mahnamahna Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 3 hours ago, cannastop said: I still think this year might be smaller than the last one. I don't think this summer is going to measure up to Jurassic World, Inside Out and Minions. And of course we have no TFA in December. X-Men, Dory, ID42, Pets, Bourne 4 and Suicide Squad could all do $200 million+ DOM. With Alice 2, possibly Central Intelligence and Star Trek 3 doing $150 million+ DOM. And there's contenders for $100 million+ DOM. I think Summer 2016 will be fine and might surpass 2015 due to just how weak late July and all of August were last summer. (4-5 films might end up finishing past $67 million for August 2016, while only 1 did so last August) 3 hours ago, kayumanggi said: We have better November and December titles this year imo. DOCTOR STRANGE, FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEM and MOANA could be bigger than MOCKINGJAY II, SPECTRE and THE PEANUTS MOVIE of last year. ASSASSIN'S CREED, PASSENGERS and SING among others will also help ROGUE ONE match or at least finish close to what TFA did last year. Doctor Strange: $210 million Fantastic Beasts: $245 million Moana: $310 million $610 million vs. $765 million. This November looks stronger for sure! Plus, Billy Lynn, Trolls, Bad Santa 2, Allied and the other wide releases should be enough to equal November 2015's other releases. And if anything December 2016 will just be more spread out Rogue One: $415 million Passengers + Sing + AC: $450 million Remaining releases (including Patriots Day and Silence): $400 million 4 hours ago, narniadis said: Its crazy to think that in some years we had to wait until September to get 1 300m film (2014 I am looking at you!) and in some years we never have more than 2 or 3 that pass the mark total but we already have 5!!! and it's not even the halfway point yet. With a potential 3-5 to go. Dory and Rogue One seem very likely. Suicide Squad, Pets and Moana all have reasonable chances. ID42 and Fantastic Beasts have an outside shot. 7 $300 million+ DOM grossers is somehow a conservative expectation now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 1 hour ago, Heat Vision said: Why would Neighbors drop so much from the first? Judging based off the UK and Australia drops which mirror most films here 25m is probably too high but I think it can manage that. Tracking is also lower. Now if it surprises and isn't Ted 2 that's fine just means more in the pot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Planodisney Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 Why do numbers come in so late these days?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 13 minutes ago, Planodisney said: Why do numbers come in so late these days?? Because Disney. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?view=1day&sortdate=2016-05-16&p=.htm TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day 1 1 Captain America: Civil War BV $4,751,083 -77% -64% 4,226 $1,124 $300,717,303 11 2 2 The Jungle Book (2016) BV $1,246,523 -76% -18% 3,970 $314 $312,358,341 32 3 3 Money Monster TriS $1,230,745 -67% - 3,104 $397 $16,018,902 4 4 5 Mother's Day ORF $301,629 -68% -56% 3,291 $92 $29,087,091 18 5 4 The Darkness HTR $297,466 -70% - 1,755 $169 $5,248,325 4 6 8 Keanu WB $215,040 -60% -35% 2,120 $101 $18,851,926 18 7 7 The Huntsman: Winter's War Uni. $212,050 -71% -25% 2,518 $84 $44,801,125 25 8 6 Zootopia BV $196,739 -78% -1% 1,935 $102 $332,036,912 74 9 9 Barbershop: The Next Cut WB $133,828 -69% -39% 1,333 $100 $51,482,985 32 10 10 The Boss Uni. $110,050 -64% -36% 1,350 $82 $61,269,465 39 11 12 Sing Street Wein. $56,564 -66% +84% 525 $108 $1,949,669 32 That 1.4% Zootopia drop. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 1 hour ago, BKB IS CAPTAIN AMERICA said: As of now, I think this is my favorite movie and has surpassed The FORCE AWAKENS for me, at least until EPISODE VIII comes out, but for now, this is hands down the BEST I've seen in a long long time as far as superhero movies go... Hide contents And for seeing this the 4th time, 2 times in IMAX 2D, the marketing had you choose sides, but I still have to side with #TEAM STARK for the fact of having seeing his parents be murdered and by the guy standing in front of him didn't make it any easier.. Still, I certainly look forward to this team of AVENGERS and more Zemo in INFINITY WAR Part 1 when it comes time and the Russo Bros handling it.. Thumbs Up yet again... Did you stick around for the second post credits scene this time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 A bit above the early estimates for Caps. And, that Zootopia and Jungle Book staying power. That Disney power. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 What kind of Tuesday is expected for Civil War? Mojo's down so I can't see Iron Man 3's second Tuesday. Planned to refer to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 4 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said: What kind of Tuesday is expected for Civil War? Mojo's down so I can't see Iron Man 3's second Tuesday. Planned to refer to it. +11.8 -25 -14.8 IM3's pattern this week of release 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
e1828 Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 5 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said: What kind of Tuesday is expected for Civil War? Mojo's down so I can't see Iron Man 3's second Tuesday. Planned to refer to it. Iron Man 3's second Tuesday was $5,161,138. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 My goodness, THE JUNGLE BOOK and ZOOTOPIA! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RandomCat Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 Zootopia is just going to stay around for a year at this rate of decline... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 12 minutes ago, RandomJC said: Zootopia is just going to stay around for a year at this rate of decline... Lol, but there's always the video release. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RamblinRed Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 23 minutes ago, kayumanggi said: My goodness, THE JUNGLE BOOK and ZOOTOPIA! Those holds are just amazing. Sub 2% and sub 20% WoW. No wonder why it takes Disney so long to post these days, they have more money to count than all the other studios combined, by a power of 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RandomCat Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 Just now, cannastop said: Lol, but there's always the video release. Yeah, don't care. I'll go buy out every showing for the next year if I have to. I'll make this happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnboy3434 Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 General predictions based on Monday numbers... Captain America: Civil War Tuesday: $5.52M (+16.1%) SECOND WEEK TOTAL: $91.4M (-59.1%) THIRD WEEKEND TOTAL: $41.2M (-43.3%) PROJECTED TEN-WEEK DOMESTIC TOTAL: $469M (2.62x) Money Monster Tuesday: $1.24M (+0.922%) OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $19.3M SECOND WEEKEND TOTAL: $6.98M (-52.8%) PROJECTED FOUR-WEEK DOMESTIC TOTAL: $33.9M (2.29x) The Darkness Tuesday: $262k (-11.8%) OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $6M SECOND WEEKEND TOTAL: $2.78M (-43.9%) PROJECTED SIX-WEEK DOMESTIC TOTAL: $12.6M (2.54x) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 @johnboy3434 Really optimistic there for Captain America 3. Why do you think it's going to buck Iron Man 3's trajectory? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Truckasaurus Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 @johnboy3434 has consistently overestimated Civil War. Every. Single. Time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 21 minutes ago, johnboy3434 said: General predictions based on Monday numbers... Captain America: Civil War Tuesday: $5.52M (+16.1%) SECOND WEEK TOTAL: $91.4M (-59.1%) THIRD WEEKEND TOTAL: $41.2M (-43.3%) PROJECTED TEN-WEEK DOMESTIC TOTAL: $469M (2.62x) 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fastclock Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 So the soft lower drop must be from the college is out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...