The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Sunny Max]

Just now, john2000 said:

wow thats very good then ?

FFH killing it even before 2 weeks ... Huge Ow on cards 

[Menor the Destroyer]

18 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

That means the movie could be more frontloaded than expected.

Actually I don't think that, it's probably just a function of the six day opening. A bit of math with CM's opening Friday and TASM's pure OD to OW ( assuming FFH may be a bit more frontloaded) gives a six day in the 200-215 million range. Going to conservatively go with that for now. Just comping straight up with CM Friday/TASM multi actually gives something in the 250 range or thereabouts, but I'm not sure that's the best way to interpret this rn

Edited June 17, 2019 by Menor

[Sunny Max]

9 minutes ago, Menor said:

Actually I don't think that, it's probably just a function of the six day opening. A bit of math with CM's opening Friday and TASM's pure OD to OW ( assuming FFH may be a bit more frontloaded) gives a six day in the 200-215 million range

$170 to $190 M would be excellent ....

[Menor the Destroyer]

3 minutes ago, Sunny Max said:

$170 to $190 M would be excellent ....

Read my edit to that post, for now the 200-215 is my conservative projection. Ofc things could change as we're still a ways out

Edited June 17, 2019 by Menor

[Sunny Max]

3 minutes ago, Menor said:

Read my edit to that post, for now the 200-215 is my conservative projection. Ofc things could change as we're still a ways out

ok ..    

[keysersoze123]

2 hours ago, Menor said:

Far from home has appeared on the report page. Presales are massively skewed towards midnight + OD

That is to be expected considering its a SH movie. But do you remember where Toy Story 4 was at equivalent point? Of course overall sales for TS4 was more spread out.

[Menor the Destroyer]

21 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

That is to be expected considering its a SH movie. But do you remember where Toy Story 4 was at equivalent point? Of course overall sales for TS4 was more spread out.

Not sure the exact numbers but it was definitely way below (which is expected ofc). When it gets added to the daily page tonight it'll be more clear where exactly it was

[keysersoze123]

Good comparison for Spidey would be Cap Marvel. Its PS around the same point( 15 days before release).

 

 

Quote   Thu 16690 Fri 11354 Sat 10742 Sun 3858 Mon  309 Tue 1573 Wed  93
Spidey as of now(less than 15 days to go   2208 2019-07-01 MON Spider-Man Far From Home 16214 2019-07-02 TUE Spider-Man Far From Home 3047 2019-07-03 WED Spider-Man Far From Home 2079 2019-07-04 THU Spider-Man Far From Home 2246 2019-07-05 FRI Spider-Man Far From Home 2643 2019-07-06 SAT Spider-Man Far From Home 1041 2019-07-07 SUN Spider-Man Far From Home 102 2019-07-08 MON Spider-Man Far From Home 431 2019-07-09 TUE Spider-Man Far From Home   Much better. Still lagging behind Cap Marvel overall but numbers are not so bad.

 

 

 

 

 

Edited June 17, 2019 by keysersoze123

[keysersoze123]

its a pain copying from a excel. Formatting screwed up big time. But this data seem to rhyme what @CoolEric258 has been posting about Spidey. I am not seeing 200m based on this data.

[john2000]

3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

its a pain copying from a excel. Formatting screwed up big time. But this data seem to rhyme what @CoolEric258 has been posting about Spidey. I am not seeing 200m based on this data.

again thats not a good comparison

[cdsacken]

Toy Story 4 already #1 in 24 hour sales and hourly. Love it.

Edited June 17, 2019 by cdsacken

[Menor the Destroyer]

14 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Good comparison for Spidey would be Cap Marvel. Its PS around the same point( 15 days before release).

 

 

Spidey as of now(less than 15 days to go   636 2019-07-01 MON Spider-Man Far From Home The IMAX 2D Experience 2968 2019-07-02 TUE Spider-Man Far From Home The IMAX 2D Experience 524 2019-07-03 WED Spider-Man Far From Home The IMAX 2D Experience 272 2019-07-04 THU Spider-Man Far From Home The IMAX 2D Experience 352 2019-07-05 FRI Spider-Man Far From Home The IMAX 2D Experience 420 2019-07-06 SAT Spider-Man Far From Home The IMAX 2D Experience 130 2019-07-07 SUN Spider-Man Far From Home The IMAX 2D Experience   Boy that does not paint a pretty picture. Just the thu PS for cap marvel alone is greater than sum of all the PS

 

 

 

 

 

you're comparing the IMAX 2D sales for Spidey to 2D sales for CM. Spidey is significantly below CM but not by that much. I'm about to make a post with the full comps.

[FlashMaster659]

The Pulse 24 hr tracker resets midnight Monday, right?

[cdsacken]

Just now, FlashMaster659 said:

The Pulse 24 hr tracker resets midnight Monday, right?

Yeah I think so. Toy Story 4 is consistently been ahead last couple hours. Combined total was 20% above SLOP2. 

[Menor the Destroyer]

FFH vs CM comparison (14 days before release)

 

FFH - Mon: 3094, Tue: 20875, Wed: 3917, Thurs: 2610, Fri: 2844, Sat: 3394, Sun: 1320. Total: 38054

 

CM - Thurs: 27171, Fri: 16110, Sat: 14969, Sun: 5952. Mon: 459, Tue: 1928, Wed: 154 Total: 66743

 

From this it's very clear that lack of Thursday previews + 6-day opening for Spidey is depressing its presales. It's OD PS at the same point is actually above CM by a significant margin (it's better to compare it to Friday than Thursday as Spidey's OD will have a significantly higher percentage of walkups and late presales than a Thursday preview would). I'd say that around 2 million from midnights seems likely and then 40+ OD, 50 million possible. After that the situations are too different to compare. 

Edited June 17, 2019 by Menor

[john2000]

2 minutes ago, Menor said:

FFH vs CM comparison (14 days before release)

 

FFH - Mon: 3094, Tue: 20875, Wed: 3917, Thurs: 2610, Fri: 2844, Sat: 3394, Sun: 1320. Total: 38054

 

CM - Thurs: 27171, Fri: 16110, Sat: 14969, Sun: 5952. Total: 64202

 

From this it's very clear that lack of Thursday previews + 6-day opening for Spidey is depressing its presales. It's OD PS at the same point is actually above CM by a significant margin (it's better to compare it to Friday than Thursday as Spidey's OD will have a significantly higher percentage of walkups and late presales than a Thursday preview would). I'd say that around 2 million from midnights seems likely and then 40+ OD, 50 million possible. After that the situations are too different to compare. 

yeah, the 5 days remaining, will depend from wom and hype, too hard to tell

[keysersoze123]

4 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

The Pulse 24 hr tracker resets midnight Monday, right?

This is what happens when you do this jet lagged.

[cdsacken]

Trolls hating CM helped it a ton as well. International women's day too.

 

FFH will still crush it because everyone wants to see how Spiderman is doing. Still sad btw

Edited June 17, 2019 by cdsacken

[john2000]

2 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

Trolls hating CM helped it a ton as well. International women's day too.

 

FFH will still crush it because everyone wants to see how Spiderman is doing. Still sad btw

sad ? its doing very good

[Menor the Destroyer]

3 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

Trolls hating CM helped it a ton as well. International women's day too.

 

FFH will still crush it because everyone wants to see how Spiderman is doing. Still sad btw

International Women's Day was not really a thing in the US though, and though the trolls added a bit of buzz I think the movie would have easily cleared a billion without them.