The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[ZackM]

Alpha looks like it's going to end the day about 1-2% ahead of yesterday's total for NWH.

 

Also, probably won't track anything the next few days.

[Danhjpn]

5 minutes ago, ZackM said:

Alpha looks like it's going to end the day about 1-2% ahead of yesterday's total for NWH.

 

Also, probably won't track anything the next few days.

because in covid period, it is hard to make prediction? 

[ZackM]

8 minutes ago, Danhjpn said:

because in covid period, it is hard to make prediction? 

No, because I want to take a break and I don't expect them to be very eventful.

[Krissykins]

3 hours ago, motionpic05 said:

Just took a look at the SCREAM pre sales (see above) and they are pretty bad...

 

With the huge marketing effort Paramount has put in, I was expecting MUCH better

 

As a big Scream buff, I was really hoping to see at least Halloween Kills number

 

What do you think we are going to see for OW? $20-30 mill?

I’d be very happy with $20-30m. 
 

I’ll be happy if it beats Scream 4 tbh, but omicron could have other plans. 

[keysersoze123]

Thank you @ZackM for tracking NWH for 11 days. That is a lot. Some of the details you provided during OW including hourly and region breakups were awesome. I think @charlie Jatinder or Empire can provide extrapolations from inside view of BO data anyway. 

[Eric is Quiet]

 

[Eric is Quiet]

Full Deadline reports, not that this stuff really matters

 

Quote

2022’s Most Anticipated Action/Adventure Movies (non-superhero)

Jurassic World: Dominion
Avatar 2
Top Gun: Maverick
Mission: impossible 7
Uncharted (Feb. 18)

 

2022’s Most Anticipated Animated/Family Movies

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
Pixar’s Lightyear (June 17)
Minions: The Rise of Gru (July 1)
Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore (April 15)
Sonic the Hedgehog 2 (April 😎

 

2022’s Most Anticipated Horror Movies

Halloween Ends (Oct. 14)
Scream (Jan. 14)
Jordan Peele’s Nope (July 22)
Orphan: First Kill (TBD)
The Black Phone (June 24)

 

2022’s Most Anticipated Returning Performances

Chris Hemsworth (as Thor), Thor: Love and Thunder
Benedict Cumberbatch (as Dr. Stephen Strange), Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness
Natalie Portman (as Dr. Jane Foster), Thor: Love and Thunder
Zoe Saldana (as Neytiri), Avatar 2
Elizabeth Olsen (as Wanda Maximoff/Scarlet Witch), Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness

 

 

2022’s Most Anticipated New Performances

Robert Pattinson (as Bruce Wayne/Batman), The Batman
Dwayne Johnson (as Black Adam), Black Adam
Christian Bale (as Gorr the God Butcher), Thor: Love and Thunder
Issa Rae (as Jessica Drew/Spider-Woman), Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
Zoe Kravitz (as Selina Kyle/Catwoman), The Batman

 

[Eric is Quiet]

23 hours ago, Eric Smith said:

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-18 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	27	243	6254	3.89%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 5

 

Comp

1.012x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-18 (19.61M)

4.860x of The Conjuring 3 T-18 (47.65M)

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-17 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	27	249	6254	3.98%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 6

 

Comp

0.929x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-17 (17.99M)

4.527x of The Conjuring 3 T-17 (44.39M)

[Eric is Quiet]

On 12/27/2021 at 9:23 PM, Eric Smith said:

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-17 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	27	249	6254	3.98%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 6

 

Comp

0.929x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-17 (17.99M)

4.527x of The Conjuring 3 T-17 (44.39M)

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-16 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	27	265	6254	4.24%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 16

 

Comp

0.920x A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-16 (17.82M)

4.274x of The Conjuring 3 T-16 (41.91M)

[Eric is Quiet]

On 12/28/2021 at 10:23 PM, Eric Smith said:

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-16 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	27	265	6254	4.24%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 16

 

Comp

0.920x A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-16 (17.82M)

4.274x of The Conjuring 3 T-16 (41.91M)

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	27	275	6254	4.40%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 10

 

Comp

0.811x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-15 (15.71M)

3.767x of The Conjuring 3 T-15 (36.94M)

[Krissykins]

8 hours ago, Eric Smith said:

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	27	275	6254	4.40%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 10

 

Comp

0.811x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-15 (15.71M)

3.767x of The Conjuring 3 T-15 (36.94M)

Do you have any early indications for this Eric? Would a $20m+ 4 day be possible, or is it out of reach/too early to tell? 
 

Thanks

[TwoMisfits]

I put this in the Scream thread yesterday, but TMobile will be having a $4 Atom ticket deal for Scream on Jan 11...

[Krissykins]

13 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

I put this in the Scream thread yesterday, but TMobile will be having a $4 Atom ticket deal for Scream on Jan 11...

I seen they did this for Spider-Man in early December, is this a bad or good sign? 

[TwoMisfits]

17 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

I seen they did this for Spider-Man in early December, is this a bad or good sign? 

 

It worked spectacularly for some movies (Spidey, Venom) - it failed for others (didn't Snake Eyes have this?:) - and still others (like Bond) had a presale bump, but kinda fizzled somewhat in the weekend.

 

So, I think it works best for movies that the GA is on the fence on (for whatever reason) or just looking for one more excuse to go (or go multiple times - ie Spidey).  And I think it works best for movies that fall into the phone deal users 18-35 paradigm (since TMobile's deals are very entertainment oriented, seniors probably don't even log in on Tuesdays to look at the deals). 

 

I know we'll now almost certainly be seeing it with the deal b/c now my son gets 2 Jan movies (b/c we'll see this for $4 and then watch Morbius with our pass)...

 

So, I would think this will help sell Scream more than what it was gonna do and if it doesn't absolutely suck, I think it will bump the weekend in a non-marginal way and the overall BO, although 2nd weekend drop could be high...

 

PS - The big reasons I mention it are so folks can get a deal for a movie (b/c we are all movie lovers) and b/c the deals have provided Tuesdays in the past with higher bumps than normal Tuesdays - some movies, like Venom and Spidey, have sustained them into huge weekends.  Some, like Bond, didn't.  

Edited December 30, 2021 by TwoMisfits

[Krissykins]

44 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

It worked spectacularly for some movies (Spidey, Venom) - it failed for others (didn't Snake Eyes have this?:) - and still others (like Bond) had a presale bump, but kinda fizzled somewhat in the weekend.

 

So, I think it works best for movies that the GA is on the fence on (for whatever reason) or just looking for one more excuse to go (or go multiple times - ie Spidey).  And I think it works best for movies that fall into the phone deal users 18-35 paradigm (since TMobile's deals are very entertainment oriented, seniors probably don't even log in on Tuesdays to look at the deals). 

 

I know we'll now almost certainly be seeing it with the deal b/c now my son gets 2 Jan movies (b/c we'll see this for $4 and then watch Morbius with our pass)...

 

So, I would think this will help sell Scream more than what it was gonna do and if it doesn't absolutely suck, I think it will bump the weekend in a non-marginal way and the overall BO, although 2nd weekend drop could be high...

 

PS - The big reasons I mention it are so folks can get a deal for a movie (b/c we are all movie lovers) and b/c the deals have provided Tuesdays in the past with higher bumps than normal Tuesdays - some movies, like Venom and Spidey, have sustained them into huge weekends.  Some, like Bond, didn't.  

Thanks for explaining, it’s not something we have in the UK. T-Mobile was bought over years ago here. 
 

It sounds like a similar alternative to “Meercat Movies” here. 

Edited December 30, 2021 by Krissykins

[Eric is Quiet]

4 hours ago, Krissykins said:

Do you have any early indications for this Eric? Would a $20m+ 4 day be possible, or is it out of reach/too early to tell? 
 

Thanks

I wish I could give you an answer. Comparing Thursdays to Thu+Fri/Fridays is already tricky, the numbers are still out of sync on these ends, and Omicron's got potential to fuck everything up. I am leaning positive on 20M+ at the moment, but I don't want anything set in stone here.

[AnotherDayAnotherDollar]

Why is boxoffice.com not having a forecast for the January films. Anyone knows?

[Movies4Life]

Anyone know if tickets for Morbius will still go on sale on New Year's Eve?

[Porthos]

55 minutes ago, Movies4Life said:

Anyone know if tickets for Morbius will still go on sale on New Year's Eve?

 

On 12/27/2021 at 3:20 PM, EmpireCity said:

 

It was Jan. 1st, then they made it New Year's Eve, but late last week they said TBD now.  My guess is Jan. 7th.  

 

FWIW, a quick check of Fandango doesn't have any showtimes listed yet (even greyed out), so next week is looking more likely, as EC said in the Morbius thread.

Edited December 31, 2021 by Porthos

[el sid]

Out of curiosity (I can't help doing it ) and because it only takes a few minutes:
 

Scream had today 502 sold tickets for Thursday, Jan 13 (14 days to go).
Comps: The Forever Purge had on Thursday for Thursday (= 0 days left) 241 sold tickets,
Halloween Kills had 9 days before 315 sold tickets for Thursday

and AQP II had also 9 days before 402 sold tickets for Thursday.
Both HK and AQP II had good jumps in their last week and to stay on that level Scream would need nice increases in a week but so far the presales for Scream look good in my theaters. Additionally e.g. in the AMC in LA 7 showtimes were added (from 2 to 9).

And for Friday, Jan 14 (15 days to go) it has today 205 sold tickets.
Comp: Halloween Kills had 10 days before 353 sold tickets for Friday.