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chasmmi

Summer Game Week 1 - Box Office is Marvel-ous Again: Deadline Thursday May 4th at 11:59pm

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Weekly Questions will have 15 questions, except for the following weeks:

 

GOTG2 Weekend   25 questions

Pirates and Baywatch Weekend  20 questions

Transformers Weekend    20 questions

Spiderman Weekend    25 questions

Dunkirk Weekend     20 questions

Final Weekend    25 questions

 

 

Part A:

 

1. Will Guardians make more than $130M? 1000

2. Will Guardians make more than $150M? 2000

3. WIll Guardians drop more than 15% on Saturday? 3000

4. Will Guardians make more than 80% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? 4000

5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Guardians' weekend gross? 5000 

 

6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%?  1000

7. Will The Circle drop more than 60%? 2000

8. Will Latin Lover stay about Baahubali? 3000

9. Will Boss Baby increase more than 85% on Saturday? 4000

10. Will the top 11 films all make more than $1M? 5000

 

11. Will Gifted's PTA stay above $1,000? 1000

12. Will Going in Style stay aboe Smurfs? 2000

13. Will Free Fire make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? 3000

14. Will Logan stay above Colossal? 4000

15. Will Power Rangers cross $85M by the end of the weekend? 5000 

 

16. Will Life have a PTA above $400? 1000

17. Will Case for Christ have a PTA above $600? 2000

18. Will CHuck have a PTA aboe $3,000? 3000

19. Will 3 Generations have a PTA above $7,500? 4000

20. Will Ghost in the Shell have a PTA above $500? 5000 

 

21. Will Guardians' Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? 1000

22. Will Fate of the Furious' first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000

23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? 3000

24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $185M? 4000

25. How many Hobbits will ride Groot into battle during Guardians 2? 5000 

 

Bonus: 

 

15/25   2000

16/25   3000

17/25   5000

18/25   7000

19/25    10000

20/25   15000

21/25    20,000

22/25   25,000 

23/25    33,000

24/25    40,000 

 25/25   50,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Guardians 2 make for its 3 day OW?

2. What will Baahubali's Saturday gross be? 

3. What will The Circle's percentage drop be? 

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3. 

5. 

8. 

10. 

13.

16. 

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

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Part A:

 

1. Will Guardians make more than $130M? 1000 Yes

2. Will Guardians make more than $150M? 2000 No

3. WIll Guardians drop more than 15% on Saturday? 3000 Yes

4. Will Guardians make more than 80% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? 4000 No

5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Guardians' weekend gross? 5000 Yes

 

6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%?  1000 No

7. Will The Circle drop more than 60%? 2000 Yes

8. Will Latin Lover stay about Baahubali? 3000 Yes

9. Will Boss Baby increase more than 85% on Saturday? 4000 Yes

10. Will the top 11 films all make more than $1M? 5000 Yes

 

11. Will Gifted's PTA stay above $1,000? 1000 Yes

12. Will Going in Style stay aboe Smurfs? 2000 Yes

13. Will Free Fire make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? 3000 Yes

14. Will Logan stay above Colossal? 4000 Yes

15. Will Power Rangers cross $85M by the end of the weekend? 5000 No

 

16. Will Life have a PTA above $400? 1000 Yes

17. Will Case for Christ have a PTA above $600? 2000 Yes

18. Will CHuck have a PTA aboe $3,000? 3000 Yes

19. Will 3 Generations have a PTA above $7,500? 4000 Yes

20. Will Ghost in the Shell have a PTA above $500? 5000 Yes  

 

21. Will Guardians' Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? 1000 No

22. Will Fate of the Furious' first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000 No

23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? 3000 Yes

24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $185M? 4000 Yes

25. How many Hobbits will ride Groot into battle during Guardians 2? 5000 12

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Guardians 2 make for its 3 day OW? 140M

2. What will Baahubali's Saturday gross be? 1.2M

3. What will The Circle's percentage drop be? -65%

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3. How to be a Latin Lover

5. Beauty and the Beast

8. Gifted

10. Smurfs: The Lost Village

13. The Lost City of Z

16. Born in China

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

 

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Part A:

 

1. Will Guardians make more than $130M? Yes

2. Will Guardians make more than $150M? Yes

3. WIll Guardians drop more than 15% on Saturday? Yes

4. Will Guardians make more than 80% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? Yes

5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Guardians' weekend gross?  Yes

 

6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%?  No

7. Will The Circle drop more than 60%? Yes

8. Will Latin Lover stay about Baahubali? Yes

9. Will Boss Baby increase more than 85% on Saturday? Yes

10. Will the top 11 films all make more than $1M? Yes

 

11. Will Gifted's PTA stay above $1,000? Yes

12. Will Going in Style stay aboe Smurfs? Yes

13. Will Free Fire make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? Yes

14. Will Logan stay above Colossal? Yes

15. Will Power Rangers cross $85M by the end of the weekend? Yes

 

16. Will Life have a PTA above $400? Yes

17. Will Case for Christ have a PTA above $600? Yes

18. Will CHuck have a PTA aboe $3,000? No

19. Will 3 Generations have a PTA above $7,500? Yes

20. Will Ghost in the Shell have a PTA above $500? Yes

 

21. Will Guardians' Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? Yes

22. Will Fate of the Furious' first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? No

23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? Yes

24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $185M? Yes

25. How many Hobbits will ride Groot into battle during Guardians 2? 69 lol

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Guardians 2 make for its 3 day OW? 158.65M

2. What will Baahubali's Saturday gross be? 1.65M

3. What will The Circle's percentage drop be? -64%

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3. Latin Lover

5. Baahubali 2

8. Going in Style

10. Smurfs

13. Lost City of Z

16. Sleight

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

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Part A:

 

1. Will Guardians make more than $130M? 1000 yes

2. Will Guardians make more than $150M? 2000 no

3. WIll Guardians drop more than 15% on Saturday? 3000 yes

4. Will Guardians make more than 80% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? 4000 yes

5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Guardians' weekend gross? 5000 yes

 

6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%?  1000 no

7. Will The Circle drop more than 60%? 2000 yes

8. Will Latin Lover stay about Baahubali? 3000 yes

9. Will Boss Baby increase more than 85% on Saturday? 4000 yes

10. Will the top 11 films all make more than $1M? 5000 yes

 

11. Will Gifted's PTA stay above $1,000? 1000 yes

12. Will Going in Style stay aboe Smurfs? 2000 yes

13. Will Free Fire make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? 3000 yes

14. Will Logan stay above Colossal? 4000 yed

15. Will Power Rangers cross $85M by the end of the weekend? 5000 no

 

16. Will Life have a PTA above $400? 1000 yed

17. Will Case for Christ have a PTA above $600? 2000 yes

18. Will CHuck have a PTA aboe $3,000? 3000 yes

19. Will 3 Generations have a PTA above $7,500? 4000 yes

20. Will Ghost in the Shell have a PTA above $500? 5000  yes

 

21. Will Guardians' Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? 1000 yes

22. Will Fate of the Furious' first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000 yes

23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? 3000 no

24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $185M? 4000 yes

25. How many Hobbits will ride Groot into battle during Guardians 2? 5000 0

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Guardians 2 make for its 3 day OW? 144.2

2. What will Baahubali's Saturday gross be? 1.4

3. What will The Circle's percentage drop be? 66

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3. How to be a latin lover

5. The boss baby

8. Going in style

10. Gifted

13.get out

14.kong

 

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14 hours ago, chasmmi said:

Weekly Questions will have 15 questions, except for the following weeks:

 

GOTG2 Weekend   25 questions

Pirates and Baywatch Weekend  20 questions

Transformers Weekend    20 questions

Spiderman Weekend    25 questions

Dunkirk Weekend     20 questions

Final Weekend    25 questions

 

 

Part A:

 

1. Will Guardians make more than $130M? YES

2. Will Guardians make more than $150M? NO

3. WIll Guardians drop more than 15% on Saturday? YES

4. Will Guardians make more than 80% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? YES

5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Guardians' weekend gross? YES

 

6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%?  NO

7. Will The Circle drop more than 60%? YES

8. Will Latin Lover stay about Baahubali? YES

9. Will Boss Baby increase more than 85% on Saturday? YES

10. Will the top 11 films all make more than $1M? YES

 

11. Will Gifted's PTA stay above $1,000? NO

12. Will Going in Style stay aboe Smurfs? YES

13. Will Free Fire make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? YES

14. Will Logan stay above Colossal? YES

15. Will Power Rangers cross $85M by the end of the weekend? YES

 

16. Will Life have a PTA above $400? YES 

17. Will Case for Christ have a PTA above $600? YES

18. Will CHuck have a PTA aboe $3,000? Ummm... no?

19. Will 3 Generations have a PTA above $7,500? 4000

20. Will Ghost in the Shell have a PTA above $500? Yes

 

21. Will Guardians' Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? YES

22. Will Fate of the Furious' first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? YES

23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? YES

24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $185M? YES

25. How many Hobbits will ride Groot into battle during Guardians 2? 0? 

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Guardians 2 make for its 3 day OW? 145.7m

2. What will Baahubali's Saturday gross be? 1.78m

3. What will The Circle's percentage drop be? 72.3%

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3. How to Be a Latin Lover

5. Boss Baby

8. Going in Style

10. Gifted

13. Get Out

16. The Promise

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

 

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Part A:

 

1. Will Guardians make more than $130M? 1000 Ye

2. Will Guardians make more than $150M? 2000 Ye

3. WIll Guardians drop more than 15% on Saturday? 3000 Nope

4. Will Guardians make more than 80% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? 4000 Ye

5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Guardians' weekend gross? 5000 Ye

 

6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%?  1000 Ye

7. Will The Circle drop more than 60%? 2000 Ye

8. Will Latin Lover stay about Baahubali? 3000 Ye

9. Will Boss Baby increase more than 85% on Saturday? 4000 Ye

10. Will the top 11 films all make more than $1M? 5000 Ye

 

11. Will Gifted's PTA stay above $1,000? 1000 Ye

12. Will Going in Style stay aboe Smurfs? 2000 Ye

13. Will Free Fire make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? 3000 Ye

14. Will Logan stay above Colossal? 4000 Nope

15. Will Power Rangers cross $85M by the end of the weekend? 5000 Ye

 

16. Will Life have a PTA above $400? 1000 Ye

17. Will Case for Christ have a PTA above $600? 2000 Ye

18. Will CHuck have a PTA aboe $3,000? 3000 Ye

19. Will 3 Generations have a PTA above $7,500? 4000 Ye

20. Will Ghost in the Shell have a PTA above $500? 5000  Ye

 

21. Will Guardians' Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? 1000 Ye

22. Will Fate of the Furious' first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000 Nope

23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? 3000 Ye

24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $185M? 4000 Ye

25. How many Hobbits will ride Groot into battle during Guardians 2? 5000 Ye

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Guardians 2 make for its 3 day OW? 154.5M

2. What will Baahubali's Saturday gross be? 1.4M

3. What will The Circle's percentage drop be? -70%

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3. How to be a Latin Lover

5. Beauty and the Beast

8. The Circle

10. The Boss Baby

13. Lost City of Z

16. Born in China

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

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1. Will Guardians make more than $130M? 1000 YES

2. Will Guardians make more than $150M? 2000 YES

3. WIll Guardians drop more than 15% on Saturday? 3000 YES

4. Will Guardians make more than 80% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? 4000 YES

5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Guardians' weekend gross? 5000 YES

 

6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%?  1000 NO

7. Will The Circle drop more than 60%? 2000 YES

8. Will Latin Lover stay about Baahubali? 3000 YES

9. Will Boss Baby increase more than 85% on Saturday? 4000 YES

10. Will the top 11 films all make more than $1M? 5000 YES

 

11. Will Gifted's PTA stay above $1,000? 1000 YES

12. Will Going in Style stay above Smurfs? 2000 YES

13. Will Free Fire make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? 3000 YES

14. Will Logan stay above Colossal? 4000 NO

15. Will Power Rangers cross $85M by the end of the weekend? 5000 NO

 

16. Will Life have a PTA above $400? 1000 YES

17. Will Case for Christ have a PTA above $600? 2000 YES

18. Will CHuck have a PTA aboe $3,000? 3000 YES

19. Will 3 Generations have a PTA above $7,500? 4000 NO

20. Will Ghost in the Shell have a PTA above $500? 5000 YES

 

21. Will Guardians' Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? 1000 YES

22. Will Fate of the Furious' first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000 YES

23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? 3000 YES

24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $185M? 4000 YES

25. How many Hobbits will ride Groot into battle during Guardians 2? 5000 ENOUGH TO DRIVE TELEMACHOS TO MADNESS

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Guardians 2 make for its 3 day OW? $152.75M

2. What will Baahubali's Saturday gross be? $1.721M

3. What will The Circle's percentage drop be? -62.4%

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3. THE FATE OF THE FURIOUS

5. THE BOSS BABY

8. GOING IN STYLE

10. SMURFS: THE LOST VILLIAGE

13. GET OUT

16. KONG: SKULL ISLAND

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

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Part A:

 

1. Will Guardians make more than $130M? 1000 Yes

2. Will Guardians make more than $150M? 2000 Yes

3. WIll Guardians drop more than 15% on Saturday? 3000 Yes

4. Will Guardians make more than 80% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? 4000 No

5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Guardians' weekend gross? 5000 No

 

6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%?  1000 Yes

7. Will The Circle drop more than 60%? 2000 Yes

8. Will Latin Lover stay about Baahubali? 3000 Yes

9. Will Boss Baby increase more than 85% on Saturday? 4000 Yes

10. Will the top 11 films all make more than $1M? 5000 Yes

 

11. Will Gifted's PTA stay above $1,000? 1000 Yes

12. Will Going in Style stay aboe Smurfs? 2000 Yes

13. Will Free Fire make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? 3000 Yes

14. Will Logan stay above Colossal? 4000 Yes

15. Will Power Rangers cross $85M by the end of the weekend? 5000 Yes

 

16. Will Life have a PTA above $400? 1000 Yese

17. Will Case for Christ have a PTA above $600? 2000 Yes

18. Will CHuck have a PTA aboe $3,000? 3000 Yes

19. Will 3 Generations have a PTA above $7,500? 4000 Yes

20. Will Ghost in the Shell have a PTA above $500? 5000 Yes  

 

21. Will Guardians' Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? 1000 No

22. Will Fate of the Furious' first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000 No

23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? 3000 No

24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $185M? 4000 Yes

25. How many Hobbits will ride Groot into battle during Guardians 2? 5000 Frodo, Sam, Merry and Pippin. 

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Guardians 2 make for its 3 day OW? 161m

2. What will Baahubali's Saturday gross be? 1.6M

3. What will The Circle's percentage drop be? -61.2%

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3. How to be a Latin Lover

5. Beauty and the Beast

8. Gifted

10. Smurfs: The Lost Village

13. The Lost City of Z

16. Born in China

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

 

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1. Will Guardians make more than $130M? 1000 *YES*

2. Will Guardians make more than $150M? 2000 *NO*

3. WIll Guardians drop more than 15% on Saturday? 3000 *YES*

4. Will Guardians make more than 80% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? 4000 *YES*

5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Guardians' weekend gross? 5000  *YES*

 

6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%?  1000 *NO*

7. Will The Circle drop more than 60%? 2000 *YES*

8. Will Latin Lover stay about Baahubali? 3000 *YES*

9. Will Boss Baby increase more than 85% on Saturday? 4000  *YES*

10. Will the top 11 films all make more than $1M? 5000 *NO*

 

11. Will Gifted's PTA stay above $1,000? 1000 *YES*

12. Will Going in Style stay aboe Smurfs? 2000 *YES*

13. Will Free Fire make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? 3000 *YES*

14. Will Logan stay above Colossal? 4000 *YES*

15. Will Power Rangers cross $85M by the end of the weekend? 5000 *YES*

 

16. Will Life have a PTA above $400? 1000 *YES*

17. Will Case for Christ have a PTA above $600? 2000 *YES*

18. Will CHuck have a PTA aboe $3,000? 3000 *YES*

19. Will 3 Generations have a PTA above $7,500? 4000 *YES*

20. Will Ghost in the Shell have a PTA above $500? 5000 *YES*

 

21. Will Guardians' Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? 1000 *NO*

22. Will Fate of the Furious' first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000 *YES*

23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? 3000 *NO*

24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $185M? 4000 *YES*

25. How many Hobbits will ride Groot into battle during Guardians 2? 5000 *I'm thinking pi.  Or maybe cake."

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Guardians 2 make for its 3 day OW? 145M

2. What will Baahubali's Saturday gross be?  1.61m

3. What will The Circle's percentage drop be? 61%

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3. Latin Lover

5. Boss Baby

8. Going in Style

10.  Smurfs

13. City of Z

16. China

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Part A:

 

1. Will Guardians make more than $130M? Yes

2. Will Guardians make more than $150M? Yes

3. WIll Guardians drop more than 15% on Saturday? Yes

4. Will Guardians make more than 80% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? Yes

5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Guardians' weekend gross? Yes

 

6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%?  No

7. Will The Circle drop more than 60%? Yes

8. Will Latin Lover stay about Baahubali? Yes

9. Will Boss Baby increase more than 85% on Saturday? Yes

10. Will the top 11 films all make more than $1M? No

 

11. Will Gifted's PTA stay above $1,000? Yes

12. Will Going in Style stay above Smurfs? Yes

13. Will Free Fire make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? No

14. Will Logan stay above Colossal? No

15. Will Power Rangers cross $85M by the end of the weekend? Yes

 

16. Will Life have a PTA above $400? No

17. Will Case for Christ have a PTA above $600? Yes

18. Will CHuck have a PTA above $3,000? No

19. Will 3 Generations have a PTA above $7,500? No

20. Will Ghost in the Shell have a PTA above $500? Yes

 

21. Will Guardians' Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? No

22. Will Fate of the Furious' first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? Yes

23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? No

24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $185M? No

25. How many Hobbits will ride Groot into battle during Guardians 2? All the Hobbits in the MCU

 

Part B:

 

1. What will Guardians 2 make for its 3 day OW? $155 million

2. What will Baahubali's Saturday gross be? $1.75 million

3. What will The Circle's percentage drop be? -65%

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3.  How to be a Latin Lover

5.  Beauty and the Beast

8.  Going in Style

10.  Born in China

13.  The Lost City of Z

16.  Get Out

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Part A:

 

1. Will Guardians make more than $130M? 1000 Yes

2. Will Guardians make more than $150M? 2000 No

3. WIll Guardians drop more than 15% on Saturday? 3000 Yes

4. Will Guardians make more than 80% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? 4000 yes

5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Guardians' weekend gross? 5000 yes

 

6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%?  1000 yes

7. Will The Circle drop more than 60%? 2000 yes

8. Will Latin Lover stay about Baahubali? 3000 yes

9. Will Boss Baby increase more than 85% on Saturday? 4000 yes

10. Will the top 11 films all make more than $1M? 5000 yes

 

11. Will Gifted's PTA stay above $1,000? 1000 yes

12. Will Going in Style stay aboe Smurfs? 2000 yes

13. Will Free Fire make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? 3000 yes

14. Will Logan stay above Colossal? 4000 no

15. Will Power Rangers cross $85M by the end of the weekend? 5000 no

 

16. Will Life have a PTA above $400? 1000 no

17. Will Case for Christ have a PTA above $600? 2000 no

18. Will CHuck have a PTA above $3,000? 3000 yes

19. Will 3 Generations have a PTA above $7,500? 4000 no

20. Will Ghost in the Shell have a PTA above $500? 5000 no

 

21. Will Guardians' Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? 1000 yes

22. Will Fate of the Furious' first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000 no

23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? 3000 yes

24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $185M? 4000

25. How many Hobbits will ride Groot into battle during Guardians 2? 5000 6

 

Bonus: 

 

Bonus: 

 

15/25   2000

16/25   3000

17/25   5000

18/25   7000

19/25    10000

20/25   15000

21/25    20,000

22/25   25,000 

23/25    33,000

24/25    40,000 

 25/25   50,000

 

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Guardians 2 make for its 3 day OW? 132.335M

2. What will Baahubali's Saturday gross be? 1M

3. What will The Circle's percentage drop be? 58.775%

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3. Latin Lover

5. Boss Baby

8. Baahulubali

10. Gifted

13. Born in China

16. Raiders of the Lost Ark

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

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Part A:

 

1. Will Guardians make more than $130M? 1000 YES

2. Will Guardians make more than $150M? 2000 YES

3. WIll Guardians drop more than 15% on Saturday? 3000 NO

4. Will Guardians make more than 80% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? 4000 YES

5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Guardians' weekend gross? 5000 NO 

 

6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%?  1000 NO

7. Will The Circle drop more than 60%? 2000 YES

8. Will Latin Lover stay about Baahubali? 3000 YES

9. Will Boss Baby increase more than 85% on Saturday? 4000 NO

10. Will the top 11 films all make more than $1M? 5000 NO

 

11. Will Gifted's PTA stay above $1,000? 1000 YES

12. Will Going in Style stay aboe Smurfs? 2000 YES

13. Will Free Fire make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? 3000 YES

14. Will Logan stay above Colossal? 4000 NO

15. Will Power Rangers cross $85M by the end of the weekend? 5000 YES 

 

16. Will Life have a PTA above $400? 1000 NO

17. Will Case for Christ have a PTA above $600? 2000 YES

18. Will CHuck have a PTA aboe $3,000? 3000 NO

19. Will 3 Generations have a PTA above $7,500? 4000 YES

20. Will Ghost in the Shell have a PTA above $500? 5000 NO 

 

21. Will Guardians' Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? 1000 NO

22. Will Fate of the Furious' first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000 YES

23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? 3000 YES

24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $185M? 4000 YES

25. How many Hobbits will ride Groot into battle during Guardians 2? 5000 0 

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Guardians 2 make for its 3 day OW? 164.34M

2. What will Baahubali's Saturday gross be? 1.68M

3. What will The Circle's percentage drop be? -68

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3. FATE OF THE FURIOUS

5. BOSS BABY

8. GOING IN STYLE

10. SMURFS

13. LOST ISLAND OF Z

16. BORN IN CHINA

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

 
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1. Will Guardians make more than $130M? 1000 Yes

2. Will Guardians make more than $150M? 2000 No

3. WIll Guardians drop more than 15% on Saturday? 3000 No

4. Will Guardians make more than 80% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? 4000 Yes

5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Guardians' weekend gross? 5000  Yes

 

6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%?  1000 No

7. Will The Circle drop more than 60%? 2000 Yes

8. Will Latin Lover stay about Baahubali? 3000 Yes

9. Will Boss Baby increase more than 85% on Saturday? 4000 Yes

10. Will the top 11 films all make more than $1M? 5000 Yes

 

11. Will Gifted's PTA stay above $1,000? 1000 No

12. Will Going in Style stay aboe Smurfs? 2000 Yes

13. Will Free Fire make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? 3000 No

14. Will Logan stay above Colossal? 4000 Yes

15. Will Power Rangers cross $85M by the end of the weekend? 5000 No

 

16. Will Life have a PTA above $400? 1000 No

17. Will Case for Christ have a PTA above $600? 2000 Yes

18. Will CHuck have a PTA aboe $3,000? 3000 No

19. Will 3 Generations have a PTA above $7,500? 4000 No

20. Will Ghost in the Shell have a PTA above $500? 5000 No

 

21. Will Guardians' Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? 1000 No

22. Will Fate of the Furious' first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000 Yes

23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? 3000 Yes

24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $185M? 4000  No

25. How many Hobbits will ride Groot into battle during Guardians 2? 5000 10000 

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Guardians 2 make for its 3 day OW? 140.44

2. What will Baahubali's Saturday gross be?  2.22

3. What will The Circle's percentage drop be? 64.5

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3. F8

5. Boss Baby

8. Going in Style

10. 

13.

16. 

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A

 

01 Y
02 N
03 Y
04 Y
05 Y

 

06 N
07 Y
08 Y
09 Y
10 Y

 

11 Y
12 Y
13 Y
14 Y
15 N

 

16 N
17 N
18 Y
19 N
20 Y

 

21 Y
22 Y
23 N
24 Y
25 ^^
 
B
 
01 145.99 M
02 1.62 M
03 61.05%
 
C
 
03  HOW TO BE A LATIN LOVER
05  THE BOSS BABY
08  GOING IN STYLE
10  SMURFS: THE LOST VILLAGE
13 BORN IN CHINA
16 KONG: SKULL ISLAND

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Part A:

 

1. Will Guardians make more than $130M? 1000 YES

2. Will Guardians make more than $150M? 2000 YES

3. WIll Guardians drop more than 15% on Saturday? 3000 NO

4. Will Guardians make more than 80% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? 4000 NO

5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Guardians' weekend gross? 5000 NO

 

6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%?  1000 NO

7. Will The Circle drop more than 60%? 2000 YES

8. Will Latin Lover stay about Baahubali? 3000 YES

9. Will Boss Baby increase more than 85% on Saturday? 4000 YES

10. Will the top 11 films all make more than $1M? 5000 YES

 

11. Will Gifted's PTA stay above $1,000? 1000 NO

12. Will Going in Style stay aboe Smurfs? 2000 YES

13. Will Free Fire make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? 3000 YES

14. Will Logan stay above Colossal? 4000 NO

15. Will Power Rangers cross $85M by the end of the weekend? 5000 NO

 

16. Will Life have a PTA above $400? 1000 NO

17. Will Case for Christ have a PTA above $600? 2000 YES

18. Will CHuck have a PTA aboe $3,000? 3000 NO

19. Will 3 Generations have a PTA above $7,500? 4000 YES

20. Will Ghost in the Shell have a PTA above $500? 5000 YES

 

21. Will Guardians' Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? 1000 YES

22. Will Fate of the Furious' first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000 YES

23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? 3000 YES

24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $185M? 4000 YES

25. How many Hobbits will ride Groot into battle during Guardians 2? 5000 Now that would be a site to see..... Hell lets go full throttle!  Disney listen... time to merge the MCU and Middle Earth into one mega universe!  then the white wizard can battle thanos now too.......

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Guardians 2 make for its 3 day OW? 160.903m

2. What will Baahubali's Saturday gross be? 3.601m

3. What will The Circle's percentage drop be? -64.8%

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3. How to be a Latin Lover

5. Baahubali 2: The Conclusion

8. Going in Style (2017)

10. Smurfs: The Lost Village

13. Born in China

16. Kong: Skull Island

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

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1. Will Guardians make more than $130M? 1000 YES

2. Will Guardians make more than $150M? 2000 YES

3. WIll Guardians drop more than 15% on Saturday? 3000 YES

4. Will Guardians make more than 80% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? 4000 YES

5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Guardians' weekend gross? 5000 YES

 

6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%?  1000 NO

7. Will The Circle drop more than 60%? 2000 YES

8. Will Latin Lover stay about Baahubali? 3000 YES

9. Will Boss Baby increase more than 85% on Saturday? 4000 YES

10. Will the top 11 films all make more than $1M? 5000 YES

 

11. Will Gifted's PTA stay above $1,000? 1000 YES

12. Will Going in Style stay above Smurfs? 2000 YES

13. Will Free Fire make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? 3000 YES

14. Will Logan stay above Colossal? 4000 NO

15. Will Power Rangers cross $85M by the end of the weekend? 5000 NO

 

16. Will Life have a PTA above $400? 1000 YES

17. Will Case for Christ have a PTA above $600? 2000 NO

18. Will CHuck have a PTA aboe $3,000? 3000 YES

19. Will 3 Generations have a PTA above $7,500? 4000 NO

20. Will Ghost in the Shell have a PTA above $500? 5000 NO

 

21. Will Guardians' Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? 1000 NO

22. Will Fate of the Furious' first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000 YES

23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? 3000 YES

24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $185M? 4000 YES

25. How many Hobbits will ride Groot into battle during Guardians 2? 5000 I AM GROOT

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Guardians 2 make for its 3 day OW? $153.18M

2. What will Baahubali's Saturday gross be? $1.221M

3. What will The Circle's percentage drop be? -63.4%

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3. LATIN LOVER

5. THE BOSS BABY

8. GOING IN STYLE

10. SMURFS: THE LOST VILLIAGE

13. GET OUT

16. KONG: SKULL ISLAND

 
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1. Will Guardians make more than $130M? 1000 *YES*

2. Will Guardians make more than $150M? 2000 *NO*

3. WIll Guardians drop more than 15% on Saturday? 3000 *YES*

4. Will Guardians make more than 80% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? 4000 *YES*

5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Guardians' weekend gross? 5000  *YES*

 

6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%?  1000 *NO*

7. Will The Circle drop more than 60%? 2000 *YES*

8. Will Latin Lover stay about Baahubali? 3000 *YES*

9. Will Boss Baby increase more than 85% on Saturday? 4000  *YES*

10. Will the top 11 films all make more than $1M? 5000 *NO*

 

11. Will Gifted's PTA stay above $1,000? 1000 *YES*

12. Will Going in Style stay aboe Smurfs? 2000 *YES*

13. Will Free Fire make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? 3000 *YES*

14. Will Logan stay above Colossal? 4000 *YES*

15. Will Power Rangers cross $85M by the end of the weekend? 5000 *YES*

 

16. Will Life have a PTA above $400? 1000 *YES*

17. Will Case for Christ have a PTA above $600? 2000 *YES*

18. Will CHuck have a PTA aboe $3,000? 3000 *YES*

19. Will 3 Generations have a PTA above $7,500? 4000 *YES*

20. Will Ghost in the Shell have a PTA above $500? 5000 *YES*

 

21. Will Guardians' Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? 1000 *NO*

22. Will Fate of the Furious' first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000 *NO*

23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? 3000 *NO*

24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $185M? 4000 *YES*

25. How many Hobbits will ride Groot into battle during Guardians 2? "42"

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Guardians 2 make for its 3 day OW? 164M

2. What will baahubali's Saturday gross be?  1.66m

3. What will The Circle's percentage drop be? 67.3%

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3. Latin Lover

5. Boss Baby

8. Going in Style

10.  Smurfs

13. City of z

16. China

 

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Part A:

 

1. Will Guardians make more than $130M? 1000 YES

2. Will Guardians make more than $150M? 2000 NO

3. WIll Guardians drop more than 15% on Saturday? 3000 YES

4. Will Guardians make more than 80% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? 4000 YES

5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Guardians' weekend gross? 5000  YES

 

6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%?  1000 NO

7. Will The Circle drop more than 60%? 2000 YES

8. Will Latin Lover stay about Baahubali? 3000 YES

9. Will Boss Baby increase more than 85% on Saturday? 4000 YES

10. Will the top 11 films all make more than $1M? 5000 NO

 

11. Will Gifted's PTA stay above $1,000? 1000 YES

12. Will Going in Style stay aboe Smurfs? 2000 YES

13. Will Free Fire make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? 3000 YES

14. Will Logan stay above Colossal? 4000 YES

15. Will Power Rangers cross $85M by the end of the weekend? 5000 YES 

 

16. Will Life have a PTA above $400? 1000 YES

17. Will Case for Christ have a PTA above $600? 2000 YES

18. Will CHuck have a PTA aboe $3,000? 3000 YES

19. Will 3 Generations have a PTA above $7,500? 4000 YES

20. Will Ghost in the Shell have a PTA above $500? 5000 YES

 

21. Will Guardians' Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? 1000 YES

22. Will Fate of the Furious' first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000 NO

23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? 3000 NO

24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $185M? 4000 YES

25. How many Hobbits will ride Groot into battle during Guardians 2? 5000 MANY 

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Guardians 2 make for its 3 day OW? 147.86M

2. What will Baahubali's Saturday gross be? 1.83M

3. What will The Circle's percentage drop be?  64.93%

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3. Latin Lover

5. Boss Baby

8. Going in Style

10. Smurfs

13. Lost City of Z

16. Kong

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

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Part A:

 

1. Will Guardians make more than $130M? 1000 YES

2. Will Guardians make more than $150M? 2000 NO

3. WIll Guardians drop more than 15% on Saturday? 3000 YES

4. Will Guardians make more than 80% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? 4000 YES

5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Guardians' weekend gross? 5000 YES

 

6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%?  1000 NO

7. Will The Circle drop more than 60%? 2000 YES

8. Will Latin Lover stay about Baahubali? 3000 YES

9. Will Boss Baby increase more than 85% on Saturday? 4000 NO

10. Will the top 11 films all make more than $1M? 5000 YES

 

11. Will Gifted's PTA stay above $1,000? 1000 YES

12. Will Going in Style stay aboe Smurfs? 2000 YES

13. Will Free Fire make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? 3000 YES

14. Will Logan stay above Colossal? 4000 YES

15. Will Power Rangers cross $85M by the end of the weekend? 5000 YES

 

16. Will Life have a PTA above $400? 1000 YES

17. Will Case for Christ have a PTA above $600? 2000 NO

18. Will CHuck have a PTA aboe $3,000? 3000 YES

19. Will 3 Generations have a PTA above $7,500? 4000 YES

20. Will Ghost in the Shell have a PTA above $500? 5000 NO 

 

21. Will Guardians' Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? 1000 NO

22. Will Fate of the Furious' first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000 NO

23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? 3000 YES

24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $185M? 4000 NO

25. How many Hobbits will ride Groot into battle during Guardians 2? 5000 HOBBITS DON'T ASSOCIATE WITH GROOT

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Guardians 2 make for its 3 day OW? 138.437m

2. What will Baahubali's Saturday gross be? 1.75m

3. What will The Circle's percentage drop be? -66.75%

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3. Latin Lover

5. Boss Baby

8. Going in Style

10. Smurfs

13. Lost City of Z

16. Kong

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000


 

 
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Part A:

 

1. Will Guardians make more than $130M? 1000 YES

2. Will Guardians make more than $150M? 2000 NO

3. WIll Guardians drop more than 15% on Saturday? 3000 NO

4. Will Guardians make more than 80% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? 4000 YES

5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Guardians' weekend gross? 5000 YES

 

6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%?  1000 NO

7. Will The Circle drop more than 60%? 2000 NO

8. Will Latin Lover stay about Baahubali? 3000 YES

9. Will Boss Baby increase more than 85% on Saturday? 4000 YES

10. Will the top 11 films all make more than $1M? 5000 YES

 

11. Will Gifted's PTA stay above $1,000? 1000 NO

12. Will Going in Style stay aboe Smurfs? 2000 YES

13. Will Free Fire make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? 3000 YES

14. Will Logan stay above Colossal? 4000 NO

15. Will Power Rangers cross $85M by the end of the weekend? 5000 NO

 

16. Will Life have a PTA above $400? 1000 YES

17. Will Case for Christ have a PTA above $600? 2000 YES

18. Will CHuck have a PTA aboe $3,000? 3000 YES

19. Will 3 Generations have a PTA above $7,500? 4000 YES

20. Will Ghost in the Shell have a PTA above $500? 5000 NO

 

21. Will Guardians' Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? 1000 NO

22. Will Fate of the Furious' first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000 NO

23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? 3000 YES

24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $185M? 4000 YES

25. How many Hobbits will ride Groot into battle during Guardians 2? 5000 ZERO

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Guardians 2 make for its 3 day OW? 144.734M

2. What will Baahubali's Saturday gross be? 1.731M

3. What will The Circle's percentage drop? 57%

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3. THE FATE OF THE FURIOUS

5. THE CIRCLE

8. GIFTED

10. SMURFS: THE LOST VILLAGE

13. BORN IN CHINA

16. KONG: SKULL ISLAND

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

 

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