SUICIDE SQUAD WEEKEND THREAD | New REVISED SUNDAY NUMBER 134m FROM GURU ON PG 212 | 267.1M WW OW | Nine Lives 6.5 OW |No Spoilers Allowed!!! | ACCOUNT SALES THIS WEEKEND - see first post for details !!

John Marston · August 8, 2016

Why did Jason Bourne have such a harsh Sunday drop compared to others

a2k · August 8, 2016

3 minutes ago, grim22 said:

Looks like Michael Phelps affected Sunday night. 30M viewers for his race probably the reason why every movie in the top 10 bar Ice Age was overestimated

Est. /Act. Diff Movie Title (click to view) Studio Studio Est. / Actual Diff % Diff Theaters Est. Total Actual Wk

1 1 - Suicide Squad WB $135,105,000 $133,682,248 $-1,422,752 -1.1% 4,255 $135,105,000 $133,682,248 1

2 2 - Jason Bourne Uni. $22,710,000 $22,405,125 $-304,875 -1.3% 4,039 $103,416,020 $103,111,145 2

3 3 - Bad Moms STX $14,204,000 $14,004,006 $-199,994 -1.4% 3,215 $51,050,830 $50,850,836 2

4 4 - The Secret Life of Pets Uni. $11,560,000 $11,500,590 $-59,410 -0.5% 3,417 $319,578,780 $319,519,370 5

5 5 - Star Trek Beyond Par. $10,200,000 $10,036,030 $-163,970 -1.6% 3,263 $127,901,364 $127,737,394 3

6 6 - Nine Lives (2016) EC $6,500,000 $6,249,915 $-250,085 -3.8% 2,264 $6,500,000 $6,249,915 1

7 7 - Lights Out WB (NL) $6,005,000 $6,006,454 $+1,454 +0.0% 2,581 $54,714,252 $54,715,706 3

8 8 - Nerve LGF $4,900,000 $4,861,528 $-38,472 -0.8% 2,538 $26,888,794 $26,850,322 2

9 9 - Ghostbusters (2016) Sony $4,800,000 $4,676,192 $-123,808 -2.6% 2,545 $116,711,936 $116,588,128 4

10 10 - Ice Age: Collision Course Fox $4,300,000 $4,325,094 $+25,094 +0.6% 2,738 $53,539,797 $53,564,891 3

11 11 - Finding Dory BV $1,955,000 $1,957,734 $+2,734 +0.1% 1,122 $473,869,641 $473,872,375 8

12 12 - Cafe Society LGF $1,700,000 $1,605,786 $-94,214 -5.5% 631 $6,789,811 $6,695,597 4

13 13 - Hillary's America: The Secret History of the Democratic Party QF $865,000 $930,025 $+65,025 +7.5% 672 $11,055,946 $11,120,971 4

BOURNE, MOMS, TREK, 9LIVES, GB have a bigger error than SS.

We are unnecessarily hard on WB.

grim22 · August 8, 2016

Just now, a2knet said:

BOURNE, MOMS, TREK, 9LIVES, GB have a bigger error than SS.

We are unnecessarily hard on WB.

Sunday holds were way lower than expected for most movies. SS was actually the second best hold on Sunday behind Nerve in the top 10. All other things being equal, the only substantial difference I see between the estimated holds and actual holds is the 30M viewers for Phelps and the US swimming team. Would have been interesting if we could have seen the business at that specific time.

TD	YD	Title (Click to View)	Studio	Daily Gross	% +/- YD / LW		Theaters / Avg		Gross To-Date	Day
1	1	Suicide Squad	WB	$30,210,168	-22%	-	4,255	$7,100	$133,682,248	3
2	2	Jason Bourne	Uni.	$6,311,595	-34%	-60%	4,039	$1,563	$103,111,145	10
3	3	Bad Moms	STX	$4,031,351	-26%	-38%	3,215	$1,254	$50,850,836	10
4	4	The Secret Life of Pets	Uni.	$3,407,275	-28%	-44%	3,417	$997	$319,519,370	31
5	5	Star Trek Beyond	Par.	$3,129,464	-27%	-62%	3,263	$959	$127,737,394	17
6	7	Nine Lives (2016)	EC	$1,575,501	-31%	-	2,264	$696	$6,249,915	3
7	6	Lights Out	WB (NL)	$1,560,263	-36%	-50%	2,581	$605	$54,715,706	17
8	9	Nerve	LGF	$1,444,690	-20%	-50%	2,538	$569	$26,850,322	12
9	8	Ghostbusters (2016)	Sony	$1,359,275	-31%	-57%	2,545	$534	$116,588,128	24
10	10	Ice Age: Collision Course	Fox	$1,335,569	-24%	-61%	2,738	$488	$53,564,891	17
11	11	Finding Dory	BV	$648,487	-19%	-56%	1,122	$578	$473,872,375	52
12	12	Cafe Society	LGF	$471,877	-36%	-36%	631	$748	$6,695,597	24

TalismanRing · August 8, 2016

3 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

That's a good Sunday drop (-22%), considering how harsh the Saturday was.

With a Mon 59%, Tue+20%, Wed-32% Thu-8% and a 70% weekend drop it'll already be at $220m by Sunday. I find it hard to imagine how it'll only make another $40m after that.

But hey, that's your prediction.

GOTG had 1.6% Tues increase, a 26% Wed decrease, a Thur 13.4% decrease so I think your weekday projections are on the high side

Blaze Heatnix · August 8, 2016

The funny thing is that while SS domestic actuals were 1.4 million lower, its overseas actuals got 1.3 million higher.

EmpireCity · August 8, 2016

6 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

GOTG had 1.6% Tues increase, a 26% Wed decrease, a Thur 13.4% decrease so I think your weekday projections are on the high side

Tuesday will be up a lot more than Guardians because the discount day has become huge in the last few years.

TalismanRing · August 8, 2016

1 minute ago, nilephelan said:

Tuesday will be up a lot more than Guardians because the discount day has become huge in the last few years.

It was in the 20s% for GOTG after the first week as well.

Dementeleus · August 8, 2016

At a guess, 61% drop today, +13% Tuesday, -31% Wednesday, -11% Thursday.

Blaze Heatnix · August 8, 2016

BVS dropped 55.5% on its first Monday, 19% on Tuesday, 33.5% on Wednesday and 4.4% on Thursday.

So, I guess tomorrow we'll know if SS performs like BVS, or better or worse.

GiantCALBears · August 8, 2016

3 minutes ago, Tele the Jet Baller said:

At a guess, 61% drop today, +13% Tuesday, -31% Wednesday, -11% Thursday.

Thats far too reasonable, need a bit more chaos in those numbers.

cannastop · August 8, 2016

Just now, Blaze Heatnix said:

BVS dropped 55.5% on its first Monday, 19% on Tuesday, 33.5% on Wednesday and 4.4% on Thursday.

So, I guess tomorrow we'll know if SS performs like BVS, or better or worse.

Monday was a holiday for some parts of the domestic market. That's why it dropped on Tuesday.

trifle · August 8, 2016

Just now, Blaze Heatnix said:

BVS dropped 55.5% on its first Monday, 19% on Tuesday, 33.5% on Wednesday and 4.4% on Thursday.

So, I guess tomorrow we'll know if SS performs like BVS, or better or worse.

BvS was before school let out for summer though, so I would think the pattern would differ.

Krissykins · August 8, 2016

1 minute ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

BVS dropped 55.5% on its first Monday, 19% on Tuesday, 33.5% on Wednesday and 4.4% on Thursday.

So, I guess tomorrow we'll know if SS performs like BVS, or better or worse.

Why would anyone compare August to March?

Blaze Heatnix · August 8, 2016

Just now, cannastop said:

Monday was a holiday for some parts of the domestic market. That's why it dropped on Tuesday.

Well, BVS is the movie that we should compare to SS, regarding performances.

Unless you want Deadpool to be used in that regard.

EmpireCity · August 8, 2016

BvS Monday was a holiday.

Nova · August 8, 2016

3 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

Well, BVS is the movie that we should compare to SS, regarding performances.

Unless you want Deadpool to be used in that regard.

Why? Why would you use either BvS or Deadpool? Neither had summer weekdays and both came off of holiday weekends.

Johnny Tran · August 8, 2016

38 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

The younger demo moves from one hot thing to the next in no time.

Unlike older dudes who just harp on the same point over and over lol

a2k · August 8, 2016

11 minutes ago, Tele the Jet Baller said:

At a guess, 61% drop today, +13% Tuesday, -31% Wednesday, -11% Thursday.

Which would give it

11.8

13.3

9.2

8.2

Mon-Thu 42.5 and ~176.2 cume

Blaze Heatnix · August 8, 2016

1 minute ago, a2knet said:

Which would give it

11.8

13.3

9.2

8.2

Mon-Thu 42.5 and ~176.2 cume

I guess that would be the case...

Johnny Tran · August 8, 2016

3 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Which would give it

11.8

13.3

9.2

8.2

Mon-Thu 42.5 and ~176.2 cume

Which would put it ~ $215M after it's second weekend. Some said Saturday night that it won't hit $200M total. lol

Est. /Act.		Diff	Movie Title (click to view)	Studio	Studio Est. / Actual		Diff	% Diff	Theaters	Est. Total	Actual	Wk
1	1	-	Suicide Squad	WB	$135,105,000	$133,682,248	$-1,422,752	-1.1%	4,255	$135,105,000	$133,682,248	1
2	2	-	Jason Bourne	Uni.	$22,710,000	$22,405,125	$-304,875	-1.3%	4,039	$103,416,020	$103,111,145	2
3	3	-	Bad Moms	STX	$14,204,000	$14,004,006	$-199,994	-1.4%	3,215	$51,050,830	$50,850,836	2
4	4	-	The Secret Life of Pets	Uni.	$11,560,000	$11,500,590	$-59,410	-0.5%	3,417	$319,578,780	$319,519,370	5
5	5	-	Star Trek Beyond	Par.	$10,200,000	$10,036,030	$-163,970	-1.6%	3,263	$127,901,364	$127,737,394	3
6	6	-	Nine Lives (2016)	EC	$6,500,000	$6,249,915	$-250,085	-3.8%	2,264	$6,500,000	$6,249,915	1
7	7	-	Lights Out	WB (NL)	$6,005,000	$6,006,454	$+1,454	+0.0%	2,581	$54,714,252	$54,715,706	3
8	8	-	Nerve	LGF	$4,900,000	$4,861,528	$-38,472	-0.8%	2,538	$26,888,794	$26,850,322	2
9	9	-	Ghostbusters (2016)	Sony	$4,800,000	$4,676,192	$-123,808	-2.6%	2,545	$116,711,936	$116,588,128	4
10	10	-	Ice Age: Collision Course	Fox	$4,300,000	$4,325,094	$+25,094	+0.6%	2,738	$53,539,797	$53,564,891	3
11	11	-	Finding Dory	BV	$1,955,000	$1,957,734	$+2,734	+0.1%	1,122	$473,869,641	$473,872,375	8
12	12	-	Cafe Society	LGF	$1,700,000	$1,605,786	$-94,214	-5.5%	631	$6,789,811	$6,695,597	4
13	13	-	Hillary's America: The Secret History of the Democratic Party	QF	$865,000	$930,025	$+65,025	+7.5%	672	$11,055,946	$11,120,971	4

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SUICIDE SQUAD WEEKEND THREAD | New REVISED SUNDAY NUMBER 134m FROM GURU ON PG 212 | 267.1M WW OW | Nine Lives 6.5 OW |No Spoilers Allowed!!! | ACCOUNT SALES THIS WEEKEND - see first post for details !!

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