The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Nova]

John Wick has a $4 T-Mobile atom deal for those interested 

[filmlover]

The Secret Life of Pets 2 will drop from the first but I doubt it comes anywhere close to pulling a Lego Movie 2. Personally I think it'll drop down to around the same level as Sing and The Grinch in the $270M range, which would still be excellent.

[YM!]

Good news for Pikachu lovers. It had a major jump today, I’ll do a report after lunch.

[stealthyfrog]

2 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Good news for Pikachu lovers. It had a major jump today, I’ll do a report after lunch.

So I can't start doomposting yet?

Spoiler

/s

 

[MrGamer]

5 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Good news for Pikachu lovers. It had a major jump today, I’ll do a report after lunch.

Went from 2 tickets sold to 4?

 

I’m kidding.

[Nova]

1 minute ago, MrGamer said:

Went from 2 tickets sold to 4?

 

I’m kidding.

That would be equal to a 100% bump so  

[YM!]

Just now, MrGamer said:

Went from 2 tickets sold to 4?

 

I’m kidding.

No.

Spoiler

2 to 5

Spoiler

Spoiler

 

Spoiler

Also kidding.

 

 

[YM!]

On 4/27/2019 at 7:22 AM, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Pokémon: Detective Pikachu aka Endgame killer aka DikPik roundup

5/9/19 (12 days before previews, 13 before release)

 

North Shore Cinema

Mequon, WI

4:00 - 2/146

6:45 - 14/146

9:30 - 0/146

 

I have no comps for this as I’m still looking in my database but it’s solid, should be around $55M-$70M OW judging by sales, but in all honesty, even accounting Endgame, I don’t want to say $80M+ OW is likely as the sales aren’t where I want it to be.

 

Menominee Falls Cinema

Menominee Falls, WI

 

4:00 - 0/151 - SuperScreen

6:50 - 6/151 - SuperScreen

9:30 - 0/151 - SuperScreen 

 

We Should take into account that family films in PLFs = weak presales but it’s still not a good jump given the amount of time.

Pokémon Detective Pikachu 

5/9/19 (9 before previews, 10 before release)

North Shore Cinema

Mequon, WI

 

4:00 - 11/146

6:45 - 15/146 

9:30 - 0/146

 

This was definitely the jump it needed to survive here. 

Comps:

13% ahead of Despicable M3 ($81.84M OW)

22% behind Venom ($63.03M OW)

63% behind Incredibles 2 ($59.57M OW)

 

I know they’re not the best comparisons but my range still stands from $50M-$70M but it’s definitely an improvement after how troubling Monday was.

[Cappoedameron]

16 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Pokémon Detective Pikachu 

5/9/19 (9 before previews, 10 before release)

North Shore Cinema

Mequon, WI

 

4:00 - 11/146

6:45 - 15/146 

9:30 - 0/146

 

This was definitely the jump it needed to survive here. 

Comps:

13% ahead of Despicable M3 ($81.84M OW)

22% behind Venom ($63.03M OW)

63% behind Incredibles 2 ($59.57M OW)

 

I know they’re not the best comparisons but my range still stands from $50M-$70M but it’s definitely an improvement after how troubling Monday was.

I have a feeling BOP is accurate with their 82+ prediction. I think it can go up to $85 but I think A LOT of Pikachu's business is going to be walk up. Pikachu is not going to make anywhere near $50M. Not even Scott believes that and he wrote it.

[YM!]

Just now, Cappoedameron said:

I have a feeling BOP is accurate with their 82+ prediction. I think it can go up to $85 but I think A LOT of Pikachu's business is going to be walk up. Pikachu is not going to make anywhere near $50M. Not even Scott believes that and he wrote it.

Again my prediction is based on my theater(s (as I’ll do Menominee Falls sometime Saturday as it is the second biggest in Wisconsin), and from what I’ve seen so far and based on actual tracking which is very different from BOP tracking as it (again I could be wrong) surveys audience members and their interest, I’m going to predict a bit lower until I have more concrete data. As for the comps, I think they’re fair (as I don’t have Shazam or Dumbo at my disposal) especially Venom which was more walkup based at my theater.

 

I am hoping it surprises but for now I’m going with conservative guesses.

[filmlover]

Both The Intruder and UglyDolls are getting small auditoriums at my theater this weekend. Fully expecting both to go sub-$10M this weekend at this point on account that it really feels like nobody cares about either.

[TMP]

@captainwondyful you asked for viewing numbers:

 

[cdsacken]

1 hour ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Pokémon Detective Pikachu 

5/9/19 (9 before previews, 10 before release)

North Shore Cinema

Mequon, WI

 

4:00 - 11/146

6:45 - 15/146 

9:30 - 0/146

 

This was definitely the jump it needed to survive here. 

Comps:

13% ahead of Despicable M3 ($81.84M OW)

22% behind Venom ($63.03M OW)

63% behind Incredibles 2 ($59.57M OW)

 

I know they’re not the best comparisons but my range still stands from $50M-$70M but it’s definitely an improvement after how troubling Monday was.

Good I don't want it to fail. I hope it does 70+. Would be nice to see both End Game and DP do 75+

Edited April 30, 2019 by cdsacken

[Perfundle]

Finally, I have two movies I can compare to each other.
 

Detective Pikachu San Gabriel Valley, 10 days to opening night

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats sold	Seats Left	Total Seats	Percent Sold
TOTALS	0	55	1852	7617	9469	19.56%

 

Date				4/10	4/11	4/12	4/13
Tickets Sold				534	198	110	58
Date	4/14	4/15	4/16	4/17	4/18	4/19	4/20
Tickets Sold	28	45	59	63	36	33	28
Date	4/21	4/22	4/23	4/24	4/25	4/26	4/27
Tickets Sold	35	72	57	44	92	64	79
Date	4/28	4/29
Tickets Sold	91	126

 

Aladdin San Gabriel Valley, first day of presales

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats sold	Seats Left	Total Seats	Percent Sold
TOTALS	0	55	677	11455	12132	5.58%

 

1.27x Detective Pikachu's first day of presales [Detective Pikachu has 29 days of presales compared to Aladdin's 24]

[Stewart]

2 minutes ago, Perfundle said:

Finally, I have two movies I can compare to each other.
 

Detective Pikachu San Gabriel Valley, 10 days to opening night

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats sold	Seats Left	Total Seats	Percent Sold
TOTALS	0	55	1852	7617	9469	19.56%

 

I've got to admit, it's a real shame you don't have any comparisons. Because selling 20% of its tickets available 10 days out for a family movie sounds absolutely amazing. 

[Cap]

Southern Maine IMAX: AEG Tuesday ***

 

IMAX Screen:

Total: 253 / 438

 

12:00PM 57/146
4:00PM 82/146

7:45PM 114/146

 

Standard Screens (13 Showings)

Total: 86 / 996

 

This is really solid for our theater for a weekday -- especially for a walk up theater like ours.  The 5:15PM (12), 7:00PM (26) have the most tickets sold, and the day's still young.  For example, the 1:30PM had 12 tickets , whereas the 3:30PM had 6, when I checked at 1:30PM.

 

*** Also, our theater chain doesn't do Discount Tuesdays.  They run their specials:

Triplet Tuesdays - Regular Prices / Triple Loyalty Points

Wicked Wednesday - Discount Tickets

[Biggestgeekever]

Funnily enough, one of the better presellers for Pikachu near my area is the 21+ only theater.

 

1 hour ago, filmlover said:

Both The Intruder and UglyDolls are getting small auditoriums at my theater this weekend. Fully expecting both to go sub-$10M this weekend at this point on account that it really feels like nobody cares about either.

My thoughts as well, though I'm also wondering about Long Shot. Reviews are good, but political comedies are a tough sell to begin with and the Avengers albatross doesn't help.

[Minnale101]

Reviews for detective pikachu was supposed to drop May 7th but it’s move to Thursday May 2nd now 

 

hoping the reviews are positive and gives some extra days to help pre sales 

[Mulder]

Rn at my theater (Just Thursdays)-

 

Aladdin-41 (+15), 6 screenings (2 IMAX, 2 3D, 2 Regular)

Detective Pikachu-99, 6 screenings (3 3D, 3 Regular)

John Wick-47, 4 screenings (2 IMAX, 2 Regular)

 

Aladdin got a massive boost from last night surprisingly.

[Firepower]

How is John Wick 3 doing?