Weekend Actuals (Page 96): Dory 73M | IDR 41M | CI 18.2M | Shallows 16.8M | Conjuring 7.7M | Jones 7.6M

[James]

1 minute ago, department store basement said:

Brexit is affecting box office?

From what I read Dory will bring in 10-20m less because of it. Basic shitty exchange rate. 

[department store basement]

3 minutes ago, Ethan Hunt said:

My Jam

 

 

 

 

Best part of Magic Mike XXL

[CoolioD1]

i'm here

 

 

[wildphantom]

2 minutes ago, James said:

From what I read Dory will bring in 10-20m less because of it. Basic shitty exchange rate. 

 

Its been at around $1.42 all year long. 

It's at $1.37 right now. Hard to see it going any lower after the shock on Friday. 

I wouldn't be concerned with it having much of an effect 

[The Panda]

18 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

Then again things aren't much better now. Adele is objectively awful (can't believe she duped people into believing what she does is "real music"). Taylor Swift...lol. Drake...meh. 

 

Lol when people say an artist isn't, "real music".  You can not like the performer or the composition, and argue they are poor, but they're still making music.

[department store basement]

3 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said:

i'm here

 

 

http://returnofthebigmac.ytmnd.com/

[wildphantom]

Adele is objectively awful. Sure 

[MrPink]

10 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said:

i'm here

 

 

 

My man

[La Binoche]

Gitesh Pandya ‏@GiteshPandya  3m3 minutes ago #Conjuring2 is a runaway sequel success w/ $21M intl wknd. Totals rise to $156M intl led by Mexico & $243M global.

 

Conjuring is huge overseas. 

[junkshop36]

I miss the greatness of 70s, 80s and early 90s rock!

 

It died when Kurt Cobain died. 

[Goffe]

how much from that 101m OS opening came from China?

[mahnamahna]

1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said:

3 day predictions for next weekend:

 

Finding Dory: 44M

The Purge: 24M

The BFG: 22M

Independence Day: 20.5M

The Legend of Tarzan: 19M

The Shallows: 9.5M

Central Intelligence: 9M

Free State of Jones: 4.2M

The Conjuring: 3.9M

Now You See Me: 3.1M

 

CI is going to have to deal with a TC loss of at least 500, I can't see it holding that well.

 

 

Warcraft, NYSM2, Conjuring 2, TMNT 2 and X-Men would lose their theaters before Central Intelligence does. 

 

I don't see a loss of 500 theaters causing a 50%+ drop over the 3-day. 1,000+ would, but 500 isn't enough for that heavy of a drop in the face of minimal competition.

 

I just don't see it holding worse than Conjuring 2 or NYSM2 when both of those will likely lose 800-1,000 theaters next weekend (your projections give them sub 50% drops while CI gets a 50% drop, despite inevitably having more theaters and less competition). 40-42% is the highest I see it dropping over the 3-day. 

 

 

Edited June 26, 2016 by mahnamahna

[The Futurist]

1 hour ago, John Marston said:

Looks like Dory is underperforming overseas 

 

Ellen De Generes brainwashed american audiences so I can't say I am surprised.

 

 

[FilmBuff]

 

[mahnamahna]

48 minutes ago, junkshop36 said:

 

GB isn't touching 200m

 

50-60m OW and 120-140m total. 

 

Excelent hold for Dory

 

Very good start for Shallows. Hopefully it has good holds over the course of its run

 

Good hold for CI

 

LOL at ID2

 

That's a terrible multi for what could be a well-received comedy with relatively minimal competition for its demo minus Bad Moms. I don't see it barely getting a 2x when none of the Feig-McCarthy collaborations have a multi any lower than 3.8x.

 

Because of the GB brand, it'll obviously be more frontloaded, but summer weekdays should get it to a 2.8x-3.2x. Maybe 3.3x-3.5x if WOM is excellent. It has far more upside than any other tentpole except Pets and SS, so $200 million+ DOM is always a very outside possibility. 

 

With $50 million OW, I'd say $140 million DOM-$165 million DOM. With $60 million OW, I'd say $170 million DOM-$200 million DOM. 

[FilmBuff]

Wow the conjuring 2 is about to breeze past Annabelle. Saw it climbed up to 79% on RT! Look for James Wan to get a lot more gigs! He's directed 3 straight critically acclaimed films.

[zackzack]

1 hour ago, junkshop36 said:

 

GB isn't touching 200m

 

50-60m OW and 120-140m total. 

 

Excelent hold for Dory

 

Very good start for Shallows. Hopefully it has good holds over the course of its run

 

Good hold for CI

 

LOL at ID2

 

Looks to hit $50M. Lively looking alive

[AniNate]

Monsters U actually held better than Dory and TS3 at this point but it had a nasty collapse its third weekend. Hopefully Dory avoids that 

[department store basement]

6 minutes ago, FilmBuff said:

Wow the conjuring 2 is about to breeze past Annabelle. Saw it climbed up to 79% on RT! Look for James Wan to get a lot more gigs! He's directed 3 straight critically acclaimed films.

 

No he hasn't - Insidious Chapter 2 wasn't that acclaimed

[Nova]

I just found out that Discovery Channel apparently moved up their shark week to coincide with the release of The Shallows. So I'm guessing they're going to be promoting the film this whole week. 

Edited June 26, 2016 by Nova