The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[el sid]

Missed my normal Pulse comparison-time:

120/5 (one hour ago) and 153 at the moment for The Nun - it won't go on like this I'm sure, but so far, it's in front of M: I 6 and The Meg had 41 same day and daytime
30/5 minutes at the moment for Peppermint - looks indeed quite good
4/5 minutes one hour ago and 2/5 minutes at the moment for God Bless The Broken Road.

[WrathOfHan]

15 minutes ago, Litio said:

Nice. You'll have a great surprise.

This isn’t hitting 70M, hon.

[Litio]

27 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

This isn’t hitting 70M, hon.

At the end of Sunday, it will be closer to $ 70m than $ 40m.

[MCKillswitch123]

1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said:

Want my take on The Nun? I’m expecting 40M or so lol

Weren't you expecting only 35M?  (Don't take me the wrong way, not judging here.)

[el sid]

MT:

#1 CRA 22.2%
#2 Searching 7.7%
#3 The Meg 7.1%
#4 M: I 6 5.8%
#5 The Nun 5.5%

[MrGlass2]

Updated by @akvalley: 2018-09-05 12:02:39 Central (Lock time Fridays 11:00:00)
BUY TIME	TICKETS	MOVIE TITLE
--------------------------------------------------
2018-09-05 11:00:00	312	The Nun (2018)
2018-09-05 11:00:00	184	Crazy Rich Asians
2018-09-05 11:00:00	78	Peppermint (2018)
2018-09-05 11:00:00	53	Operation Finale
2018-09-05 11:00:00	48	Searching (2018)
2018-09-05 11:00:00	41	Mission Impossible - Fallout
2018-09-05 11:00:00	35	BlacKkKlansman
2018-09-05 11:00:00	31	Christopher Robin
2018-09-05 11:00:00	23	The Nun The IMAX 2D Experience
2018-09-05 11:00:00	21	Incredibles 2

[cax16]

 

[dxmatrixdt]

Digital last minute outreach to get movie tickets is probably at an all-time, it should just take the right amount of pop-up ads all at once.  Will The Nun pre-sales build with audiences directly from Conjuring 2 and Annabelle 2 though?

[Biggestgeekever]

A $50M+ OW for The Nun is looking good at this point.

 

I noticed that WB never released a full trailer for it, either; goes to show just how effective that teaser was.

[NickDisney13]

Movie Tickets Update:

#1 CRA 21.2%

#2 The Nun 9.3%
#2 Searching 7.5%
#3 The Meg 6.9%
#4 M: I 6 5.0%
 

[filmlover]

31 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:

A $50M+ OW for The Nun is looking good at this point.

 

I noticed that WB never released a full trailer for it, either; goes to show just how effective that teaser was.

Some dude in my audience screamed when the nun popped out at the end of the trailer at The Happytime Murders last week. Shit was funnier than anything in the movie itself.

[dxmatrixdt]

On ‎9‎/‎3‎/‎2018 at 3:55 AM, dX airdry zid said:

movietickets.com top 5 sellers

 

1 - Crazy Rich Asians - 26.7%

2 - Operation Finale - 8.3%

3 - Mission Impossible - 7.4%

4 - The Meg - 7.3%

5 - Christopher Robin - 5.2%

the top 5 % shown adds to 54.9%

 

The Meg/Mi6 is closing on Operation Finale, but Operation Finale will probably still be in the top 5 next weekend.  It is obviously a high destination seller on MT.  I don't see The Nun moving back on the list until Tuesday.  Peppermint should show up Wednesday and confuse the hell out of forecasters.  God Bless the Broken Road didn't have a Wikipedia page the last time I checked, and it has a very small about of YouTube trailer views so I don't see that one selling much.  Nothing should/could increase today, however War Room had a 0.6% jump Monday September 7, 2015.

Just ran across this trailer w/ over 4 million views released 7/23

 

 

[Jonwo]

If The Nun does $50m, the movie will be in the black from just its OW

[Litio]

Duplicated post

Edited September 6, 2018 by Litio

[TalismanRing]

9 hours ago, Jonwo said:

If The Nun does $50m, the movie will be in the black from just its OW

In terms of budget yes, but avg domestic P&A for horror is $30-35m

 

[TalismanRing]

Fandango App	Monday	Tues	Wed	Thursday
A Quiet Place	2,177	4,003	10,665
Blockers	504	1,106	2,931
Rampage	705	1,508	4,109
Truth Or Dare	385	760	2,133
Super Troopers	2,825	3,447	6,881
I Feel Pretty	871	1610	4,423
Avengers: Infinity War	49,836	54,892	68,826
Overboard	84	409	1,044
Breaking In	727	1204	2,899
Life Of The Party	587	1,310	3,010
Deadpool 2	23,134	28,896	41,212
Show Dogs	6	128	369
Book Club	836	1,599	3,283
SW: Solo	13,688	15,855	28,533
Action Point	17	48	197
Upgrade	9	119	522
Adrift	63	308	1,268
Oceans 8	3,009	4,372	11,114
Hereditary	659	1178	3,181
Hotel Artemis	26	166	520
Incredibles 2	20,872	23,430	39,337
Tag	314	660	1,448
Jurassic World 2	9,310	12,761	23,266
Sicario 2	788	1282	3,403
Uncle Drew	274	473	1,201
Antman & The Wasp	6,613	5,990	11,108
Purge (Wed)	2,885	8,308
Hotel Transylvania 3	1,753	2,674	6,605	14,754
Skyscraper	586	1,019	2,868	7,134
Mamma Mia 2	4,427	5,099	12,117	17,226
Equalizer	1,418	2,297	6,073	11,875
Unfriended		71	240	975
MI6		*3328	13,575	27,261
Teen Titans		*462	2,125	4,526
Christopher Robin	1,560	2,442	5,355	11,509
The Spy Who Dumped Me	234	542	1,561	4,222
The Darkest Minds	130	244	579	1,777
Eighth Grade	494	508	720	936
Death of A Nation	148	194	375	1,239
The Meg	1,539	2,944	6,723	16,202
Slender Man	177	418	1,091	3,737
BlackkKlansman	432	682	1,934	5,017
Dog Days (Wed)	115	631	1,536	1,212
Crazy Rich Asians (Wed)	3,651	5,742	20,173	20,102
Alpha	181	283	943	2,069
Mile 22	282	519	1,833	5,200
Happytime Murders	382	*488	1,954	5,602
A.X.L.	32	*60	310	911
Kin	21	141	263	741
Operation Finale (Wed)	415	2,083	4,879	3,915
Searching	303	588	1,194	2,862
The Nun	2,082	5,938	13,806
Peppermint	286	863	2,508
God Bless The Broken Road	6	33	152
*4pm-12am
Fandango App	Monday	Tues	Wed	Thursday
14-Sep
Predator		233	266
A Simple Favor		45	54
White Boy Rick		10	12

Edited September 6, 2018 by TalismanRing

[el sid]

I'm surprised myself at these presale numbers.
MT and that is the freezing number:

#1 The Nun 19.1%
#2 CRA 17.6%
#3 Searching 5.4%
#4 M: I6 4.4%
#5 The Meg 4.3%

And Pulse at the moment:
330/5 minutes for The Nun (yesterday around the same time 155)
75/5 minutes for Peppermint 

[KeepItU25071906]

1 hour ago, el sid said:

I'm surprised myself at these presale numbers.
MT and that is the freezing number:

#1 The Nun 19.1%
#2 CRA 17.6%
#3 Searching 5.4%
#4 M: I6 4.4%
#5 The Meg 4.3%
 

 

#1 The Nun 33.8%
#2 CRA 12.2%
#3 Peppermint 5.6%
#4 Some anime 4.5%
#5 Searching 3.4%

[Poseidon]

You really have to thank Warner for finally breaking out of that self-fulfilling prophecy, that September is a wasted month in terms of Box Office. This year looks like so much potential, after August was more or less the dump-month.

One day they will all wake up and understand, that the right movie is not dependant on when it opens. 
 

[filmlover]

Peppermint is getting dreadful reviews so far.