, but then 2015 just broke it with 6 last year.

 

What do you guys think? I say 2016 could shatter the old record. I want to see 10 movies hit $300M this year!

 

Who's with me? 10th place movie over $300M this year?

 

 

I'm on record for 11 this year.  

 

- Finding Dory

- Rogue One

- Captain America: Civil War

- Deadpool

- Zootopia

- Jungle Book

- BvS

- Independence Day: Resurgence

- Secret Life of Pets

- Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them

- Suicide Squad

 

Something else like Moana could break out as well.  You can already lock 7 in for sure (Deadpool, Zootopia, BvS, Jungle Book, Civil War, Rogue One, Finding Dory), so going to have a new record.  

[EmpireCity]

39 minutes ago, a2knet said:

 

DP, ZOOTP, BVS, TJB, CW, DORY, ROGUE ONE - 7 are locked for 300m+ so the 2015 record will go down.

Am betting on SS, MOANA, FB to make it 10 films at/above 300m.

ID:R has a shot too.

 

Don't sleep on Secret Life of Pets either.  They are already in full advertising mode for it 3 months out and the trailer kills every time it plays.  

[MCKillswitch123]

This is how it could go:

 

#1 - Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - 500M+

#2 - Captain America: Civil War - 450M+

#3 - Finding Dory - 450M

#4 - Deadpool - 360M

#5 - The Jungle Book - 355M

#6 - Zootopia - 345M

#7 - Moana - 335M

#8 - Suicide Squad - 330M

#9 - Batman V Superman: Dawn Of Justice - 325M

#10 - Independence Day: Resurgence/Fantastic Beasts And Where To Find Them/some other freak of nature breakout - 300M+ (OR NOT... this is definitely the big question mark here)

 

@nilephelan Pets is gonna be HUGE, but I expect it to stop at 250M, maybe slightly more but no more. Seems like the schedule will be all too crowded for it to really go wild. It'll beat the 1st Despicable Me, but that's where I imagine they'll draw the line. But who knows, maybe it can freak out as well.

[SchumacherFTW]

I could see Pets being in the $300m club. Illumination is starting to become a recognised brand by the public, and the trailers and premise are appealing all over. I could see an 80/310 for it. 

[Asyulus]

Where are the Huntsman numbers?

[BourneFan #1]

I could see Pets hitting $300m but only if the reviews are really good. That could be a challenge for the studio that made Hop, The Lorax, and Minions however.

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Some very good holds for these next two weekends upcoming.