5-day Weekend #s: DM3 99M, BD 29.97M, WW 24.07M, TF5 24.05M, Cars 3 14.2M, House 11.9M

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, grim22 said:

 

Looked it up, the Regal-Atom tie up was announced the week Covfefe came out. We only got one comp this year till Baby Driver, namely Guardians 2 outpacing Ultron. No other comps provided by Fandango since they lost Regal to Atom.

 

Even with that, as you said, we should be getting comps from 3-4 years ago soon. We might see "SMH outpacing TASM2" this week.

[grim22]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

 

It already happened 

 

[Water Bottle]

75.4 million? Damn fucking hell. I can't believe I overshot my prediction in the summer game.

 

Lol at the House.

 

Impressive numbers for BD.

[CJohn]

9 minutes ago, Nova said:

Welp looks like the tomato law is in fact useless 

 

You don't understand his power.

[Maxmoser3]

Despicable, Baby light up holiday weekend. The House bombs.

 

Gru and his minions had another win this weekend! While Baby Driver runs over expectations. And The House loses money. 

 

While it was the 3-day portion for the holiday weekend, the top 12 was at $164.7 million which was down nine percent from last year.

 

Despicable Me 3 led the weekend with an estimated $75.4 million. That debut is a far cry from  the debuts of Despicable Me 2 or Minions. But considering those had holiday boosts or branding, it's still not a bad start. With decent word of mouth, and less competition for families until August 11th Despicable Me 3 should have decent holding power and should make at least $260 million domestic.

 

Baby Driver drove off to a solid start with an estimated $21 million and a five-day take of $30 million. which is the best debut for director Edgar Wright knocking out Scott Pilgrim Vs. The World and right on close to its domestic total. It is also noteworthy that Sony hasn't had a real successful start since the fall of 2016. With solid word of mouth, and serving as a solid counter programmer against blockbusters such as  Sony's own Spider Man:Homecoming, or War For The Planet Of The Apes. Look for Baby Driver to drive by around a domestic total of at least around $80 million.

 

Last weekend's champion Transformers:The Last Knight got hit hard with a 62 percent drop which is on-par with Age Of Extinction's drop 3 years ago. Although the film has overseas, it's likely that Transformers will get shot down with the bigger movies coming out and should a domestic total of at least $135 million.

 

Wonder Woman still holding on strong with a drop around 35 percent, and although Spider Man comes out on Friday Wonder Woman should be an alright holdover for July against the bigger release schedule. Look for Wonder Woman to make a domestic take around $390 million. 

 

Rounding out the top five, Cars 3 got ran over with a drop around 60 percent. Look for Cars to cruise around $145 million.

 

The last wide new release The House went bankrupt this weekend with an estimated $9 million. That debut is Will Ferrell's lowest grossing debut since Superstar. With lackluster word of mouth(47% audience score), The House will sink quickly. Look for a domestic total close to $25 million.

 

47 Meters Down has still proven to hold on strong with a drop under 35 percent, and should make at least $40 million.

 

The Beguilled expanded this weekend with an estimated $3.2 million that debut isn't bad but should be interesting to see how much it expands in the next few weeks. 

 

The Mummy still being beaten down with 54 percent drop, and should come close to $80 million.

 

Rounding out the top 10, Pirates 5 got hit again. And should make above $170 million.

 

 

All Eyez On Me still being hit hard with drop close to 70 percent, and should come close to $50 million. The Big Sick expanded this weekend as well with an estimated $1.6 million. Not horrible, and with solid word of mouth once again it should be interesting how much it expands.

[WrathOfHan]

These were the summer game predictions for DM3:

 

JJ-8 - 421.7m
jj99 - 400m
MovieMan - 365m
Matrix4You - 360m
darkelf - 355m
bcf26 - 355m
damnitgeorge08 - 353m
Exxdee - 350m
Tree - 350m
kayumanggi - 350m
Fancyarcher - 345m
24Lost - 343m
DamienRoc - 343m
aabattery - 340m
Grey Ghost - 335m
narniads - 331m
Spaghetti - 330m
Baumer - 330m
MrPink - 330m
Simionski - 330m
The Dark Alfred - 327m
That One Guy - 320m
WrathofHan - 320m
franfar - 320m
Empire - 316m
Cmasterclay - 315m
Wrath - 314m
grim22 - 310m
#ED - 310m
Goffe - 310m
Chaasmi - 307m
glassfairy - 300m
Mike Hunt - 300m
Telemachos - 295m
Kalo - 294m
Blankments - 289m
The Panda - 285m
Chewy - 280m
BastienGiot - 277m
Jake Gittes - 270m
Water Bottle - 236.7m

 

[Water Bottle]

3 minutes ago, grim22 said:

 

It already happened 

 

 

[Water Bottle]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

These were the summer game predictions for DM3:

 

JJ-8 - 421.7m
jj99 - 400m
MovieMan - 365m
Matrix4You - 360m
darkelf - 355m
bcf26 - 355m
damnitgeorge08 - 353m
Exxdee - 350m
Tree - 350m
kayumanggi - 350m
Fancyarcher - 345m
24Lost - 343m
DamienRoc - 343m
aabattery - 340m
Grey Ghost - 335m
narniads - 331m
Spaghetti - 330m
Baumer - 330m
MrPink - 330m
Simionski - 330m
The Dark Alfred - 327m
That One Guy - 320m
WrathofHan - 320m
franfar - 320m
Empire - 316m
Cmasterclay - 315m
Wrath - 314m
grim22 - 310m
#ED - 310m
Goffe - 310m
Chaasmi - 307m
glassfairy - 300m
Mike Hunt - 300m
Telemachos - 295m
Kalo - 294m
Blankments - 289m
The Panda - 285m
Chewy - 280m
BastienGiot - 277m
Jake Gittes - 270m
Water Bottle - 236.7m

 

 

I know. I probably should have gone lower for DM3.

[The Fast and the Furiosa]

34 minutes ago, Blankments said:

My local drive-in has always said their rates for purchasing movies is a lot easier if they can attach something from the studio that released it. That's why they had a Wonder Woman/King Arthur double feature and a Guardians/Beauty and the Beast double feature. They can technically do what you're saying (my drive-in did a Cars 3/Wonder Woman double feature on that one's OW), but it's much cheaper on them if they stick to the studio of the opening weekend.

Yeah this is right, but we have definitely seen a shift away from that as of late. Cars and Transformers both saw their drive-ins be split and not necessarily with a film with the same studio. Disney was really the only studio that forced exclusive pairings for DIs the past couple of years, but as far as I'm aware, many of those owners got upset about it. It may signal a change in practice overall.

 

On the topic of R vs PG13, that will vary from place to place. I would say of the driveins that were open, it was about 70/30 ratio for GO vs Split for the F8 opening 

[cannastop]

2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Water Bottle - 236.7m

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, Water Bottle said:

 

I know. I probably should have gone lower for DM3.

You might be the only one to make points  

[Rman823]

As a huge fan of the book, the fact that IT could easily do over 50m OW has me so pumped. 

[WrathOfHan]

RT Audience Score update:

 

BD: 92%

DM3: 70%

The Beguiled: 57%

The House: 46%

[kayumanggi]

[Biggestgeekever]

24 minutes ago, Blankments said:

We're halfway through the year so let's compare this year to last year (to the weekend, not to the date):

 

1. Captain America: Civil War - 405M

2. Finding Dory - 372M

3. Deadpool - 363M

4. The Jungle Book - 359M

5. Zootopia - 341M

6. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice - 330M

7. X-Men: Apocalypse - 154M

8. Kung Fu Panda 3 - 143M

9. The Angry Birds Movie - 106M

10. The Conjuring 2 - 95M

 

Average B.O.: 267M

Average RT: 65% (6 fresh, 4 rotten)

Breaks down to 6 sequels, 4 non-sequels.

 

1. Beauty and the Beast - 504M

2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - 383M

3. Wonder Woman - 347M

4. Logan - 226M

5. The Fate of the Furious - 225M

6. The LEGO Batman Movie - 176M

7. Get Out - 175M

8. The Boss Baby - 174M

9. Kong: Skull Island - 167M

10. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - 165M

 

Average B.O.: 254M

Average RT: 75%(8 fresh, 2 rotten)

Breaks down to 4 sequels, 6 non-sequels

The top 3 animated films this year (Cars 3 is third for now) have literally made half as much as the top 3 last year at this point.

[Mr Impossible]

Baby Driver should hold well even with competition. 

[filmlover]

6 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

RT Audience Score update:

 

BD: 92%

DM3: 70%

The Beguiled: 57%

The House: 46%

Wouldn't surprise if The Beguiled's low-ish score is from people who were expecting more of a horror flick (which it most certainly is not) based on the marketing.

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, filmlover said:

Wouldn't surprise if The Beguiled's low-ish score is from people who were expecting more of a horror flick (which it most certainly is not) based on the marketing.

Oh definitely.

[grim22]

ICAN's weekend drops have been horrible. The misleading marketing really turned off viewers

 

ick to view chart)	Rank	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theaters	Change / Avg.		Gross-to-Date	Week #
Jun 9–11	6	$5,988,370	-	2,533	-	$2,364	$5,988,370	1
Jun 16–18	10	$2,601,468	-56.6%	2,450	-83	$1,062	$11,124,631	2
Jun 23–25	15	$800,324	-69.2%	819	-1,631	$977	$13,043,493	3
Jun 30–Jul 2	23	$161,790 (Estimate)	-79.8%	174	-645

[BenedictL11]

Just now, Mr Impossible said:

Baby Driver should hold well even with competition. 

Fo sho!!

 

For example, an opening similar to it (This is the End) held well against tough competition (Man of Steel, World War Z, Monsters University, The Heat, and Despicable Me 2). $100M total wouldn't surprise me for this wonderful hit and this one had better WOM than TITE.