Weekend #s June 3-5: TMNT2 35.25m, X:A 22.3m, MBY 18.27m, Alice 10.69m, Birds 9.775m

[babz06]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

I'm fully expecting a sub-$15M opening for Now You See Me 2 next weekend at this point.

That's just sad. 

What other sequels this year will underperform? 

[Finnick]

It going to be a huge slaughter these next weeks, Summer movies are crumbling!!!

[FlashMaster659]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Dory and Independence Day are being positioned to take advantage of a mostly empty marketplace in a few weeks (The Conjuring 2 will likely open very well but will only appeal to a certain demographic).

Yes. So far, the lead-up to these movies is looking exactly like the marketplace leading up to Jurassic World.

[zenithtim]

There is a real chance now that TMNT2's domestic gross is under TMNT's opening weekend. Wow. It should open to around $25 million based on that preview number. Joins Alice 2 for the biggest flop of the summer race.

[grim22]

MBY will most likely earn half its weekend money today similar to TFIOS, maybe 10M today and 20 for the weekend which would be a big win.

 

TMNT2 looking at 25-30M currently.

[La Binoche]

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice  1m1 minute ago

#TeenageMutantNinjaTurtles #OutOfTheShadows earned $1.4M from Thursday night shows. Analysis to follow...

 

Wait what???

[zenithtim]

2 minutes ago, babz06 said:

That's just sad. 

What other sequels this year will underperform? 

 

Independence Day 2 should open below $60 million as well, despite crazy expectations by some users here.

[filmlover]

Just now, babz06 said:

That's just sad. 

What other sequels this year will underperform? 

I'm guessing, looking at the slate, that everything coming up will drop-off from their predecessors.

[thunder storm]

 

so...it started at 5?

[La Binoche]

Gitesh Pandya ‏@GiteshPandya  21m21 minutes ago

$2M THU night debut for #TMNT2 from earlier pre-shows starting at 5pm. Less than half of last #TeenageMutantNinjaTurtles pic from 2014.

 

$2m or $1.4m? The latter would be an out-and-out disaster.

[filmlover]

Finding Dory is really the only sequel for the remainder of the year that I see with the potential of increasing from its predecessor.

[Blaze Heatnix]

5 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice  1m1 minute ago

#TeenageMutantNinjaTurtles #OutOfTheShadows earned $1.4M from Thursday night shows. Analysis to follow...

 

Wait what???

 

 

I think that number is for MBY...

[filmlover]

This summer in a nutshell:

 

[Ethan Hunt]

2 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Finding Dory is really the only sequel for the remainder of the year that I see with the potential of increasing from its predecessor.

Independence Day? Jason Bourne?

[DAJK]

That 1.4# being true would make my day

[Ryan Reynolds]

Time for a shakeup at Paramount , Star Trek likely to underperform too

[filmlover]

Just now, Ethan Hunt said:

Independence Day? Jason Bourne?

I think Jason Bourne will do Mission: Impossible 5 numbers.

 

Independence Day will do Transformers 4 numbers.

 

If I'm wrong, I'm wrong.

[zenithtim]

The more I think about it, the lower the opening weekend of TMNT2 will be. $2M starting at 5pm means a 3x drop from the original's $4.6M for the 7pm-midnight period.  Expect the weekend to be around $21-$22M (a third of the original's $65M).

Edited June 3, 2016 by zenithtim

[department store basement]

7 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Finding Dory is really the only sequel for the remainder of the year that I see with the potential of increasing from its predecessor.

 

The Purge: Election Year could do it.

 

I'm actually predicting it to win its weekend, beating BFG.

Edited June 3, 2016 by department store basement

[Chewy]

Brutal for TMNT2. Really awful