The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Nova]

1 minute ago, The Fast and the Furiosa said:

Has anyone posted the daily breakdown link for those Fandango sales?

I believe @TalismanRing posted it around the DP2 release date. It was I believe posted around May 7th when id asked for it

 

But maybe someone can repost it again lol 

Edited June 21, 2018 by Nova

[TalismanRing]

9 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Looking forward to people using "Bryce Dallas Howard didn't run in high heels this time!" as an excuse at some point this weekend.

It's the pony tail .  Ant Man & The Wasp is doomed

[The Fast and the Furiosa]

34 minutes ago, Nova said:

I believe @TalismanRing posted it around the DP2 release date. It was I believe posted around May 7th when id asked for it

 

But maybe someone can repost it again lol 

There are a lot if you go digging, let’s try this one. http://akvalley.pythonanywhere.com/static/fandango_report.txt

 

Talk about no context, I’ll list comps soon 

 

Jurassic Thurs - Currently 29757

 

All below are final:

Title - Fandango Number - Fandango Multiplier 

 

Pacific Rim - 12004 - 195.77

Ready Player One (Wed) - 23711 - 158.15

A Quiet Place - 19822 - 216.93

Avengers - 205794 - 189.51

Deadpool 2 - 89599 - 207.59

Solo - 67148 - 209.98

Ocean’s 8 - 15977 - 244.10

Incredibles 2 - 64617 - 286.30

 

Edited June 21, 2018 by The Fast and the Furiosa

[TalismanRing]

8 minutes ago, The Fast and the Furiosa said:

Has anyone posted the daily breakdown link for those Fandango sales?

You mean this?  (though I copied Solo's M or Tues wrong, doubtful it was identical...)

 

6 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

Fandango	Monday	Tues	Wed
Avengers: Infinity War	49,836	54,892	68,826
Deadpool 2	23,134	28,896	41,212
Incredibles 2	20,872	23,430	39,337
SW: Solo	15,855	15,855	28,533
Jurassic World 2	9,310	12,761	23,266
Oceans 8	3,009	4,372	11,114

A Quiet Place

2,177

4,003

10,665

 

[The Fast and the Furiosa]

10 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

You mean this?  (though I copied Solo's M or Tues wrong, doubtful it was identical...)

 

 

I like this one, but I was wondering if you guys had the one I posted. Paints an interesting picture in where those presales are broken down on the weekend

[Boxofficerules]

43 minutes ago, filmlover said:

"Fallen Kingdom will underperform cause people are mad at Chris Pratt's character in Infinity War" has to be the dumbest reason anyone has ever given as to why a film could underperform and that's saying something.

I wasn’t really being serious when I said that.

[excel1]

I know everybody thinks JURASSIC PARK is the huge millennial franchise and will perform like one. But remember - Jurassic World had average presales and tracking (low 100s was expectations) a previews-to-opening weekend ratio of 12, it's real Saturday increased 10% over Friday, and Sunday declined just 17%. It's final multiple was 3.4 despite it's enormous opening weekend. JW did not perform like a front-loaded franchise film whatsoever, on either opening weekend or it's total run. 

 

Some of these expectations are bizarre. And for what it is worth, JW seems to be drubbing INC 2 on Fandango at the moment.

 

Expecting mid to high teens for previews and an opening in the mid 100s.

Edited June 21, 2018 by excel1

[WrathOfHan]

Tonight at my theater for JW:

 

7:00: 87/124

7:00: 29/78

7:15 3D: 1/60

7:30 3D: 34/78

8:00: 41/78

9:00 3D: 9/69

9:30: 12/67

10:00: 0/124

10:00: 0/78

10:15 3D: 5/60

Total: 218/816 (169 2D/49 3D)

 

Comps (all final sales):

 

20% of The Last Jedi (44M) (16 shows)

21% of Infinity War (54.1M) (15 shows)

44% of Black Panther (88.9M) (9 shows)

51% of Deadpool 2 (64M) (8 shows)

55% of Solo (46.4M) (9 shows)

65% of Thor: Ragnarok (79.8M) (6 shows)

68% of Justice League (63.8M) (6 shows)

68% of Incredibles 2 (124.2M) (4 shows)

 

 

Edited June 21, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[Yandereprime101189]

It'll do fine, it just won't do the same numbers as the original and this board smells blood in the water when a sequel opens lower than the first or if it's anticipated to open lower. That or Solo got you all paranoid with your box office tracking skills.

[Thrylos 7]

33 minutes ago, excel1 said:

I know everybody thinks JURASSIC PARK is the huge millennial franchise and will perform like one. But remember - Jurassic World had average presales and tracking (low 100s was expectations) a previews-to-opening weekend ratio of 12, it's real Saturday increased 10% over Friday, and Sunday declined just 17%. It's final multiple was 3.4 despite it's enormous opening weekend. JW did not perform like a front-loaded franchise film whatsoever, on either opening weekend or it's total run. 

 

Some of these expectations are bizarre. And for what it is worth, JW seems to be drubbing INC 2 on Fandango at the moment.

 

Expecting mid to high teens for previews and an opening in the mid 100s.

Except that this is a sequel and has a huge marketing campaign behind it. Comparing it to the first jw doesn’t make sense but talk is cheap and we will have numbers in a few days, or even hours.

 

Whatever it makes in its ow I can guarantee that it won’t have anywhere near the legs of the first film.

Edited June 21, 2018 by Thrylos 7

[excel1]

4 minutes ago, Thrylos 7 said:

Except that this is a sequel and has a huge marketing campaign behind it. Comparing it to the first jw doesn’t make sense but talk is cheap and we will have numbers in a few days, or even hours.

 

Whatever it makes in its ow I can guarantee that it won’t have anywhere near the legs of the first film.

 

What is your point? I see mid teen previews and mid 100s opening weekend. Where is the disagreement?

[Nova]

37 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Tonight at my theater for JW:

 

7:00: 87/124

7:00: 29/78

7:15 3D: 1/60

7:30 3D: 34/78

8:00: 41/78

9:00 3D: 9/69

9:30: 12/67

10:00: 0/124

10:00: 0/78

10:15 3D: 5/60

Total: 218/816 (169 2D/49 3D)

 

Comps (all final sales):

 

20% of The Last Jedi (44M) (16 shows)

21% of Infinity War (54.1M) (15 shows)

44% of Black Panther (88.9M) (9 shows)

51% of Deadpool 2 (64M) (8 shows)

55% of Solo (46.4M) (9 shows)

65% of Thor: Ragnarok (79.8M) (6 shows)

68% of Justice League (63.8M) (6 shows)

68% of Incredibles 2 (124.2M) (4 shows)

 

 

*Everything is fine fine fine fine* 

 

[WrathOfHan]

Hotel Transylvania is getting the biggest auditorium at my AMC

[Taruseth]

4 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

AIW also had enormous pre-sales - $50m+ - only less than TFA and TLJ..

 

The thing is Solo didn't have very strong pre-sales yet was still pre-sale heavy compared to DP2 until opening week. 

 

JW:FK doing less M-W than Solo after having  what look to be from theater reports lower earlier pre-sales than Solo is gong to have to do huge walk ups tonight to get near Solo Thu previews. 

 

It doesn't need Solo preview numbers to do better than it since it's w/e multiplier should be much bigger but I think it needs near $14m to come anywhere near the high end of tracking ($150m)

 

Solo had higher presales yet the same increase as JW2, that doesn't really point towards JW2 going crazy this weekend.

[MovieMan89]

So how many movies this year have even opened at #2 on MT but #1 for the weekend box office?

[That One Girl]

1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said:

Tonight at my theater for JW:

 

7:00: 87/124

7:00: 29/78

7:15 3D: 1/60

7:30 3D: 34/78

8:00: 41/78

9:00 3D: 9/69

9:30: 12/67

10:00: 0/124

10:00: 0/78

10:15 3D: 5/60

Total: 218/816 (169 2D/49 3D)

 

Comps (all final sales):

 

20% of The Last Jedi (44M) (16 shows)

21% of Infinity War (54.1M) (15 shows)

44% of Black Panther (88.9M) (9 shows)

51% of Deadpool 2 (64M) (8 shows)

55% of Solo (46.4M) (9 shows)

65% of Thor: Ragnarok (79.8M) (6 shows)

68% of Justice League (63.8M) (6 shows)

68% of Incredibles 2 (124.2M) (4 shows)

 

 

 

Almost all these movies except I2 and Black Panther are far more presales based.  And considering these are all final sales, these seem...fine?  By tonight, I’m sure the numbers will have gone up and it’ll be tracking far better.

[MovieMan89]

3 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

Almost all these movies except I2 and Black Panther are far more presales based.  And considering these are all final sales, these seem...fine?  By tonight, I’m sure the numbers will have gone up and it’ll be tracking far better.

Nothing about these pre-sales are "fine" for this kind of film. 120 is pretty much the ceiling right now, and that's only if walk ups turn out strong. 

[Blaze Heatnix]

15 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

So how many movies this year have even opened at #2 on MT but #1 for the weekend box office?

 

Is that even possible? I'm actually curious about it. 

[Krissykins]

Sad to see Jurassic World might be doing a Deadpool 2 and Solo and miss even low end tracking ($130m). 

[John Marston]

It’s not looking too good for JW. Pretty baffling since JW1  was a leggy monster. Hope this is a really strong walk up film 

Edited June 21, 2018 by John Marston