EmpireCity Posted August 10, 2016 Share Posted August 10, 2016 2 minutes ago, Emerald kikyou said: I'm still new to all this Box Office math so excuse me for asking , but what is the least amount SS needs to do on it's second weekend to be considered as having a good hold? I think staying under 65% drop at this point given the reviews is going to be a decent hold. Anything under 60% is a good hold. Under 55% is fantastic. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Terrific Posted August 10, 2016 Share Posted August 10, 2016 Cocho is already composing her anti-Dr. Strange rants. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted August 10, 2016 Share Posted August 10, 2016 (edited) It's been following Guardians pretty closely, with a bit harsher drop yesterday (56.5 vs. 54) and a way better increase today (8 - 9.6 vs 1.6). With GotG drops: Tue - 14.2 Wed - 10.5 (-26%) Thu - 9.1 (-13%) Fri - 14.8 (+61%) Sat - 20.4 (+38%) Sun - 15.5 (-24%) 50.5m second WE (61-62% drop), 231m total. Edited August 10, 2016 by James Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted August 10, 2016 Share Posted August 10, 2016 2nd weekend likely be near 40 milli9n then 50 million Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmpireCity Posted August 10, 2016 Share Posted August 10, 2016 I still have a smile on my face from the poster that thought even after a $135m weekend that it wouldn't hit $200m domestic. 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nova Posted August 10, 2016 Author Share Posted August 10, 2016 Just now, nilephelan said: I still have a smile on my face from the poster that thought even after a $135m weekend that it wouldn't hit $200m domestic. Yea well he also thought it was hitting Civil War's OW and only changed his tune because of what he watched apparently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RRA Posted August 10, 2016 Share Posted August 10, 2016 1 minute ago, James said: It's been following Guardians pretty closely, with a bit harsher drop yesterday (56.5 vs. 54) and a way better increase today (8 - 9.6 vs 1.6). With GotG drops: Tue - 14.2 Wed - 10.5 (-26%) Thu - 9.1 (-13%) Fri - 14.8 (+61%) Sat - 20.4 (+38%) Sun - 15.5 (-24%) 50.5m second WE, 231m total. Interesting. This is why I'm not eyeballing the drops, but waiting for final returns from overseas and stateside before declaring victory or dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jordanstine Posted August 10, 2016 Share Posted August 10, 2016 Seems a lot of parents are taking their kids to see Suicide Squad. Which I don't think is appropriate. My viewing had a number of children, youngest I've seen probably between 7-8 years old. There is a lot of cussing and sexual innuendo. There was a child behind me that whenever the b-word, s-word, and even the word p*ssy was said, he would gasp, and the Mom would just tell him to hush. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted August 10, 2016 Share Posted August 10, 2016 3 minutes ago, James said: It's been following Guardians pretty closely, with a bit harsher drop yesterday (56.5 vs. 54) and a way better increase today (8 - 9.6 vs 1.6). With GotG drops: Tue - 14.2 Wed - 10.5 (-26%) Thu - 9.1 (-13%) Fri - 14.8 (+61%) Sat - 20.4 (+38%) Sun - 15.5 (-24%) 50.5m second WE, 231m total. 2 years back Disc Tues were smth else (especially that week movies showed relatively tepid Tue increases and better Wed drops) A wide range for SS would be 30-33% for Wed drop. 31-32% probably more likely. Expecting 9.6-9.8. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nova Posted August 10, 2016 Author Share Posted August 10, 2016 3 minutes ago, James said: It's been following Guardians pretty closely, with a bit harsher drop yesterday (56.5 vs. 54) and a way better increase today (8 - 9.6 vs 1.6). With GotG drops: Tue - 14.2 Wed - 10.5 (-26%) Thu - 9.1 (-13%) Fri - 14.8 (+61%) Sat - 20.4 (+38%) Sun - 15.5 (-24%) 50.5m second WE (65.5% drop), 231m total. I think a $50.5M weekend would be less than a 65.5% drop. More along 61-62%. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted August 10, 2016 Share Posted August 10, 2016 Probably drop 30% or more tomorrow so don't freak out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatebox Posted August 10, 2016 Share Posted August 10, 2016 2 minutes ago, Jordanstine said: There was a child behind me that whenever the b-word, s-word, and even the word p*ssy was said, he would gasp. Jeez, and I thought my childhood was sheltered... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted August 10, 2016 Share Posted August 10, 2016 This is a Tuesday increase of 8%. How it compares to recent CBMs: Civil War: 3.5% (every other CBM this year had a holiday) AOU: -.7% Ant-Man: 22.6% FANT4STIC: 29.7% GOTG: 1.6% Winter Soldier: 12.2% TASM2: 20.7% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmpireCity Posted August 10, 2016 Share Posted August 10, 2016 (edited) At worst it is likely sitting at $225m or so after this weekend. Figure it will do $20m during the following week and $22m the following weekend. Should put it near $270m on Aug. 21st Likely going to end up around $315m range. That is a huge win for DC/WB, but they have to start turning out more quality movies. Edited August 10, 2016 by nilephelan 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted August 10, 2016 Share Posted August 10, 2016 TOXIC WOM FINANCIAL DISASTER FOR WB IT WILL FINISH UNDER 200M FO SU IT WILL DO 35M NEXT WEEKEND 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted August 10, 2016 Share Posted August 10, 2016 2 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said: 2nd weekend likely be near 40 milli9n then 50 million I'm really curious how you do the math because it just doesn't add up. Even if it's down 30% today, then 13-14% tomorrow, it still gets close to 9m Thursday, Add a shitty 50% increase on Fri, an even shittier 30% one on Sat and a big 25% drop on Sun and you still get over 46m. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted August 10, 2016 Share Posted August 10, 2016 That's quite impressive that it increased with numbers at this level. Especially taking GOTGs tiny increase into account. Was fully expecting a drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nova Posted August 10, 2016 Author Share Posted August 10, 2016 3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: This is a Tuesday increase of 8%. How it compares to recent CBMs: Civil War: 3.5% (every other CBM this year had a holiday) AOU: -.7% Ant-Man: 22.6% FANT4STIC: 29.7% GOTG: 1.6% Winter Soldier: 12.2% TASM2: 20.7% Fantastic 4 with the highest increase? Laughable. Its the worst of them all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted August 10, 2016 Share Posted August 10, 2016 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted August 10, 2016 Share Posted August 10, 2016 The second weekend drop is going to be huge partly because it did 20 million on thursday. I personally think the third weekend drop is more telling. 300 seems assured to me. It's already at 160 and should add another 19 mill before the weekend. So minimum imo by sunday is about 225. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...