Weekend Thread | RTH pg 197...Mother's Day not kind to CW but very kind to JB and MD CW 42, JB 9,7, MDD 6.1,Hunts 1.48...puts CW at about 178M

[CJohn]

Just now, Lordmandeep said:

Going with

23

78

62

48

188 million weekend.

 

Had this for 2 weeks and seems likely but hoping for above ultron to 200 million.

23M previews?! Lmao. It is gonna do 27M at least. It is locked.

[Lordmandeep]

1 minute ago, CJohn said:

23M previews?! Lmao. It is gonna do 27M at least. It is locked.

True but remember if previews are lower then Ultron the weekend will be in same range or even higher due to Saturday and better buzz.

 

[That One Girl]

This will break 200M OW.  People denying it are crazy

[CJohn]

5 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

True but remember if previews are lower then Ultron the weekend will be in same range or even higher due to Saturday and better buzz.

 

I know. That is why I said 30M previews locks 210M+ OW somewhere in this thread.

[The Stingray]

I think it will be closer to IM3 than Ultron, like 177m maybe.

 

[Deathlife]

Still sticking to $185m

 

[Bishop54]

Happy Box-Office Summer everyone!!!!

[pensivepenguin]

20 minutes ago, The Stingray said:

I think it will be closer to IM3 than Ultron, like 177m maybe.

 

 

I agree with this. I initially said 190M but I'm thinking more 180M now, which is still a fantastic number. I just think people should temper their expectations a little bit. It's a great film but it's not the fun crowd-pleaser that TA1 was.

[Chaz]

26 minutes ago, BKB IS CAPTAIN AMERICA said:

 

Yeah, I'm not sure at this point why people are in denial of this happening??? The AVENGERS did 18M in Previews and this looks to more than surpass this.. Embrace it folks. This movie's a Monster this weekend...

True midnights.

[Yandereprime101189]

My lowball prediction is $185 million. I see it doing $210 million.

 

 

[stripe]

I said it in another thread. Also posting here my last predictions

28M previews + 62M Friday = 90M OD Saturday 70M Sunday 55M 215M OW

[Lordmandeep]

It depends like if it has previews 8 to 10 million higher then im3 it won't finish near im3 for the weekend...

 

 

[DeeCee]

Millions and millions. 

[a2k]

AOU's OW(191.27) was 6.93x the previews (27.6).

CW will be close, ~6.9x imo.

26/179.4

27/186.3

28/193.2

29/200.1

30/207.0

31/213.9

32/220.8

 

Of course, as previews go higher a smaller multiplier gets more likely. I have kept it constant.

[zackzack]

41 minutes ago, a2knet said:

AOU's OW(191.27) was 6.93x the previews (27.6).

CW will be close, ~6.9x imo.

26/179.4

27/186.3

28/193.2

29/200.1

30/207.0

31/213.9

32/220.8

 

Of course, as previews go higher a smaller multiplier gets more likely. I have kept it constant.

 

This will be very very front loaded of course. No one knows for sure.

The numbers from Europe are not very encouraging (large week-to-week drops).

But in Brazil, Mexico, Korea & Hong Kong the numbers are massive.

But still, I can't see a domestic number below $350M.

 

Edited May 6, 2016 by zackzack

[TalismanRing]

35 minutes ago, a2knet said:

AOU's OW(191.27) was 6.93x the previews (27.6).

CW will be close, ~6.9x imo.

26/179.4

27/186.3

28/193.2

29/200.1

30/207.0

31/213.9

32/220.8

 

Of course, as previews go higher a smaller multiplier gets more likely. I have kept it constant.

 

I won't bring up the F word but AOU had a more than usual deflated Sat for a Marvel movie.

[a2k]

5 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

I won't bring up the F word but AOU had a more than usual deflated Sat for a Marvel movie.

 

Yes. But it did have a tiny 11% Sunday drop so made up a good amount of business I think.

[a2k]

9 minutes ago, zackzack said:

 

This will be very very front loaded of course. No one knows for sure.

The numbers from Europe are not very encouraging (large week-to-week drops).

But in Brazil, Mexico, Korea & Hong Kong the numbers are massive.

But still, I can't see a domestic number below $350M.

 

 

Yeah 435m+ should happen even with "only" 175m.

[Gamb1993]

15 minutes ago, zackzack said:

 

This will be very very front loaded of course. No one knows for sure.

The numbers from Europe are not very encouraging (large week-to-week drops).

But in Brazil, Mexico, Korea & Hong Kong the numbers are massive.

But still, I can't see a domestic number below $350M.

 

Not huge weekly drops in Europe. The UK is pretty good as far as I can tell, Germany is mediocre. Only France seems to be bad.

[Lordmandeep]

I think 800 million+ overseas is on track but seems 900+ overseas won't happen unless China over performs.