Weekend Estimates (Page 13): Jungle Book 42.4M | Keanu and Huntsman 9.4M | Mother's Day 8.3M | Barbershop 6.1M | Ratchet 4.8M | CIVIL WAR OS OW 200.2M!!!! (Page 14)

[kayumanggi]

LATIN AMERICA

 

Mexico

recorded the #1 industry opening of all time with a $20.9 million take

the weekend’s second largest sum from all overseas markets

 

Brazil

establish the same record with a $12.3 million take

[CoolioD1]

key's great on that show Playing House. it proves he'd do quite well as the lead in a romcom or something like that i think.

[kayumanggi]

EUROPE

 

United Kingdom

experienced the second biggest opening day and weekend of all time

grossed $20.5 million to come in third among all overseas markets

 

France

recorded the biggest opening day of the year en route to a $10.1 million bow

 

Germany

performed exceptionally well with an $8.1 million take

the market’s biggest 4 day opening weekend of 2016 thus far

 

Spain

$4.4 million debut is the market’s second biggest 3 day opening of 2016

behind fellow Disney release The Jungle Book

[kayumanggi]

IMAX is reporting a stellar per-screen average results across its key markets this weekend:

 

Hong Kong IMAX:  $112K  (4 screens)

 

Sweden IMAX:  $100K (1 screen)

 

Taiwan IMAX:  $75K (8 screens)

 

Vietnam IMAX:  $60K (1 screen)

 

Netherlands IMAX:  $60K (6 screens)

 

Australia IMAX:  $58K (5 screens)

 

France IMAX:  $55K (6 screens)

 

Indonesia IMAX:  $54K (5 screens)

 

Philippines IMAX:  $53K (8 screens) 

[baumer]

So some absolutely monstrous numbers internationally.  Really curious to see how high it goes in the US market this coming weekend.

[Bonenash]

yeah super good for CW but what amaze me more is the 3rd week end of TJB lol 7th of all time like this no one talk It's incredible dat legs nearly a sub 30% for a 3rd week end is super amazing the 6 th best is  Spiderman 1 so yeah.....

[department store basement]

Of note, this is the first "last weekend of April" to not have a film open north of 10m since 2007 when The Invisible and Next debuted.

[Maxmoser3]

This summer could be quite solid. But it's tough predicting the hits and flops. My top 20 summer movie forecast domestic: Captain America:Civil War:500 million, Finding Dory:400 million, Secret Life Of Pets:300 million, Suicide Squad: 295 million, X-Men:Apocylpse: 240 million, Independence Day: Resurgance: 225 million, Star Trek: Beyond: 200 million, Jason Bourne: 185 million, Ninja Turtles: Out Of Shadows: 165 million, Central Intelligence: 155 million, Ghostbusters: 155 million, Neighbors 2: Sorioty Rising: 145 million, Angry Birds: 140 million, The Conjuring 2: 130 million, Alice 2: 125 million, Sausage Party: 115 million, Mike & Dave Need Wedding Dates: 105 million, Ice Age 5: 100 million, Pete's Dragon: 95 million, BFG: 90 million. 

[baumer]

Just curious @Maxmoser3, Ice Age has been pretty consistent over the years, why do you see it dropping by about 40% this time?

[redfirebird2008]

That is a great third weekend for Jungle Book. Seems like $340-350m is in play depending on how it holds with Civil War joining the market. 

[MrPink]

30 minutes ago, Baumer said:

So Key and Peele are billed as the most successful sketch artists of all time and they had one TV show?

 

Yep, no wonder I've never heard of them.

 

Nah. I mean even in the new millennium you have somebody like Dave Chappelle and Block Party wasn't really a big hit despite that

[department store basement]

Despite Barbershop 3's success, the # of ratings for the earlier movies on IMDB haven't increased much at all.

 

Last year when Taken 3, Sponge Out of Water, Paul Blart 2, Pitch Perfect 2, Ted 2, Magic Mike XXL, Scorch Trials, Hotel Transylvania 2, and Spectre came out their predecessors all grew by many thousands in votes.

 

The same thing happened when Ride Along 2, Zoolander 2, Allegiant, and MBFGW 2 came out earlier this year.

 

The first Barbershop has only increased by 200 votes since B3's release.

 

Is Barbershop just a really niche franchise?

Edited May 1, 2016 by department store basement

[FilmBuff]

Trifecta of Zootopia, Civil War, Jungle Book.

 

[Maxmoser3]

16 minutes ago, Baumer said:

Just curious @Maxmoser3, Ice Age has been pretty consistent over the years, why do you see it dropping by about 40% this time?

Franchise Fatigue. Secret Life Of Pets, and Finding Dory are occupying families between June and July. Plus it could perform like Alvin 4.

 

[a2k]

	Alice in Wonderland	Oz The Great and Powerful	Maleficent	Cinderella	The Jungle Book
1	$116,101,023 3-7-10 / 1 3,728 / $31,143 - $116,101,023	$79,110,453 3-10-13 / 1 3,912 / $20,223 - $79,110,453	$69,431,298 6-1-14 / 1 3,948 / $17,586 - $69,431,298	$67,877,361 3-15-15 / 1 3,845 / $17,653 - $67,877,361	$103,261,464 4-17-16 / 1 4,028 / $25,636 - $103,261,464
2	$62,714,076 3-14-10 / 1 3,728 / $16,822 -46% $209,339,432	$41,252,704 3-17-13 / 1 3,912 / $10,545 -47.9% $144,056,326	$34,328,264 6-8-14 / 2 3,948 / $8,695 -50.6% $128,175,232	$34,967,659 3-22-15 / 2 3,848 / $9,087 -48.5% $122,516,793	$61,538,821 4-24-16 / 1 4,028 / $15,278 -40.4% $192,213,247
3	$34,189,969 3-21-10 / 1 3,739 / $9,144 -45.5% $265,433,637	$21,568,957 3-24-13 / 3 3,805 / $5,669 -47.7% $177,097,090	$18,504,997 6-15-14 / 3 3,623 / $5,108 -46.1% $163,021,529	$17,043,491 3-29-15 / 4 3,815 / $4,467 -51.3% $149,551,020	Est. $42,439,000 5-1-16 / 1 4,041 / $10,502 -31% $252,095,800
4	$17,707,858 3-28-10 / 2 3,384 / $5,233 -48.2% $293,534,935	$11,702,316 3-31-13 / 5 3,324 / $3,521 -45.7% $198,374,716	$12,910,766 6-22-14 / 5 3,450 / $3,742 -30.2% $185,879,334	$10,178,750 4-5-15 / 4 3,404 / $2,990 -40.3% $167,139,868	-

Edited May 1, 2016 by a2knet

[baumer]

2 minutes ago, Maxmoser3 said:

Franchise Fatigue. Secret Life Of Pets, and Finding Dory are occupying families between June and July. Plus it could perform like Alvin 4.

 

 

Interesting.  

 

[DAR]

I can't imagine Keanu cost that much to make so after home video should make a little profit .

[a2k]

If TJB falls 55% against CW, it will get 19m for ~282.5m.

 

Alice's 4th weekend was 17.7m for 293.5m. It then added 40.5m more to it's run.

Same legs would give TJB ~43.5m more for a 326m finish.

 

But it should have a better multiplier off the 4th weekend than Alice as it recovers from the CW weekend drop.

Cinderella's legs after the 4th weekend would give TJB 64m more for a 346.5m finish.

 

Spitting the difference between Alice's and Cinderella's legs after the 4th weekend gives TJB a ~336m dom total (assuming a -55% drop to 19m next week).

Edited May 1, 2016 by a2knet

[SteveJaros]

Wish WB would release Purple Rain numbers.

[baumer]

7 minutes ago, a2knet said:

If TJB falls 55% against CW, it will get 19m for ~282.5m.

 

Alice's 4th weekend was 17.7m for 293.5m. It then added 40.5m more to it's run.

Same legs would give TJB ~43.5m more for a 326m finish.

 

But it should have a better multiplier off the 4th weekend than Alice as it recovers from the CW weekend drop.

Cinderella's legs after the 4th weekend would give TJB 64m more for a 346.5m finish.

 

Spitting the difference between Alice's and Cinderella's legs after the 4th weekend gives TJB a ~336m dom total (assuming a -55% drop to 19m next week).

 

Why would TJB fall more than 50% against CW?

 

Deadpool fell less than 40% against BvS opening

KFP fell 46% against WallE opening.