ROGUE ONE WEEKEND THREAD | Actuals R1 155.09m, Moana 12.7m, OCP 8.58m, CB 7.1m, FB 5.07m

[narniadis]

What irritates me about this board is also what I love lol - the instant meltdowns when the # is lower than the majority expected. Long live @Christmas Baumer and his club, proud to be a member! Wish I had remembered to play the derby so my 142m prediction could stand.

[GiantCALBears]

3 minutes ago, Eevin said:

$29m is a solid number, and the lack of Passengers as major competition means it's going to have good legs. Still, kinda wishing I'd kept my prediction at $152m instead of bumping it to $170m at the last minute.

Bumped mine from  $148m to $160m .

[Elessar]

4 minutes ago, Daxtreme said:

I'm asking this seriously because no one seems to be even considering the possibility...

 

Rogue One had previews bigger than Civil War -- Why can't it follow its week-end?

 

75

61

42

= 179

 

What is stopping this movie from performing this way?

 

I mean, TFA did it last year when it followed JW, I understand that the previews were much larger but let's be honest here, it's not like movie theaters could handle more traffic at this point. TFA/JW week-end numbers for each days are probably the maximum right now until more cinemas open, rooms get bigger, or something like that.

 

Because Star Wars has proved to be more frontloaded, at least in terms of previews to OW ratio. Not saying it's impossible but highly unlikely imho.

Edited December 16, 2016 by Elessar

[MrPink]

1 minute ago, GiantCALBears said:

Bumped mine from  $148m to $160m .

 

Don't give up on hope, fam.

 

I'm going potentially two more times this weekend to help you out. Make 10 tickets feel like 100!

[robertman2]

56 minutes ago, POTUS said:

50 is the new 30

Nah

35 minutes ago, Treecraft said:

 

 

I want Kanye to murder Pence and take over the VP office

[babz06]

1 minute ago, Daxtreme said:

I'm asking this seriously because no one seems to be even considering the possibility...

 

Rogue One had previews bigger than Civil War -- Why can't it follow its week-end?

 

75

61

42

= 179

 

What is stopping this movie from performing this way?

 

I mean, TFA did it last year when it followed JW, I understand that the previews were much larger but let's be honest here, it's not like movie theaters could handle more traffic at this point. TFA/JW week-end numbers for each days are probably the maximum right now until more cinemas open, rooms get bigger, or something like that.

People are thinking its gonna be more fan-driven, there is no rush to see this like there was for TFA. It's essentially do 50% of TFA business everywhere.

I think it will perform like a a regular Christmas movie (essentially depressed opening, with great legs) 

[Blankments]

ROGUE BOMB: A FLOP WARS DISAPPOINTMENT

 

Am I doing it right?

[hw64]

7 minutes ago, Daxtreme said:

I'm asking this seriously because no one seems to be even considering the possibility...

 

Rogue One had previews bigger than Civil War -- Why can't it follow its week-end?

 

75

61

42

= 179

 

What is stopping this movie from performing this way?

 

I mean, TFA did it last year when it followed JW, I understand that the previews were much larger but let's be honest here, it's not like movie theaters could handle more traffic at this point. TFA/JW week-end numbers for each days are probably the maximum right now until more cinemas open, rooms get bigger, or something like that.

 

The argument has been made dozens and dozens of times over the past few days, and it's the fact that Star Wars as a franchise is historically front-loaded in terms of both previews and presales, way more so than even current superhero films.

[robertman2]

Just now, Blankments said:

ROGUE BOMB: A FLOP WARS DISAPPOINTMENT

 

Am I doing it right?

Needs more bold

[The Futurist]

FLOP ONE ?

Nah, too easy, any suggestions ?

[terrestrial]

4 minutes ago, robertman2 said:

 Is that so?

My pupils say I have more energy after 3 days without sleep than anyone of them (10 to 17 years old) after only 4 hours of sleep have the next day.... (or worse, the day after that). Whimps. Nicely/jokingly meant, they never where in really bad and longer lasting situations, and that is good.

 

 

[terrestrial]

Gitesh Pandya ‏@GiteshPandya  7 minutes ago

Upfront rush on #RogueOne likely not as fierce as on #StarWars #TheForceAwakens. Full domestic opening wknd has potential to break $150M.

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[narniadis]

For those thinking that Moana might hit 15m this weekend - you have to remember that comps with other films are not nearly as great due to the size of the new openers and with TS2 one has to remember to look further into the run for actual comparison since it opened limited 5 days before the expansion therefore skewing the actual day to day increase.

 

with a 1.3m Thursday the best we can really hope for realistically is about 14m (150+ on Friday, 100+ on Saturday, down -35% on Sunday) the Friday increase will be between the 116% of Tangled (more theater loss on top of several films opening) and the 200% of Frozen - because, well it's Frozen. It could go crazy, but again as with the preview numbers for SW it only sets up for disappointment ala last weekend when people started talking 20m and it didn't come close.

[Daxtreme]

Fair enough, let's see if this one breaks the mold.

[terrestrial]

5 minutes ago, hw64 said:

The argument has been made dozens and dozens of times over the past few days, and it's the fact that Star Wars as a franchise is historically front-loaded in terms of both previews and presales, way more so than even current superhero films.

 

Just now, terrestrial said:

Gitesh Pandya ‏@GiteshPandya  7 minutes ago

Upfront rush on #RogueOne likely not as fierce as on #StarWars #TheForceAwakens. Full domestic opening wknd has potential to break $150M.0 replies .0 retweets3 likes

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[Arlborn]

6 minutes ago, hw64 said:

 

The argument has been made dozens and dozens of times over the past few days, and it's the fact that Star Wars as a franchise is historically front-loaded in terms of both previews and presales, way more so than even current superhero films.

I heard the same being said over and over about Fantastic Beasts a few weeks ago though.

[Blankments]

23 hours ago, water said:

what star wars movies has everyone seen in theaters? i'm 21 and for me it's only been rots and tfa (and ro as of 2 days from now)

Force Awakens

Rogue One

 

This week, I finally knocked off the animated one so when VIII comes out, I can have a list of the top 10 Star Wars movies

[The Futurist]

1 minute ago, Arlborn said:

I heard the same being said over and over about Fantastic Beasts a few weeks ago though.

 

The fanbase in America for SW is way more rabid than for Potter.

[SoSaysI]

Just now, The Futurist said:

 

The fanbase in America for SW is way more rabid than for Potter.

 

That might be true but Potter movies have been more frontloaded than Star Wars films.

[Avatree]

1 hour ago, DAJK said: