The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Eric Prime]

23 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

It's kind of hard to remember when you do so much other wonderful stuff to this place.

[Cooper Legion]

FWIW

Thanksgiving movies	Preview	FSS	Multi	Genre	sneaks included?	Year
Knives out	1.66	26.8	16.14457831	mystery drama	N	2019
WIR2	3.80	56.2	14.78947368	kid cartoon	N	2018
Robin Hood	1.2	9.10	7.583333333	Adult action drama	Y	2018
Creed 2	3.70	35.6	9.621621622	Adult action drama	N	2018
Coco	$2.30	50.8	22.09	kid cartoon	N	2017
moana	2.6	56.6	21.76923077	kid cartoon	N	2016
Allied	0.6	12.7	21.16666667		N	2016
Bad santa	0.35	6.2	17.71428571	Adult comedy?	N	2016
Creed	1.4	29.6	21.14285714	Adult action drama	N	2015
TGD	1.3	39.15	30.11538462	kid cartoon	N	2015
Victor Frankenstein	.175	2.47	14.11428571		N	2015

[Cooper Legion]

Before PS I had Encanto at 2.1*16, today’s sales seem pretty solid

[Porthos]

16 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

Encanto Tuesday Showings Denver

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 12 HRS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
59	59	6587	0.90%	14	43

 

Looks like Cinemark is still gonna have a discount day for previews, so something to keep in mind.

 

 

Might be a regional thing, as mine don't appear to be doing it for any of the Tue previews*, though I didn't check each and every theater locally as I'm not tracking Encanto or any of the other new films that day. 

 

* They're even applying the full price tag for the 3pm Resident Evil showings.   Pays to be Top Dog in the region, I suppose. 

 

 

Edited November 17, 2021 by Porthos

[Menor the Destroyer]

So there was an Atom deal today? Eh...

 

Ghostbusters MTC2

 

Wed:

Showtimes: 45

Seats Sold: 2192/10090 (+456)

$ Sales: 33429 (+6905)

 

Bond comp: 385k

 

Thu:

Showtimes: 3249 (+613)

Seats Sold: 23784/471450 (+4580)

$ Sales: 318261 (+59751)

 

Bond comp: 4.48 million

F9 comp: 3.92 million

 

I would have said good pace but with the Atom deal...meh. 

[Inceptionzq]

Encanto Megaplex

 

T-7 days Tuesday(34 showings):  47/8803 in 14 theaters

 

T-8 days Wednesday(96 showings): 222/29503 in 14 theaters

 

T-9 days Thursday(95 showings): 2523/29549 in 14 theaters

 

T-10 days Friday(94 showings): 737/29851 in 14 theaters

 

T-11 days Saturday(94 showings): 159/29854 in 14 theaters

 

I held off on posting this for a bit because I didn't believe the numbers. Thought the seating maps were jacked up or something because my tracker doesn't count blocked but not sold seats. But I finally got the wits to look at other chains in the area, and they are doing very well too. So it appears to be legit. I know it's a holiday and everything, and Utah has a ton of kids and big families, but this is still pretty crazy to me after just 14 hours.

Edited November 17, 2021 by Inceptionzq

[Inceptionzq]

Encanto Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-7 days Tuesday(43 showings): 162/6088

 

T-8 days Wednesday(80 showings): 245/11463

 

T-9 days Thursday(88 showings): 138/12469

 

T-10 days Friday(66 showings): 278/8736

 

T-11 days Saturday(68 showings): 103/8699

[Porthos]

On 11/15/2021 at 11:15 PM, Porthos said:

 

Ghostbusters: Afterlife Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 Days and Counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	153	19354	20531	1177	5.73%

 

Total Showings Added Today	36
Total Seats Added Today	2982
Total Seats Sold Today	182

 

T-3 Unadjusted Comp

	%		Sold Day T-3	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
TSS	131.51		144	895		0/100	15314/16209	5.52%		5.39m
SC	42.94		335	2741		0/156	19111/21852	12.54%		3.78m
V2	38.76		576	3037		0/216	28173/31210	9.73%		4.50m
NTTD	62.57		178	1881		0/157	21272/23153	8.12%		3.88m

 

T-3 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-3	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
F9	53.32		257	2063		0/122	15198/17261	13.39%		3.96m
GA (adj)	---		161	1100		0/132	16569/17669	6.23%		---

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: GA (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps in this point in F9's track.

 

Regal:     277/7153 [3.87% sold] [+44 tickets]

Matinee:   57/2173 [2.62% | 4.84% of all tickets sold]

 

Ghostbusters: Afterlife Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-2 Days and Counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	0	178	21594	23104	1510	5.73%

 

Total Showings Capped Today	1
Total Showings Added Today	25
Total Seats Added Today	2573
Total Seats Sold Today	333

 

T-2 Unadjusted Comp

	%		Sold Day T-2	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
TSS	142.18		167	1062		0/105	15390/16452	6.46%		5.83m
SC	46.05		490	3279		0/183	21325/24604	13.33%		4.05m
V2	40.21		718	3755		0/241	29214/32969	11.39%		4.66m
NTTD	67.71		349	2230		0/176	22255/24485	9.11%		4.20m

 

T-2 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-2	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
F9	57.60		397	2460		0/143	15720/18180	13.53%		4.28m
GA (adj)	---		317	1417		0/157	18825/20242	7.00%		---

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: GA (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps in this point in F9's track.

 

Regal:     341/7153 [4.77% sold] [+64 tickets]

Matinee:   81/2173 [3.73% | 5.36% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Very nice day today, BUT this is a pretty heavy Atom market (roughly 44% of the theaters I track at the seat level), with both Cinemark and Studio Movie Grill theaters in the region (well, one SMG).  Perhaps unsurprisingly, the capped showing was from an SMG showing that skyrocketed tonight. 

 

Still, sales are sales.  See what the final stretch brings.

Edited November 17, 2021 by Porthos

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 11/16/2021 at 8:52 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Day	Movie	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
T-1	Ghostbusters (Wed)	Jacksonville	2	2	558	44	9	7.89%
	Ghostbusters (Wed) Total		2	2	558	44	9	7.89%
T-11	Sing 2 (11/27)	Jacksonville	3	3	295	46	-2	15.59%
		Phoenix	5	5	764	81	5	10.60%
		Raleigh	5	5	639	141	16	22.07%
	Sing 2 (11/27) Total		13	13	1,698	268	19	15.78%
T-2	Ghostbusters	Jacksonville	7	55	8,930	317	48	3.55%
		Phoenix	7	39	6,582	443	69	6.73%
		Raleigh	8	36	4,886	331	59	6.77%
	Ghostbusters Total		22	130	20,398	1,091	176	5.35%
T-3	King Richard (Friday)	Jacksonville	6	22	3,181	64	37	2.01%
		Phoenix	6	18	2,823	25	1	0.89%
		Raleigh	7	34	4,098	57	27	1.39%
	King Richard (Friday) Total		19	74	10,102	146	65	1.45%
T-7	House of Gucci (Tue)	Jacksonville	6	13	2,370	26	6	1.10%
		Phoenix	6	9	1,060	9	-1	0.85%
		Raleigh	7	7	865	27	7	3.12%
	House of Gucci (Tue) Total		19	29	4,295	62	12	1.44%

 

Ghostbusters comps

TSS - 1.494x (6.127m)

Dune - .724x (3.69m)

F9 - .63x (4.48m)

 

King Richard comps

Respect - 2.28x (1.48m)

Reminiscence - 3.95x (2.68m)

Stillwater - 5.62x (1.57m)

Day	Movie	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
T-0	Ghostbusters (Wed)	Jacksonville	2	2	558	72	28	12.90%
	Ghostbusters (Wed) Total		2	2	558	72	28	12.90%
T-1	Ghostbusters	Jacksonville	7	67	10,512	433	116	4.12%
		Phoenix	7	39	6,582	557	114	8.46%
		Raleigh	8	36	4,886	411	80	8.41%
	Ghostbusters Total		22	142	21,980	1,401	310	6.37%
T-10	Sing 2 (11/27)	Jacksonville	3	3	295	48	2	16.27%
		Phoenix	5	5	764	81	0	10.60%
		Raleigh	5	5	639	151	10	23.63%
	Sing 2 (11/27) Total		13	13	1,698	280	12	16.49%
T-2	King Richard (Friday)	Jacksonville	6	40	6,298	85	21	1.35%
		Phoenix	7	26	3,651	55	30	1.51%
		Raleigh	8	44	5,011	68	11	1.36%
	King Richard (Friday) Total		21	110	14,960	208	62	1.39%
T-6	Encanto (Tue)	Jacksonville	6	27	3,776	21	21	0.56%
		Phoenix	7	27	2,943	23	23	0.78%
		Raleigh	8	14	1,438	38	38	2.64%
	Encanto (Tue) Total		21	68	8,157	82	82	1.01%
T-6	House of Gucci (Tue)	Jacksonville	6	14	2,410	34	8	1.41%
		Phoenix	7	10	1,160	25	16	2.16%
		Raleigh	7	7	865	33	6	3.82%
	House of Gucci (Tue) Total		20	31	4,435	92	30	2.07%
T-6	Resident Evil (Tue)	Jacksonville	6	24	2,629	19	19	0.72%
		Phoenix	7	21	2,280	15	15	0.66%
		Raleigh	7	15	1,454	19	19	1.31%
	Resident Evil (Tue) Total		20	60	6,363	53	53	0.83%

 

Ghostbusters comps

TSS - 1.46x (6m)

Dune - .795x (4.05m)

F9 - .642x (4.56m)

Leaning toward 4.5 (close to 5m with Wed added)

 

King Richard comps

Stillwater - 6.5x (1.82m)

Respect - 2.93x (1.9m)

Reminiscence - 4.52x (3.07m)

The Friday release comps have been on the higher side so let's go with 2.75m for Friday.

 

House of Gucci comps

Zola (Tue) - 1.48x (preview not reported)

Stillwater - 1.92x (537k)

Respect - 1.92x (1.25m)

Evan Hansen - 1.394x (1.12m)

 

Encanto comps

Boss Baby 2 - 2.1x (2.75m)

Paw Patrol - .474x (2.14m)

 

Resident Evil comps

Candyman - .558x (1.06m)

Venom - .055x (640k)

[Paul Verhoeven]

Any House of Gucci update?

[filmlover]

Looks like Encanto is getting most PLFs next week, or splitting showtimes with Ghostbusters. 

[EmpireCity]

Lol Disney.  

 

The King's Man goes on sale Monday.  

[el sid]

King Richard, counted today at 10 am EST for Friday:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 57 (4 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 18 (6 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 9 (3 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 2 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 7 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 58 (4 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 77 (3 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 228.

Comps (all counted on Wednesday for Friday): Respect (8.8M OW) had on Wednesday of its release week 129 sold tickets for Friday (but it jumped great 91% till tomorrow),
Reminiscence (2.0M OW) had 225 sold tickets (was clearly overperforming in my theaters, had only a small jump of 16% till tomorrow)
and Stillwater (5.2M OW) had 41 sold tickets in 6 theaters (would be 171 for KR in the same 6 theaters).
Let's see how big the jump is till tomorrow but so far it's doing quite ok I would say.

G:A, counted today at 10am EST for Thursday, November 18:
 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 208 (6 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 116 (6 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 93 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 28 (3 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 38 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 235 (7 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 503 (10 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 1.221.
Up 30.5% since Monday.
Comps (always counted on Wednesday for Thursday and in 7 theaters): Terminator: Dark Fate (2.35M from previews) had 931 tickets = 3.1M (that comp stayed exactly the same),

TSS (4.1M) had 1.656 sold tickets = 3.0M (a slight increase since Monday),
and Zombieland 2 (2.85M) had 743 sold tickets = 4.7M.
I would add at least 1M to the first two comps (because of no R-Rating and no HBO Max here) and the Zombieland comp could go a bit down tomorrow due to the good jump Zombieland 2 had (or not if good WOM from Wednesday shows already kicks in).
Overall I still would say 4M+ in previews should happen.
Tomorrow: Thursday and Friday.

 

Edited November 17, 2021 by el sid

[Ronin46]

Variety

 

Sony’s supernatural comedy sequel “Ghostbusters: Afterlife” is aiming to generate $30 million from 4,300 theaters in its domestic box office debut.

The final weekend figure could vary slightly, with the studio predicting a three-day tally near $28 million and independent tracking services estimating a start closer to $35 million. In any case, the PG-13 “Ghostbusters: Afterlife” is eyeing a first-place finish on domestic box office charts. In terms of new nationwide releases, its only competition is the Warner Bros. sports drama “King Richard,” starring Will Smith as the father of tennis legends Venus and Serena Williams. That film is projected to collect $8 million to $10 million from 3,250 cinemas while playing simultaneously on HBO Max.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Ronin46]

I think a typical Studio conservative estimate. I believe they said Venom 2 was going to be 40 so I would not take to much notice. The independent tracking has shown how far tracking is off these days from reality. Looks like 4 to 5M Previews and that leads to 40 to 50 OW I think at this stage.

Edited November 17, 2021 by Ronin46

[Porthos]

2 minutes ago, Ronin46 said:

I think a typical Studio conservative estimate. I believe they said Venom 2 was going to be 40 so I would not take to much notice. The independent tracking has shown how far tracking is off these days from reality. Looks like 4 to 5M Previews and that leads to 40 to 50 OW I think at this stage.

 

I'm thinking 4 to 5 as well, but really does depend a bit on just how much Atom skewed things yesterday.

 

One decent omen, locally at least, was the G:A/NTTD ratio which was nearly 1:1 (95.4% to be more accurate).  If one wants to be pessimistic though, could say that is a pool of folks who will show up to any Atom deal if they're on the fence.  Still, if G:A does a reasonable percentage of NTTD the rest of the way, 4+ should be pretty likely with a shot at 5 if walkups are great.

[babz06]

Where are you guys seeing the opening weekend for King Richard? Will it be the highest debut for an adult drama on HBO max this year? 

[Paul Verhoeven]

 

[marveldcfox]

How is resident evil doing? Must be doing terrible as marketing started really late and it has been kinda shit. The movie most likely is a turkey as well.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

8-10m would be solid for King Richard. Highest opening adult drama should it top Respect's 8.8m. But I'm hesitant with the sales I'm seeing and the HBO Max factor