Weekend #s STB 59.6M, Pets 29.3M, GB and LO 21.6M, IA5 21M

[WrathOfHan]

Maybe our Asgardian can deliver? @Rth

[Ryan Reynolds]

Deadline has 57.5-60m+ now

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Maybe our Asgardian can deliver? @Rth

Too early.

[Krissykins]

Ghostbusters needs a 60% Friday increase to $6m to get over $20m for the second weekend.

 

I'm thinking it'll be more between $18.5-$19m.

[POTUS 2020]

purge took a 20% hit on thur. going to be down 60% for the weekend

[a2k]

If IA5 does 65m, amazingly it's drop off from the predecessor won't be the top 3 of the year.

 

1. ALICE 2 (334=>77) 334 = 77 x 4.34

2. MBFGW 2 (241=>60) 241 = 60 X 4.02

3. ID 2 (306=>104*) 306 = 104 X 2.94

4. NEIGHBOURS 2 (150=>55) 150 = 55 x 2.73

5. IA5 (161=>65) 161 = 65 x 2.48

6. TMNT 2 (191=>81) 191 = 81 x 2.36

 

*Have assumed 104 dom for ID2. Looking at inflation, it's a more epic drop than ALICE 2 but one can argue that an ID2 that had released 5 years after ID1 would have done much better.

 

Ignoring movies with a 10+ year gap,

1. ALICE 2 (334=>77) 334 = 77 x 4.34

2. NEIGHBOURS 2 (150=>55) 150 = 55 x 2.73

3. IA5 (161=>65) 161 = 65 x 2.48

4. TMNT 2 (191=>81) 191 = 81 x 2.36

Edited July 22, 2016 by a2knet

[miketheavenger]

Both Star Trek and Bourne next weekend should be fairly backloaded since they're targeting older audiences. So I don't think a potentially lower OW for them should be cause for Panic. That being said, Trek will probably meet expectations anyway.

[filmlover]

Just now, a2knet said:

If IA5 does 65m, amazingly it's drop off from the predecessor won't be the top 3 of the year.

 

1. ALICE 2 (334=>77) 334 = 77 x 4.34

2. ID 2 (306=>104) 306 = 104 X 2.94

3. NEIGHBOURS 2 (150=>55) 150 = 55.3 x 2.73

4. IA5 (161=>65) 161 = 65 x 2.48

5. TMNT 2 (191=>81) 191 = 81 x 2.36

 

Have assumed 104 dom for ID2. Looking at inflation, it's a more epic drop than ALICE 2 but one can argue that an ID2 that had released 5 years after ID1 would have done much better.

You forgot My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 (which fell off more than 75% from the first one).

[BenedictL11]

Deadline has estimated Ice Age 5 at $22M and Lights Out at $21M based on matinees. 

 

 

[a2k]

2 minutes ago, filmlover said:

You forgot My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 (which fell off more than 75% from the first one).

thanks, i updated the list.

[a2k]

25 minutes ago, grim22 said:

 

50% on Friday is definitely too generous for Summer. Looks like a 18-19M range for GB.

Yeah I agree. Which will take it to about 83.5M cume.

Under CI will happen. Under 125 Club is also still alive.

Edited July 22, 2016 by a2knet

[a2k]

PETS 3rd weekend Over IA5 OW...who would have thought that a 1-2 months back. A few months that would have been a crazy prediction.

[Fullbuster]

Dory will pass Avengers 2 this weekend

[a2k]

ST3 has a good shot at out-grossing APOC. ST3's drop-off from it's predecessor (229) will probably be lesser than APOC's drop from it's predecessor (234).

[marveldcfox]

Loving the epic floppage that is IA5. All of Fox's franchises have flopped or disappointed this year. IA5 is the end of their only cash cow franchise. Xmen is on shaky grounds. ID2 was a miserable turkey.

They are left with only Deadpool/xforce, POTA and avatar. Not too sure if Kingsman2 will be as successful as first one. To me it screams another Maze Runner 2/NYSM2 at the box-office. POTA will end soon and I have a feeling next one will do less than previous one globally. Avatar 2 is my most anticipated film of 2018 or 19 or whenever it comes out, but it is guaranteed to see a drop. If Fox is lazy with its marketing and hoping on coasting on the wom of previous film on all their upcoming sequels then they are in for a rude shock. That's not how things work nowadays. Times have changed. 

 

Edited July 22, 2016 by marveldcfox

[TalismanRing]

21 minutes ago, a2knet said:

If IA5 does 65m, amazingly it's drop off from the predecessor won't be the top 3 of the year.

 

1. ALICE 2 (334=>77) 334 = 77 x 4.34

2. MBFGW 2 (241=>60) 241 = 60 X 4.02

3. ID 2 (306=>104*) 306 = 104 X 2.94

4. NEIGHBOURS 2 (150=>55) 150 = 55 x 2.73

5. IA5 (161=>65) 161 = 65 x 2.48

6. TMNT 2 (191=>81) 191 = 81 x 2.36

 

*Have assumed 104 dom for ID2. Looking at inflation, it's a more epic drop than ALICE 2 but one can argue that an ID2 that had released 5 years after ID1 would have done much better.

 

Ignoring movies with a 10+ year gap,

1. ALICE 2 (334=>77) 334 = 77 x 4.34

2. NEIGHBOURS 2 (150=>55) 150 = 55 x 2.73

3. IA5 (161=>65) 161 = 65 x 2.48

4. TMNT 2 (191=>81) 191 = 81 x 2.36

 

You can

 

THE HUNTSMAN: ($155m > $48m)  $155= 48 x  3.24

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, marveldcfox said:

Loving the epic floppage that is IA5. All of Fox's franchises have flopped or disappointed this year. IA5 is the end of their only cash cow franchise. Xmen is on shaky grounds. ID2 was a miserable turkey.

They are left with only Deadpool/xforce, POTA and avatar. Not too sure if Kingsman2 will be as successful as first one. To me it screams another Maze Runner 2/NYSM2 at the box-office. POTA will end soon and I have a feeling next one will do less than previous one globally. Avatar 2 is my most anticipated flip of 2018 or 19 or whenever it comes out, but it is guaranteed to see a drop. If Fox is lazy with its marketing and hoping on coasting on the wom of previous film on all their upcoming sequels then they are in for a rude shock. That's not how things work nowadays. Times have changed. 

 

Yet Fox has the second biggest profit of any studio this year at the moment  

[marveldcfox]

Star Trek doing decent. But was hoping for a surprise 80+ launch. Paramount kinda dropped the ball. Didn't feel like they promoted it heavily enough or reminded everyone of the 50th anniversary. 

[marveldcfox]

2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Yet Fox has the second biggest profit of any studio this year at the moment  

Sure. But do they have any sustainable long running franchise. Making a big hit like Martian or Revenant won't cut it. Because they are one and done thing. 

[Fancyarcher]

10 minutes ago, marveldcfox said:

Loving the epic floppage that is IA5. All of Fox's franchises have flopped or disappointed this year. IA5 is the end of their only cash cow franchise. Xmen is on shaky grounds. ID2 was a miserable turkey.

They are left with only Deadpool/xforce, POTA and avatar. Not too sure if Kingsman2 will be as successful as first one. To me it screams another Maze Runner 2/NYSM2 at the box-office. POTA will end soon and I have a feeling next one will do less than previous one globally. Avatar 2 is my most anticipated film of 2018 or 19 or whenever it comes out, but it is guaranteed to see a drop. If Fox is lazy with its marketing and hoping on coasting on the wom of previous film on all their upcoming sequels then they are in for a rude shock. That's not how things work nowadays. Times have changed. 

 

 

Kingsmen should see a decent increase, unless it's a poor sequel.