The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[The Panda]

Just now, JB33 said:

Is thenumbers on to something with that I2 predict? Do they know something we don't???

BOM is predicting 150m+ and Disney’s lowball is over 120m-130m

 

Probably just a pretty big lowball

[WrathOfHan]

The 8:00 3D sold at least 43/69; my wifi went down so IDK the exact numbers (if they even went up)

[L Silverman]

I think we're looking at a perfect storm for I2 exactly identical to JW three years ago.  Wouldn't be at all surprised if I2 ends up doing between $180-200m for the weekend.

[Andreas]

MT update, I2 still rising:

 

I2: 73.8%

O8: 5.8%

JW2: 2.6%

Solo: 2.6%

Tag: 2.4%

 

Insane percentage for an animated movie if you ask me, even on OW. Animated movie previews record is going down.

[Brainbug]

1 minute ago, L Silverman said:

I think we're looking at a perfect storm for I2 exactly identical to JW three years ago.  Wouldn't be at all surprised if I2 ends up doing between $180-200m for the weekend.

 

200M is too lunatic even for me, but 180M is possible i think (which is still pure lunacy as this is an animated movie which tend to open smaller and have stronger legs than live-action films generally).

 

It would be even more similar to 2015, but with a twist: Now its the Pixar movie blowing up, while the JW movie will be a very big hit, but just not on über-blockbuster level.

 

Spoiler

Or both movies go absolutely crazy with 170M+ OWs each. Thats my dream scenario as i love both Pixar and JW of course and it would be glorious to watch at the box office. Not all that realistic though

 

[Poseidon]

Incredibles 2 will probably reach that $115m number by saturday night....

[L Silverman]

6 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

200M is too lunatic even for me, but 180M is possible i think (which is still pure lunacy as this is an animated movie which tend to open smaller and have stronger legs than live-action films generally).

 

 

 

Except I2 is that odd bird, an animated action film.  I could see it crossing over and being as big of a hit with SW/Marvel fans, that type of crowd, as it is with families and kids.

[WrathOfHan]

Final sales for Incredibles tonight:

 

6:00: 108/113

7:00 3D: 69/78

8:00 3D: 43/69

9:00: 101/113

Total: 321/373

 

Comps:

 

65% of Black Panther (131.3M)

95% of Thor: Ragnarok (116.6M)

100% of Justice League (93.8M)

585% of Coco (297.2M)

 

Pretty damn incredible!

[The Fast and the Furiosa]

3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Final sales for Incredibles tonight:

 

6:00: 108/113

7:00 3D: 69/78

8:00 3D: 43/69

9:00: 101/113

Total: 321/373

 

Comps:

 

65% of Black Panther (131.3M)

95% of Thor: Ragnarok (116.6M)

100% of Justice League (93.8M)

585% of Coco (297.2M)

 

Pretty damn incredible!

How does it compare in terms of # of shows? 4 seems pretty impressive for the numbers it got 

[WrathOfHan]

2 minutes ago, The Fast and the Furiosa said:

How does it compare in terms of # of shows? 4 seems pretty impressive for the numbers it got 

Ragnarok and JL had 6, and BP had 9 (Coco had one but I don't think it's a good comp lol). This makes the numbers even better.

Edited June 15, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[TalismanRing]

4 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Final sales for Incredibles tonight:

 

6:00: 108/113

7:00 3D: 69/78

8:00 3D: 43/69

9:00: 101/113

Total: 321/373

 

Comps:

 

65% of Black Panther (131.3M)

95% of Thor: Ragnarok (116.6M)

100% of Justice League (93.8M)

585% of Coco (297.2M)

 

Pretty damn incredible!

Looks like $13-14m in previews

 

65% x 25.2 = $16.38

95% x 14.5 = $13.77m

100% x 13 = $13m

585% x2.3 = $13.45m

[Shawn Robbins]

On 6/13/2018 at 6:43 PM, Biggestgeekever said:

https://pro.boxoffice.com/weekend-forecast-incredibles-2-superfly-tag/

 

@Shawn is going with $152M 

I'm not even sure our $165M "high end" of that range is the cap at this point. The numbers coming in are pretty insane for an animated movie, but I like to err on the side of caution when possible just to have some kind of base line.

[The Fast and the Furiosa]

4 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Looks like $13-14m in previews

 

65% x 25.2 = $16.38

95% x 14.5 = $13.77m

100% x 13 = $13m

585% x2.3 = $13.45m

Solid range based on some numbers I’m looking at 

[Arlo245]

$15 million for previews would be absolutely INSANE 

[WrathOfHan]

Tag:

 

7:00: 23/78

9:30: 15/78

Total: 38/156

 

The late show skews comps a bit because everything was a sole 7 PM show, but this is pretty encouraging. Disney Springs has been looking very strong all night, so I don't think 15M is unreasonable. 

[Jonwo]

7 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Tag:

 

7:00: 23/78

9:30: 15/78

Total: 38/156

 

The late show skews comps a bit because everything was a sole 7 PM show, but this is pretty encouraging. Disney Springs has been looking very strong all night, so I don't think 15M is unreasonable. 

I wouldn't be shocked if it matches Game Night's OW, it'd be nice if it cracked $20m but that seems unlikely

[Poseidon]

I'm seeing something like:

$16m Previews

$54m Friday

$54m Saturday

$51m Sunday

 

$175m OW

 

Can also see a slightly lower Friday, but a 10% jump on saturday instead. 

[The Panda]

28 minutes ago, Shawn said:

I'm not even sure our $165M "high end" of that range is the cap at this point. The numbers coming in are pretty insane for an animated movie, but I like to err on the side of caution when possible just to have some kind of base line.

MY 180m OW PREDICT IS HAPPENING GUYS!!! 

 

YEEHAW LET’S GO

[The Panda]

Could this be the first animated movie to open over 200m??

 

[MrGlass2]

Testing, some totals for Thursday from akvalley:

Updated by @akvalley: 2018-06-14 20:00:59 Central
TICKETS	SHOW DATE	DAY	MOVIE

59854	2018-06-14	THU	Incredibles 2

3729	2018-06-14	THU	Oceans 8

1884	2018-06-14	THU	Tag (2018)

1607	2018-06-14	THU	Solo: A Star Wars Story

1352	2018-06-14	THU	Deadpool 2

1401	2018-06-14	THU	Superfly (2018)

1382	2018-06-14	THU	Hereditary

809	2018-06-14	THU	Avengers: Infinity War