Weekend Thread | Bourne 60M, Trek 24M, Bad Moms 23.4M, Pets 18.2M

[incognitoo]

1 hour ago, Krissykins said:

 

Mattel don't think so, source: Variety http://variety.com/2016/film/news/mattel-strong-ghostbusters-toy-sales-1201820557/

 

 

Marketing speak, shareholder damage control - you DID notice that they weren't putting out any numbers, did you? Of course there are "strong sales" with shops setting them up for clearance left and right. Ignore the facts all you want, play with the numbers so they finally fit to your liking... personally I don't care. If this movie doesn't start to fly in his few markets left for release, then this will stay a goddamn trainwreck. Much like STB seems to be. Which to me is the bigger disappointment.

Edited July 30, 2016 by incognitoo

[Krissykins]

18 minutes ago, incognitoo said:

Marketing speak, shareholder damage control - you DID notice that they weren't putting out any numbers, did you? Of course there are "strong sales" with shops setting them up for clearance left and right. Ignore the facts all you want, play with the numbers so they finally fit to your liking... personally I don't care. If this movie doesn't start to fly in his few markets left for release, then this will stay a goddamn trainwreck. Much like STB seems to be. Which to me is the bigger disappointment.

 

Well you're choosing what you want to believe too. One Twitter pic of a clearance sticker and everyone goes crazy that the merch isn't selling well. Perhaps Mattel wouldn't have responded to Variety if the sales were bad. Quick look on Amazon and the stuff is selling out. Hopefully if anyone actually finds the clearance stuff they put it on eBay. 

 

$3.1m for GB, phew. With last weekends multiplier it should be about $10.4m. Bad Moms and the theatre loss didn't hit as hard as they could have. ~50% drop. 

[Cochofles]

On one hand, Melisa McCarthy has scored another 100 million-dollar hit.

On the other hand...with its budget, pedigree, controversy, and the nostalgia that it would supposedly engender, that 100-million-dollar-grossing film should have grossed at least 300 million domestically...right?

Someone said it best...this summer has been the season of blockbusters not capturing anyone's imagination beyond OW.

[xequalsy]

Wonder when Dory will drop under $1M daily. Monday? Wednesday?

[straggler]

39 minutes ago, Cochofles said:

On one hand, Melisa McCarthy has scored another 100 million-dollar hit.

On the other hand...with its budget, pedigree, controversy, and the nostalgia that it would supposedly engender, that 100-million-dollar-grossing film should have grossed at least 300 million domestically...right?

Someone said it best...this summer has been the season of blockbusters not capturing anyone's imagination beyond OW.

In this case the film was too expensive to be a hit. (Still at$130 million WW on a $140 million budget). Her brand of comedy does well in less expensive films but with the exception of Spy her films do not seem to work well outside the US. 

[Lordmandeep]

High budget comedies have a horrendous rate of return financially compared to small and mid size ones 

 

Ghostbusters could have been 80 million budget and would have done the same results.

[Noctis]

1 hour ago, Cochofles said:

On one hand, Melisa McCarthy has scored another 100 million-dollar hit.

On the other hand...with its budget, pedigree, controversy, and the nostalgia that it would supposedly engender, that 100-million-dollar-grossing film should have grossed at least 300 million domestically...right?

Someone said it best...this summer has been the season of blockbusters not capturing anyone's imagination beyond OW.

 

Finding Dory says hi.

[Krissykins]

1 hour ago, Cochofles said:

On one hand, Melisa McCarthy has scored another 100 million-dollar hit.

On the other hand...with its budget, pedigree, controversy, and the nostalgia that it would supposedly engender, that 100-million-dollar-grossing film should have grossed at least 300 million domestically...right?

Someone said it best...this summer has been the season of blockbusters not capturing anyone's imagination beyond OW.

 

Expecting $300m from this was just silly. Even the last one doesn't get to 300m with 30 years of inflation. 

 

If Sony were expecting that much, they're silly too. 

[Noctis]

Anyone who expected $300m for a Ghostbusters film in this day and age is, frankly, quite stupid.

[Krissykins]

THR went over the top with Bad Moms $33m+ weekend. Looking more like $27/28m.

[AJG]

1 hour ago, Lordmandeep said:

High budget comedies have a horrendous rate of return financially compared to small and mid size ones 

 

Ghostbusters could have been 80 million budget and would have done the same results.

 

That's what confused me. This movie did not look like a movie that cost $140Mil. It looked like something that at best would have cost about $80Mil. 

 

Is the budget for this similar to Superman Returns, where the money that was spent developing previous Superman movies is included in the final budget for the movie that was eventually released?

[a2k]

2 hours ago, xequalsy said:

Wonder when Dory will drop under $1M daily. Monday? Wednesday?

 

It went below 1M on Thursday.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2016-07-28&track=pixar2015.htm

[xequalsy]

1 minute ago, a2knet said:

 

It went below 1M on Thursday.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2016-07-28&track=pixar2015.htm

Ah, must have missed the update then. Dang. Hoping it does well in the UK this weekend at the very least. Thanks.

[a2k]

Expecting 300M for GB is a bit much but 200M was not unreasonable imo, looking at the stars, the stature of the original film and the release period.

Hell, at least 150M was reasonable.

Right now looking at 130-135M.

On a 144M budget and low OS, it's not good, can't really call it bad...it's been the definition of meh from it's OW to it's legs.

[Krissykins]

6 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Expecting 300M for GB is a bit much but 200M was not unreasonable imo, looking at the stars, the stature of the original film and the release period.

Hell, at least 150M was reasonable.

Right now looking at 130-135M.

On a 144M budget and low OS, it's not good, can't really call it bad...it's been the definition of meh from it's OW to it's legs.

 

I think it's looking more like $125m

[a2k]

14 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

 

I think it's looking more like $125m

 

Rth's Fri for it is 3.1, which will give it a weekend of 10.4 using last weekend's FSS %.

The cume will be ~106.8.

This Mon-Thu it added 10.1, so over Mon-Sun it added 10.1 + 10.4 = 20.5

Summer weekdays are helping.

I think after this weekend it will add the ~23.2 it needs for 130.

 

Edit:

 

If it has 50% weekly drops from now on,

10.25 (this week was 20.5)

5

2.5

1.25

0.6

0.3

1 (all other weeks including dollar bump)

= ~19.45 for ~126.25 dom

 

But all 50% drops is a bit harsh. Should have a better hold here and there.

Edited July 30, 2016 by a2knet

[picores]

Central Intelligence, Tarzan and now Ghostbusters are gonna end very close to each other, all in the 130m territory.

[WrathOfHan]

Star Trek will beat SLOP this weekend, thank Christ. Still not happy about that drop  

[mahnamahna]

3 hours ago, Cochofles said:

On one hand, Melisa McCarthy has scored another 100 million-dollar hit.

On the other hand...with its budget, pedigree, controversy, and the nostalgia that it would supposedly engender, that 100-million-dollar-grossing film should have grossed at least 300 million domestically...right?

Someone said it best...this summer has been the season of blockbusters not capturing anyone's imagination beyond OW.

Finding Dory and Secret Life of Pets are having solid leggy runs. Both will finish above a 3x. 

[DAR]

I was thinking at first this summer didn't really have a true bomb just a lot of disappointments.  Then I remembered Alice, BFG and IDR