Tues #s (Asgard pg 136) R1 22.4 Sing 17.7 Pass 6 Moan 4.6 Ass 3.6 WH 3.4 Fen 3.1 LLL 2.6

[BadAtGender]

Just now, Dingdong123 said:

So Moana is looking at 3.3 million Friday? Yassss atleast it increased from the abysmal drop due to Sing.

 

It didn't have an abysmal drop due to Sing. It didn't have an abysmal drop at all.

[grey ghost]

9 minutes ago, Doctor RTH gone Rouge said:

LLL 1m

 

Who needs Deadline when you have a box office god? 

[TLK]

6 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

Ouch

 

I think that's from 200 theaters. It won't expand until Sunday.

Edited December 24, 2016 by TLK

[TalismanRing]

Just now, TLK said:

 

I thinks that's from 200 theaters. It won't expand until Sunday.

 

Really?  Wish I's known that for the Derby...

[elcaballero]

3 minutes ago, Dingdong123 said:

So Moana is looking at 3.3 million Friday? Yassss atleast it increased from the abysmal drop due to Sing.

Are you talking about the Wednesday drop? So far, it has been performing within expectations.

[John Marston]

1.) Rogue One  (DIS), 4,157 theaters  /$23.1M Fri. (-67%) / 3-day cume: $70.4M (-55%)/4-day:$108.9M /Total: $331.8M/Wk 2

2.) Sing (UNI), 4,022 theaters  /$13.2M Fri. / 3-day cume: $34M /4-day:$57.6M/Total: $76.3M/Wk 1

3.) Passengers  (SONY/VR), 3,478 theaters  /$4.5M Fri. / 3-day cume: $13M /4-day:$18.6M /Total: $26.9M/Wk 1

4.) Why Him?  (FOX), 2,917 theaters  /$3.8M Fri. (includes $975K previews) / 3-day cume: $10.1M /4-day:$15.2M/Wk 1

5.) Assassin’s Creed  (FOX), 2,970 theaters  /$3.7M Fri. / 3-day cume: $9.7M /4-day:$13.6M /Total: $22.2M/Wk 1

6). Moana  (DIS), 2,784 Theaters (-803) / $3.1M (+1%) Fri  /3-day cume: $7.55M (-41%)/4-day: $11.6M/Total: $184.2M/Wk 5

7.) Office Christmas Party  (PAR/DW), 2,679 theaters (-531) /$1.7M Fri. (-35%) / 3-day cume: $4.75M (-45%)/4-day: $7.3M/Total: $44.3M/Wk 3

 8.) Collateral Beauty  (WB/NL), 3,028 theaters  /$1.3M Fri. (-46%)  /3-day cume: $3.6M (-49%)/4-day: $5.6M/Total: $16.6M/Wk 2

9).Manchester by the Sea (RSA/AMZ) 1,213 theaters  (+7)/$934K (-27%) Fri  /3-day: $3.4M (-21%)/4-day: $5.1M/Total: $21.9M/Wk 6

10). Fantastic Beasts…  (WB), 1,966 theaters (-1,070) /$980K Fri. (-27%) / 3-day cume: $2.4M (-53%)/4-day: $3.6M/Total: $214.9M/Wk 6

11). Dangal (UTV), 331 theaters  /$800K Fri. / 3-day cume: $1.8M /4-day:$2.2m/Total: $3M/Wk 1

Notables:

Patriot’s Day  (CBS/LG), 7 theaters  /$53k Fri. / 3-day cume: $164k /3-day PTA: $23,5k/$4-day:$242k /Total: $338k/Wk 1

Silence  (PAR), 4 theaters  /$40k Fri. / 3-day cume: $114k /3-day PTA: $28,5K/4-day:$167K/ Wk 1

A Monster Calls  (FOC), 4 theaters  /$7K Fri. / 3-day cume: $22K /3-day PTA: $5,5K/4-day:$33k/Wk 1

[Porthos]

37.7% increase for R1.

 

Right in line with expectations.

Edited December 24, 2016 by Porthos

[TalismanRing]

Multipliers look too low for Moana, Beasts, Sing and too high for RO

[aabattery]

11 minutes ago, Porthos said:

37.7% increase for R1.

 

Right in line with expectations.

 

[grey ghost]

13 m for Passengers' 3-day?

 

Did anyone see that one coming? 

[grey ghost]

13 minutes ago, Porthos said:

37.7% increase for R1.

 

Right in line with expectations.

 

Is 550 m still on the table?

[dxmatrixdt]

3 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Multipliers look too low for Moana, Beasts, Sing and too high for RO

 

 

Wayy to high for Manchester.  I have it doing 3M with that Friday #.  Maybe its Friday # will be higher tomorrow morning and match that estimate.  I have seen that play out w deadline before. 

[TalismanRing]

2 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

13 m for Passengers' 3-day?

 

Did anyone see that one coming? 

 

After Wed?  Yes.

[TalismanRing]

Just now, Matrix4You said:

 

 

Wayy to high for Manchester.  I have it doing 3M with that Friday #.  Maybe its Friday # will be higher tomorrow morning and match that estimate.  I have seen that play out w deadline before. 

 

The Descendants had a 3.35 multiplier so it could hit $3.12 off that Friday

[dxmatrixdt]

I do not think Assassin's Creed should fall much on Xmas Eve but who knows??

 

Fri - 3.7

Sat - 2.4

Sun - 4.8

= 10.9

 

OR

 

Fri - 3.7

Sat - 2.0

Sun - 4.4

= 10.10

 

Either way, I am totally rooting for this film to have its best day on Christmas Day...  Imagine how many copies of this game have sold for XMAS over the years?

[dxmatrixdt]

1 minute ago, TalismanRing said:

 

The Descendants had a 3.35 multiplier so it could hit $3.12 off that Friday

 

I fear Fences, and the expansions of La La Land and Lion will steal adult business from Manchester.

[efialtes76]

23 minutes ago, John Marston said:

1.) Rogue One  (DIS), 4,157 theaters  /$23.1M Fri. (-67%) / 3-day cume: $70.4M (-55%)/4-day:$108.9M /Total: $331.8M/Wk 2

2.) Sing (UNI), 4,022 theaters  /$13.2M Fri. / 3-day cume: $34M /4-day:$57.6M/Total: $76.3M/Wk 1

3.) Passengers  (SONY/VR), 3,478 theaters  /$4.5M Fri. / 3-day cume: $13M /4-day:$18.6M /Total: $26.9M/Wk 1

4.) Why Him?  (FOX), 2,917 theaters  /$3.8M Fri. (includes $975K previews) / 3-day cume: $10.1M /4-day:$15.2M/Wk 1

5.) Assassin’s Creed  (FOX), 2,970 theaters  /$3.7M Fri. / 3-day cume: $9.7M /4-day:$13.6M /Total: $22.2M/Wk 1

6). Moana  (DIS), 2,784 Theaters (-803) / $3.1M (+1%) Fri  /3-day cume: $7.55M (-41%)/4-day: $11.6M/Total: $184.2M/Wk 5

7.) Office Christmas Party  (PAR/DW), 2,679 theaters (-531) /$1.7M Fri. (-35%) / 3-day cume: $4.75M (-45%)/4-day: $7.3M/Total: $44.3M/Wk 3

 8.) Collateral Beauty  (WB/NL), 3,028 theaters  /$1.3M Fri. (-46%)  /3-day cume: $3.6M (-49%)/4-day: $5.6M/Total: $16.6M/Wk 2

9).Manchester by the Sea (RSA/AMZ) 1,213 theaters  (+7)/$934K (-27%) Fri  /3-day: $3.4M (-21%)/4-day: $5.1M/Total: $21.9M/Wk 6

10). Fantastic Beasts…  (WB), 1,966 theaters (-1,070) /$980K Fri. (-27%) / 3-day cume: $2.4M (-53%)/4-day: $3.6M/Total: $214.9M/Wk 6

11). Dangal (UTV), 331 theaters  /$800K Fri. / 3-day cume: $1.8M /4-day:$2.2m/Total: $3M/Wk 1

Notables:

Patriot’s Day  (CBS/LG), 7 theaters  /$53k Fri. / 3-day cume: $164k /3-day PTA: $23,5k/$4-day:$242k /Total: $338k/Wk 1

Silence  (PAR), 4 theaters  /$40k Fri. / 3-day cume: $114k /3-day PTA: $28,5K/4-day:$167K/ Wk 1

A Monster Calls  (FOC), 4 theaters  /$7K Fri. / 3-day cume: $22K /3-day PTA: $5,5K/4-day:$33k/Wk 1

Very weak start for Silence.

[a2k]

R1 should cross 550.

 

MI:GP had a 44 4-day and added 65 in the next 7 days (Tue to Mon, 2nd Jan) and 68 more to it's run after 2nd Jan.

Holmes had a 31 4-day and added 47 in the next 7 days (Tue to Mon, 2nd Jan) and 50 more to it's run after 2nd Jan.

 

Both these patterns take R1 to 600+, but even going conservative:

If R1 had a 100 4-day and adds 115 in the next 7 days (Tue to Mon, 2nd Jan) and 115 more to it's run after 2nd Jan,

it gets 322 + 115 + 115 = 552 dom

 

 

[dxmatrixdt]

HARRY POTTER AND THE GOBLET OF FIRE Warner Bros. 2,521

$1,608,340 +31.6% / $638 $258,323,753 / 36

$998,980 -37.9% / $396 $259,322,733 / 37

$1,308,663 +31% / $519 $260,631,396 / 3

[grim22]

Let's debate this for a few pages

 

Quote

 

Passengers is also an unfortunate blow to Jennifer Lawrence and Chris Pratt’s B.O. drawing power, proving that it’s much harder for them to draw an audience outside of an ironclad franchise. Last Christmas, Joy was sold on Lawrence’s image alone, but like Passengers, didn’t dazzle critics or crowds and the film fell flat with a 3.3x multiple off its $17M opening for a final domestic of $56.4M (not good for a holiday movie). Some even wonder whether Pratt means anything to moviegoers in flyover states. 

 

 

analysts projected $55M over six days, and now crash, bang, boom. “Sony, just can’t get a break,” said one producer this weekend.

 

I heard that Lawrence was so proud of the film, she went the distance to even do some regional press, which many A-listers typically sidestep. Yes, Passengers is original IP, and it’s a sci-fi movie that’s opening in the shadow of Rogue One which makes for an uphill battle, particularly in December (the top opening for IP in December is Avatar at $77M followed by Daddy’s Home $38.7M — that gives you a sense of the range). But both critics and audiences have turned a cold shoulder toward Passengers, respectively with a 32% Rotten Tomatoes rating and B CinemaScore