The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

28m is a criminal lowball 

[Legion Again]

13 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

28m is a criminal lowball 

Same as it ever was with deadline 

[Inceptionzq]

On 11/16/2021 at 4:03 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Ghostbusters Afterlife Denver

Wednesday:

Total

126

786

 

Ghostbusters Afterlife Wednesday Denver

 

334(+208)/786 in 4 theaters

 

NTTD comp: 588K

 

Just going on the assumption that NTTD made 1M on it's Wednesday

[Inceptionzq]

On 11/16/2021 at 4:08 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Ghostbusters Afterlife Megaplex

 

T-1 days Wednesday(4 showings): 291(+120)/2144 in 4 theaters

Ghostbusters Afterlife Megaplex

 

T-0 days Wednesday(4 showings): 481(+190)/2144 in 4 theaters

 

NTTD comp: 846K

[keysersoze123]

4 hours ago, Menor said:

You have MTC1 back?

Not really. I cannot do what I was able to do until few days ago. That said tracking early shows is not that hard as I saw only 72 shows at MTC1 :-)

 

I am not sure if I would be able to track Spidey in entirety, but hope I can get some sample data at worst. 

[Cmasterclay]

I think anything over 4.5 would certainly get Ghostbusters to 40m OW. Not sure it hits that preview number but it ain't gonna be that frontloaded.

 

10m would be very solid for Richard.

[keysersoze123]

Ghostbusters Afterlife Early Wednesday shows

MTC1 - 8170/21704 153782.30 72 shows

MTC2 - 4431/10307 67506.50 45 shows

 

I think 330-350K from early shows.  

[Rorschach]

Ghostbusters: Afterlife (Wednesday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday:

IMAX showings: 44/1,164

4:00 P.M.: 6/388

7:15 P.M.: 36/388

10:30 P.M.: 2/388

2D showings: 96/1,184

5:00 P.M.: 26/135

5:30 P.M.: 2/141

6:00 P.M.: 29/238

6:35 P.M.: 10/78

8:15 P.M.: 16/135

8:45 P.M.: 7/141

9:15 P.M.: 6/238

9:50 P.M.: 0/78

Total Sold: 140/2,348 (5.96% sold)

 

Comps:

Shang-Chi: $4.03 mil

Venom 2: $4.25 mil

No Time to Die: $5.34 mil

Average: $4.54 mil

 

Friday:

IMAX showing: 72/1,552

12:20 P.M.: 19/388

3:40 P.M.: 4/388

7:00 P.M.: 49/388

10:20 P.M.: 0/388

2D showings: 328/2,144

9:55 A.M.: 18/135

10:30 A.M.: 0/78

11:00 A.M.: 0/85

11:30 A.M.: 13/238

1:10 P.M.: 9/135

1:50 P.M.: 0/78

2:20 P.M.: 0/85

2:50 P.M.: 15/238

4:30 P.M.: 34/135

5:10 P.M.: 11/78

5:40 P.M.: 15/85

6:10 P.M.: 115/238

7:50 P.M.: 45/135

8:30 P.M.: 14/78

9:00 P.M.: 26/85

9:30 P.M.: 13/238

Total Sold: 400/3,696 (10.82% sold)

 

Thurs + Fri: 540/6,044 (8.93% sold)

 

Comps:

Shang-Chi: $28.65 mil

Venom 2: $28.54 mil

No Time to Die: $33.3 mil

Average: $30.16 mil

 

 

...now, based on what I'm seeing from everyone in the rest of the thread, I know for sure it's not making THAT much money on Friday lol. Still, the number of ticket sales that day compared to Thursday seem promising, and the fact that it's selling just as well, if not more, than some of the other comps is a pretty good sign fwiw. 540/140 is a 3.86x multi. More realistically, $4.54 mil x 3.86 = $17.52 mil. 

[Rorschach]

King Richard (Wednesday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Friday:

11:45 A.M.: 0/94

3:15 P.M.: 4/94

6:45 P.M.: 21/94

10:15 P.M.: 0/94

Total Sold: 25/376 (6.65% sold)

 

Comps:

Stillwater: $1.6 mil

Respect: $3.01 mil

Reminiscence: $2.11 mil

Average: $2.24 mil

[EmpireCity]

The WOM will start kicking in for Ghostbusters: Afterlife early on Saturday.  

[charlie Jatinder]

So $4.25-4.5M previews in most comps? That shall be $45-50M OW may be.

Edited November 18, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[Eric S'ennui]

23 hours ago, Eric Venkman said:

Ghostbusters: Afterlife Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	101	1290	19942	6.47%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 32

Total Seats Added Today: 4,738

Total Seats Sold Today: 242

 

Comp

0.666x (😱) of F9 T-2 (4.73M)

1.436x of The Suicide Squad T-2 (5.89M)

0.491x of Shang-Chi T-2 (4.32M)

0.596x of Venom 2 T-2 (6.92M)

0.690x of No Time to Die T-2 (4.35M)

 

The POWAH of a good Atom Tickets deal. The only big concern I have now is that NTTD benefited greatly from its Atom deal, but it still died once it got to the finish line, and I can see that happening here, with everybody exhausting the promos. Either way, I still feel confident in an opening comparable to the 2016 film at the very least.

Ghostbusters: Afterlife Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	101	1601	19942	8.03%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 311

 

Comp

0.634x of F9 T-1 (4.5M)

1.463x of The Suicide Squad T-1 (6M)

0.494x of Shang-Chi T-1 (4.35M)

0.537x of Venom 2 (6.23M)

0.695x of No Time to Die T-1 (4.37M)

 

Staying steady, especially compared to NTTD, is a good sign. We'll see how tomorrow does, especially in regards to walkups.

[keysersoze123]

Ghostbusters Afterlife Previews(T-1)

MTC1 - 49197/462845 813521.23 2407 shows

MTC2 - 32599/491711 430117.60  3433 shows

 

I think 4m+ previews should happen. Hopefully it has good walkups and do 85k MTC1/65K MTC2. 

 

I am not sure I will able to get late data for MTC1 tomorrow as the process is cumbersome and time consuming :-(

 

[grim22]

4 hours ago, Ronin46 said:

Sony will have all the Imax and PDFs in the pic’s opening U.S./Canada suite.

 

Always wondered what a movie would look like in PDF format.

[Eric S'ennui]

23 hours ago, Eric Venkman said:

King Richard Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Tuesday Before Release

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	94	295	15029	1.96%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 47

Total Seats Added Today: 7,040

Total Seats Sold Today: 84

 

Comp

0.180x of Space Jam 2 Tuesday Before Release (2.36M)

2.731x of Respect Tuesday Before Release (1.77M)

King Richard Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Wednesday Before Release

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	94	373	15029	2.48%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 78

 

Comp

0.141x of Space Jam 2 Wednesday Before Release (1.85M)

2.049x of Respect Wednesday Before Release (1.33M)

 

Sigh...the HBO Max/adult-targeted movie curse strikes again.

[Menor the Destroyer]

23 hours ago, Menor said:

So there was an Atom deal today? Eh...

 

Ghostbusters MTC2

 

Wed:

Showtimes: 45

Seats Sold: 2192/10090 (+456)

$ Sales: 33429 (+6905)

 

Bond comp: 385k

 

Thu:

Showtimes: 3249 (+613)

Seats Sold: 23784/471450 (+4580)

$ Sales: 318261 (+59751)

 

Bond comp: 4.48 million

F9 comp: 3.92 million

 

I would have said good pace but with the Atom deal...meh. 

Ghostbusters MTC2

 

Wed:

Showtimes: 45

Seats Sold: 4375/10090 (+2183)

$ Sales: 66626 (+32197)

 

A straight up Bond comp will give over 500k but this skews more MTC2 I think, being a family film. 

 

Thu:

Showtimes: 3377 (+128)

Seats Sold: 30002/483761 (+6218)

$ Sales: 398150 (+79789)

 

Bond Comp: 4.66 million

F9 Comp: 3.72 million

 

I believe it's heading for around 4.4 million (67k MTC2). Let's see how tomorrow goes. 

 

Btw this data from a bit earlier than Keyser, so that explains most of the discrepancy. 

Edited November 18, 2021 by Menor

[keysersoze123]

1 minute ago, grim22 said:

 

Always wondered what a movie would look like in PDF format.

Premium Dwarf Format. need a magnifying glass to enjoy the finest details you can possible see in the smallest possible screen 

[charlie Jatinder]

9 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Premium Dwarf Format. need a magnifying glass to enjoy the finest details you can possible see in the smallest possible screen 

Wrong.

 

Its Premium Double-large Format.

 

Need double the largest possible screen.

 

[Eric S'ennui]

23 hours ago, Eric Venkman said:

Encanto Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	41	83	6595	1.26%

 

Comp

0.441x of Cruella's Thu+Fri T-7 (3.4M)

0.922x of Jungle Cruise T-7 (2.49M)

0.954x of Free Guy T-7 (2.1M)

 

Despite the WDAS pedigree, this isn't the kind of movie to start off ticket sales with any bang. But honestly...this seems pretty good, at least for right now. Being on par with movies like Jungle Cruise and Free Guy, both of which had already been selling tickets days prior in advance at this point in time, is a very solid sign, especially because Encanto will likely gain a lot of ground from these latter two comps.

 

It's kind of hard to know what would be a good preview # for Encanto, mainly because the last good comparison was Coco, which was four years ago, but I think this is something to be happy about for right now.

Encanto Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	41	107	6595	1.62%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 24

 

Comp

0.318x of Cruella's Thu+Fri T-6 (2.45M)

0.930x of Jungle Cruise T-6 (2.51M)

1.081x of Free Guy T-6 (2.38M)

 

Cruella sold about 148 tickets, an inexplicable jump from everything else and the third-highest sales day for the film (I think that was when the review embargo dropped? I think a showtime or two inexplicably sold out only to no longer be sold out by the time of release? It was one of the two). So don't get too scared about the Cruella issue. Anyways, the film's doing just fine at the moment, barring any inexplicable drop-off.

[Menor the Destroyer]

2 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Wrong.

 

Its Premium Double-large Format.

 

Need double the largest possible screen.

 

Nah, it's Premium Dynamite Format. At any on-screen explosion, the seat blows up too.