Weekend Actuals (Page 29): Split 40M | xXx 20.1M | Hidden Figures 15.7M | Sing 9M | La La Land 8.4M | The Founder 3.4M

[Kalderic]

So, can anyone explain why they are predicting MT to have a sub 5% drop on Sunday? Am I missing something?

[CJohn]

2 minutes ago, Kalderic said:

So, can anyone explain why they are predicting MT to have a sub 5% drop on Sunday? Am I missing something?

It is Paramount. They want to believe.

[Alli]

Pass and Dragon Tattoo have the same numbers now. 

 

i think Pass will make it to 100M.  DT made 102,5M

[Hatebox]

Good for McAvoy, he deserves his own hit.

[Eevin]

Damn. It played leggier than The Visit over the weekend, so 2.5x+ and $100m+ are in the bag. Just a question of whether it peters out at $100m or goes the distance to $120m+ and beyond. Either way, a massive success. Shyamalan is back.

Sucks for XXX, but overseas is going to save it. Could make a run for $250m, so $300m worldwide isn't impossible.

[grim22]

17 minutes ago, Alli said:

Pass and Dragon Tattoo have the same numbers now. 

 

i think Pass will make it to 100M.  DT made 102,5M

 

It will need an expansion over Valentines Day weekend to make it. Else, Sony will Spectre it over.

[Arlborn]

45 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Holy shit xXx might do 200M OS.

Well, yeah, that's your typical OS title. 

Resident Evil opening next week should do similar numbers. It's opening in quite a lot of OS markets next week too right?

[dashrendar44]

James McAvoy's Cinematic Universe underway. 

[grim22]

Just now, dashrendar44 said:

James McAvoy's Cinematic Universe underway. 

 

 

[filmlover]

Just now, dashrendar44 said:

James McAvoy's Cinematic Universe underway. 

I want his character(s) from Split, his Professor X, the guy from Wanted ("What the fuck have you done lately?"), and the faun from The Chronicles of Narnia to all interact with each other. Make it happen, movie gods.

[PPZVGOS]

Astonishing OW from Split, Hidden Figures iron grip. La La Land losing some luster, Sing resilient will approach $300M, Rogue One running out of gas for weeks now bust still more than good enough for number one for the year and well over $500M

[fmpro]

33 minutes ago, Kalderic said:

So, can anyone explain why they are predicting MT to have a sub 5% drop on Sunday? Am I missing something?

 

Must be a BOM mistake. If you calculate FSS together its way over the weekend estimate..

 

[filmlover]

Next week is gonna be great for the Oscar contenders getting expanded. It helps that theaters will be really cleaning house next weekend- Live by Night will certainly be losing over 2K theaters (it's barely gonna make more than $10M in total, lord what an embarrassing flop) and Patriots Day will likely be losing at least 1K theaters.

[fmpro]

14 minutes ago, grim22 said:

 

It will need an expansion over Valentines Day weekend to make it. Else, Sony will Spectre it over.

 

I agree. Sony will push this over unless JLaw has a 100 mill DOM bonus coming her way

[mahnamahna]

Split looks to be on its way to $115-145 million DOM - depends entirely on the extent of WOM and how it holds against Cure for Wellness next month. 

 

Hidden Figures is on pace for $140-155 million DOM - if it actually increases next weekend ($16.5-18.5 million for the weekend), it might surpass The Help ($175-185 million DOM likely being its ceiling unless its BO success persuades some Oscar voters to give the film some serious Best Supporting Actress consideration) 

 

La La Land should still do $135-155 million DOM, but it needs a big Oscar bump next weekend and a sub-40% drop over SB weekend to approach Chicago unadjusted (Valentine's Day boost would help, too). 

 

Sing is quietly making its way to $275 million DOM while Rogue One has slowed down considerably - still good for $530 million DOM. 

 

 

 

[The Futurist]

The James McAvoy Brand.

 

Everybody wants a piece of it.

 

 

[Maxmoser3]

Split "splits" Xander Cage in half. 

Horror thriller Split surprised this weekend, while XxX:The Return Of Xander Cage bombed, and Hidden Figures had the best hold out of the all the films in the top 12! 

Split led the weekend with an estimated $40.1 million which is 4th best debut for a film released in January, and the best debut for a M. Night Shaymalan film since The Last Airbender back in the summer of 2010. It was also actor James Mcavoy best in a lead role, and with not as much completion and positive word of mouth. Split should hold up fine and make about $120 million domestic.

In second place, XxX:The Return Of Xander Cage crashed with an estimated $20 million debut. That debut is lackluster once when you consider its $85 million price-tag(minus P&A costs), and it being 3x less than the first film in terms of attendance. On the bright side it's better than the debut of XxX:State Of The Union 12 years ago(even adjusting with ticket price inflation, and is on-par with the debut of Riddick from 2013.

But either way this isn't a win for Paramount especially after having two other flops with last weekend's Monster Trucks, and Silence. Paramount needs to make a game plan or else they will be out of business soon.

either way look for Xander Cage to shoot up between $45-$50 million domestic.

Hidden Figures had another awesome hold under 25%, and should remain strong just in time for Awards Season. Look for Hidden Figures to blast off around $125 million domestic.

Family film Sing broke the record for top-grossing film to never hit #1, and is having some strong holds! While Lego Batman comes out in a few weeks, Sing should have a enough notes to hold on to and make $275 million by the end of its run.

Musical La La Land had another decent hold this weekend, while it's at its biggest drop yet(42%) the film is still a hit for Lionsgate, and should gross around $155 million domestic(if it gets more awards boost).

Rogue One had a not-so bad drop, and should have a more weeks left in the top 12 as it passed a $1 billion worldwide this weekend and should end its run around $540 million domestic.

Monster Trucks had an ok hold under 40%. But the film will lose a chunk of theaters next weekend, and should make above $30 million domestic. 

Boston Bombing film Patriot's Day dropped under 50% this weekend which is a steeper drop than last year's 13 Hours:The Secret Soldiers Of Benghazi,Deepwater Horizon, and Lone Survivor. Patriot's Day should make above $30 million.

McDonald's biopic The Founder floundered with an estimated $3.75 million debut, and should make about $8 million domestic.

Cop thriller Sleepless saw a not-so great drop at around 56% but the drop was much better than Sabotage and Triple 9's drops which were over 60%. Sleepless should pass out close to $20 million.

The Bye Bye Man is going Bye Bye soon with a hefty 73% drop and should definitely come close to $25 million domestic.

Moana held out decently, and should make $250 million domestic.

[filmlover]

Weekend thoughts:

 

What an incredible opening for Split. M. Night is back, indeed.

 

xXx's opening is mediocre as expected, but hey, at least it didn't do nearly as awful as the much more timely State of the Union did in 2005.

 

Hidden Figures is kicking ass. It could make a play for $150M at this point.

 

La La Land took a bit of a hit but last weekend saw the effects of its Golden Globes glory, plus it also lost IMAX screens this weekend. $150M is still possible too.

 

Good holds for Sing and Monster Trucks (too little too late there, though). Patriots Day is something of a miss.

 

Poor The Founder, never stood a chance.

[John Marston]

XXX is on track for 200m or more overseas so it is not a flop 

[Morieris]

Outside of Popstar last year, I don't think i've ever seen something lose as many theaters in wide release as quickly as A Monster Calls. Only 42 left.