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grim22

Weekend Thread | Read first post for rules | Weekend #s: Pets 50.56M, GB 46M, Tarzan 11.1M, FTF 11M, MND 7.5M, Purge 6M

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Ok, I revised my worst, best and most realistic scenarios for Pets based on the 50.6m weekend estimate.

 

PETS WORST CASE SCENARIO

Weekdays 1: -

Weekend 1: 104.3 (actual)

Weekdays 2: 48.16 (actual)

Weekend 2: 50.6

Weekdays 3: 24

Weekend 3: 23.5

Weekdays 4: 11

Weekend 4: 12

Weekdays 5: 6

Weekend 5: 6.5

Weekdays 6: 3.5

Weekend 6: 3.5

Weekdays 7: 2

Weekend 7: 1.5

Weekdays 8: 1

Weekend 8: 1

Weekdays 9: 1.5 (labor day)

Weekend 9: 2 (labor day_

Weekdays 10: 0.75

Weekend 10: 1

Weekdays 11: 0.5

Weekend 11: 0.5

Total Weekdays: 98.5

Total weekends: 206.5

Remaining of run (weekdays + weekends): 2.5 million

 

 

 

307.5m absolute worst case

 

 

 

PETS MOST REALISTIC SCENARIO

Weekdays 1: -

Weekend 1: 104.3 (actual)

Weekdays 2: 48.16 (actual)

Weekend 2: 50.6

Weekdays 3: 24.5

Weekend 3: 24.5

Weekdays 4: 12.5

Weekend 4: 13

Weekdays 5: 6.5

Weekend 5: 7

Weekdays 6: 3.5

Weekend 6: 4

Weekdays 7: 2

Weekend 7: 2.5

Weekdays 8: 1

Weekend 8: 1.5

Weekdays 9: 1.5 (labor day)

Weekend 9: 2.5 (labor day_

Weekdays 10: 0.75

Weekend 10: 1.5

Weekdays 11: 0.5

Weekend 11: 0.5

Total Weekdays: 101

Total weekends: 212

Remaining of run (weekdays + weekends): 3 million

 

 

 

316m most realistic case

 

 

 

PETS BEST CASE SCENARIO

Weekdays 1: -

Weekend 1: 104.3 (actual)

Weekdays 2: 48.16 (actual)

Weekend 2: 50.6

Weekdays 3: 25

Weekend 3: 26.5

Weekdays 4: 13

Weekend 4: 14.5

Weekdays 5:8.5

Weekend 5: 9

Weekdays 6: 5

Weekend 6: 5.5

Weekdays 7: 3

Weekend 7: 3.5

Weekdays 8: 2

Weekend 8: 2

Weekdays 9: 1.5 (labor day)

Weekend 9: 2.5 (labor day_

Weekdays 10: 0.75

Weekend 10: 1.5

Weekdays 11: 0.5

Weekend 11: 0.5

Total Weekdays: 107.5

Total weekends: 220.5

Remaining of run (weekdays + weekends): 3 million

 

 

 

331m absolute best case

 

 

 

Edited by MinaTakla
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meh weekend all around for Ghostbusters.  I still need to see the movie which may happen today if my one friend is free, so hoping I enjoy as some of the supporters have been

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5 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

Cafe Society has a 66 on Metacritic. Hardly spectacular. 

Who said Cafe Society was spectacular though? Im pretty sure a film can be good without it being spectacular. 

 

And as @filmloverhas already said, its being perceived as a "good" Woody Allen film. Not a spectacular one. His speculations on it expanding well have to do with that and how it opened up in limited release. 

Edited by Nova
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GB Fri is 0.3 more than Np calculated (16.9)

Feel actuals will be closer to 45.5.

 

Surprised that PETS Sat (20.150) is 0.450 higher than Rth's 19.7

Maybe they tried to push the weekend over 50.

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Ghostbusters had a HUGE hole to climb out of over the past 6 months and I think in the face of the PR nightmare and also bad marketing from the studio itself this is a solid result.  As someone else said this could have EASILY been this year's F4, had it been a trash film.  The studio should have done everything in their power to keep the budget closer to 100 since they knew China would be a no go and this opening would look a LOT better.

 

The real winners of the summer are The Purge and The Conjuring 2.  150 WW and 300 WW on respective budgets of 10 and 40 million is FANTASTIC.  Especially considering the Purge is on its third entry and if you count Annabelle, so is TC.  It doesn't hurt that they're also quality movies, particularly TC2 which I thought was one of the most frightening films I'd seen in years.  Bodes very well for Lights Out next weekend.

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Where the heck did the Purge get $78M OS from? I tried to check on box office mojo and this is what i got: 

 

Country
(click to view weekend breakdown)
Dist. Release
Date
Opening
Wknd
% of
Total
Total Gross / As Of
FOREIGN TOTAL - 7/1/16 $119,103 0.2% $78,200,000 7/17/16
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Czech Republic UPI 7/7/16 $34,347 100.2% $34,291 7/10/16
Ecuador UPI 7/8/16 $60,000 100% $60,000 7/10/16
Estonia UPI 7/1/16 $11,173 41.3% $27,022 7/10/16
Greece UPI 7/7/16 $25,378 100% $25,378 7/10/16
Lebanon UPI 6/30/16 $23,319 43.8% $53,289 7/10/16
Lithuania UPI 7/8/16 $15,370 100% $15,374 7/10/16
Netherlands UPI 7/7/16 $296,630 100% $296,624 7/10/16
Philippines UPI 7/6/16 $547,346 100% $547,346 7/10/16
Poland UPI 7/8/16 $86,000 100% $86,000 7/10/16
Romania UPI 7/8/16 $26,920 100% $26,910 7/10/16
Slovakia UPI 7/7/16 $25,649 99.3% $25,824 7/10/16
Slovenia UPI 6/30/16 $5,107 39.2% $13,029 7/10/16
Sweden UPI 7/8/16 $89,482 100% $89,482 7/10/16
Taiwan - 7/8/16 $253,933 100% $253,933 7/10/16
Turkey UPI 7/1/16 $70,919 29.7% $238,769 7/10/16
United Arab Emirates UPI 7/7/16 $326,209 100% $326,209 7/10/16
 
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