filmlover Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Moonlight was also the first LBGT-related movie to win since...Midnight Cowboy? Going by that logic you could say that Call Me by Your Name (which SPC has already confirmed they're saving for a fall release) is a frontrunner because of "narrative" too. We just don't know this far out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moviesRus Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 1 hour ago, CoolioD1 said: never forget Honestly the BoaN stuff was always going to fail even without Parker's implosion. The film just didn't get that great of a critical reception even coming out of Sundance. No 100's on Metacritic even. BP winners are always in the upper 80s or above on MC, at least since Crash lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BirdMan Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 Gotta love March predictions Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsoft Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 (edited) On 3/1/2017 at 2:42 PM, moviesRus said: Honestly the BoaN stuff was always going to fail even without Parker's implosion. The film just didn't get that great of a critical reception even coming out of Sundance. No 100's on Metacritic even. BP winners are always in the upper 80s or above on MC, at least since Crash lol. Yep, ever since the Crash year, you pretty much has to have 85+ on MTC to win BP, if we're counting from when the preferential ballot thing started (The Hurt Locker), the lowest scoring BP on MTC is Argo (86), this is the reason I thought Spotlight would be the winner last year considering The Revenant (76) and The Big short (81) did not have high enough MTC scores and were therefore more critically divisive than Spotlight. I agree that BOAN was never actually going to be win BP, not with Moonlight coming out, regardless of the Nate Parker controversy. Edited March 7, 2017 by NCsoft Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsoft Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 (edited) On 3/1/2017 at 0:59 PM, CoolioD1 said: never forget and people were saying the same thing about La La Land starting last September... Kind of funny what was thought to be the top 3 seeds early in 2016 (BOAN, Billy Lynn, Silence) all fizzled out, and none were even close to a BP nomination. Edited March 7, 2017 by NCsoft Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aabattery Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 19 minutes ago, NCsoft said: and people were saying the same thing about La La Land starting last September... Kind of funny what was thought to be the top 3 seeds early in 2016 (BOAN, Billy Lynn, Silence) all fizzled out, and none were even close to a BP nomination. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 SPC has dated Call Me by Your Name for a November 24 NY/LA start followed by an expansion throughout awards season. Get that Oscar nom, Armie Hammer! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted March 10, 2017 Author Share Posted March 10, 2017 Spotlight won in 2015, Moonlight won in 2016. Okay a movie with the word light in it must win! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Let's see. The BP winners of 2009 and 2010 had Guy Pearce in them, those in 2011 and 2012 had John Goodman, those in 2014 and 2015 had Michael Keaton. 12 Years a Slave is an outlier, however, like the following year's winner Birdman, it was distributed by Fox Searchlight. Going by that logic, next year's winner will either be distributed by A24, or have someone from Moonlight in it. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 3 hours ago, Jake Gittes said: Let's see. The BP winners of 2009 and 2010 had Guy Pearce in them, those in 2011 and 2012 had John Goodman, those in 2014 and 2015 had Michael Keaton. 12 Years a Slave is an outlier, however, like the following year's winner Birdman, it was distributed by Fox Searchlight. Going by that logic, next year's winner will either be distributed by A24, or have someone from Moonlight in it. The Netflix-purchased Sundance film, Burning Sands, has Trevante Rhodes in it... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 I already did this one. Scoot McNairy was in Argo and Slave and the guy who played the detective in The Night Of was in Slave and Birdman. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 I could see Get Out getting a nomination, but I really can't see it for Logan. But, if any comic book movie is going to ever get nominated, Logan is the best shot for one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted March 10, 2017 Author Share Posted March 10, 2017 I keep on wanting to call Moonlight Moonshine. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Logan was a quality film, I don't see it as something that will get Best Picture. Still a great film, and one that I thoroughly enjoyed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Well, starting keeping an eye on The Post 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Incarnadine Posted March 22, 2017 Share Posted March 22, 2017 Battle of the Sexes odds of getting a nomination just went up as it was just given an Awards Season release date. http://variety.com/2017/film/news/emma-stone-battle-of-the-sexes-release-date-1202013416/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted March 22, 2017 Share Posted March 22, 2017 10 hours ago, Incarnadine said: Battle of the Sexes odds of getting a nomination just went up as it was just given an Awards Season release date. http://variety.com/2017/film/news/emma-stone-battle-of-the-sexes-release-date-1202013416/ So were Amelia, Nine, Billy Lynn, Suffragette, Hyde Park on Hudson, Hitchcock... I really wish distributors learned some lessons from 2014. Save the end of the year for the prestige projects that simply won't be finished until then and for stuff that makes a last-minute surprise splash at Venice or Toronto (like Jackie). This movie started shooting a year ago, so it's probably been in the can for a while. If it's good enough, a summer release won't hurt its Oscar chances. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted March 22, 2017 Share Posted March 22, 2017 Battle of the Sexes is going to be more commercial than awardsy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted March 22, 2017 Share Posted March 22, 2017 i just researched this like an asshole. september actually isn't a good awards season release date. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted March 22, 2017 Share Posted March 22, 2017 i could actually see get out getting a best screenplay nomination. i can see the critics awards going for it as a cool choice in that category and bring its name back in the conversation, kinda like w/ the lobster last year. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...