The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Barnack]

7 minutes ago, JB33 said:

. People got way too carried away.

They were all joking too... right ?

[Nova]

I never said Detective Pikachu was gonna be fan driven. In fact, I've always said that if its gonna play like an event movie, it's gonna have to play more like a 4 quadrant film than a fanboy one. A fanboy driven DP movie wouldn't be an event movie. In order for it to be an event movie, it will need to attract family crowds. I have no idea how Detective Pikachu will do exactly as I don't have a magic eight ball. I made my predictions and still stand by them mind you. 7 hours of pre-sales for a movie I'm not exactly sure how its gonna play isn't gonna change that. 

Edited April 10, 2019 by Nova

[Cooper Legion]

11 minutes ago, Barnack said:

They were all joking too... right ?

It was hard to tell sometimes exactly what was a joke and what was legitimate optimism.     

 

I’ll be glad to see some of the Pika hype come back to earth, but I agree that it’ll pick up closer to release and have a good walk-up % for a fine weekend.

Edited April 10, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[Barnack]

Just now, Thanos Legion said:

It was hard to tell sometimes exactly what was a joke and what was legitimate optimism.     

 

I’ll be glad to see some of the Pika hype come back to earth, but I agree that it’ll pick up closer to release and have a good walk-up %. 

It is getting hard to tell, my question was not rhetorical.

 

I always like for Alita anti-gravity talk imagine it is all thong and cheek talk of 300m domestic being locked type for this.

[Mulder]

4 minutes ago, Barnack said:

It is getting hard to tell, my question was not rhetorical.

 

I always like for Alita anti-gravity talk imagine it is all thong and cheek talk of 300m domestic being locked type for this.

Alita anti-gravity talk was not tongue in cheek.

[JB33]

14 minutes ago, Barnack said:

They were all joking too... right ?

Tough to tell. Not enough people quit the joke and got serious, if any. I think most people are dead serious.

[Nova]

14 minutes ago, Barnack said:

They were all joking too... right ?

Some of my posts were jokes. Some of them weren't. Depending on your expectations for Detective Pikachu, my joke posts maybe seen as serious and my serious posts maybe seen as jokes 

[Brainbug]

Guys, yes, these Pikachu-predictions were for 95% of the time jokes. The only one who is really sincere about this breaking all the records is @A Panda of Ice and Fire

Edited April 10, 2019 by Brainbug

[Mulder]

As for DP imo it was half and half. The long-timers here ((TOG, Nova, YM, CJohn etc etc)) were joking around. A few other people I won't name...not so much. 

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

 

Avengers: Endgame Current Thursday Status -- April 10, 2019 @ 6:00pm -- 15 Days Remaining 

 

AMC Prime

6:00pm -- 205/205 -- SOLD OUT  
10:00pm -- 198/205

2:00am -- 74/205

 

 

IMAX 3D

6:30pm -- 147/151

10:30pm -- 136/151 

2:30am -- 35/151 

 

 

Real 3D

6:15pm -- 47/60

6:45pm -- 60/60 -- SOLD OUT 

7:30pm -- 102/125

8:00pm -- 58/76

8:45pm --60/60 -- SOLD OUT  

9:45pm -- 21/44

10:25pm -- 32/60

10:45pm -- 21/60 

11:30pm -- 42/125 

12:00am -- 5/76 
12:45am -- 2/60

1:50am -- 2/44

2:20am -- 0/60

 

 

Digital
6:00pm -- 70/76

6:10pm -- 40/44

6:20pm -- NEW -- 81/125

7:00pm -- 133/147

7:10pm -- 34/44 

7:15pm -- 60/76

7:45pm -- 48/60

7:50pm -- 34/44 

8:15pm -- 36/44

8:30pm -- 58/76

9:00pm -- 116/147

9:30pm -- 30/44 

10:10pm -- 28/44

10:15pm -- 58/76

10:20pm -- NEW -- 35/125

11:00pm -- 111/147

11:10pm -- 23/44 

11:15pm -- 58/76

11:45pm -- 45/60

11:50pm -- 20/44

12:15am -- 20/44

12:30am -- 36/76

1:00am -- 14/147

1:45am -- 4/44

2:10am -- 0/76

2:25am -- NEW -- 0/147

 

 

Fan Event

5:00pm -- 147/147 -- SOLD OUT 

 

 

 

TOTALS: 46 show times, 2590 tickets sold out of 4202 available (61.64%)

 

Captain Marvel -- 30 show times, 1140 tickets sold out of 2734 available (41.7%) -- final tracking
Infinity War -- 37 show times, 2449 tickets sold out of 3312 available (73.95%) -- final tracking  

 

Tickets sold represents 227.2% of the tickets sold for Captain Marvel through 6:30pm on Wednesday before opening & 105.8% of the tickets sold for Infinity War through 8:30pm on the Wednesday before opening (April 25, 2018).

 

 

Edited April 10, 2019 by VenomXXR

[Barnack]

5 minutes ago, Mulder said:

Alita anti-gravity talk was not tongue in cheek.

 

It is quite close to 100% impossible that they were serious that the weekends will go bigger and bigger instead of down for that movie, almost everything that gang say is a group art performance I think.

[Mulder]

Just now, Barnack said:

 

It is quite close to 100% impossible that they were serious that the weekends will go bigger and bigger instead of down for that movie, almost everything that gang say is a group art performance I think.

They're serious.

[Nova]

6 minutes ago, Mulder said:

As for DP imo it was half and half. The long-timers here ((TOG, Nova, YM, CJohn etc etc)) were joking around. A few other people I won't name...not so much. 

My real prediction which I posted in the Detective Pikachu thread is between GOTG and GOTG 2. So $90-$140M for OW and $320M-$375M total. How it does OS will depend on if it actually breaks out in China or not.

The final end ranges will depend on the quality and obviously WOM but I don’t think an OW range of $90-$140M is outlandish for it. Will def try to make that range smaller as release date nears though. 

 

Anything else i said was a joke 

Edited April 10, 2019 by Nova

[Brainbug]

Just now, Barnack said:

 

It is quite close to 100% impossible that they were serious that the weekends will go bigger and bigger instead of down for that movie, almost everything that gang say is a group art performance I think.

 

Barnack, normaly i agree with everything you say but the James Cameron stans - they were dead serious.

[Mulder]

Just now, Nova said:

My real prediction which I posted in the Detective Pikachu thread is between GOTG and GOTG 2. So $90-$140M for OW and $320M-$375M total. How it does OS will depend on if it actually breaks out in China or not.

The final end ranges will depend on the quality and obviously WOM but I don’t think an OW range of $90-$140M is outlandish for it. Will def try to make that range smaller as release date nears though. 

That's bigger then my range but I wouldn't be shocked if that happens honestly. I'm thinking 80-110 rn.

[TalismanRing]

2 minutes ago, Barnack said:

 

It is quite close to 100% impossible that they were serious that the weekends will go bigger and bigger instead of down for that movie, almost everything that gang say is a group art performance I think.

More akin to like cultist worship

[Barnack]

1 minute ago, Mulder said:

They're serious.

I have fully entered Poe's law then and you could be right, I was certain until very recently that the flat earth stuff was a form of Pastafarianism religion act to see if people would believe that people could believe that, well that could have been the case also.

[Mulder]

Just now, Barnack said:

I have fully entered Poe's law then and you could be right, I was certain until very recently that the flat earth stuff was a form of Pastafarianism religion act to see if people would believe that people could believe that, well that could have been the case also.

One member who I will not name has been on record of nearly having to be removed from an early showing of Alita for getting too rowdy and loud with excitement when James Cameron showed up.

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

8 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

TOTALS: 46 show times, 2590 tickets sold out of 4224 available (61.32%)

 

Captain Marvel -- 30 show times, 1140 tickets sold out of 2734 available (41.7%) -- final tracking
Infinity War -- 37 show times, 2449 tickets sold out of 3312 available (73.95%) -- final tracking  

 

Tickets sold represents 227.2% of the tickets sold for Captain Marvel through 6:30pm on Wednesday before opening & 105.8% of the tickets sold for Infinity War through 8:30pm on the Wednesday before opening (April 25, 2018).

 

Looking at the times and knowing the area, I believe on these show times (not counting any more that could be added) we could get to 3300 tickets sold. The theater will now be using 20 out of 24 screens for Endgame. I'm hoping they can move in 4 more shows to get an even 50. 

 

[SliverS]

Are you serious about 200m ow？100M+ ow is still on the table.It's a New cinematic franchise.WB/Legendary Start presale so early.They must be Very confident about Pikachu