Weekend Thread | Estimates: T:R 57.08M, DH2 29.65M, MOTOE 28.68M, ABMC 11.47M, 32.4K PTA for Lady Bird (Deadline, p.46) | The box office is good again!

[filmlover]

SteveJaros: The Kellyanne Conway of BOT.

[WrathOfHan]

3 minutes ago, SteveJaros said:

Mark my words .... JL is going to beat TR + CoCo combined DOM. 

[Sam]

I have learnt over the years I’ve been on here that a good 90% of posts that started with “mark my words” ended with nonsense.

[DAR]

What's TR

[FantasticBeasts]

To be fair though, SteveJaros made a pretty impressive club this time around. It was really close to being a succces !

[MCKillswitch123]

Just now, DAR said:

What's TR

Total Recall, I'd guess.

 

The real question is are we talking about the original TR unadjusted, original adjusted, or the remake? Gotta be more specific there, buddy.

[cookie]

2 hours ago, filmlover said:

Most impressive drop of the weekend:

 

35

13

Suburbicon

Par.

$85,000

-92.8%

281

-1,765

$302

$5,748,427

-

3

RIP Clooney's directing career

[Rebeccas]

1 hour ago, SteveJaros said:

We'll see. IMO, you guys are underestimating JL, it's going to push $500m DOM, it's going to undercut TR coming and Coco going, outgrossing both combined DOM.

 

And you're overrating Jedi. IMO, Disney has gone to the well once too often. They've soaked the Christmas box office with Star Wars two years in a row, and the third time is going to be the Curse.

 

WB for the win!  

A Star Wars spinoff about Jar Jar Binks would probably still make more than JL. 

[DAR]

Suburbicon we barely knew thee

[raegr]

Well spank me and call me daddy ('s home) is doing very well. 

[eddyxx]

So anyone else find it interesting that Fate of the Furious is gonna finish out the year with 1.2 billion and #3 worldwide but outside of the top 10 (maybe 11) domestic.

[YM!]

I guess you can say Daddy didn’t make the box office choke. 

[DAR]

1 hour ago, SteveJaros said:

We'll see. IMO, you guys are underestimating JL, it's going to push $500m DOM, it's going to undercut TR coming and Coco going, outgrossing both combined DOM.

 

And you're overrating Jedi. IMO, Disney has gone to the well once too often. They've soaked the Christmas box office with Star Wars two years in a row, and the third time is going to be the Curse.

 

WB for the win!  

Dare I ask your prediction for Last Jedi?

[Rebeccas]

2 minutes ago, eddyxx said:

So anyone else find it interesting that Fate of the Furious is gonna finish out the year with 1.2 billion and #3 worldwide but outside of the top 10 (maybe 11) domestic.

Not even the most extreme example. Wolf Warrior!

[Cmasterclay]

I think JL "only" does about 125 next week. Middling marketing has led to minimal buzz, I know no one talking about it - and these are people that were buzzing a ton for Suicide Squad and BvS. It also needs to re-earn goodwill, so decent reviews would help it. It just looks same-y - there's no real hook besides being another team up film. The jokes and the style just appears rote - as basic as a movie like this gets. Has the potential to do more, but trying to be safe in marketing + lack of goodwill. But I can see it get up to 140 and do around New Moon numbers. The 150+ breaking November record predictions don't seem likely to me.

[raegr]

3 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

I think JL "only" does about 125 next week. Middling marketing has led to minimal buzz, I know no one talking about it - and these are people that were buzzing a ton for Suicide Squad and BvS. It also needs to re-earn goodwill, so decent reviews would help it. It just looks same-y - there's no real hook besides being another team up film. The jokes and the style just appears rote - as basic as a movie like this gets. Has the potential to do more, but trying to be safe in marketing + lack of goodwill. But I can see it get up to 140 and do around New Moon numbers. The 150+ breaking November record predictions don't seem likely to me.

[Fancyarcher]

Saw Murder On The Orient Express. Really enjoyed it. Great classic mystery, the cast was very good, and Branagh made for a very charming Poirot too. 

[baumer]

Well, I'm truly impressed by Thor's numbers.  That's a really nice drop and the WW numbers are quite awesome.  Marvel can do no wrong, it seems.  

 

I'm also really surprised by the WW numbers for Orient Express.  It just had a 46 million dollar weekend internationally.  Impressive.  Most impressive.  I think it's heading for much more than 200 mill WW.  Nice to see it doing so well.

 

Daddy's Home was a well liked film, the sequel looks to be as well.  I don't think the sequel will duplicate the multiplier of the first, but it should be able to reach 100 million.

 

The producers of Bad Mom's 2 seemed to know something that others didn't (like Empire).  Some people said the release date was stupid and it should have been released later.  Well, maybe the examined the market place and the release date and figured it out.  The first week gets a 5 day and builds up WOM.   It's aimed at adult women and like @TwoMisfits pointed out, women don't rush out to see a film.  So the second weekend it takes advantage of Veteran's Day and it has a small drop.  Then it remains counter programming to Justice League in week three and then it has the Thanksgiving holiday.  Seems like a pretty good strategy to me and it also seems to be working.  A 31% decline is excellent and now it's almost at 40 million.  It could sprout some good legs from here and make a play for 75-80 million.  On a 28 million dollar budget, that's not too shabby.

 

Too bad IT isn't being tracked right now but the international numbers are still going nicely.  It's at 683 million now and still should have enough for 700.

 

Geostorm is almost at 200 million.  

 

The Foreigner is at 134 mill WW, which is not too bad.  I would have liked to see it do more state side but I guess there's only so much interest in these kinds of films now.  Shame.

 

41 million for Coco internationally so far...very nice.

[FantasticBeasts]

I am starting to think that Coco may surprise.

It's been centuries since the last event animation.

I wouldn't be surprised at a Moana like performance.

[Brainbug]

1 minute ago, FantasticBeasts said:

I am starting to think that Coco may surprise.

It's been centuries since the last event animation.

I wouldn't be surprised at a Moana like performance.

 

But but THE EMOJI MOVIE isnt even half a year old!