The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, Eric loves Rey said:

Quite surprised Gems and Bombshell are so high, but that’s far from a bad thing

To be fair this theater (and the others in the other) does tend to skew older, so it's no surprise that group is making plans ahead and making their reservations now to grab most of the good seats. Not like there's gonna be anything else to do that day since everything's closed.

[FlashMaster659]

Btw, TROS at AMC Ontario Mills is running 65.3% of Endgame as of last night ($39.17M)

[Zozer]

1 minute ago, FlashMaster659 said:

Btw, TROS at AMC Ontario Mills is running 65.3% of Endgame as of last night ($39.17M)

Good or bad?

[StarWarsMemer]

6 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:

T-5 Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

 

MTC 1: $23.2mn Approx

 

At same time

Endgame: $39mn

 

MTC 2: $13.30mn

 

Nationwide estimates

Previews: $23mn

Friday: $20mn

Saturday: $16.5mn

Sunday: $9.5mn // $69mn

Rest: $14mn // $83mn

 

At same time

Endgame: $135mn

 

Estimated FSS day wise comparison of Endgame and TRS T-5 Days

  Hide contents

 

	Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker	Avengers: Endgame	% TRS/EG
Previews	$23.06	$28.00	82.35%
Friday	$20.34	$33.00	61.63%
Saturday	$16.43	$33.00	49.80%
Sunday	$9.55	$23.00	41.52%

 

Note: All these numbers include a good amount of estimation. The system is working well but there's always margin of error, take +/-5%.

damn 82% of endgame would be almost 50m in previews 

[StarWarsMemer]

4 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

Btw, TROS at AMC Ontario Mills is running 65.3% of Endgame as of last night ($39.17M)

total or adjusted?

[Zozer]

2 minutes ago, StarWarsMemer said:

damn 82% of endgame would be almost 50m in previews 

I'll bite...if this thing has 50 million in previews(not guaranteed at all) than it is mathematically impossible for this thing not to pass 200 million

[XXR vs XXR]

1 minute ago, Zozer said:

I'll bite...if this thing has 50 million in previews(not guaranteed at all) than it is mathematically impossible for this thing not to pass 200 million

Yea, if previews are $50m then $200m is locked, and over TLJ OW would be 99%. 

[FlashMaster659]

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker - TCL Chinese Theaters + IMAX (Thursday Night)

 

IMAX Laser 2D

 

6:00 PM - 931/932

10:00 PM - 931/932

1:45 AM - 580/932

 

MX4D 3D

 

6:15 PM - 83/104

10:15 PM - 63/104

2:00 AM - 2/104

 

Total

 

2590/3108 (83.3%)

 

1.1385x as many seats sold as Avengers Endgame 4 days before previews ($68.3M)

[FlashMaster659]

7 minutes ago, StarWarsMemer said:

total or adjusted?

Same point in time

[Zozer]

Can i get optimistic now

[RockyMountain]

I think 50m is the best case scenario but if it does hit that and we potentially get a higher OW than TLJ I think we should probably expect another trilogy to be announced at celebration.

[Zozer]

Just now, RockyMountain said:

I think 50m is the best case scenario but if it does hit that and we potentially get a higher OW than TLJ I think we should probably expect another trilogy to be announced at celebration.

If it does hit that than that means TLJ was an age of ultron rather than a dawn of justice.

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

2052

4011

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1949

3926

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
10759	263	24189	44.48%	9	194

 

Final Frozen 2 count comp: 26.11M

Final Maleficent count comp: 30.51M

Final IT 2 count comp: 29.09M

Final Hobbs count comp: 30.41M

Adjusted final OUATiH count comp: 31.36M

Final Lion King count comp: 32.62M

 

Average: 30.02M

The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

2108

4011

52.56%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1988

3926

50.64%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
11038	279	24348	45.33%	9	196

 

Showings added: 2

Seats added: 159

 

Final Frozen 2 count comp: 26.79M

Final Maleficent count comp: 31.30M

Final IT 2 count comp: 29.85M

Final Hobbs count comp: 31.20M

Adjusted final OUATiH count comp: 32.23M

Final Lion King count comp: 33.46M

 

Average: 30.81M

[Lordmandeep]

Hard to say looking here in Canada (toronto) presales are way down compared to Avengers Endgame...no where as good at all..

[ZackM]

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Various theater chains (Michigan) Premiere Night Seat Report: T-4 days and counting
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	1	0	-1	0	0
Seats Added	321	6	-33	1	3
Seats Sold	858	586	566	614	400
12/15/2019	Showings	Seats Left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Pct. Sold
Total	268	26,971	46,455	19,484	41.94%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	17	42	64	99	122

 

 

Incredibly strong day today.  I wasn't expecting 800+ for another 2 days.  But, as good as these numbers are, there was a weird anomaly today that took a big chunk out of it.  One of the showings moved from 7:00pm to 7:30pm and lost all of its sold seats in the process.  So that particular theater is showing 102 fewer seats sold today than it was showing yesterday.  I'm curious to see what happens with that over the next few days.

[VanillaSkies]

2 hours ago, Lordmandeep said:

Hard to say looking here in Canada (toronto) presales are way down compared to Avengers Endgame...no where as good at all..

Sorry if I sound stupid here, but isn't that 100% expected? Endgame opened to 357 million, target for this one is 200 million and then leg it out nicely over Christmas. Was anyone expecting it to rival Endgame OW presales?

[Eric the Ape]

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	171	12,498	31,845	39.25%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 436

 

T-4 Comp

9.490x of It: Chapter Two 4 days before release (99.64M)

8.063x of Joker 4 days before release (107.24M)

8.388x of Frozen II 4 days before release (71.3M)

 

T-4 Adjusted Comp

2.410x of Lion King 4 days before release (55.42M)

 

Final Count Comp

6.571x of Once Upon’s final count (38.11M)

3.608x of It: Chapter Two (37.88M)

2.545x of Joker (33.85M)

17.931x of Maleficent (41.2M)

14.349x of Terminator (33.72M)

3.718x of Frozen II (31.61M)

 

Final Count Adjusted Comp

1.136x of Lion King (26.14M)

5.394x of Hobbs & Shaw (31.28M)

[JB33]

2 hours ago, Lordmandeep said:

Hard to say looking here in Canada (toronto) presales are way down compared to Avengers Endgame...no where as good at all..

No kiddin?

[keysersoze123]

Mr lord should rename to Mr Obvious. He just confirmed SW9 not opening to 357m 🤣

[keysersoze123]

On 12/14/2019 at 10:11 PM, keysersoze123 said:

SW9(T-5)

MTC1 Prev  - overall 5398 shows 375204/886141 5570182.78 +8955
MTC2 Prev - overall 3154 shows 246955/457423 3098869.00 +5148
MTC1 OD - overall 5466 shows 303797/1109308 4630995.79 +11514
MTC2 OD - overall 4680 shows 237147/759834 2611615.00  +10163
MTC1 D2 - overall 5399 shows 256507/1098201 3727366.12  +14549
MTC2 D2 - overall 4641 shows 198015/753852 2123880.00 +12564
MTC1 D3 - overall 5217 shows 153050/1060317 2224004.91 +10785
MTC2 D3 - overall 4611 shows 114196/753813 1181579.00  +8951

 

Very strong day all the way till sunday. I am sure even days till christmas will have good PS but I can only track so many days for now. I also expect another spurt of show count increase in final week to give huge boost next week. Challenges with previews is most of the ticket sales are happening for very late shows.

SW9(T-4)

MTC1 Prev - overall 5415 shows 388054/888056 5751533.42 +12850
MTC2 Prev - overall 3156 shows 255352/457554 3195776.00 +8397
MTC1 OD - overall 5466 shows 321554/1109378 4876904.63  +17757
MTC2 OD - overall 4679 shows 252846/759298 2770725.00  +15699
MTC1 D2 - overall 5399 shows 272889/1098201 3948817.21 +16382
MTC2 D2 - overall 4636 shows 213503/752774 2281816.00  +15488
MTC1 D3 - overall 5223 shows 166679/1061382 2410854.40 +13629
MTC2 D3 - overall 4626 shows 126279/757089 1300064.00 +12083

 

Big increase today across the board. But that is expected as we are entering release week. I am expecting big boost on tuesday as showcounts should increase big time as we have final week schedule firm up.

 

Quick check on D4/5. If I am not wrong there wont be any discount tuesday during that week.

 

MTC1 D4 - overall 4623 shows 69483/943838 1016991.46
MTC2 D4 - overall 4425 shows 62597/720339 634536.00
MTC1 D5  - overall 4389 shows 50771/886726 701934.56
MTC2 D5 - overall 3580 shows 43266/586005 417504.00