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BLACK PANTHER | 646.8 M overseas ● 1346.9 M worldwide

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I am interested in how The Black Panther will do overseas.

 

I think using the highest grossing super hero movie of all time, "Marvel's The Avengers" is a good guide to chart The Black Panther's progress.

 

Here are the top 33 foreign opening weekends for the Avengers. These are all of the countries where the Avengers earned 1 million or more at the box office opening weekend. China is not listed because The Avengers opened in China at a later date.  In the list below, the first number is the Avengers Box office opening weekend number. The second number is the Black Panther's box office total. Countries in bold are where the Black Panther had a stronger opening weekend than Marvel's The Avengers.

 

The numbers are from Box Office Mojo.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com

 

 

 

 

        Country          The Avengers      Black Panther

 

1.     Argentina       $3,577,647         1,600,889

2.     Australia         $13,923,182       8,323,490

3.     Belgium          $1,271,359         1,234,874

4.     Brazil              $10,814,407       9,539,422

5.     Chile              $1,733,780       1,156,408

6.     Colombia        $2,314,014         1,895,472

7.     Denmark         $1,658,686          1,295,969

8.     Ecuador          $1,294,001        has not opened

9.     France            $19,035,088        7,627,163

10.   Germany           $8,444,708          5,860,941

11.   Hong Kong        $4,351,700          3,781,994

12.   India                $12,616,061         3,874,526

13.  Indonesia      $2,914,124         6,223,814

14.   Italy                  $6,372,395         2,913,258

15.   Japan                $6,386,185         has not opened

16.  Malaysia         $3,302,692         4,713,624

17.   Mexico              $17,439,946         9,207,156

18.  Netherlands  $1,492,640          2,396,540

19.   New Zealand     $1,677,054           1,473,480

20.   Norway             $1,525,494             902,177

21.   Peru                 $2,230,676         has not opened

22.   Philippines        $6,580,876           4,951,865

23.   Russia             $14,954,518         has not opened

24.   Singapore         $3,441,766           2,838,403

25.  South Africa  $1,306,598           1,449,905

26.  South Korea  $10,792,833        25,332,202

27.   Spain                $7,065,265           3,017,030

28.   Sweden            $2,288,528            1,893,988

29.   Thailand         $2,537,093          4,479,091

30.   Turkey              $1,189,452           976,866

31.   UAE                  $2,671,492           has not opened

32.   UK                    $25,670,014         24,916,429

33.   Venezuela          $1,585,295          has not opened

Edited by Green245
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Black Panther in Spain:

 

2nd weekend: €1,323,248 (-44%)

Cume: €4,400,898

Admissions: 694,087

 

With standard drops it should finish around €7m, what means a bit more than 1 million admissions. Average not only for MCU, but for SH genre. Last year, outside MCU:

 

Logan: €6.7m - 1.10 million admissions.

Wonder Woman: €7.3m - 1.18m

Justice League: €6.9m - 1.05m

 

And MCU in Spain:

 

Iron Man: €7,637,408 - 1,315,743 admissions

The Incredible Hulk: €4,895,584 - 865,257 adm

Iron Man 2: €5,700,867 - 918,409

Thor: €8,531,648 - 1,184,549

Captain America: €5,795,028 - 887,376

Avengers: €16,247,441 - 2,393,746

Iron Man 3: €9,987,310 - 1,439,808

Thor 2: €6,551,855 - 1,021,672

The Winter Soldier: €5,656,274 - 1,046,324

Guardians of the Galaxy: €7,871,254 - 1,394,036

Age of Ultron: €12,085,524 - 2,115,238

Ant-Man: €3,811,824 - 673,672

Civil War: €9,734,327 - 1,725,649

Doctor Strange: €6,374,372 - 1,008,336

Guardians of the Galaxy 2: €9,240,384 - 1,667,333

Spider-man: €9,899,842 - 1,747,437

Ragnarok: €8,943,252 - 1,435,877

 

With that projection, BP would rank #11 among the 18 MCU films.

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@Green245

11 hours ago, Green245 said:

5.     Chile              $1,733,780       1,895,472

That's the colombian opening, the real number for Black Panther in Chile is $1,156,408. It's a fine number for Marvel, specially considering it had to deal with Coco.

Edited by salvador-232
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2 hours ago, salvador-232 said:

@Green245

That's the colombian opening, the real number for Black Panther in Chile is $1,156,408. It's a fine number for Marvel, specially considering it had to deal with Coco.

Thank you. I have edited the post to make the correction.

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On 2018/2/28 at 3:27 AM, KP1025 said:

According to the calculations on the previous pages, $450 million OS is expected without these new openers. $600 million OS is the final target assuming a solid performance in China (around $120 million). I would say more likely than not, domestic will be a higher percentage of total gross than the OS. Maybe $650 million DOM/$600 million OS for $1.25 billion.

$120M  China is a bit too high.I'd say GotG number.around $95-$100M

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BP released in Japan this weekend to 3rd place (estimates). But the OW for BP is more than all the 2017 CBMs except SM:H which is expected since Spider-Man is till #1 Solo Superhero in the country.

 

So BP starts off with a great OW for a CBM in Japan. Could have nice legs over there.

Edited by MaxAggressor
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1 minute ago, Purple Minion said:

So close to $900M WW!

 

BLACK PANTHER
$65.7M Weekend (Est.) 
4,084 Screens / Week 3 
$501.1M Domestic Total 
$396.6M Overseas Total... https://t.co/CqlhwyvpcW

Deadlines projection is 66.7m Domestic. So 1m there. And that will probably rise to 67.5ish.  Should be able to round up another 1m to clear the mark 

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2 hours ago, Godzilla said:

$600M OS is a good target.

nearly locked imo.

 

397 with a 56 weekend.

should add:

130 in current markets

100 in china

625 os

 

and 675+ dom for 1300+ ww.

Edited by a2knet
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7 minutes ago, a2knet said:

too small atm.

 

397 with a 56 weekend.

should add:

130 in current markets

100+ in china

15 in russia

10 in japan

652+ os

 

675 is realistic imo. and a similar amount dom for 1350 ww.

whats the high end domestically?

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