Weekend thread: GOTG2 63 m | Snatched 17.5 mi | King Arthur 14.7 m

[YM!]

2 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

 

37% drop for Guardians?

That isn't happening. 

[TalismanRing]

1 minute ago, Alli said:

it says on bom that it opened to 6.7 US dollars...

 

Different exchange rates .  In June 2012 it was  US $1 = 1.00787 Australian Dollar

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/intl/australia/?yr=2012&wk=23&p=new

[Alli]

Just now, TalismanRing said:

 

Different exchange rates .  In June 2012 it was  US $1 = 1.00787 Australian Dollar

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/intl/australia/?yr=2012&wk=23&p=new

wow really. that's surprising

[Movies4Life]

If it is true Alien: Covenant will open to in the $30M range as these two sites (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4292&p=.htm, http://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-forecast-spider-man-homecoming/) predict, it'll show the divisive reception to Prometheus will impact this movie and have it fall to 2nd, giving Guardians of the Galaxy 2 another third, straight opening weekend at #1.

[Johnny Tran]

I think any movie making north of $800M is a big success. bloggers like to paint a picture that some films are doomed if they don't reach absurd numbers but I doubt that's the case and HR puts out estimated profits;  I tend to believe what the HR numbers say.

[DAJK]

Added a few more $ to Arthur lmao (sorry Schumer, your budget wasn't as high)

 

Also @aabattery this was completely by accident but I punched in 2 tickets for guardians which were supposed to be Born in China so there's an extra $22 for your game

[YM!]

2 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Added a few more $ to Arthur lmao (sorry Schumer, your budget wasn't as high)

 

Also @aabattery this was completely by accident but I punched in 2 tickets for guardians which were supposed to be Born in China so there's an extra $22 for your game

Remember Ninjago in September, it'd be nice if a few extra tickets for OW.

[aabattery]

3 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Added a few more $ to Arthur lmao (sorry Schumer, your budget wasn't as high)

 

Also @aabattery this was completely by accident but I punched in 2 tickets for guardians which were supposed to be Born in China so there's an extra $22 for your game

 

Now do this again another... 2.5 million times.

 

[DAJK]

Just now, YourMother said:

Remember Ninjago in September, it'd be nice if a few extra tickets for OW.

If I still work there I'll be sure to

[Orestes]

So if Ridley's Alien movie disappoints again, does that mean Blomkamp's is back on?

[DAJK]

Just now, aabattery said:

 

Now do this again another... 2.5 million times.

 

[YM!]

1 minute ago, DAJK said:

If I still work there I'll be sure to

Good, I need that $40M OW.

[baumer]

19 minutes ago, YourMother said:

That isn't happening. 

 

It could. If it follows WS it will drop less than 40%.

[Barnack]

5 minutes ago, Johnny Tran said:

I think any movie making north of $800M is a big success. bloggers like to paint a picture that some films are doomed if they don't reach absurd numbers but I doubt that's the case and HR puts out estimated profits;  I tend to believe what the HR numbers say.

 

It depend were those 800m come from and the definition of big success (the big success bar will change a lot for different project, anything above the market average of 7% will be a huge success for many movie, for other it will be 10, 12, 15, or even at 27% for some movies).

 

Amazing Spider Man 2 big success bar for example was set at 850m WW by Sony, for a 14% ROI, comfortably above 800m, and was budgeted to do 865 million WW.

 

I'm not sure the next Avengers would be a big success if it does 830m WW, with 305m of those from China and less than 300m domestic.

 

Obviously that Amazing Spider Man 2 had a 461.73 million net production cost + P&A budget and I imagine that the next Avengers will probably have something similar if not higher and are exception, but there is some movies made with a success bar above 800m for sure, Avengers, Star Wars 8, Avatar 2, etc....

[TalismanRing]

51 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:

Yeah, not a huge difference, but enough that it may benefit from Mother's Day.

Here's the results compared to Prometheus via BOM

• South Korea - $7.2m (+52.58% vs. Prometheus Opening)
• United Kingdom - $6.4m (-39.85% vs. Prometheus Opening)
• France - $4.53m (-38.41% vs. Prometheus Opening)
• Australia - $3.09m (-79.40% vs. Prometheus Opening)
• Mexico - $2.46m (-24.90% vs. Prometheus Opening)
• Spain - $1.9m (-71.63% vs. Prometheus Opening)
• Hong Kong - $1.76m (+17.24% vs. Prometheus Opening)
• Brazil - $1.63m (-52.47% vs. Prometheus Opening)
• Italy - $1.29m (-66.68% vs. Prometheus Opening)

Some very troubling results, even considering how worse exchange rates are compared to 2012.

 

 

2012/June UK exchange rate = (US $1 = 0.65073 British Pound Sterling)  

2017/May UK Exchange Rate = (US $1 = 0.7703 British Pound Sterling)

 

~ 19% difference = in 2012 exchange rate would be equivalent to $7.616 v $9.581 ~ 21% drop

 

2012/June  Euro = (US $1 = 0.8039 Euro)

2017/May  Euro =  (US $1 = 0.9092 Euro)

 

~ 13% difference  =  France = $5.1189 v $6.680 ~  34% drop

 

 

[EmpireCity]

Don't forget that Prometheus was in 3D at the relative height of 3D (and used it well) and Alien: Covenant is not.  

[Jake Gittes]

7 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

It could. If it follows WS it will drop less than 40%.

 

WS had Easter and its only competition was an animated movie. All Marvel sequels that opened May dropped between 49% and 55% in their third weekends, and even TA dropped 46%. 

[That One Girl]

Tfw King Arthur is a funnier movie than Snatched

[DAJK]

1 minute ago, That One Valerian said:

Tfw King Arthur is a funnier movie than Snatched

King Arthur was fucking great 

[That One Girl]

1 minute ago, DAJK said:

King Arthur was fucking great 

 

And I completely agree!  Although probably not for the same reasons.