Weekend Estimates (Page 13): Jungle Book 42.4M | Keanu and Huntsman 9.4M | Mother's Day 8.3M | Barbershop 6.1M | Ratchet 4.8M | CIVIL WAR OS OW 200.2M!!!! (Page 14)

[redfirebird2008]

7 minutes ago, a2knet said:

If TJB falls 55% against CW, it will get 19m for ~282.5m.

 

Alice's 4th weekend was 17.7m for 293.5m. It then added 40.5m more to it's run.

Same legs would give TJB ~43.5m more for a 326m finish.

 

But it should have a better multiplier off the 4th weekend than Alice as it recovers from the CW weekend drop.

Cinderella's legs after the 4th weekend would give TJB 64m more for a 346.5m finish.

 

Spitting the difference between Alice's and Cinderella's legs after the 4th weekend gives TJB a ~336m dom total (assuming a -55% drop to 19m next week).

 

Given the fact it is Disney just like Civil War, I wouldn't be surprised if it has a better hold than that. Drive-In double features will help, plus good old fashioned fudge from the studio. 

[Maxmoser3]

Dreadful weekend on the stateside. The Jungle Book has another yet solid hold  this weekend and has passed the $250 million mark this weekend! With Captain America: Civil war entering the marketplace in a couple of days. The Jungle Book still has momentum to hold strong, and make at least $345 million domestic.                                               Last weekend's opener, The Huntsman took a steep drop and is dying down big time from its predcessors. With the summer season coming up next weekend, and mixed word of mouth. The Huntsman will dissapear. Overall, The Huntsman should just make around $45 milion domestic.                                                                                                     The head of the three bleh newcomers this weekend, Keanu wasnt  too far at third place with an estimated $9.3 million which is higher than the debut of 2010 action comedy Macgruber. It is slightly below expectations(which was expected to about $10 million OW), Keanu could likely have second life on home video and Netflix(which I actually really liked Keanu, it was funny and the action scenes with the comedy worked just fine). But with just the film being aimed towards Key & Peele(which their sketch  show on Comedy Central ended last fall).  Overall, Keanu should be just a modest little hit but nothing special, and should end its run around $25 million.                                             Other new release, Mother's Day debuted with an estimated $8.2 million which is director Garry Marshall's lowest grossing debut since Georgia Rule back in 2007 and was slightly higher than the debut of 2013's The Big Wedding. Mother's Day also marks as Jennifer Anniston's weakest debut since Wanderlust back in 2012, and was on-par with the debut of co-star Kate Hudson's 2008 film My Best Friend's Girl(which had better attendance). With bleh word of mouth, Mother's Day should leave theaters in a few weeks. Look for a domestic total close to $20 million.    Other new release, video game film Ratchet & Clank bombed with an estimated $4 million  this weekend the film should fall short of $10 million domestic.                                             

[DAJK]

Even after that amazing Super Bowl triller, I could never have imagine Jungle Book doing as well as it is

[Mango]

Jungle Book just keeps kicking ass.

[a2k]

12 minutes ago, Baumer said:

 

Why would TJB fall more than 50% against CW? Deadpool fell less than 40% against BvS opening

DP was in it's 7th weekend making ~5m when BVS opened.

TJB is meeting CW earlier in the 4th weekend.

But to add to your point, ZOOTP's 4th weekend only fell 35% against BVS's OW.

So wouldn't be surprised if TJB pulled of a 40-45% drop.

 

KFP fell 46% against WallE opening.  

KFP3 feel 60% against ZOOTP. But I don't think that will happen with TJB at all.

 

I went with 55% just to show in how good position TJB is. Even in that case it's on track to beat Alice's total.

 

Edited May 1, 2016 by a2knet

[Maxmoser3]

April 2016 was smack dab on-par with 2014 and 2015. With just slightly less than 2015 but ahead of 2014.http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/biggestmonths.htm?page=4&p=.htm

Edited May 1, 2016 by Maxmoser3

[chasmmi]

59 minutes ago, Maxmoser3 said:

This summer could be quite solid. But it's tough predicting the hits and flops. My top 20 summer movie forecast domestic: Captain America:Civil War:500 million, Finding Dory:400 million, Secret Life Of Pets:300 million, Suicide Squad: 295 million, X-Men:Apocylpse: 240 million, Independence Day: Resurgance: 225 million, Star Trek: Beyond: 200 million, Jason Bourne: 185 million, Ninja Turtles: Out Of Shadows: 165 million, Central Intelligence: 155 million, Ghostbusters: 155 million, Neighbors 2: Sorioty Rising: 145 million, Angry Birds: 140 million, The Conjuring 2: 130 million, Alice 2: 125 million, Sausage Party: 115 million, Mike & Dave Need Wedding Dates: 105 million, Ice Age 5: 100 million, Pete's Dragon: 95 million, BFG: 90 million. 

 

If only there were a way to put one's money where one's mouth is... oh wait!  

 

 

 

[filmlover]

Let's not forget The Jungle Book will be everyone's #1 alternative if Captain America is sold out.

[SWXII]

14 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Even after that amazing Super Bowl triller, I could never have imagine Jungle Book doing as well as it is

 

I think you just coined a new word. A trailer that is exciting and/or compelling can now be refered to as a triller.  Nice work.

[a2k]

Date (click to view chart)	Rank	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theaters	Change / Avg.		Gross-to-Date	Week #
Mar 4–6	1	$75,063,401	-	3,827	-	$19,614	$75,063,401	1
Mar 11–13	1	$51,339,887	-31.6%	3,827	-	$13,415	$143,955,013	2
Mar 18–20	1	$37,164,158	-27.6%	3,959	+132	$9,387	$200,929,655	3
Mar 25–27	2	$24,022,288	-35.4%	3,670	-289	$6,546	$241,431,697	4
Apr 1–3	2	$19,325,291	-19.6%	3,698	+28	$5,226	$275,264,601	5
Apr 8–10	3	$14,345,422	-25.8%	3,444	-254	$4,165	$296,004,904	6
Apr 15–17	5	$8,142,641	-43.2%	3,209	-235	$2,537	$307,386,397	7
Apr 22–24	4	$6,579,545	-19.2%	2,798	-411	$2,352	$316,404,151	8
Apr 29–May 1	6	$5,006,000	-23.9%	2,487	-311	$2,013	$323,518,489	9

[SWXII]

4 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Date (click to view chart)	Rank	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theaters	Change / Avg.		Gross-to-Date	Week #
Mar 4–6	1	$75,063,401	-	3,827	-	$19,614	$75,063,401	1
Mar 11–13	1	$51,339,887	-31.6%	3,827	-	$13,415	$143,955,013	2
Mar 18–20	1	$37,164,158	-27.6%	3,959	+132	$9,387	$200,929,655	3
Mar 25–27	2	$24,022,288	-35.4%	3,670	-289	$6,546	$241,431,697	4
Apr 1–3	2	$19,325,291	-19.6%	3,698	+28	$5,226	$275,264,601	5
Apr 8–10	3	$14,345,422	-25.8%	3,444	-254	$4,165	$296,004,904	6
Apr 15–17	5	$8,142,641	-43.2%	3,209	-235	$2,537	$307,386,397	7
Apr 22–24	4	$6,579,545	-19.2%	2,798	-411	$2,352	$316,404,151	8
Apr 29–May 1	6	$5,006,000	-23.9%	2,487	-311	$2,013	$323,518,489	9

 

BvS welcomes the bunny to the 320+ club. About time.

[dxmatrixdt]

DERBY UPDATE:   (ERROR ALERT) – 48 players this week.  2 new players:  AABattery and Gavni63, welcome!  Returning players include Grath, luxneji, gavni63, Arlborn and Dipper.  The average is 81.312.  The only change I made with the estimates is Zootopia with 5.1.   It is strong at the top 5 this weekend…

8wombi7	93.512
Rolling Thunder	92.751
No Prisoners	91.780
Bozly	91.456
moviecriticguy	91.266
Bates	89.850
Matrix4You	89.740
Wildbill	88.523
Horror Wizard	88.185
TalismanRing	87.064
gavni63	86.857
Arlborn	86.654
Jmorphin	86.526
Exxdee	86.337
kayumanggi	86.061

[DAJK]

29 minutes ago, SWXII said:

 

I think you just coined a new word. A trailer that is exciting and/or compelling can now be refered to as a triller.  Nice work.

That was on... purpose

[MCKillswitch123]

2016 VS 2015 BOX OFFICE: 1st weekend of May

 

Opening weekends DOM

#1 - Batman V Superman: Dawn Of Justice (166M) vs. Avengers: Age Of Ultron (191.2M)

#2 - Deadpool (132.4M) vs. Furious 7 (147.1M)

#3 - The Jungle Book (103.2M) vs. Fifty Shades Of Grey (85.1M)

#4 - Zootopia (75M) vs. Cinderella (67.8M)

#5 - Kung Fu Panda 3 (41.8M) vs. The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out Of Water (55.3M)

#6 - Ride Along 2 (35.2M) vs. The Divergent Series: Insurgent (52.2M)

#7 - The Divergent Series: Allegiant (29M) vs. Home (52.1M)

#8 - 10 Cloverfield Lane (24.7M) vs. Taken 3 (39.2M)

#9 - The Boss (23.5M) vs. Kingsman: The Secret Service (36.2M)

#10 - London Has Fallen (21.6M) vs. Get Hard (33.8M)

EXTRA POINTS: The Revenant (39.8M) vs. American Sniper (89.2M)

TOTAL w/o EP: 692.2M vs. 760M

TOTAL with EP: 732M vs. 849.2M

 

Top 10 performers DOM

#1 - Deadpool (361.2M) vs. Furious 7 (331M)

#2 - Batman V Superman: Dawn Of Justice (325.2M) vs. Cinderella (194M)

#3 - Zootopia (323.6M) vs. Avengers: Age Of Ultron (191.2M)

#4 - The Jungle Book (253.5M) vs. Fifty Shades Of Grey (166.1M)

#5 - Kung Fu Panda 3 (141.7M) vs. The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out Of Water (162.3M)

#6 - Ride Along 2 (90.8M) vs. Home (158.3M)

#7 - 10 Cloverfield Lane (71M) vs. Kingsman: The Secret Service (126.8M)

#8 - The Divergent Series: Allegiant (65.3M) vs. The Divergent Series: Insurgent (126.4M)

#9 - London Has Fallen (61.7M) vs. Taken 3 (89.2M)

#10 - Miracles From Heaven (59.2M) vs. Get Hard (86.2M)

TOTAL: 1.753.2B vs. 1.631.5B

 

Top 10 performers WW
#1 - Zootopia (931.4M) vs. Furious 7 (1.424.7B)

#2 - Batman V Superman: Dawn Of Justice (862.9M) vs. Avengers: Age Of Ultron (630.2M)

#3 - Deadpool (761.1M) vs. Fifty Shades Of Grey (569.4M)

#4 - The Jungle Book (652.9M) vs. Cinderella (485.5M)

#5 - The Mermaid (552.2M) vs. Kingsman: The Secret Service (402.3M)

#6 - Kung Fu Panda 3 (503.9M) vs. Home (326.9M)

#7 - Captain America: Civil War (200.2M) vs. Taken 3 (326.6M)

#8 - The Monkey King 2 (194M) vs. The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out Of Water (311.9M)

#9 - London Has Fallen (191.1M) vs. The Divergent Series: Insurgent (273.3M)

#10 - From Vegas To Macau III (182.5M) vs. Jupiter Ascending (182M)

TOTAL: 5.070.8B vs. 4.932.8B

 

Impressively enough, despite Ultron's monster numbers, and the total annihilation of the OW department (seriously, 2015 wins even if it didn't have American Sniper and '16 counted The Revenant at the same time), this year still holds a pretty considerable margin over last year. Civil War's debut right on par w/Ultron's helped that for sure, as did the EPIC holds that The Jungle Book has had. Next week will be very intriguing to behold, to say the least.

[POTUS 2020]

51 minutes ago, Baumer said:

 

Why would TJB fall more than 50% against CW?

 

Deadpool fell less than 40% against BvS opening

KFP fell 46% against WallE opening.  

I could see it falling close to 50% due to losing big screens. This is more of a big screen/3d event. But look at the week after AOUS open. Many held -5% - 15%. It will still keep its 35%~ pace for 340-350m

[cannastop]

I have a rich feeling of Schadenfreude that Zootopia beat Ratchet & Clank this weekend.

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, cannastop said:

I have a rich feeling of Schadenfreude that Zootopia beat Ratchet & Clank this weekend.

It did

[cannastop]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

It did

Uh, yeah, I know that. I just said that it made me feel good.

[DAJK]

Fant4stic is on Canadian Netflix starting today 

[4815162342]

Saw a movie today. It was

 

 /10